• Title/Summary/Keyword: Regression metamodel

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Thermal conductivity prediction model for compacted bentonites considering temperature variations

  • Yoon, Seok;Kim, Min-Jun;Park, Seunghun;Kim, Geon-Young
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.53 no.10
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    • pp.3359-3366
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    • 2021
  • An engineered barrier system (EBS) for the deep geological disposal of high-level radioactive waste (HLW) is composed of a disposal canister, buffer material, gap-filling material, and backfill material. As the buffer fills the empty space between the disposal canisters and the near-field rock mass, heat energy from the canisters is released to the surrounding buffer material. It is vital that this heat energy is rapidly dissipated to the near-field rock mass, and thus the thermal conductivity of the buffer is a key parameter to consider when evaluating the safety of the overall disposal system. Therefore, to take into consideration the sizeable amount of heat being released from such canisters, this study investigated the thermal conductivity of Korean compacted bentonites and its variation within a temperature range of 25 ℃ to 80-90 ℃. As a result, thermal conductivity increased by 5-20% as the temperature increased. Furthermore, temperature had a greater effect under higher degrees of saturation and a lower impact under higher dry densities. This study also conducted a regression analysis with 147 sets of data to estimate the thermal conductivity of the compacted bentonite considering the initial dry density, water content, and variations in temperature. Furthermore, the Kriging method was adopted to establish an uncertainty metamodel of thermal conductivity to verify the regression model. The R2 value of the regression model was 0.925, and the regression model and metamodel showed similar results.

The Impact of Aircraft Spare Engine & Module's Inventory Level on Operational Availability (항공기 예비엔진 및 모듈 재고수준이 운용가용도에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Sang-Jin;Bai, Ju-Kun;Kim, Min-Gyu
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.38 no.3
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    • pp.333-339
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    • 2010
  • It is difficult to determine an optimal inventory level of aircraft engine and modules to achieve the target operational availability since F100-PW-200 & 229 engines of the F-16 & KF-16 aircraft are consisted of 5 modules with different failure rates and costs. This study presents a decision model, combining an integer programming problem and a regression metamodel. Data for the metamodel was attained from results of a simulation model, that represents operational and repair process of F-16 and KF-16. The objective function of an integer programming problem is maximizing the operational availability, representing pessimistic circumstances. Finally, an integer programming problem with a metamodel can make an optimal decision of the inventory level.

Material Selection Optimization of A-Pillar and Package Tray Using RBFr Metamodel for Minimizing Weight (경량화를 위한 RBFr 메타모델 기반 A-필러와 패키지 트레이의 소재 선정 최적화)

  • Jin, Sungwan;Park, Dohyun;Lee, Gabseong;Kim, Chang Won;Yang, Heui Won;Kim, Dae Seung;Choi, Dong-Hoon
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.8-14
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    • 2013
  • In this study, we propose the method of optimally selecting material of front pillar (A-pillar) and package tray for minimizing weight while satisfying vehicle requirements on static stiffness and dynamic stiffness. First, we formulate a material selection optimization problem. Next, we establish the CAE procedure of evaluating static stiffness and dynamic stiffness. Then, to enhance the efficiency of design work, we integrate and automate the established CAE procedure using a commercial process integration and design optimization (PIDO) tool, PIAnO. For effective optimization, we adopt the approach of metamodel based approximate optimization. As a sampling method, an orthogonal array (OA) is used for selecting sampling points. The response values are evaluated at the sampling points and then these response values are used to generate a metamodel of each response using the radial basis function regression (RBFr). Using the RBFr models, optimization is carried out an evolutionary algorithm that can handle discrete design variables. Material optimization result reveals that the weight is reduced by 49.8% while satisfying all the design constraints.

Parameter Estimation of Storage Function Method using Metamodel (메타모델을 이용한 저류함수법의 매개변수추정)

  • Chung, Gun-Hui;Oh, Jin-A;Kim, Tae-Gyun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.10 no.6
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    • pp.81-87
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    • 2010
  • In order to calculate the accurate runoff from a basin, nonlinearity in the relationship between rainfall and runoff has to be considered. Many runoff calculation models assume the linearity in the relationship or are too complicated to be analyzed. Therefore, the storage function method has been used in the prediction of flood because of the simplicity of the model. The storage function method has five parameters with related to the basin and rainfall characteristics which can be estimated by the empirical trial and error method. To optimize these parameters, regression method or optimization techniques such as genetic algorithm have been used, however, it is not easy to optimize them because of the complexity of the method. In this study, the metamodel is proposed to estimate those model parameters. The metamodel is the combination of artificial neural network and genetic algorithm. The model is consisted of two stages. In the first stage, an artificial neural network is constructed using the given rainfall-runoff relationship. In the second stage, the parameters of the storage function method are estimated using genetic algorithm and the trained artificial neural network. The proposed metamodel is applied in the Peong Chang River basin and the results are presented.

Material Optimization of BIW for Minimizing Weight (경량화를 위한 BIW 소재 최적설계)

  • Jin, Sungwan;Park, Dohyun;Lee, Gabseong;Kim, Chang Won;Yang, Heui Won;Kim, Dae Seung;Choi, Dong-Hoon
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.16-22
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    • 2013
  • In this study, we propose the method of optimally changing material of BIW for minimizing weight while satisfying vehicle requirements on static stiffness. First, we formulate a material selection optimization problem. Next, we establish the CAE procedure of evaluating static stiffness. Then, to enhance the efficiency of design work, we integrate and automate the established CAE procedure using a commercial process integration and design optimization (PIDO) tool, PIAnO. For effective optimization, we adopt the approach of metamodel based approximate optimization. As a sampling method, an orthogonal array (OA) is used for selecting sampling points. The response values are evaluated at the sampling points and then these response values are used to generate a metamodel of each response using the linear polynomial regression (PR) model. Using the linear PR model, optimization is carried out an evolutionary algorithm (EA) that can handle discrete design variables. Material optimization result reveals that the weight is reduced by 44.8% while satisfying all the design constraints.

Optimization for the Design Parameters of Electric Locomotive Overhaul Maintenance Facility (전기 기관차 중수선 시설의 설계 변수 최적화)

  • Um, In-Sup;Cheon, Hyeon-Jae;Lee, Hong-Chul
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.222-228
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we propose a optimization approach for the Electric Locomotive Overhaul Maintenance Facility (ELOMF), which aims at the simulation optimization so as to meet the design specification. In simulation design, we consider the critical path and sensitivity analysis of the critical (dependent) factors and the design (independent) parameters for the parameter selection and reduction of the metamodel. Therefore, we construct the multi-objective non-linear programming. The objective function is normalized for the generalization of design parameter while the constraints are composed of the simulation-based regression metamodel for the critical factors and design factor's domain. Then the effective solution procedure based on the pareto optimal solution set is proposed. This approach provides a comprehensive approach for the optimization of Train Overhaul Maintenance Facility(TOMF)'s design parameters using the simulation and metamoels.

A Study on the Efficient Optimization of Suspension Characteristics for Dynamic Behavior of the High Speed Train (고속전철의 동적특성에 따른 효율적인 현가장치 최적화 방안 연구)

  • Park, Chan-Kyoung;Kim, Young-Guk;Hyun, Seung-Ho
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2001.06b
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    • pp.501-506
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    • 2001
  • Computer modeling is essential to evaluate possible design of suspension for a railway vehicles. By creating a simulation, the engineers are able to assess the feasibility of a given design and change the design factors to get a better design. But if one wishes to perform complex analysis on the simulation, such as railway vehicle dynamic, the computational time can become overwhelming. Therefore, many researchers have turned to surrogate modeling. A surrogate model is essentially a regression performed on a data sampling of the simulation. In the most general sense, metamodels(surrogate model) take the form $y(x)=f(x)+{\varepsilon}$, where y(x) is the true simulation output, f(x) is the metamodel output, and $\varepsilon$ is the error between the two. In this paper, a second order polynomial equation is partially used as a metamodel to represent the forty-six dynamic performances for high speed train. The number of factors as design variables of the metamodel is twenty-nine, which are composed the dynamic characteristics of suspension. This metamodel is used to search the optimum values of suspension characteristics which minimize the dynamic responses for high speed train. This optimization is a multi-objective problem which have many design variables. This paper shows that the response surface model which is made through the design of analysis of computer experiments method is very efficient to solve this complex optimization problem.

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Model selection algorithm in Gaussian process regression for computer experiments

  • Lee, Youngsaeng;Park, Jeong-Soo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.383-396
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    • 2017
  • The model in our approach assumes that computer responses are a realization of a Gaussian processes superimposed on a regression model called a Gaussian process regression model (GPRM). Selecting a subset of variables or building a good reduced model in classical regression is an important process to identify variables influential to responses and for further analysis such as prediction or classification. One reason to select some variables in the prediction aspect is to prevent the over-fitting or under-fitting to data. The same reasoning and approach can be applicable to GPRM. However, only a few works on the variable selection in GPRM were done. In this paper, we propose a new algorithm to build a good prediction model among some GPRMs. It is a post-work of the algorithm that includes the Welch method suggested by previous researchers. The proposed algorithms select some non-zero regression coefficients (${\beta}^{\prime}s$) using forward and backward methods along with the Lasso guided approach. During this process, the fixed were covariance parameters (${\theta}^{\prime}s$) that were pre-selected by the Welch algorithm. We illustrated the superiority of our proposed models over the Welch method and non-selection models using four test functions and one real data example. Future extensions are also discussed.

Statistical Space-Time Metamodels Based on Multiple Responses Approach for Time-Variant Dynamic Response of Structures (구조물의 시간-변화 동적응답에 대한 다중응답접근법 기반 통계적 공간-시간 메타모델)

  • Lee, Jin-Min;Lee, Tae-Hee
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.34 no.8
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    • pp.989-996
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    • 2010
  • Statistical regression and/or interpolation models have been used for data analysis and response prediction using the results of the physical experiments and/or computer simulations in structural engineering fields. These models have been employed during the last decade to develop a variety of design methodologies. However, these models only handled responses with respect to space variables such as size and shape of structures and cannot handle time-variant dynamic responses, i.e. response varying with time. In this research, statistical space-time metamodels based on multiple response approach that can handle responses with respect to both space variables and a time variable are proposed. Regression and interpolation models such as the response surface model (RSM) and kriging model were developed for handling time-variant dynamic responses of structural engineering. We evaluate the accuracies of the responses predicted by the two statistical space-time metamodels by comparing them with the responses obtained by the physical experiments and/or computer simulations.

Material Arrangement Optimization for Automotive BIW considering a Large Number of Design Variables (과다 설계변수를 고려한 차량 BIW의 소재배치 최적화)

  • Park, Dohyun;Jin, Sungwan;Lee, Gabseong;Choi, Dong-Hoon
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.15-23
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    • 2013
  • Weight reduction of a automobile has been steadily tried in automotive industry to improve fuel efficiency, driving performance and the production profits. Since the weight of BIW takes up a large portion of the total weight of the automobile, reducing the weight of BIW greatly contributes to reducing the total weight of the vehicle. To reduce weight, vehicle manufacturers have tried to apply lightweight materials, such as aluminum and high-strength steel, to the components of BIW instead of conventional steel. In this research, material arrangement of an automotive BIW was optimized by formulating a design problem to minimize weight of the BIW while satisfying design requirements about bending and torsional stiffness and perform a metamodel-based design optimization strategy. As a result of the design optimization, weight of the BIW is reduced by 45.7% while satisfying all design requirements.