• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
• /
• 제53권10호
• /
• pp.3359-3366
• /
• 2021

An engineered barrier system (EBS) for the deep geological disposal of high-level radioactive waste (HLW) is composed of a disposal canister, buffer material, gap-filling material, and backfill material. As the buffer fills the empty space between the disposal canisters and the near-field rock mass, heat energy from the canisters is released to the surrounding buffer material. It is vital that this heat energy is rapidly dissipated to the near-field rock mass, and thus the thermal conductivity of the buffer is a key parameter to consider when evaluating the safety of the overall disposal system. Therefore, to take into consideration the sizeable amount of heat being released from such canisters, this study investigated the thermal conductivity of Korean compacted bentonites and its variation within a temperature range of 25 ℃ to 80-90 ℃. As a result, thermal conductivity increased by 5-20% as the temperature increased. Furthermore, temperature had a greater effect under higher degrees of saturation and a lower impact under higher dry densities. This study also conducted a regression analysis with 147 sets of data to estimate the thermal conductivity of the compacted bentonite considering the initial dry density, water content, and variations in temperature. Furthermore, the Kriging method was adopted to establish an uncertainty metamodel of thermal conductivity to verify the regression model. The R² value of the regression model was 0.925, and the regression model and metamodel showed similar results.

• 품질경영학회지
• /
• 제38권3호
• /
• pp.333-339
• /
• 2010

It is difficult to determine an optimal inventory level of aircraft engine and modules to achieve the target operational availability since F100-PW-200 & 229 engines of the F-16 & KF-16 aircraft are consisted of 5 modules with different failure rates and costs. This study presents a decision model, combining an integer programming problem and a regression metamodel. Data for the metamodel was attained from results of a simulation model, that represents operational and repair process of F-16 and KF-16. The objective function of an integer programming problem is maximizing the operational availability, representing pessimistic circumstances. Finally, an integer programming problem with a metamodel can make an optimal decision of the inventory level.

• 한국자동차공학회논문집
• /
• 제21권5호
• /
• pp.8-14
• /
• 2013

In this study, we propose the method of optimally selecting material of front pillar (A-pillar) and package tray for minimizing weight while satisfying vehicle requirements on static stiffness and dynamic stiffness. First, we formulate a material selection optimization problem. Next, we establish the CAE procedure of evaluating static stiffness and dynamic stiffness. Then, to enhance the efficiency of design work, we integrate and automate the established CAE procedure using a commercial process integration and design optimization (PIDO) tool, PIAnO. For effective optimization, we adopt the approach of metamodel based approximate optimization. As a sampling method, an orthogonal array (OA) is used for selecting sampling points. The response values are evaluated at the sampling points and then these response values are used to generate a metamodel of each response using the radial basis function regression (RBFr). Using the RBFr models, optimization is carried out an evolutionary algorithm that can handle discrete design variables. Material optimization result reveals that the weight is reduced by 49.8% while satisfying all the design constraints.

• 한국방재학회 논문집
• /
• 제10권6호
• /
• pp.81-87
• /
• 2010

유역에서의 정확한 유출을 계산하기 위해서는 강우-유출현상의 비선형성을 고려해야한다. 그러나 대부분의 강우-유출모형이 선형성을 가정하고 있거나 해석하기가 복잡하여, 비선형성을 고려하면서도 비교적 간단히 계산이 가능한 저류함수법을 유출계산에 이용해오고 있다. 저류함수법은 강수특성과 유역특성에 따라 달라지는 5개의 매개변수를 포함하고 있으며, 주로 유역별로 개발된 회귀식이나 유전자 알고리즘 등 최적화 기법을 이용하여 추정하나, 그 정확한 산정이 어렵다. 그러므로 본 연구에서는 인공 신경망과 유전자 알고리즘을 이용한 Metamodel을 이용하여 매개변수 최적화를 시도하였다. 제안된 기법은 두 단계로 나누어지는데, 첫 번째 단계에서는 기존의 강우-유출관계를 인공신경망에 입력하여 일대일대응 관계를 규명한 후, 두 번째 단계에서는 훈련된 인공신경망과 유전자 알고리즘을 이용하여 강우사상에 대한 저류함수법의 매개변수를 최적화한다. 제안된 모형은 평창강 유역 21개 강우사상에 적용되어 그 적용성을 입증하였다.

• 한국자동차공학회논문집
• /
• 제21권4호
• /
• pp.16-22
• /
• 2013

In this study, we propose the method of optimally changing material of BIW for minimizing weight while satisfying vehicle requirements on static stiffness. First, we formulate a material selection optimization problem. Next, we establish the CAE procedure of evaluating static stiffness. Then, to enhance the efficiency of design work, we integrate and automate the established CAE procedure using a commercial process integration and design optimization (PIDO) tool, PIAnO. For effective optimization, we adopt the approach of metamodel based approximate optimization. As a sampling method, an orthogonal array (OA) is used for selecting sampling points. The response values are evaluated at the sampling points and then these response values are used to generate a metamodel of each response using the linear polynomial regression (PR) model. Using the linear PR model, optimization is carried out an evolutionary algorithm (EA) that can handle discrete design variables. Material optimization result reveals that the weight is reduced by 44.8% while satisfying all the design constraints.

• 한국철도학회논문집
• /
• 제13권2호
• /
• pp.222-228
• /
• 2010

전기 기관차 중수선 시설과 같이 복잡한 시스템의 설계 변수와 중요 변수 최적화는 수리적인 형태로 분석하는 것이 매우 어려운 작업이 된다. 본 논문에서는 메타 모델의 개념을 시뮬레이션 근사 모델에 적용하여 설계 변수와 중요 변수의 최적화를 수행하였다. 시뮬레이션 설계를 위하여 Critical Path 분석과 민감도 분석 수행하여 설계 변수와 실험 횟수를 줄이기 위하여 노력을 하였다. 시뮬레이션 분석은 다 목적 비선형 계획법을 구성한 후 파레토 최적해 집합을 산출하여 설계자에게 다중 대안의 해 집합을 제시하여 실제 시스템의 적용에 대한 유동성을 제공하려고 노력하였다. 본 논문에서 제시 된 기법은 열차 중수선 시설의 설계 및 분석에 있어서 시뮬레이션과 메타 모델을 이용한 하나의 방법으로 이용이 가능 할 것이다.

• 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 대한기계학회 2001년도 춘계학술대회논문집B
• /
• pp.501-506
• /
• 2001

Computer modeling is essential to evaluate possible design of suspension for a railway vehicles. By creating a simulation, the engineers are able to assess the feasibility of a given design and change the design factors to get a better design. But if one wishes to perform complex analysis on the simulation, such as railway vehicle dynamic, the computational time can become overwhelming. Therefore, many researchers have turned to surrogate modeling. A surrogate model is essentially a regression performed on a data sampling of the simulation. In the most general sense, metamodels(surrogate model) take the form $y(x)=f(x)+{\varepsilon}$, where y(x) is the true simulation output, f(x) is the metamodel output, and $\varepsilon$ is the error between the two. In this paper, a second order polynomial equation is partially used as a metamodel to represent the forty-six dynamic performances for high speed train. The number of factors as design variables of the metamodel is twenty-nine, which are composed the dynamic characteristics of suspension. This metamodel is used to search the optimum values of suspension characteristics which minimize the dynamic responses for high speed train. This optimization is a multi-objective problem which have many design variables. This paper shows that the response surface model which is made through the design of analysis of computer experiments method is very efficient to solve this complex optimization problem.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
• /
• 제24권4호
• /
• pp.383-396
• /
• 2017

The model in our approach assumes that computer responses are a realization of a Gaussian processes superimposed on a regression model called a Gaussian process regression model (GPRM). Selecting a subset of variables or building a good reduced model in classical regression is an important process to identify variables influential to responses and for further analysis such as prediction or classification. One reason to select some variables in the prediction aspect is to prevent the over-fitting or under-fitting to data. The same reasoning and approach can be applicable to GPRM. However, only a few works on the variable selection in GPRM were done. In this paper, we propose a new algorithm to build a good prediction model among some GPRMs. It is a post-work of the algorithm that includes the Welch method suggested by previous researchers. The proposed algorithms select some non-zero regression coefficients (${\beta}^{\prime}s$) using forward and backward methods along with the Lasso guided approach. During this process, the fixed were covariance parameters (${\theta}^{\prime}s$) that were pre-selected by the Welch algorithm. We illustrated the superiority of our proposed models over the Welch method and non-selection models using four test functions and one real data example. Future extensions are also discussed.

• 대한기계학회논문집A
• /
• 제34권8호
• /
• pp.989-996
• /
• 2010

통계적 회귀모델과 보간모델은 구조공학 분야에서 실제실험과 전산실험의 결과로부터 자료를 분석하고 응답을 예측하기 위해 적용되었으며 최근 10 년 동안 다양한 설계방법론들과 함께 발전해왔다. 그러나 그들은 구조물의 크기와 형상과 같은 공간변수에 대해서만 취급해왔고 시간변수에 따라 변하는 시간-변화 동적응답을 고려할 수 없었다. 본 연구에서는 공간변수와 시간변수를 모두 취급하여 시간-변화 동적응답을 고려할 수 있는 다중응답접근법 기반 통계적 공간-시간 메타모델을 제안한다. 대표적 회귀모델인 반응표면모델과 보간모델인 크리깅모델을 구조공학 예제의 시간-변화 동적응답에 적용한다. 또한 제안한 방법의 성능을 검증하기 위해 실제함수와의 비교를 통해 두 통계적 공간-시간 메타모델의 정확성을 비교한다.

• 한국자동차공학회논문집
• /
• 제21권3호
• /
• pp.15-23
• /
• 2013

Weight reduction of a automobile has been steadily tried in automotive industry to improve fuel efficiency, driving performance and the production profits. Since the weight of BIW takes up a large portion of the total weight of the automobile, reducing the weight of BIW greatly contributes to reducing the total weight of the vehicle. To reduce weight, vehicle manufacturers have tried to apply lightweight materials, such as aluminum and high-strength steel, to the components of BIW instead of conventional steel. In this research, material arrangement of an automotive BIW was optimized by formulating a design problem to minimize weight of the BIW while satisfying design requirements about bending and torsional stiffness and perform a metamodel-based design optimization strategy. As a result of the design optimization, weight of the BIW is reduced by 45.7% while satisfying all design requirements.