• 제목/요약/키워드: Regression Formula

검색결과 420건 처리시간 0.025초

건설공사의 사고예방비용에 대한 효과분석(II) (The Benefit Cost Analysis of the Accident Prevention Cost in Construction Work(II))

  • 임헌진;김창은;김진수
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제7권5호
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    • pp.19-30
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    • 2005
  • This study delivers the actual condition of investment for industrial accident prevention based on survey of 526 construction sites. The various research techniques were used such as technical statistic analysis for construction industry, construction and civil engineering works, cost comparison of industrial accident prevention and accident loss. A formula was deduced to calculate accident loss and accident frequency by accident prevention cost through regression analysis.

기존 세굴심 산정식의 적정성 검토 및 세굴심 산정식 개발에 대한 실험적 연구세요 (Review of appropriateness of existing formula for estimating the depth of scour and the experimental study on development of the formula to estimated the depth of scour)

  • 최한규;이영섭
    • 산업기술연구
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    • 제29권A호
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    • pp.67-75
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    • 2009
  • In this study, the investigation of hydraulic characteristics and the pier data for the rivers in Youngseo area of Gangwon Province was carried out and the evaluation and comparison between the values from existing formulas and the values from the model tests was conducted, along with the statistical sensitivity analysis of the elements influencing the scour. As a result, the deviation between the values calculated from the existing formulas and the model tests appeared to be 1.09%~63.98% as the piers were getting larger, which indicated that the existing formulas were not appropriate to estimate the scour in the rivers in Gangwon area. And the formula which estimates the scour with the size of the pier only, among the existing ones, was far behind in estimating the sensitivity because of insufficient incorporation of the hydraulic characteristics, though it is convenient to estimate the value. The sensitivity analysis of the value from the model tests and the depth of the scour proved the significant impact on scour by the size of the pier and water depth, indicating 64% and 36%, respectively. In this study, the formula developed through the regression analysis performed based on the values from the model tests, which appeared to be appropriate for the rivers in Gangwon Province, was proposed.

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Development of stress correction formulae for heat formed steel plates

  • Lim, Hyung Kyun;Lee, Joo-Sung
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.141-152
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    • 2018
  • The heating process such as line heating, triangular heating and so on is widely used in plate forming of shell plates found in bow and stern area of outer shell in a ship. Local shrinkage during heating process is main physical phenomenon used in plate forming process. As it is well appreciated, the heated plate undergoes the change in material and mechanical properties around heated area due to the harsh thermal process. It is, therefore, important to investigate the changes of physical and mechanical properties due to heating process in order to use them plate the design stage of shell plates. This study is concerned with the development of formula of plastic hardening constitutive equation for steel plate on which line heating is applied. In this study the stress correction formula for the heated plate has been developed based on the numerical simulation of tension test with varying plate thickness and heating speed through the regression analysis of multiple variable case. It has been seen the developed formula shows very good agreement with results of numerical simulation. This paper ends with usefulness of the present formula in examining the structural characteristic of ship's hull.

교량세굴심 산정을 위한 만곡부하천에서의 산정식 적용성 평가 (Applicability Evaluation on the Analytical Formulas of the Scour Depth Estimation in the Bight River)

  • 박수진;박제완
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제13권10호
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    • pp.4845-4852
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    • 2012
  • 본 논문은 교각의 세굴심 산정공식과 교대의 세굴심 산정공식을 적용하여 하천의 홍수량 및 만곡의 유 출입 각 변화에 따른 교량의 세굴심을 산정하고 이를 비교 검토하여 세굴심 산정식의 적용성을 평가하였다. 전체적으로 홍수량 및 유 출입 각이 증가할수록 만곡부의 세굴심 편차가 증가하였으며, 특히 유 출입 각 $105^{\circ}$에서 58%의 편차를 보여 이 지형에서의 교량계획시 신중한 검토가 필요할 것으로 판단된다. 다음으로 만곡부 산정공식별 만곡부의 세굴심 편차를 산정한 결과, 교각의 경우 Andru식이 58%를 Laursen식이 26%의 편차율을 보였으며, 다음으로 CSU. 식이 17%의 편차율을 보였다. 교대는 Froehlich 공식이 44%의 편차율을 보이고 있어 위 식의 세굴심 산정식 적용시 만곡부의 수리특성을 고려한 세굴심 산정이 필요한 것을 알 수 있다. 끝으로 세굴심의 편차를 크게 보인 유 출입 각 $45^{\circ}{\sim}135^{\circ}$에 대하여 홍수량에 따른 세굴심의 편차율을 회귀분석 하여 회귀식을 제안하였다.

가상주행과 실차주행의 운전자 주행행태 차이에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Compensation of the Difference of Driving Behavior between the Driving Vehicle and Driving Simulator)

  • 박진호;임준범;주성갑;이수범
    • 한국도로학회논문집
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.107-122
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    • 2015
  • PURPOSES : The use of virtual driving tests to determine actual road driving behavior is increasing. However, the results indicate a gap between real and virtual driving under same road conditions road based on ergonomic factors, such as anxiety and speed. In the future, the use of virtual driving tests is expected to increase. For this reason, the purpose of this study is to analyze the gap between real and virtual driving on same road conditions and to use a calibration formula to allow for higher reliability of virtual driving tests. METHODS : An intelligent driving recorder was used to capture real driving. A driving simulator was used to record virtual driving. Additionally, a virtual driving map was made with the UC-Win/Road software. We gathered data including geometric structure information, driving information, driver information, and road operation information for real driving and virtual driving on the same road conditions. In this study we investigated a range of gaps, driving speeds, and lateral positions, and introduced a calibration formula to the virtual record to achieve the same record as the real driving situation by applying the effects of the main causes of discrepancy between the two (driving speed and lateral position) using a linear regression model. RESULTS: In the virtual driving test, driving speed and lateral position were determined to be higher and bigger than in the real Driving test, respectively. Additionally, the virtual driving test reduces the concentration, anxiety, and reality when compared to the real driving test. The formula includes four variables to produce the calibration: tangent driving speed, curve driving speed, tangent lateral position, and curve lateral position. However, the tangent lateral position was excluded because it was not statistically significant. CONCLUSIONS: The results of analyzing the formula from MPB (mean prediction bias), MAD (mean absolute deviation) is after applying the formula to the virtual driving test, similar to the real driving test so that the formula works. Because this study was conducted on a national, two-way road, the road speed limit was 80 km/h, and the lane width was 3.0-3.5 m. It works in the same condition road restrictively.

수리모형실험 자료를 활용한 교각세굴심 산정식의 개발 (Development of Scour Depth Calculation Equation Based on Hydraulic Model Test Data)

  • 장형준;이호진;이효상;김성덕
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제21권1호
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    • pp.163-168
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    • 2020
  • 우리나라는 1960년대 산업화 이후 하천 및 해상에 교량을 건설 하는 등 교통 기반시설을 활발하게 확충하였다. 교량 건설로 인하여 안정성 검토에 대한 많은 연구가 진행되고, 안정성 확보 기술이 개발되었다. 그러나 교량 상부를 중점으로 하여 기술이 개발됨에 따라 교량 하부에 대한 안정성 확보 기술 및 검사는 제한적인 실정이다. 특히 교각에서 발생하는 세굴현상은 하상에 침식 및 교량의 붕괴를 초래하기에 이에 대한 대책 수립 및 예방이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 세굴현상에 따른 교량 피해를 예방하기 위한 기초 연구로서 교각 세굴심 산정 경험식을 개발하였다. 기존의 연구에서 진행된 수리모형실험 자료를 바탕으로 다중 선형 회귀분석을 실시하였으며, 이를 통하여 경험식을 개발하였다. 그 결과, 개발된 경험식은 0.91의 R2을 보이고 있으며, 개발된 식을 검증하기 위하여 개발에 활용되지 않은 모형실험 자료에 적용하였다. 23개 경우에 대하여 진행된 기존 모형실험의 결과와 개발된 식을 활용하여 산정된 교각 세굴심을 비교하였을 때, 약 70%인 16개 경우에서 20% 이하의 오차율 확인하였다. 이를 통하여 본 연구에서 개발된 경험식은 교각 세굴심 산정에 있어 적합한 적용성을 보인다고 판단할 수 있다. 향후 추가적인 연구를 통하여 보다 정확한 교각 세굴심 산정 경험식을 개발 할 수 있을 것이며, 세굴에 의한 교량 피해를 저감할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

파랑특성을 고려한 해운대 해수욕장의 해빈면적 변화에 관한 연구 (Analysis of the Change in the Area of Haeundae Beach Based on Wave Characteristics)

  • 김종범;김종규;강태순
    • 해양환경안전학회지
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    • 제27권2호
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    • pp.324-339
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    • 2021
  • 본 연구에서는 해운대 해수욕장의 내습파랑특성과 해빈면적 변화와의 상관성을 파악하였으며, 파랑특성요소를 독립변수로 설정하고 해빈면적 일변화량을 종속변수로 하는 회귀분석을 수행하여 전체 및 세부구간(서측, 중앙, 동측)에 대한 해빈면적 변화량 산출식을 도출하였다. 도출된 해빈면적 변화량 산출식에 약 10개월의 파랑관측자료를 대입하여 계산된 해빈면적과 실제 관측면적과의 비교를 통해 해빈면적 변화량 산출식의 정확도를 평가하고 해빈면적 변동특성을 분석하였다. 분석 결과, 해빈면적 변화량 산출식의 정확도는 평균 해빈폭 기준 1.5 ~ 2.7 m의 오차를 나타내었으며, 실제 관측면적과의 상관계수는 0.91 ~ 0.94의 분포를 보이며 매우 유사한 해빈면적 변화양상을 나타내었다. 또한, 세부구간별로 해빈면적 변화에 영향을 크게 미치는 파랑특성요소가 서측구간은 파향, 중앙구간은 파고, 동측구간은 파고와 주기인 것을 알 수 있었다. 이를 통해 연안정비사업이 해운대 해수욕장의 해빈면적 변동특성에 미치는 영향 및 연안정비사업의 효과를 파악할 수 있었다. 본 연구에서 도출된 해빈면적 변화량 산출식은 정도 높은 파랑예측자료가 확보될 경우 유의미한 장기간 해빈면적 변화 예측이 가능하므로 연안침식에 대한 선제적 대응 대책 수립 시 의사결정의 근거가 될 수 있는 기초자료 확보에 기여할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

Bayesian Typhoon Track Prediction Using Wind Vector Data

  • Han, Minkyu;Lee, Jaeyong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.241-253
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    • 2015
  • In this paper we predict the track of typhoons using a Bayesian principal component regression model based on wind field data. Data is obtained at each time point and we applied the Bayesian principal component regression model to conduct the track prediction based on the time point. Based on regression model, we applied to variable selection prior and two kinds of prior distribution; normal and Laplace distribution. We show prediction results based on Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) estimator and Median Probability Model (MPM) estimator. We analysis 8 typhoons in 2006 using data obtained from previous 6 years (2000-2005). We compare our prediction results with a moving-nest typhoon model (MTM) proposed by the Korea Meteorological Administration. We posit that is possible to predict the track of a typhoon accurately using only a statistical model and without a dynamical model.

초음파 속도법에 의한 현장 콘크리트 강도추정의 신뢰성 향상 (Reliability Improvement of In-Place Concreter Strength Prediction by Ultrasonic Pulse Velocity Method)

  • 원종필;박성기
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제43권4호
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    • pp.97-105
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    • 2001
  • The ultrasonic pulse velocity test has a strong potential to be developed into a very useful and relatively inexpensive in-place test for assuring the quality of concrete placed in structure. The main problem in realizing this potential is that the relationship between compressive strength ad ultrasonic pulse velocity is uncertain and concrete is an inherently variable material. The objective of this study is to improve the reliability of in-place concrete strength predictions by ultrasonic pulse velocity method. Experimental cement content, s/a rate, and curing condition of concrete. Accuracy of the prediction expressed in empirical formula are examined by multiple regression analysis and linear regression analysis and practical equation for estimation the concrete strength are proposed. Multiple regression model uses water-cement ratio cement content s/a rate, and pulse velocity as dependent variables and the compressive strength as an independent variable. Also linear regression model is used to only pulse velocity as dependent variables. Comparing the results of the analysis the proposed equation expressed highest reliability than other previous proposed equations.

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An Adaptive Weighted Regression and Guided Filter Hybrid Method for Hyperspectral Pansharpening

  • Dong, Wenqian;Xiao, Song
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.327-346
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    • 2019
  • The goal of hyperspectral pansharpening is to combine a hyperspectral image (HSI) with a panchromatic image (PANI) derived from the same scene to obtain a single fused image. In this paper, a new hyperspectral pansharpening approach using adaptive weighted regression and guided filter is proposed. First, the intensity information (INT) of the HSI is obtained by the adaptive weighted regression algorithm. Especially, the optimization formula is solved to obtain the closed solution to reduce the calculation amount. Then, the proposed method proposes a new way to obtain the sufficient spatial information from the PANI and INT by guided filtering. Finally, the fused HSI is obtained by adding the extracted spatial information to the interpolated HSI. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed approach achieves better property in preserving the spectral information as well as enhancing the spatial detail compared with other excellent approaches in visual interpretation and objective fusion metrics.