• 대한산업공학회지
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• 제40권2호
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• pp.163-171
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• 2014

Epidemic models are used to analyze the spreading of epidemic diseases, estimate public health needs, and assess the effectiveness of mitigation strategies. Modeling scope of an epidemic model ranges from the regional scale to national and global scale. Most of the epidemic models developed in Korea are at the national scale using the equation-based model. While these models are useful for designing and evaluating national public health policies, they do not provide sufficient details. As an alternative, individual-based models at the regional scale are often used to describe disease spreading, so that various mitigation strategies can be designed and tested. This paper presents an individual-based epidemic spreading model at regional scale. This model incorporates 2005 census data to build the synthetic population in the model representing Daejeon in 2005. The model's capability is demonstrated by an example where we assess the effectiveness of several mitigation strategies using the model.

• 한국물환경학회지
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• 제30권5호
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• pp.549-558
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• 2014

Occurrence frequency of flood and drought tends to increase in last a few decades, leading to social and economic damage since the abnormality of climate changes is one of the causes for hydrologic facilities by exceedance its designed tolerance. Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model was used in the study to estimate temporal variance of groundwater recharge and baseflow. It was limited to consider recession curve coefficients in SWAT model calibration process, thus the recession curve coefficient was estimated by the Baseflow Filter Program (BFLOW) before SWAT model calibration. Precipitation data were estimated for 2014 to 2100 using three models which are GFDL-ESM2G, IPSL-CM5A-LR, and MIROC-ESM with Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) scenario. SWAT model was calibrated for the Soyang watershed with NSE of 0.83, and $R^2$ of 0.89. The percentage to precipitation of groundwater recharge and baseflow were 27.6% and 17.1% respectively in 2009. Streamflow, groundwater recharge, and baseflow were estimated to be increased with the estimated precipitation data. GFDL-ESM2g model provided the most large precipitation data in the 2025s, and IPSL-CM5A-LR provided the most large precipitation data in the 2055s and 2085s. Overall, groundwater recharge and baseflow displayed similar trend to the estimated precipitation data.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제27권5호
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• pp.1147-1154
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• 2016

고속철도 (KTX) 개통으로 인해 전국이 반나절 생활권으로 편입되면서 지역의 사회, 경제, 문화 등 여러 분야에 다양한 영향을 미친 것으로 알려져 있다. 최근 KTX 개통 후 정차도시와 그 주변지역에 대한 여러 가지 변화가 관측되어 지면서 그 영향에 대한 여러 가지 연구가 이루어져 왔는데, 지역의 생산 및 고용 확대, 운송 수단간 수요 대체효과, 기업의 지방이전 및 수도권 기능의 분산을 통한 국토의 균형 개발, 그리고 고속철도 이용에 따른 시간비용 절감을 통한 여러가지 사회 경제적 비용 축소 등에 영향을 준 것으로 알려져 있다. 또한 최근에는 KTX역 중심의 관광 네트워크를 통한 지역 관광 여가 산업의 발전과 지역 문화 예술 인적 교류 활성화를 통한 삶의 질 향상에 관한 연구도 활발하다. 본 연구에서는 지역별 가계최종소비지출에 대한 공간패널모형을 이용하여 KTX 개통을 통한 고속철도망 연결이 지역경제의 소비활동에 어떠한 영향을 미쳤는지를 알아보고자 한다. 이를 위해 독립변수로는 지역별 임금소득, 주택매매가격지수, 그리고 실질금리 등을 사용되었고, KTX에 의해서 연결되어 있는지 유무에 따라 공간 자기상관 행렬을 고려하였다.

• 전기학회논문지
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• 제59권11호
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• pp.1936-1941
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• 2010

This purpose of this paper is to propose a methodology for optimal generating operation in power system to minimize the cost of generation subject to not only system constraints but also regional $CO_2$ emission constraints. To solve this ELD problem calculated range limit on minimum and maximum power outputs by regional Equal Generator how each regional capacity is connected into one and expressed Equal Fuel Cost Function considering regional $CO_2$ emission constraints. Accordingly, being modified regional load, new power outputs considering regional $CO_2$ emission constraints were calculated by ELD. The proposed model for evaluating availability is tested on IEEE RTS(Reliability Test System)-24 in detail.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제21권1호
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• pp.125-140
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• 2008

지역문화축제의 성과에 대한 경제적인 접근을 통해 파급효과를 분석하기 위하여 산업연관모델을 이용하여 지역경제파급효과를 분석하였다. 전주국제영화제에 대한 지역경제파급효과는 다음과 같다. 생산유발효과는 112억, 부가가치유발효과가 53억 그리고 취업 유발효과는 254명으로 추정되었다. 지역 문화축제는 지역경제정책의 수단으로 매우 의미가 있는 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 축제로 인한 경제적 효과를 확대하기 위해서는 주변의 관광지, 문화유적, 식당, 숙박, 오락시설 등의 산업들과 밀접한 연계관계를 구축해서 관광객이 많이 참여할 수 있도록 하여야 할 것이다.

• 지역연구
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• 제15권1호
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• pp.63-73
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• 1999

It is generally believed that there is a trade-off between economic growth and environmental quality since pollutants are generated in the process of production and consumption of commodities. Several researchers have shown this prevailing belief using the short-term input-output models. The literature, however, shows that there have been few attempts to investigate the relationship using long-term forecasting models. This motivates the current paper. This paper attempts to build a reginal growth model in a partial equilibrium framework taking into consideration the requirements of capital invested for pollutant abatement. Model is largely neoclassical. Labor is assumed to move a region with high utility specified in regional per capita average was income and pollution level while capital is partially mobile to a region with high returns. The regional growth is explored in a phase diagram. The paper shows that there are two stable growth equilibria which a region can converge over time and that the equilibria are distinguished by the initial threshold capital stock that a region holds. If the initial capital stock of a region is over(under) than the threshold size, the region converges to the higher (lower) growth equilibrium over time. Moreover, based on this result an environmental quality enhancing policy is analyzed in the phase diagram. It has revealed that the policy calls for the relocation of growth equilibrium points, specifically speaking, it stimulates an increase in labor stock and a decrease in capital stock. Hence the paper has suggested that the prevailing belief which the environmental policy negatively impacts on a regional economic growth is not always true.

• KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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• 제10권4호
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• pp.1630-1642
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• 2016

Inter-domain routing is the most critical function of the Internet. The routing system is a logical network relying on the physical infrastructure with geographical characteristics. Nature disasters or disruptive accidents such as earthquakes, cable cuts and power outages could cause regional failures which fail down geographically co-located network nodes and links, therefore, affect the resilience of inter-domain routing system. This paper presents a model for regional failures in inter-domain routing system called REFER for the first time. Based on REFER, the resilience of the inter-domain routing system could be evaluated on a finer level of the Internet, considering different routing policies of intra-domain and inter-domain routing systems. Under this model, we perform simulations on an empirical topology of the Internet with geographical characteristics to simulate a regional failure locating at a city with important IXP (Internet eXchange Point). Results indicate that the Internet is robust under a city-level regional failure. The reachability is almost the same after the failure, and the reroutings occur at the edge of the Internet, hardly affecting the core of inter-domain routing system.

• 농촌계획
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• 제16권1호
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• pp.49-62
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• 2010

As people get aged, we need to pay more attention to the elderly living condition with respect to welfare policy. The present study focuses on housing condition of elderly people living in rural area, and analyzes its determinants, periodical difference, and regional disparities, incorporating an index of minimum housing standard. This study applies multi-level logit model that has a strong statistical advantage that can take random aspects of household and regional context into account. We found that married couple household, presence of economically-active family members, higher education, specialized profession, migration and higher level of land price tend to lower the probability of residing in substandard housings. We also found that housing conditions for elderly people prove to be different by regions and it is particularly noticeable in mountainous rural areas in Gyeongsangnam-do and Gyeongsangbuk-do with the poorest elderly housing conditions. Results also implies that housing welfare policies should be implemented differently considering the target groups based on regional differences. We conclude with some additional policy implications for the elderly living in rural areas.

• 문화기술의 융합
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• 제7권2호
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• pp.165-170
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• 2021

본 연구는 주택가격의 변화가 우리나라 지방은행의 경영성과에 미치는 영향을 DOLS 모형을 이용하여 분석하였다. 분석 결과, 주택가격변동률은 지방은행의 성장성, 수익성 및 건전성에 모두 통계적으로 유의한 영향을 미치지 못하는 것으로 나타났다. 거시경제변수 중에서 단기금리만이 어떠한 모형에서도 유의한 양(+)의 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 이는 단기금리가 상승하면 지방은행이 대출을 유의하게 증가시키고 이는 수익성의 유의한 증가를 가져오지만 건전성에는 유의한 부정적 영향을 미치는 것을 의미한다. 반면에 은행특성변수들은 대부분 지방은행의 성장성, 수익성 및 건전성에 유의한 음(-)의 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다.

• 유통과학연구
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• 제13권3호
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• pp.61-67
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• 2015

Purpose - Exports have long been regarded as significant drivers of sustainable competitive advantage and growth among small and medium enterprises (SMEs). The export activities of SMEs are particularly important in the context of export-oriented economies such as Korea. Although many studies have examined the determinants of exports, it is difficult to find empirical studies about the determinants of the export performance of regional SMEs. This study investigates the determinants of export performance in the regional SME context based on an integrated approach that combines the environment factor of industrial organization theory, competitive strategy theory, and the competences of the resource-based view. Research design, data, and methodology - To empirically analyze the determinants of export performance in the regional SMEs, data were collected from firms in the Daegu metropolitan area. Data were collected directly through questionnaire surveys; in addition, secondary financial data were also taken from the KIS-VALUE database. Out of the 175 responses that were received, 143 were considered to be worth examining. After testing the reliability and validity of the variables through multiple items such as environmental turbulence and competitive strategy, hypotheses were verified by using five multi-regression models. These models were: a control model with organizational size and age, an environmental model with technology and market turbulence, a competency model with R&D and foreign distribution channels, a strategy model with product and market differentiation, and an integrated model including all of these variables. Results - First, as a control variable, the organization size has significant positive effects on export performance. Second, technology turbulence based on industrial organization theory has significant positive effects on export performance, but market turbulence does not affect export performance. Third, the foreign market distribution competency of the resource-based view has strong positive effects on export performance, but the R&D competency does not affect export performance. Fourth, the product differentiation strategy from competitive strategy theory positively impacts export performance, but market differentiation does not affect export performance. Finally, in the integrated model, only the foreign distribution competency of the resource-based view has a significant effect on export performance. Conclusions - The empirical results of this study verified the usefulness of the rationales behind the three theories to explain the export performance of the regional SMEs, especially the importance of the foreign market distribution competency from the resource-based view. With regard to practical considerations, this study's implications suggest that the use of technological environmental changes by industries is better than the use of market changes. Further, the use of the product differentiation strategy is more effective than the use of the market-driving strategy, and the distribution channel competency plays a stronger role than the technology-oriented competency with regard to the export performance position of regional SMEs. Future studies should examine relational perspectives, such as trust among channel partners. Therefore, the configuration approach is more useful in enhancing pragmatism by comparing high- and low-export companies.