• Title/Summary/Keyword: Regional climate

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Design and Utilization of Climagraph for Analysis of Regional Suitability of Greenhouse Cropping in Korea (국내 온실재배의 적지성 분석을 위한 Climagraph의 작성과 이용)

  • Lee, Hyeon-U;Lee, Seok-Geon;Lee, Jong-Won
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 2002.10a
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    • pp.61-64
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    • 2002
  • We constructed climagraphs for 16 regions of Korea by using the average monthly minimum air temperature, maximum air temperature and global radiation. We characterized the outside climate requirements corresponding to the climate requirements of crops in greenhouses. The climagraphs allow to decide the appropriate climate periods for greenhouse cultivation without heating and cooling equipment. These graphs may be used for analyzing climatic characteristic of a given area, selecting the suitable region and greenhouse and making a rational plan for greenhouse cropping in Korea. We found difficulty in deciding the beginning and end of greenhouse heating and cooling period due to insufficient references.

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Representative Temperature Assessment for Improvement of Short-Term Load Forecasting Accuracy (단기 전력수요예측 정확도 개선을 위한 대표기온 산정방안)

  • Lim, Jong-Hun;Kim, Si-Yeon;Park, Jeong-Do;Song, Kyung-Bin
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.39-43
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    • 2013
  • The current representative temperature selection method with five cities cannot reflect the sufficient regional climate characteristics. In this paper, the new representative temperature selection method is proposed with the consideration of eight representative cities. The proposed method considered the recent trend of power sales, the climate characteristics and population distribution to improve the accuracy of short-term load forecasting. Case study results for the accuracy of short-term load forecasting are compared for the traditional temperature weights of five cities and the proposed temperature weights of eight cities. The simulation results show that the proposed method provides more accurate results than the traditional method.

Barriers to Realization of Forestry Mitigation Potential in India

  • Murthy, Indu K;Prasad KV, Devi
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.405-411
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    • 2018
  • Implementation of mitigation options on land is important for realisation of the goals of the Paris Agreement to stabilize temperature at $2^{\circ}C$. In India, the Intended Nationally Determined Contribution (INDC) targets include a forestry goal of creation of carbon sinks of 2.5 to 3 billion tonnes by 2030. There are however, multiple barriers to implementation of forestry mitigation options in India. They include environmental, social, financial, technological and institutional barriers. The barriers are varied not just across land categories but also for a land category depending on its regional location and distribution. In addition to these barriers is the impeding climate change that places at risk realisation of the mitigation potential as rising temperatures, drought, and fires associated with projected climate change may lead to forests becoming a weaker sink or a net carbon source before the end of the century.

Variability analysis of precipitation and temperature in Korean Peninsular under climate change (기후변화에 따른 한반도 강수 및 온도 변동성 분석)

  • Kwon, Hyun-Han;Kim, Min-Ji
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.363-363
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    • 2012
  • 최근 극심하게 변화하고 있는 기후에 적응하기 위해서 미래 기후를 좀 더 정확하게 예측하고자 많은 연구가 진행되어지고 있다. 결국, 기후변화에 따른 기온, 강수, 습도, 바람 등의 기후정보를 기후모형을 이용하여 얻게 되면 이에 따라 우리가 받게 되는 영향, 취약성 등을 평가하여 다양하게 활용하고자 하는 것이다. 우리나라는 지형적으로 육지의 70% 정도를 산악 지역이 차지할 만큼 복잡한 지형과 다양한 기후의 특성을 나타나고 있어 미래에 대한 기후변화 시나리오를 산출하는 기본적인 도구이면서 공간해상도가 약 400km인 전지구 기후모형(Global Climate Model; GCM)으로 그대로 활용하기에는 곤란하다. 따라서 지역기후모형(Regional Climate Model; RCM)을 통해서 추정된 A1B시나리오를 기본 기후변화 시나리오로 활용하는 것이 일반적이다. 하지만 GCM이나 RCM 기반 기후변화 시나리오는 실제 강수의 특성을 제대로 재현하지 못하는 경향이 있으며 이러한 문제점을 개선하기 위해서 통계적인 상세화 기법을 통해서 수문학적으로 활용 가능한 기후변화 시나리오를 생산하여 이용한다. 본 연구에서는 새롭게 제공되는 RCP시나리오를 이용하여 북한을 포함하는 한반도 전체에 대한 기후변화 영향을 평가하고자 한다.

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Analysis of trend and variation characteristics of UNEP and MDM climate indices: the case study of Chungcheong-do province (UNEP와 MDM 기후지수의 추세 및 변동 특성 분석: 충청도 지역을 중심으로)

  • Cho, Hyungon;Choi, Kyung-Sook
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.11
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    • pp.999-1009
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    • 2021
  • As the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events due to climate change are increasing in recent years, it is very important to evaluate and analyze climate conditions to manage and respond to the negative effects of climate change in advance. In this study, the trends and characteristics of regional climate change were analyzed by calculating the climate indices for the Chungcheong Province. Annual and monthly UNEP-MP, UNEP-PM and MDM indices were calculated using daily data from 1973-2020 collected from 10 synoptic meteorological stations operated by the Korea Meteorological Administration. The normality of climate data was analyzed through the KS test, and the climate change trend was analyzed by applying the Spearman and Pearson methods. The Chungcheongnam-do region had a relatively humid climate than the Chungcheongbuk-do region, and the annual climate indices showed a dry climate trend in Cheongju and Chungju, while the climate of Seosan and Buyeo was becoming humid. Based on the monthly trend change analysis, a humid climate trend was observed in summer and autumn, while a dry climate trend was observed in spring and winter. Comparison of climate indices during the past (2001-2010) and the recent (2011-2020) years showed a higher decrease in the average climate indices during the last 10 years and a gradually drying climate change trend was recorded.

Projection of the Future Wave Climate Changes Over the Western North Pacific (기후변화에 따른 북서태평양에서의 미래 파랑 전망)

  • Park, Jong Suk;Kang, KiRyong;Kang, Hyun-Suk;Kim, Young-Hwa
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.267-275
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    • 2013
  • This study projected the future ocean wave climate changes based on global climate change scenario using the coupled climate model HadGEM2-AO according to the emission scenarios and using regional wave model. Annual mean significant wave height (SWH) is linked closely to annual mean wind speed during the forthcoming 21st Century. Because annual mean speed decreased in the western North Pacific, annual mean SWH is projected to decrease in the future. The annual mean SWH decreases for the last 30 years of the 21st century relative to the period 1971-2000 are 2~7% for RCP4.5 and 4~11% for RCP8.5, respectively. Also, extreme SWH and wind speed are projected to decrease in the future. In terms of seasonal mean, winter extreme SWH shows similar trend with annual extreme SWH; however, that of summer shows large increasing tendency compared with current climate in the western North Pacific. Therefore, typhoon intensity in the future might be more severe in the future climate.

Climate Change over Korea and Its Relation to the Forest Fire Occurrence (기후 변화에 따른 한반도 산불 발생의 시공간적 변화 경향)

  • Sung, Mi-Kyung;Lim, Gyu-Ho;Choi, Eun-Ho;Lee, Yun-Young;Won, Myoung-Soo;Koo, Kyo-Sang
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.27-35
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    • 2010
  • This study analyzes the climate change in Korea and its impact on the occurrence of forest fire events. The forest fire occurrences in Korea tend to concentrate around large cities. In addition, the spatial distribution of the forest fire occurrence seems to agree with local climate conditions. Though the occurrence of the forest fire shows strong interannual variation, it also exhibits a positive trend. Because the forest fire frequently occurs during early spring, we examined long term climate variability in Korea for the early spring seasons. The climate change in Korea generally has brought warmer, drier, and less precipitable conditions during the early spring. The changes of the atmospheric conditions provide favorable condition for the forest fire. The climate changes in Korea also depict distinct spatial variability according to the atmospheric variables. We compared the regional trend of the fire occurrence with the climate trends. The results show the sharpest growing in the forest fire occurrence over southwest of Korea. This study suggests that the decrease in the precipitation day might affect the sharp increasement of the forest fire occurrence in the southwest of Korea.

Prediction of the Spawning Ground of Todarodes pacificus under IPCC Climate A1B Scenario (IPCC 기후변화 시나리오(A1B)에 따른 살오징어(Todarodes pacificus) 산란장의 변동 예측)

  • Kim, Jung-Jin;Min, Hong-Sik;Kim, Cheol-Ho;Yoon, Jin-Hee;Kim, Su-Am
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.253-264
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    • 2012
  • In the northwestern Pacific, spawning of the common squid, Todarodes pacificus, occurs at continental shelf and slope areas of 100-500 m, and the optimum temperature for the spawning and survival of paralarvae is assumed to be $18-23^{\circ}C$. To predict the spawning ground of Todarodes pacificus under future climate conditions, we simulated the present and future ocean circulations, using an East Asia regional ocean model (Modular Ocean Model, MOM version3), projected by two different global climate models (MPI_echam5, MIROC_hires), under an IPCC SRES A1B emission scenario. Mean climate states for 1990-1999 and 2030-2039 from 20th and 21th Century Climate Change model simulation (from the IPCC 4th Assessment Report) were used as surface conditions for simulations, and we examined changes in spawning ground between the 1990s and 2030s. The results revealed that the distribution of spawning ground in the 2030s in both climate models shifted northward in the East China Sea and East Sea, for both autumn and winter populations, compared to that of the 1990s. Also, the spawning area (with $1/6^{\circ}{\times}1/6^{\circ}$ grid) in the 2030s of the autumn and winter populations will decline by 11.6% (MPI_echam5) to 30.8% (MIROC_hires) and 3.0% (MPI_echam5) to 18.2% (MIROC_hires), respectively, from those of the 1990s.

Assessing the Climate Change Impacts on Agricultural Reservoirs using the SWAT model and CMIP5 GCMs (SWAT모형과 CMIP5 자료를 이용한 기후변화에 따른 농업용 저수지 기후변화 영향 평가)

  • Cho, Jaepil;Hwang, Syewoon;Go, Gwangdon;Kim, Kwang-Young;Kim, Jeongdae
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.57 no.5
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2015
  • The study aimed to project inflows and demmands for the agricultural reservoir watersheds in South Korea considering a variety of regional characteristics and the uncertainty of future climate information. The study bias-corrected and spatially downscaled retrospective daily Global Climate Model (GCM) outputs under Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5 emission scenarios using non-parametric quantile mapping method to force Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model. Using the historical simulation, the skills of un-calibrated SWAT model (without calibration process) was evaluated for 5 reservoir watersheds (selected as well-monitored representatives). The study then, evaluated the performance of 9 GCMs in reproducing historical upstream inflow and irrigation demand at the five representative reservoirs. Finally future inflows and demands for 58 watersheds were projected using 9 GCMs projections under the two RCP scenarios. We demonstrated that (1) un-calibrated SWAT model is likely applicable to agricultural watershed, (2) the uncertainty of future climate information from different GCMs is significant, (3) multi-model ensemble (MME) shows comparatively resonable skills in reproducing water balances over the study area. The results of projection under the RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenario generally showed the increase of inflow by 9.4% and 10.8% and demand by 1.4% and 1.7%, respectively. More importantly, the results for different seasons and reservoirs varied considerably in the impacts of climate change.