• Title/Summary/Keyword: Regional Exports

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Identifying Economic Determinants of Regional Exports in Korea (우리나라 지역수출의 결정요인 분석)

  • Kim, Sung-Hun;Choi, Myoung-Sub;Kim, Eui-June
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.142-158
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this paper is to identify determinants of regional export in Korea using the interregional input-output table and SUR(Seemingly Unrelated Regression) model. Regional exports are classified into four groups; intraindustry intraregional export, interindustry intraregional export, intraindustry interregional export and interindustry interregional export. Labor productivity, scale economies, market size, and international trade volumes have positively influenced regional exports while the interregional distances having a negative effect on them. These results imply that it is necessary to operate regional strategies to enhance productivities and market size and to reduce transportation and distribution costs for revitalize a regional economy by increasing regional exports.

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Do Roads Enhance Regional Trade? Evidence Based on China's Provincial Data

  • RAHMAN, Imran Ur;SHARMA, Buddhi Prasad;FETUU, Enitilina;YOUSAF, Muhammad
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.12
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    • pp.657-664
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    • 2020
  • We investigate the impact of roads and highways within the provinces on the regional trade of China using the augmented Gravity Model and theory of modeling trade. We take a panel data covering 31 provinces of China over 20 years period (1998-2017) for the estimations. We apply ARMA-OLS model, fixed and random effects, and robust findings by Hausman test. The results imply that road and highway lengths within the provinces have a significantly positive impact on the value of the province-wise exports. The positive impact is due to the fact the increased coverage of roads and highways increase accessibility to resources and mobility of goods and services within the regions. Moreover, employment in the transportation sector, per capita GDP and population of the provinces also illustrate positive and significant influence on regional exports and trade. The impact of China's WTO accession on regional exports has been positive, while the financial crisis has had a negative impact. The year dummies show that, in the years following the financial crisis, China was able to regress from the external shock as trade within the provinces increased. The increase in exports after financial crisis is mainly due to the government policies and support to every province.

Re-Evaluation of Free Trade Agreement: Changes in Global Value Chain and Regional Value Contents

  • Lim, Byeong-Ho;Ji, Seong-Tae;Yoo, Jeong-Ho
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.65-83
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    • 2022
  • Purpose - The purpose of this study is to evaluate the economic effects of FTAs using the concept of value-added exports. So far, the economic effects of FTAs have been dependent on decrease in import prices due to tariff cuts in importing countries, but the actual tariff reduction need to consider the value added of the exporting countries. Design/methodology - Value-added export refers to the added value created in the exporting country out of total exports. Among value-added exports, direct value-added export is interpreted as the Regional Value Contents (RVC), from which the economic effect of the FTA can be analyzed. A modified GTAP-VA model takes into account RVC in order to estimate accurate effects of FTAs. Findings - By the re-evaluation of the FTA based on the RVC, this paper makes it clear that the economic effects of the existing FTA methodology have the possibility of overestimation. In addition, as a new FTA with a strengthened Rules of Origin (ROO) is being initiated, a negative impact on international trade and GVC utilization may occur. Originality/value - This study introduces the concept of value-added export in analyzing the effects of FTAs. The new analysis methodology of this paper emphasizes the importance of value-added exports. Re-organization of GVCs would change regional trade agreements and empower ROO by weakening existing GVCs and transforming the value chain from global into regional scope.

The analysis for an effect influence between a China's regional firm's export and economic growth - Focused on China economy after the direction of Chinese reform - (중국의 지역별 수출과 경제성장 간의 영향관계 분석 -개혁개방 이후의 중국경제를 중심으로-)

  • Song, Jun;Kim, Soo-Eun;Hwang, Yun-Seop
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.239-265
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    • 2010
  • After reform and openness action, china has been recorded high rate of increasing in export and continuous economic growth. Also their role in the international economy has been rise. The major reason of these incredible growth of China is the openness by a trade, after all the economic growth of China is evaluated an export-led growth. But, some insist that the growth of China has been accomplished by a domestic-based economy not but an export-led economy. For verification of former insists, using a yearly data, China exports and GDP, from 1979 to 2007 and performs time-series to examine an existence of causality between China's regional exports and GDP. As result of analysis, GDP and exports have two-way causality significantly when not considering region case. After the direction of Chinese reform, the east region has a strong significant relation, which support that export-led growth. While, middle and west region has weak causality between exports and GDP.

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Exports to the US and Imports from China during the US-China Tariff War: Evidence from Regional Trade Data in Vietnam

  • KAZUNOBU HAYAKAWA
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.46 no.3
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    • pp.49-66
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    • 2024
  • This study empirically investigates how the exports of downstream products to the US change the imports of their upstream products from China during the US-China tariff war. To accomplish this, we use province-level trade data in Vietnam, known to be a country that increased its exports to the US market in place of China, i.e., known to enjoy a trade diversion in the US market. The use of regional trade data enables us to capture the input-output linkages more precisely. Specifically, focusing on the trade in general and electrical machinery industries from January of 2019 to December of 2023, we regress imports of upstream products from China on exports of their downstream products to the US, finding that the rise of exports of downstream products to the US significantly increases imports of their upstream products from China. On the other hand, the rise in these products does not significantly increase the imports of upstream products from Japan, Korea, and Taiwan. Furthermore, the input-output linkage between exports to the US and imports from China was found to be greater in provinces with better business environments in terms of entry costs, transparency in public services, and public support to businesses.

The Environmental and Economic Impact of Trade between South Korea and the United States

  • Tae-Jin Kim;Nikolas Tromp
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.37-67
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    • 2024
  • This paper analyses carbon emissions and value-added embodied in trade between two large developed countries, South Korea and the United States, during 2000-2014. Using multi-regional input-output (MRIO) tables, our analysis reveals that carbon emissions and value-added embodied in exports grew by 19% and 101% for South Korea but shrank by 43% and 7% for the United States. As a result, South Korea experienced a 40% increase in net carbon exports and 243% increase in net value-added exports. At the industry level, the primary drivers of changes in carbon exports were electricity and basic materials. The majority of industries in witnessed improvements in carbon intensities suggesting improved environmental efficiency. While both countries achieved a decoupling of carbon emissions from value-added exports, substantial year-to-year and sectoral variations were observed. Finally, structural decomposition analysis indicates that domestic supply-side factors played a role in decreasing emissions whereas foreign demand-side factors contributed to emissions increases. In line with the main findings, various implications for policy and future research are discussed.

Causal Relationship between Exports and Economic Growth in China (1952~2004) (중국의 지역별 수출과 경제성장의 인과관계 분석(1952-2004))

  • Choi, Sung-il
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.449-465
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    • 2008
  • This paper aims to analyze the causal relationship between exports and regional economic growth based on the provincial data over the period from 1952 to 2004. To reflect the regional and chronical characteristics, this paper divides China into three regions; Eastern, Central and Western regions, and also the whole period into two sub-periods; before and after 1979 when the Open-door policy(ODP) was initiated and applies Granger causality analysis. The Granger causality tests showed that exports Granger cause economic growth in the Eastern region, but not in the Central and Western regions, as a whole. When the period is divided, in the Eastern region, causal relation between the two variables was not found before the Open-door policy. For the second period, however it turns out that exports cause the region's economic growth. This result is consent with the fact that the region has been a main beneficiary of the policy. For the Central region, the tests showed no causality in the pre-ODP period, but significant bidirectional causality in the post-ODP period. Meanwhile, in the Western region, exports turned out causing economic growth significantly before the ODP, while economic growth appeared to causing trade after the ODP.

Korea's Employment Embodied in Exports: a Multi-Regional Input-Output and Structural Decomposition Analysis (우리나라 수출의 고용파급효과에 관한 연구: 다지역산업연관 및 구조적 요인분해 분석을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Tae-jin
    • Economic Analysis
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.65-97
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this paper is to analyze the effects of exports on Korea's employment and to decompose driving factors of change in Korea's employment embodied in exports (EEX). This study uses a multi-regional input-output (MRIO) and structural decomposition analysis (SDA) for empirical analysis, and uses a dataset of World Input-Output Tables (WIOTs) and Socio-Economic Accounts (SEAs) from the World Input-Output Database (WIOD). The main findings of the empirical results are summarized as follows. First, Korea's EEX continues to increase and Korea's share of EEX compared to total employment shows an upward trend. However, Korea's employment inducement coefficient of value-added exports showed a downward trend during the 2000-2014 period. Second, final demand from three countries (China, the United States, and the Rest of the World (RoW)) has affected a significant portion of Korea's EEX. Finally, from the results of the SDA, the effect of changes in final demand was the most important driving factor for the increase in Korea's EEX. Based on the results of this empirical analysis, this study discusses useful policy implications that could increase domestic employment in Korea.

The Carbon Content and Chain Embodied in Exports of Korea with Major Trading Partners : The Multi-Regional Input-Output Analysis (한국의 수출에 함유된 국내외 탄소배출 비중과 탄소사슬(carbon chain): 주요 교역상대국들을 중심으로 한 다지역 산업연관분석)

  • Shin, Dong Cheon;Lee, Hyeok;Kim, Yong Kyun
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.141-164
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    • 2015
  • The concept of consumption-based greenhouse gas (GHG) inventory is directly related with the carbon content of international trade. Along the lines of the consumption-based GHG inventory, we investigate domestic and foreign carbon contents embodied in sectoral exports of Korea. In addition to the analysis of carbon content of exports, it is investigated how much share of responsibility for carbon emissions of Korea belongs to each major trading partner of Korea. We also compute the carbon intensities of Korean exports in carbon chain with other trading partners and find some characteristics revealed in Korea's carbon emissions embodied in its exports.

Effect of Globalization on Coffee Exports in Producing Countries: A Dynamic Panel Data Analysis

  • NUGROHO, Agus Dwi;LAKNER, Zoltan
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.419-429
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    • 2022
  • The aim of this research is to examine how globalization affects coffee exports in the producing countries. This research used secondary data obtained from the International Coffee Organization, Pen World Table, World Bank, Food and Agricultural Organization, and KoF Globalization Index to achieve its goals. We used secondary data from 1990 to 2018 from various foreign databases. The research used a two-step system GMM (sys-GMM) to analyze the effect of globalization on coffee export in twenty-four producing countries. We found that export lag, gross domestic product (GDP), exchange rate, and the political globalization index (PGI) positively and significantly impact coffee exports. Meanwhile, coffee exports were unaffected by the level of export prices and the human capital index. Surprisingly, the trade globalization index has a negative impact on coffee exports. This demonstrates the unpreparedness of coffee-producing countries to face tough competition in trade globalization. The political globalization index, the final variable, has a positive impact on exports. With the opening up of world politics, it seems that the environment of democracy in producing countries is increasing. As a result, governments in these countries have adopted a policy of aggressively supporting coffee exports.