• Title/Summary/Keyword: Real estate market

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Testing for the Statistical Interrelationship between the Real Estate and the Stock Markets (부동산시장과 주식시장의 통계적 연관성 검정)

  • Kim, Tae-Ho
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.497-508
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    • 2008
  • As important markets have been closely connected in the opening and globalizing process, the instability in one market is increasingly possible to spread in other markets, which necessarily leads to careful investigations. In analyzing the short and the long run dynamics between the stock and the real estate markets, which are the two major investment options, this study conducts the statistical tests for the interrelationships between the two markets and the possibility of their substitution effect. In addition, the estimation results appear to be consistent with the simple causal relationship among the markets in the high interest rate period and the relatively complex relationship in the low interest rate period.

Bayesian quantile regression analysis of Korean Jeonse deposit

  • Nam, Eun Jung;Lee, Eun Kyung;Oh, Man-Suk
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.489-499
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    • 2018
  • Jeonse is a unique property rental system in Korea in which a tenant pays a part of the price of a leased property as a fixed amount security deposit and gets back the entire deposit when the tenant moves out at the end of the tenancy. Jeonse deposit is very important in the Korean real estate market since it is directly related to the residential property sales price and it is a key indicator to predict future real estate market trend. Jeonse deposit data shows a skewed and heteroscedastic distribution and the commonly used mean regression model may be inappropriate for the analysis of Jeonse deposit data. In this paper, we apply a Bayesian quantile regression model to analyze Jeonse deposit data, which is non-parametric and does not require any distributional assumptions. Analysis results show that the quantile regression coefficients of most explanatory variables change dramatically for different quantiles. The regression coefficients of some variables have different signs for different quantiles, implying that even the same variable may affect the Jeonse deposit in the opposite direction depending on the amount of deposit.

Loss Aversion of the Condominium Market in Seoul

  • Miae KO;Jaetae KIM
    • The Journal of Economics, Marketing and Management
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: This study conducted an empirical study to estimate the loss aversion rate of individual investors in the Seoul condominium market. Research design, data and methodology: A survey was conducted with Seoul residents ranging from 30's to 60's with various backgrounds. Descriptive statistical analysis and a paired sample t-test were conducted using SPSS 27.0 statistical package. Results: The results of the t-test showed that Seoul residents are indeed more sensitive to loss than gains, as pointed out in various researches related to behavioral economics. Also, the loss aversion rate associated with KRW 50 million risk was found to be 2.14. Finally, the same question was asked with KRW 100 million risk, doubled associated risk of previous question, using the same scenario, and it's been verified that the loss aversion rate increases as the associated risk or stake increases. The loss aversion rate with double risk is 2.26 which is about 5% higher than the one with KRW 50 million risk. Conclusions: This study can help many groups of people in society who need to establish rewards and punishment policies within any organization. In particular, incorporating human cognitive biases, such as loss aversion can help the South Korean government shape more effective reward and punishment policies when building rewards and punishments using taxes.

A Study on the Index Estimation of Missing Real Estate Transaction Cases Using Machine Learning (머신러닝을 활용한 결측 부동산 매매 지수의 추정에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Kyung-Min;Kim, Kyuseok;Nam, Daisik
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.171-181
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    • 2022
  • The real estate price index plays key roles as quantitative data in real estate market analysis. International organizations including OECD publish the real estate price indexes by country, and the Korea Real Estate Board announces metropolitan-level and municipal-level indexes. However, when the index is set on the smaller spatial unit level than metropolitan and municipal-level, problems occur: missing values. As the spatial scope is narrowed down, there are cases where there are few or no transactions depending on the unit period, which lead index calculation difficult or even impossible. This study suggests a supervised learning-based machine learning model to compensate for missing values that may occur due to no transaction in a specific range and period. The models proposed in our research verify the accuracy of predicting the existing values and missing values.

A Study of Real Estate Marketing Using SNS (SNS를 활용한 부동산 마케팅에 관한 연구)

  • Jung, Me-Ae;Kim, Jin;Kim, Haeng-Jo
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.8 no.10
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    • pp.1581-1587
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    • 2013
  • So in terms of the changing of marketing strategies, it is widely required to resort to SNS or other newly invented marketing methods capable of make up for the lack of communication with clients or the duplicity of information which could be found in the existing internet-based marketing method. Like any other businesses, real estate market has to respond to the change of conditions with marketing-oriented management.

HOUSING PRICE MODEL USING GIS IN SEOUL (APPLICATIONS OF STRUCTURAL EQUATION MODELING)

  • Kyong-Hoon Kim;Jae-Jun Kim;Bong-Sik Kim
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2007.03a
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    • pp.366-375
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    • 2007
  • Our nation has a problem with discrimination of income distribution and inefficient of resources distribution caused by real estate price rising from a sudden economy growth and industrialization. Specially, in recent years, there is a great disparity of condominium price between the north and south of the Han river. Because the housing price is deciede by the immanent value of a house and neighborhood effects of the regional where the house is situated, the housing price is occurred difference. In this study, I analyzed the differences of housing price determinants about condominium developments in the old and new residential areas, and found the important factors that affect the condominium price using Structural Equation Modeling(SEM) The purpose of study is to analyze the influence of various factors of housing price. Also, this study tried to predict real estate market and to establish previous effective real estate policy.

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Land Prices, Exchange Rates and Bubbles (지가(地價), 환율(換率)과 거품)

  • Park, Won-am
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.27-49
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    • 1992
  • This paper stresses the role of market fundamentals rather than bubbles in explaining Korea's recent experience of large fluctuations of stock and real estate prices. The bubble story that emphasizes the self-fulfilling prophecies of investors seems to be inappropriate to explain the recent changes of assets prices in Korea. Those who argue for bubble phenomenon in Korea tend to interpret the volatile movements of assets prices as some form of bubbles, but without implementing a rigorous test on the presence of bubbles. Even when some bubble tests are carried out, such studies exhibit various econometric problems in testing. More seriously, they suffer from the misspecification problems in setting up a market model. This paper has shown that Korea's recent changes in assets prices could be explained by changes in market fundamentals according to the emergence and the subsequent fading of 'three lows'. First, it tried to explain changes in assets prices by changes in such market fundamentals as real interest rates and economic growth. Second, it showed that the real estate prices overshoot when the liquidity and exchange rates change, using the two-sector general equilibrium portfolio balance model. It is argued that the rapid rise in real estate prices during 1986-89 stems from Yen's and Won's appreciation $vis-{\grave{a}}-vis$ the U.S. dollar and liquidity expansion (or decreases in real interest rates), while the downturn in real estate prices since 1990 is associated with Yen's and Won's depreciation $vis-{\grave{a}}-vis$ the U.S. dollar and rises in real interest rates in reflection of the excess demand for liquidity.

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Related Loan on Real Estate Firm Performance in an Emerging Market

  • PURWANTO, Purwanto
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.10
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    • pp.697-706
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    • 2020
  • This study investigates the relationship between related loan, ownership concentration and real estate firm performance. The data was collected from 35 real estate firms listed on Indonesia Stock Exchange from 2007 to 2012. Related loans are viewed from the angle of related lending and loan. Related lending and loan is measured by the related lending on total lending ratio and related loan on total loan ratio. Firm performance is measured by the asset turnover ratio and return on assets ratio. Ownership concentration is measured by the right cash flow. The data analysis was done with regression analysis and panel data. The results of the study found that related loans had a positive effect on sales but had no effect on profits. This supports the efficient transaction hypothesis. On the other hand, related lending has a positive effect on profits that supports opportunistic transactions. Ownership concentration moderates the effect of related loan on company's performance. The related lending are beneficial for mutually supporting activities in the real estate sector business group in Indonesia, but related loans have the potential to be used in tunneling activities. The paper contributes to the related party transaction in benefits-risks of related lending and related loan in uncertainty context.

Blockchain Property Registry and Smart Contract (블록체인 부동산 등기와 스마트계약)

  • Han, Zonghie
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.286-293
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    • 2021
  • Smart contract based on the blockchain technology can be applied to the real estate registry including transactions. The Ethereum coin using multi layered protocol is widely accepted as the token for the smart contract. Block chain smart contract using SOLIDITY or PYTHON can mediate transactions auch as sale or lease, creating various scenarios in the property market. Those smart contract can construct the basis for the blockchain real estate registry, which is expected to overcome conventional transaction costs concerning the national law system, the asymmetric information and the currency exchange. The advantages of blockchain technology, namely security, decentralization, global transparency and openness can be applied to the smart contract system on the property registry. Several countries have advanced such blockchain real estate registry project recently, but no actual implementation has been reported for years, owing to institutional and technological impasses.

The Impact of Chinese Land Supply Policies on the Real Estate Market (중국의 토지 공급 정책이 부동산 시장에 미치는 영향)

  • Yi-bo Liu;Yeon-jae Lee;Seung-woo Shin
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.225-237
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    • 2024
  • Purpose - This study aims to explore the relationship between housing and land prices, with a specific emphasis on the impact of government policies on these factors such as land supply quantity and the ratio of residential land to total land supplied. The goal is to identify the most effective government intervention strategies for controlling both housing and land prices. Design/methodology/approach - Data from 70 primary and medium-sized cities in China spanning from 2003 to 2017 are utilized in this research. The analysis employs a panel vector autoregressive (PVAR) model, with a primary focus on examining the relationships among housing prices, land prices, and government intervention policies. Findings - Housing and land prices are influenced by various factors. Through impulse response analysis and variance decomposition, it is observed that both housing and land prices are predominantly influenced by their internal dynamics, with comparatively weaker effects attributed to policy interventions. Research implications or Originality - By investigating the impact of government policies on housing and land prices, This study establishes a foundation for effective price control measures. Our study advocates for a comprehensive examination of China's land supply mechanism to enhance understanding of the pathways through which government policies influence the markets.