• Title/Summary/Keyword: Real Time Environmental Prediction

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Forecasting of Daily Inflows Based on Regressive Neural Networks

  • Shin, Hyun-Suk;Kim, Tae-Woong;Kim, Joong-Hoon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2001.05a
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    • pp.45-51
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    • 2001
  • The daily inflow is apparently one of nonlinear and complicated phenomena. The nonlinear and complexity make it difficult to model the prediction of daily flow, but attractive to try the neural networks approach which contains inherently nonlinear schemes. The study focuses on developing the forecasting models of daily inflows to a large dam site using neural networks. In order to reduce the error caused by high or low outliers, the back propagation algorithm which is one of neural network structures is modified by combining a regression algorithm. The study indicates that continuous forecasting of a reservoir inflow in real time is possible through the use of modified neural network models. The positive effect of the modification using tole regression scheme in BP algorithm is showed in the low and high ends of inflows.

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Trends and Future Prospects of AI Technologies for Building Energy Management (건물 에너지 관리를 위한 인공지능 기술 동향과 미래 전망)

  • J. Jeong;W.K. Park
    • Electronics and Telecommunications Trends
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    • v.39 no.4
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    • pp.32-41
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    • 2024
  • Building energy management plays a crucial role in improving energy efficiency and optimizing energy usage. To achieve this, it is important to monitor and analyze energy-related data from buildings in real time using sensors to understand energy consumption patterns and establish optimal operational strategies. Because of the uncertainties in building energy-related data, there are challenges in analyzing these data and formulating operational strategies based on them. Artificial intelligence (AI) technology can help overcome these challenges. This paper investigates past and current research trends in AI technology and examines its future prospects for building energy management. By performing prediction and analysis based on energy consumption or supply data, the future energy demands of buildings can be forecasted and energy consumption can be optimized. Additionally, data related to the surrounding environment, occupancy, and other building energy-related factors can be collected and analyzed using sensors to establish operational strategies aimed at further reducing energy consumption and increasing efficiency. These technologies will contribute to cost savings and help minimize environmental impacts for building owners and operators, ultimately facilitating sustainable building operations.

Algorithm of Predicting Swell-like Significant Waves in the East Coast of Korea (동해안 너울성 고파 예측 알고리즘)

  • Ahn, Suk Jin;Lee, Byeong Wook;Kwon, Seok Jae;Lee, Changhoon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.2329-2341
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    • 2013
  • In this study, we develop an algorithm to predict swell-like significant waves in the east coast of Korea using the directional wave gauge which is installed near Sokcho. Using the numerical wave model SWAN, we estimate wave data in open sea from the wave data observed through the directional wave gauge. Then, using the wave ray method with the open-sea wave data as offshore boundary conditions, we predict the swell-like significant waves at several points in the east coast of Korea. We verify the prediction methods with the SWAN and wave ray methods by comparing numerically predicted data against either target or measured data at the observation site. We can improve the prediction of the swell-like significant waves in the east sea of Korea using both the real-time wave measurement system and the present prediction algorithm.

Improvement of Atmospheric Dispersion Model Performance by Pretreatment of Dispersion Coefficients (분산계수의 전처리에 의한 대기분산모델 성능의 개선)

  • Park, Ok-Hyun;Kim, Gyung-Soo
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.449-456
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    • 2007
  • Dispersion coefficient preprocessing schemes have been examined to improve plume dispersion model performance in complex coastal areas. The performances of various schemes for constructing the sigma correction order were evaluated through estimations of statistical measures, such as bias, gross error, R, FB, NMSE, within FAC2, MG, VG, IOA, UAPC and MRE. This was undertaken for the results of dispersion modeling, which applied each scheme. Environmental factors such as sampling time, surface roughness, plume rising, plume height and terrain rolling were considered in this study. Gaussian plume dispersion model was used to calculate 1 hr $SO_2$ concentration 4 km downwind from a power plant in Boryeung coastal area. Here, measured data for January to December of 2002 were obtained so that modelling results could be compared. To compare the performances between various schemes, integrated scores of statistical measures were obtained by giving weights for each measure and then summing each score. This was done because each statistical measure has its own function and criteria; as a result, no measure can be taken as a sole index indicative of the performance level for each modeling scheme. The best preprocessing scheme was discerned using the step-wise method. The most significant factor influencing the magnitude of real dispersion coefficients appeared to be sampling time. A second significant factor appeared to be surface roughness, with the rolling terrain being the least significant for elevated sources in a gently rolling terrain. The best sequence of correcting the sigma from P-G scheme was found to be the combination of (1) sampling time, (2) surface roughness, (3) plume rising, (4) plume height, and (5) terrain rolling.

Simulations of Temporal and Spatial Distributions of Rainfall-Induced Turbidity Flow in a Reservoir Using CE-QUAL-W2 (CE-QUAL-W2 모형을 이용한 저수지 탁수의 시공간분포 모의)

  • Chung, Se-Woong;Oh, Jung-Kuk;Ko, Ick-Hwan
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.38 no.8 s.157
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    • pp.655-664
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    • 2005
  • A real-time monitoring and modeling system (RTMMS) for rainfall-induced turbidity flow, which is one of the major obstacles for sustainable use of reservoir water resources, is under development. As a prediction model for the RTMMS, a laterally integrated two-dimensional hydrodynamic and water quality model, CE-QUAL-W2 was tested by simulating the temperature stratification, density flow regimes, and temporal and spatial distributions of turbidity in a reservoir. The inflow water temperature and turbidity measured every hour during the flood season of 2004 were used as the boundary conditions. The monitoring data showed that inflow water temperature drop by 5 to $10^{\circ}C$ during rainfall events in summer, and consequently resulted in the development of density flow regimes such as plunge flow and interflow in the reservoir. The model showed relatively satisfactory performance in replicating the water temperature profiles and turbidity distributions, although considerable discrepancies were partially detected between observed and simulated results. The model was either very efficient in computation as the CPU run time to simulate the whole flood season took only 4 minutes with a Pentium 4(CPU 2.0GHz) desktop computer, which is essentially requited for real-time modeling of turbidity plume.

Study on the Modelling of Algal Dynamics in Lake Paldang Using Artificial Neural Networks (인공신경망을 이용한 팔당호의 조류발생 모델 연구)

  • Park, Hae-Kyung;Kim, Eun-Kyoung
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.19-28
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    • 2013
  • Artificial neural networks were used for time series modelling of algal dynamics of whole year and by season at the Paldang dam station (confluence area). The modelling was based on comprehensive weekly water quality data from 1997 to 2004 at the Paldang dam station. The results of validation of seasonal models showed that the timing and magnitude of the observed chlorophyll a concentration was predicted better, compared with the ANN model for whole year. Internal weightings of the inputs in trained neural networks were obtained by sensitivity analysis for identification of the primary driving mechanisms in the system dynamics. pH, COD, TP determined most the dynamics of chlorophyll a, although these inputs were not the real driving variable for algal growth. Short-term prediction models that perform one or two weeks ahead predictions of chlorophyll a concentration were designed for the application of Harmful Algal Alert System in Lake Paldang. Short-term-ahead ANN models showed the possibilities of application of Harmful Algal Alert System after increasing ANN model's performance.

EXPERIMENTAL STUDY ON THE CHARACTERISTICS OF RIVERBED MATERIALS USING AN ULTRASONIC SENSOR

  • Yeo, Woon-Kwang;Jang, Bok-Jin;Lee, Jong-Kook;Kim, Young-Bin
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.21-28
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    • 2006
  • The scouring process is complex and subject to many factors. Recently, experiments for real-time bridge scour monitoring have been active as means for a more reliable scour prediction. Riverbed materials are an important factor in bridge scouring; therefore, an accurate estimation of riverbed material is critical in predicting a scour. As a part of this approach, an ultrasonic sensor, which can not only detect river bottom during floods but can also be installed lose to the underwater structures, was developed. This sensor is able to map the river bottom using an ultrasonic waves with the characteristics of the returning wave, reflected from an object or bottom ground. The reflected wave is unique according to the situations, or materials below. Therefore, it would be possible to identify the consisting materials of a riverbed if we could reveal each characteristic in the received signals. In this study, a preliminary experiment was performed in the laboratory to identify and classify received signals, which is unique to each material. The analysis of this experiment gives the graph, which makes it possible to identify materials of the river bottom through the ultrasonic signals. The proposed graph was verified through a comparison with the actual field data measured in river.

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Development of Electronic Mapping System for N-fertilizer Dosage Using Real-time Soil Organic Matter Sensor (실시간 토양 유기물 센서와 DGPS를 이용한 질소 시비량 지도 작성 시스템 개발)

  • 조성인;최상현;김유용
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.259-266
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    • 2002
  • It is crucial to know spatial soil variability for precision farming. However, it is time-consuming, and difficult to measure spatial soil properties. Therefore, there are needs fur sensing technology to estimate spatial soil variability, and for electronic mapping technology to store, manipulate and process the sampled data. This research was conducted to develop a real-time soil organic matter sensor and an electronic mapping system. A soil organic matter sensor was developed with a spectrophotometer in the 900∼1,700 nm range. It was designed in a penetrator type to measure reflectance of soil at 15cm depth. The signal was calibrated with organic matter content (OMC) of the soil which was sampled in the field. The OMC was measured by the Walkeley-Black method. The soil OMCs were ranged from 0.07 to 7.96%. Statistical partial least square and principle component regression analyses were used as calibration methods. Coefficient of determination, standard error prediction and bias were 0.85 0.72 and -0.13, respectively. The electronic mapping system was consisted of the soil OMC sensor, a DGPS, a database and a makeshift vehicle. An algorithm was developed to acquire data on sampling position and its OMC and to store the data in the database. Fifty samples in fields were taken to make an N-fertilizer dosage map. Mean absolute error of these data was 0.59. The Kring method was used to interpolate data between sampling nodes. The interpolated data was used to make a soil OMC map. Also an N-fertilizer dosage map was drawn using the soil OMC map. The N-fertilizer dosage was determined by the fertilizing equation recommended by National Institute of Agricultural Science and Technology in Korea. Use of the N-fertilizer dosage map would increase precision fertilization up to 91% compared with conventional fertilization. Therefore, the developed electronic mapping system was feasible to not only precision determination of N-fertilizer dosage, but also reduction of environmental pollution.

Assessment of Global Air Quality Reanalysis and Its Impact as Chemical Boundary Conditions for a Local PM Modeling System (전지구 대기질 재분석 자료의 평가와 국지규모 미세먼지 예보모델에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Kangyeol;Lee, Soon-Hwan;Kim, EunJi
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.25 no.7
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    • pp.1029-1042
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    • 2016
  • The initial and boundary conditions are important factors in regional chemical transport modeling systems. The method of generating the chemical boundary conditions for regional air quality models tends to be different from the dynamically varying boundary conditions in global chemical transport models. In this study, the impact of real time Copernicus atmosphere monitoring service (CAMS) re-analysis data from the modeling atmospheric composition and climate project interim implementation (MACC) on the regional air quality in the Korean Peninsula was carried out using the community multi-scale air quality modeling system (CMAQ). A comparison between conventional global data and CAMS for numerical assessments was also conducted. Although the horizontal resolution of the CAMS re-analysis data is not higher than the conventionally provided data, the simulated particulate matter (PM) concentrations with boundary conditions for CAMS re-analysis is more reasonable than any other data, and the estimation accuracy over the entire Korean peninsula, including the Seoul and Daegu metropolitan areas, was improved. Although an inland area such as the Daegu metropolitan area often has large uncertainty in PM prediction, the level of improvement in the prediction for the Daegu metropolitan area is higher than in the coastal area of the western part of the Korean peninsula.

A Study on Predictability of Snowfall Amount due to Fine Difference of Spatial Distribution of Remote Sensing based Sea Surface Temperature (원격 탐사 기반 해양 표면 온도의 미세 분포 차이에 따른 강설량 예측성 연구)

  • Lee, Soon-Hwan;Yoo, Jung-Woo
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.23 no.8
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    • pp.1481-1493
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    • 2014
  • In order to understand the relation between the distribution of sea surface temperature and heavy snowfall over western coast of the Korean peninsula, several numerical assessments were carried out. Numerical model used in this study is WRF, and sea surface temperature data were FNL(National Center for Environment Prediction-Final operational global analysis), RTG(Real Time Global analysis), and OSTIA(Operational Sea Surface Temperature and Sea Ice Analysis). There were produced on the basis of remote sensing data, such as a variety of satellite and in situ observation. The analysis focused on the heavy snowfall over Honam districts for 2 days from 29 December 2010. In comparison with RTG and OSTIA SST data, sensible and latent heat fluexes estimated by numerical simulation with FNL data were higher than those with RTG and OSTIA SST data, due to higher sea surface temperature of FNL. General distribution of RTG and OSTIA SST showed similar, however, fine spatial differences appear in near western coast of the peninsula. Estimated snow fall amount with OSTIA SST was occurred far from the western coast because of higher SST over sea far from coast than that near coast. On the other hand, snowfall amount near coast is larger than that over distance sea in simulation with RTG SST. The difference of snowfall amount between numerical assessment with RTG and OSTIA is induced from the fine difference of SST spatial distributions over the Yellow sea. So, the prediction accuracy of snowfall amount is strongly associated with the SST distribution not only over near coast but also over far from the western coast of the Korean peninsula.