• Title/Summary/Keyword: Rating Prediction

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Automated condition assessment of concrete bridges with digital imaging

  • Adhikari, Ram S.;Bagchi, Ashutosh;Moselhi, Osama
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.13 no.6
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    • pp.901-925
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    • 2014
  • The reliability of a Bridge management System depends on the quality of visual inspection and the reliable estimation of bridge condition rating. However, the current practices of visual inspection have been identified with several limitations, such as: they are time-consuming, provide incomplete information, and their reliance on inspectors' experience. To overcome such limitations, this paper presents an approach of automating the prediction of condition rating for bridges based on digital image analysis. The proposed methodology encompasses image acquisition, development of 3D visualization model, image processing, and condition rating model. Under this method, scaling defect in concrete bridge components is considered as a candidate defect and the guidelines in the Ontario Structure Inspection Manual (OSIM) have been adopted for developing and testing the proposed method. The automated algorithms for scaling depth prediction and mapping of condition ratings are based on training of back propagation neural networks. The result of developed models showed better prediction capability of condition rating over the existing methods such as, Naïve Bayes Classifiers and Bagged Decision Tree.

Dynamic Thermal Rating of Overhead Transmission Lines Based on GRAPES Numerical Weather Forecast

  • Yan, Hongbo;Wang, Yanling;Zhou, Xiaofeng;Liang, Likai;Yin, Zhijun;Wang, Wei
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.724-736
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    • 2019
  • Dynamic thermal rating technology can effectively improve the thermal load capacity of transmission lines. However, its availability is limited by the quantity and high cost of the hardware facilities. This paper proposes a new dynamic thermal rating technology based on global/regional assimilation and prediction system (GRAPES) and geographic information system (GIS). The paper will also explore the method of obtaining any point meteorological data along the transmission line by using GRAPES and GIS, and provide the strategy of extracting and decoding meteorological data. In this paper, the accuracy of numerical weather prediction was verified from the perspective of time and space. Also, the 750-kV transmission line in Shaanxi Province is considered as an example to analyze. The results of the study indicate that dynamic thermal rating based on GRAPES and GIS can fully excavate the line power potential without additional cost on hardware, which saves a lot of investment.

Corporate credit rating prediction using support vector machines

  • Lee, Yong-Chan
    • Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
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    • 2005.11a
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    • pp.571-578
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    • 2005
  • Corporate credit rating analysis has drawn a lot of research interests in previous studies, and recent studies have shown that machine learning techniques achieved better performance than traditional statistical ones. This paper applies support vector machines (SVMs) to the corporate credit rating problem in an attempt to suggest a new model with better explanatory power and stability. To serve this purpose, the researcher uses a grid-search technique using 5-fold cross-validation to find out the optimal parameter values of kernel function of SVM. In addition, to evaluate the prediction accuracy of SVM, the researcher compares its performance with those of multiple discriminant analysis (MDA), case-based reasoning (CBR), and three-layer fully connected back-propagation neural networks (BPNs). The experiment results show that SVM outperforms the other methods.

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Comparative study of prediction models for corporate bond rating (국내 회사채 신용 등급 예측 모형의 비교 연구)

  • Park, Hyeongkwon;Kang, Junyoung;Heo, Sungwook;Yu, Donghyeon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.367-382
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    • 2018
  • Prediction models for a corporate bond rating in existing studies have been developed using various models such as linear regression, ordered logit, and random forest. Financial characteristics help build prediction models that are expected to be contained in the assigning model of the bond rating agencies. However, the ranges of bond ratings in existing studies vary from 5 to 20 and the prediction models were developed with samples in which the target companies and the observation periods are different. Thus, a simple comparison of the prediction accuracies in each study cannot determine the best prediction model. In order to conduct a fair comparison, this study has collected corporate bond ratings and financial characteristics from 2013 to 2017 and applied prediction models to them. In addition, we applied the elastic-net penalty for the linear regression, the ordered logit, and the ordered probit. Our comparison shows that data-driven variable selection using the elastic-net improves prediction accuracy in each corresponding model, and that the random forest is the most appropriate model in terms of prediction accuracy, which obtains 69.6% accuracy of the exact rating prediction on average from the 5-fold cross validation.

A Design of HPPS(Hybrid Preference Prediction System) for Customer-Tailored Service (고객 맞춤 서비스를 위한 HPPS(Hybrid Preference Prediction System) 설계)

  • Jeong, Eun-Hee;Lee, Byung-Kwan
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.14 no.11
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    • pp.1467-1477
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    • 2011
  • This paper proposes a HPPS(Hybrid Preference Prediction System) design using the analysis of user profile and of the similarity among users precisely to predict the preference for custom-tailored service. Contrary to the existing NBCFA(Neighborhood Based Collaborative Filtering Algorithm), this paper is designed using these following rules. First, if there is no neighbor's commodity rating value in a preference prediction formula, this formula uses the rating average value for a commodity. Second, this formula reflects the weighting value through the analysis of a user's characteristics. Finally, when the nearest neighbor is selected, we consider the similarity, the commodity rating, and the rating frequency. Therefore, the first and second preference prediction formula made HPPS improve the precision by 97.24%, and the nearest neighbor selection method made HPPS improve the precision by 75%, compared with the existing NBCFA.

Method to Improve Data Sparsity Problem of Collaborative Filtering Using Latent Attribute Preference (잠재적 속성 선호도를 이용한 협업 필터링의 데이터 희소성 문제 개선 방법)

  • Kwon, Hyeong-Joon;Hong, Kwang-Seok
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.59-67
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, we propose the LAR_CF, latent attribute rating-based collaborative filtering, that is robust to data sparsity problem which is one of traditional problems caused of decreasing rating prediction accuracy. As compared with that existing collaborative filtering method uses a preference rating rated by users as feature vector to calculate similarity between objects, the proposed method improves data sparsity problem using unique attributes of two target objects with existing explicit preference. We consider MovieLens 100k dataset and its item attributes to evaluate the LAR_CF. As a result of artificial data sparsity and full-rating experiments, we confirmed that rating prediction accuracy can be improved rating prediction accuracy in data sparsity condition by the LAR_CF.

In-depth Recommendation Model Based on Self-Attention Factorization

  • Hongshuang Ma;Qicheng Liu
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.721-739
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    • 2023
  • Rating prediction is an important issue in recommender systems, and its accuracy affects the experience of the user and the revenue of the company. Traditional recommender systems use Factorization Machinesfor rating predictions and each feature is selected with the same weight. Thus, there are problems with inaccurate ratings and limited data representation. This study proposes a deep recommendation model based on self-attention Factorization (SAFMR) to solve these problems. This model uses Convolutional Neural Networks to extract features from user and item reviews. The obtained features are fed into self-attention mechanism Factorization Machines, where the self-attention network automatically learns the dependencies of the features and distinguishes the weights of the different features, thereby reducing the prediction error. The model was experimentally evaluated using six classes of dataset. We compared MSE, NDCG and time for several real datasets. The experiment demonstrated that the SAFMR model achieved excellent rating prediction results and recommendation correlations, thereby verifying the effectiveness of the model.

Correlation Analysis between Rating Time and Values for Time-aware Collaborative Filtering Systems

  • Soojung Lee
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.75-82
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    • 2023
  • In collaborative filtering systems, the item rating prediction values calculated by the systems are very important for customer satisfaction with the recommendation list. In the time-aware system, predictions are calculated by reflecting the rating time of users, and in general, exponentially lower weights are assigned to past rating values. In this study, to find out whether the influence of rating time on the rating value varies according to various factors, the correlation between user rating value and rating time is investigated by the degree of user rating activity, the popularity of items, and item genres. As a result, using two types of public datasets, especially in the sparse dataset, significantly different correlation index values were obtained for each factor. Therefore, it is confirmed that the influence weight of the rating time on the rating prediction value should be set differently in consideration of the above-mentioned various factors as well as the density of the dataset.

The Efficiency Rating Prediction for Cultural Tourism Festival Based of DEA (DEA를 적용한 문화관광축제의 효율성 등급 예측모형)

  • Kim, Eun-Mi;Hong, Tae-Ho
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.145-157
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    • 2020
  • Purpose This study proposed an approach for predicting the efficiency rating of the cultural tourism festivals using DEA and machine learning techniques. The cultural tourism festivals are selected for the best festivals through peer reviews by tourism experts. However, only 10% of the festivals which are held in a year could be evaluated in the view of effectiveness without considering the efficiency of festivals. Design/methodology/approach Efficiency scores were derived from the results of DEA for the prediction of efficiency ratings. This study utilized BCC models to reflect the size effect of festivals and classified the festivals into four ratings according the efficiency scores. Multi-classification method were considered to build the prediction of four ratings for the festivals in this study. We utilized neural networks and SVMs with OAO(one-against-one), OAR(one-against-rest), C&S(crammer & singer) with Korea festival data from 2013 to 2018. Findings The number of total visitors in low efficient rating of DEA is more larger than the number of total visitors in high efficient ratings although the total expenditure of visitors is the highest in the most efficient rating when we analyzed the results of DEA for the characteristics of four ratings. SVM with OAO model showed the most superior performance in accuracy as SVM with OAR model was not trained well because of the imbalanced distribution between efficient rating and the other ratings. Our approach could predict the efficiency of festivals which were not included in the review process of culture tourism festivals without rebuilding DEA models each time. This enables us to manage the festivals efficiently with the proposed machine learning models.

Applying Rating Score's Reliability of Customers to Enhance Prediction Accuracy in Recommender System (추천 시스템의 예측 정확도 향상을 위한 고객 평가정보의 신뢰도 활용법)

  • Choeh, Joon Yeon;Lee, Seok Kee;Cho, Yeong Bin
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.13 no.7
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    • pp.379-385
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    • 2013
  • On the internet, the rating scores assigned by customers are considered as the preference information of themselves and thus, these can be used efficiently in the customer profile generation process of recommender system. However, since anyone is free to assign a score that has a biased rating, using this without any filtering can exhibit a reliability problem. In this study, we suggest the methodology that measures the reliability of rating scores and then applies them to the customer profile creation process. Unlikely to some related studies which measure the reliability on the user level, we measure the reliability on the individual rating score level. Experimental results show that prediction accuracy of recommender system can be enhanced when ratings with higher reliability are selectively used for the customer profile configuration.