• 제목/요약/키워드: Range of Variability Approach

검색결과 24건 처리시간 0.027초

A Stochastic Linear Scheduling Method using Monte Carlo Simulation

  • Soderlund, Chase;Park, Borinara
    • 국제학술발표논문집
    • /
    • The 6th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
    • /
    • pp.169-173
    • /
    • 2015
  • The linear scheduling method or line-of-balance (LOB) is a popular choice for projects that involve repetitive tasks during project execution. The method, however, produces deterministic schedule that does not convey a range of potential project outcomes under uncertainty. This results from the fact the basic scheduling parameters such as crew production rates are estimated to be deterministic based on single-point value inputs. The current linear scheduling technique, therefore, lacks the capability of reflecting the fluctuating nature of the project operation. In this paper the authors address the issue of how the variability of operation and production rates affects schedule outcomes and show a more realistic description of what might be a realistic picture of typical projects. The authors provide a solution by providing a more effective and comprehensive way of incorporating the crew performance variability using a Monte Carlo simulation technique. The simulation outcomes are discussed in terms of how this stochastic approach can overcome the shortcomings of the conventional linear scheduling technique and provide optimum schedule solutions.

  • PDF

Perturbation analysis for robust damage detection with application to multifunctional aircraft structures

  • Hajrya, Rafik;Mechbal, Nazih
    • Smart Structures and Systems
    • /
    • 제16권3호
    • /
    • pp.435-457
    • /
    • 2015
  • The most widely known form of multifunctional aircraft structure is smart structures for structural health monitoring (SHM). The aim is to provide automated systems whose purposes are to identify and to characterize possible damage within structures by using a network of actuators and sensors. Unfortunately, environmental and operational variability render many of the proposed damage detection methods difficult to successfully be applied. In this paper, an original robust damage detection approach using output-only vibration data is proposed. It is based on independent component analysis and matrix perturbation analysis, where an analytical threshold is proposed to get rid of statistical assumptions usually performed in damage detection approach. The effectiveness of the proposed SHM method is demonstrated numerically using finite element simulations and experimentally through a conformal load-bearing antenna structure and composite plates instrumented with piezoelectric ceramic materials.

Variation and Trends of Irrigation Requirements of Rice Paddies in Korea

  • Nkomozepi, Temba Darlington;Chung, Sang-Ok
    • Current Research on Agriculture and Life Sciences
    • /
    • 제31권4호
    • /
    • pp.233-239
    • /
    • 2013
  • Understanding the temporal variability of agricultural parameters derived from historical climate data is important for planning in agriculture. Therefore, this study assessed the magnitude and recent trends of the transpiration ratio defined as the crop water use per harvested yield for the period from 1980 to 2010. The crop water use was estimated using the Food and Agriculture Organization's Crop Wat model for eight administrative provinces in Korea. The temporal trends and spatial uncertainty were explored using the Mann-Kendall and Theil Sen's methods. The regional average rice yield was $6.31t\;ha^{-1}$(range 5.9 to $6.9t\;ha^{-1}$). The results showed that the rice yield in Korea increased by $26kg\;ha^{-1}yr^{-1}$. Overall, the regional average transpiration ratio was $1,298m^3t^{-1}$ (range 1,162 to $1,470m^3t^{-1}$). From 1980 to 2010, the transpiration ratio decreased by $8.2m^3t^{-1}$ (range 2.7 to $14.4m^3t^{-1}$), largely as a result of the increasing yield. The statistical approach to historical data used in this study also provides a basis for simulating the future transpiration ratio.

지반강성의 변동성이 원전구조물의 지반-구조물 상호작용 응답에 미치는 영향 분석 (Evaluation of Soil Stiffness Variability Effects on Soil-Structure Interaction Response of Nuclear Power Plant Structure)

  • 김재민;노태용;허정원;김문수;현창헌
    • 한국지진공학회논문집
    • /
    • 제19권2호
    • /
    • pp.63-74
    • /
    • 2015
  • This study investigated the influence of probabilistic variability in stiffness and nonlinearity of soil on response of nuclear power plant (NPP) structure subjected to seismic loads considering the soil-structure interaction (SSI). Both deterministic and probabilistic methods have been employed to evaluate the dynamic responses of the structure. For the deterministic method, $SRP_{min}$ method given in USNRC SRP 3.7.2(2013) (envelope of responses using three shear modulus profiles of lower bound($G_{LB}$), best estimate($G_{BE}$) and upper bound($G_{UB}$)) and $SRP_{max}$ method (envelope of responses by more than three ground profiles within range of $G_{LB}{\leq}G{\leq}G_{UB}$) have been considered. The probabilistic method uses the Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS) that can capture probabilistic feature of soil stiffness defined by the median and the standard deviation. These analysis results indicated that 1) number of samples shall be larger than 60 to apply the probabilistic approach in SSI analysis and 2) in-structure response spectra using equivalent linear soil profiles considering the nonlinear behavior of soil medium can be larger than those based on low-strain soil profiles.

Use of Benthic Algae and Bryophytes for Monitoring Rivers

  • Whitton, Brian A.
    • Journal of Ecology and Environment
    • /
    • 제36권1호
    • /
    • pp.95-100
    • /
    • 2013
  • Many countries have adopted a single, well-described approach to the use of phototrophs for monitoring river water quality, which involves the use of indices related to diatom composition at a site. Increasingly these indices have focussed on assessing ambient phosphate concentration. However, there is a wide range of other methods which can provide additional information to make up for any weaknesses in the standard method. Some of these methods are reviewed briefly here. They can be useful, for instance, when considering temporal and spatial variability in phosphate concentration at a particular site and providing much more insight on heavy metal or pesticide pollution than revealed by routine water analysis.

하천 생태계 복원을 위한 적정 유황 범위 고찰: 한강유역사례 (Flow Regime Boundary for Restoring River Ecosystems: A Case of the Han River Basin)

  • 강성규;이동률;최시중
    • 한국습지학회지
    • /
    • 제21권spc호
    • /
    • pp.1-8
    • /
    • 2019
  • 하천에서 물이용을 위한 이수사업은 피할 수 없는 하천유황의 변화를 가져왔고, 이로 인하여 하천 생태계의 건전성을 훼손하고 있다. 우리나라의 경우 1990년대 들어 변화된 하천환경을 자연형 하천으로 복원하고자 하는 노력이 본격화 되었다. 하천 복원사업의 주된 목적은 수로를 복원하고, 오염된 하천의 개선, 생태계를 위한 서식처 설치 및 인간의 친수활동을 위한 공간 확보였으며, 상대적으로 생태계보전에 가장 중요한 요소인 하천에 흐르는 유황의 복원에 대한 관심은 적었다. 하천유황은 생태계의 모든 측면에서 큰 영향을 주기 때문에 유황과 생태계의 관계 규명과 하천에 유지하여야 할 목표유황의 설정 및 하천 유황복원 방법을 정립할 필요가 있다. 본 연구에서는 국내에서 아직 정립되지 않은 유황과 생태계의 관계를 환경유량의 개념을 통하여 소개하고 자연유황의 역할과 Richter et al.(1997)이 제안한 유량변동분석법(Range of Variability Approach, RVA)을 이용한 유황 평가 및 목표유량 설정 방법을 한강 유역의 사례를 통하여 고찰하였다.

생체신호 측정을 통한 운전자의 감정적 안정상태 평가 (Assessment of Driver's Emotional Stability by Using Bio-signals)

  • 김정룡;박지수;윤상영
    • 대한인간공학회지
    • /
    • 제30권1호
    • /
    • pp.203-211
    • /
    • 2011
  • Objective: The aim of this study is to introduce a methodology to assess driver's emotion stability by using bio-signals. Background: Psychophysiological analysis of driver's behavior has been conducted to improve the driving safety and comfort. However, the variability of bio-signal and individual difference made it difficult to assess the psychophysiological status of drivers that can be expressed as emotional stability of drivers. Method: Two experimental studies were reviewed and summarized. New techniques assessing emotional stability of drivers were explained. Statistical concept and multidimensional space were used to identify the emotionally stable conditions. Conclusion: Psychophysiological approach can provide information of driver's emotional status. The experimental methodology and algorithm used in this study showed the possibility of parameterization of psychophysiological response. Application: Currently measured statistical and geometrical data can be further applied to develop an interactive device monitoring and reacting driver's emotion when driver experiences emotionally unstable or uncomfortable situation.

Assessment of environmental flows using hydrological methods for Krishna River, India

  • Uday Kumar, A.;Jayakumar, K.V.
    • Advances in environmental research
    • /
    • 제7권3호
    • /
    • pp.161-175
    • /
    • 2018
  • Krishna River is significantly affected due to Srisailam dam from past 30 years. The impact of this hydraulic structure drastically reduced the minimum flow regime on the downstream, which made the river nearing to decaying stage. In the present paper, Environmental Flow called minimum flow values released for the dam are estimated with the help of three hydrological methods viz., Range of variability Approach (RVA), Desktop Reserve Model (DRM), and Global Environmental Flow Calculator (GEFC). DRM method suggested considering the intermediate values obtained from among the three methods to preserve the ecosystem on the downstream of the river, which amounts to an average annual allocation of 9378 Million Cubic Meter (MCM) which is equal to 23.11% of mean annual flow (MAF). In this regard GEFC and RVA methods accounted for 22% and 31.04% of MAF respectively. The results indicate that current reservoir operation policy is causing a severe hydrological alteration in the high flow season especially in the month of July. The study concluded that in the case of non-availability of environmental information, hydrological indicators can be used to provide the basic assessment of environmental flow requirements. It is inferred from the results obtained from the study, that the new reservoir operations can fulfil human water needs without disturbing Environmental Flow Requirements.

교통사고 환자 증례를 통한 척유약침과 Brainspotting의 임상적 접근 (Clinical Approach of Chukyu Pharmacopuncture and Brainspotting Through a Traffic Accident Patient Case)

  • 이도은;하지수;박현미;윤인애;서주희
    • 동의신경정신과학회지
    • /
    • 제32권3호
    • /
    • pp.261-273
    • /
    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study was to introduce effects of Chukyu pharmacopuncture and Brainspotting on knee pain, headaches, and acute stress disorder of a patient with a traffic accident. We treated a patient with Chukyu pharmacopuncture and Brainspotting. Numerical rating scale (NRS), Range of Motion (ROM), Hyperextension Position (HEP), Effusion (Eff), Patella Compression Test (PCT), Frontal Flexion Position (FFP), McMurray (MCM), Lateral Joint Line Tenderness (LJLT), Medial Joint Line Tenderness (MJLT), Anterior Drawer Test (ADT), Lachman Test, Varus/Valgus stress, Beck Anxiety Inventory (BAI), Patient Health Questionnaire-9 (PHQ-9), Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index (PSQI), Core Seven Emotions Inventory Short Form (CSEI-S), Subjective units of disturbance scale (SUDs), and Heart rate variability (HRV) were used to evaluate the patient. After the patient was treated by Chukyu pharmacopuncture and Brainspotting, the patient showed improvement in NRS, physical examination, and psychological symptom assessment. These results indicate that Chukyu pharmacopuncture and Brainspotting are effective on knee pain, headache, and acute stress disorder after a traffic accident.

Revolution of nuclear energy efficiency, economic complexity, air transportation and industrial improvement on environmental footprint cost: A novel dynamic simulation approach

  • Ali, Shahid;Jiang, Junfeng;Hassan, Syed Tauseef;Shah, Ashfaq Ahmad
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • 제54권10호
    • /
    • pp.3682-3694
    • /
    • 2022
  • The expansion of a country's ecological footprint generates resources for economic development. China's import bill and carbon footprint can be reduced by investing in green transportation and energy technologies. A sustainable environment depends on the cessation of climate change; the current study investigates nuclear energy efficiency, economic complexity, air transportation, and industrial improvement for reducing environmental footprint. Using data spanning the years 1983-2016, the dynamic autoregressive distributed lag simulation method has demonstrated the short- and long-term variability in the impact of regressors on the ecological footprint. The study findings revealed that economic complexity in China had been found to have a statistically significant impact on the country's ecological footprint. Moreover, the industrial improvement process is helpful for the ecological footprint in China. In the short term, air travel has a negative impact on the ecological footprint, but this effect diminishes over time. Additionally, energy innovation is negative and substantial both in the short and long run, thus demonstrating its positive role in reducing the ecological footprint. Policy implications can be extracted from a wide range of issues, including economic complexity, industrial improvement, air transportation, energy innovation, and ecological impact to achieve sustainable goals.