• 제목/요약/키워드: Random-coefficient model

검색결과 198건 처리시간 0.026초

Calibration of Portable Particulate Mattere-Monitoring Device using Web Query and Machine Learning

  • Loh, Byoung Gook;Choi, Gi Heung
    • Safety and Health at Work
    • /
    • 제10권4호
    • /
    • pp.452-460
    • /
    • 2019
  • Background: Monitoring and control of PM2.5 are being recognized as key to address health issues attributed to PM2.5. Availability of low-cost PM2.5 sensors made it possible to introduce a number of portable PM2.5 monitors based on light scattering to the consumer market at an affordable price. Accuracy of light scatteringe-based PM2.5 monitors significantly depends on the method of calibration. Static calibration curve is used as the most popular calibration method for low-cost PM2.5 sensors particularly because of ease of application. Drawback in this approach is, however, the lack of accuracy. Methods: This study discussed the calibration of a low-cost PM2.5-monitoring device (PMD) to improve the accuracy and reliability for practical use. The proposed method is based on construction of the PM2.5 sensor network using Message Queuing Telemetry Transport (MQTT) protocol and web query of reference measurement data available at government-authorized PM monitoring station (GAMS) in the republic of Korea. Four machine learning (ML) algorithms such as support vector machine, k-nearest neighbors, random forest, and extreme gradient boosting were used as regression models to calibrate the PMD measurements of PM2.5. Performance of each ML algorithm was evaluated using stratified K-fold cross-validation, and a linear regression model was used as a reference. Results: Based on the performance of ML algorithms used, regression of the output of the PMD to PM2.5 concentrations data available from the GAMS through web query was effective. The extreme gradient boosting algorithm showed the best performance with a mean coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.78 and standard error of 5.0 ㎍/㎥, corresponding to 8% increase in R2 and 12% decrease in root mean square error in comparison with the linear regression model. Minimum 100 hours of calibration period was found required to calibrate the PMD to its full capacity. Calibration method proposed poses a limitation on the location of the PMD being in the vicinity of the GAMS. As the number of the PMD participating in the sensor network increases, however, calibrated PMDs can be used as reference devices to nearby PMDs that require calibration, forming a calibration chain through MQTT protocol. Conclusions: Calibration of a low-cost PMD, which is based on construction of PM2.5 sensor network using MQTT protocol and web query of reference measurement data available at a GAMS, significantly improves the accuracy and reliability of a PMD, thereby making practical use of the low-cost PMD possible.

중국 서부지역 외국인직접투자(FDI)의 결정요인에 관한 분석: 1990-2007 기간을 중심으로 (An Analysis of the Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment in the Western China, 1990-2007)

  • 팽선봉;최성일
    • 국제지역연구
    • /
    • 제15권3호
    • /
    • pp.471-491
    • /
    • 2011
  • 본 연구는 1990-2007년간 중국 서부지역 12개 성 시 자치구에 대한 패널 데이터를 구축하여 시장추구형 가설과 생산효율추구형 가설을 통해 이 지역에 대한 FDI 결정요인을 분석하였다. 서부지역의 각 성별 외국인직접투자(FDI) 총액을 종속변수로, 시장규모, 개방도, 인구 및 노동력, 도시화, 임금, 산업구조, 민영화, 인적자본, 인프라 등을 독립변수로 사용하였으며, 서부대개발계획이 시작된 2000년을 기준으로 전후로 나누어 회귀분석을 시행하였다. 분석결과는 첫째, 1990년대의 실증분석결과 시장규모, 산업구조 및 인적자본은 FDI와 정(+)의 유의한 관계가 있는 것으로 나타난 반면에 임금수준과는 부(-)의 관계가 있는 것으로 나타났다. 이상의 결과는 본 연구에서 설정한 가설과 일치한다. 반면에 나머지 변수들에 대해서는 통계적으로 유의한 결과를 얻지 못했다. 둘째, 2000년대의 실증분석결과, 시장규모, 산업구조가 FDI와 정(+)의 관계가 있는 것으로 나타난 반면에 개방도 및 임금과는 부(-)의 관계로 나타났다. 셋째, 1990년대와 2000년대의 실증분석 결과를 비교하면, 대체로 유사한 결과를 보이고 있는데, 이는 2000년대 서부대개발이 본격적으로 시행되었다고는 하나 서부지역의 경제구조가 눈에 띄게 변화되지는 않았다는 것을 의미한다.

폐금속광산지역 토양오염정도와 혈 중 납 노출 수준의 상관성 (Association between Soil Contamination and Blood Lead Exposure Level in Areas around Abandoned Metal Mines)

  • 서정욱;박정덕;엄상용;권희원;옥민수;이지호
    • 한국환경보건학회지
    • /
    • 제48권4호
    • /
    • pp.227-235
    • /
    • 2022
  • Background: Abandoned metal mines are classified as vulnerable areas with the highest level of soil contamination among risk regions. People living near abandoned metal mines are at increased risk of exposure to toxic metals. Objectives: This study aimed to evaluate the correlation between soil contamination levels in areas around abandoned metal mine and the blood lead levels of local residents. Moreover, we assess the possibility of using soil contamination levels as a predictive indicator for human exposure level. Methods: Data from the Survey of Residents around Abandoned Metal Mines (2013~2017, n=4,421) and Investigation of Soil Pollution in Abandoned Metal Mines (2000~2011) were used. A random coefficient model was conducted for estimation of the lower level (micro data) of the local resident unit and the upper level (macro data) of the abandoned metal mine unit. Through a fitted model, the variation of blood lead levels among abandoned metal mines was confirmed and the effect of the operationally defined soil contamination level was estimated. Results: Among the total variation in blood lead levels, the variation between abandoned mines was 18.6%, and the variation determined by the upper-level factors such as soil contamination and water contamination was 8.1%, which was statistically significant respectively. There was also a statistically significant difference in the least square mean of blood lead concentration according to the level of soil contamination (p=0.047, low: 2.32 ㎍/dL, middle: 2.38 ㎍/dL, high: 2.59 ㎍/dL). Conclusions: The blood lead concentration of residents living near abandoned metal mines was significantly correlated with the level of soil contamination. Therefore, in biomonitoring for vulnerable areas, operationally defined soil contamination can be used as a predictor for human exposure level to hazardous substances and discrimination of high-risk abandoned metal mines.

위성영상과 머신러닝 모델을 이용한 폭염기간 고해상도 기온 추정 연구 (A Study for Estimation of High Resolution Temperature Using Satellite Imagery and Machine Learning Models during Heat Waves)

  • 이달근;이미희;김보은;유정흠;오영주;박진이
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
    • /
    • 제36권5_4호
    • /
    • pp.1179-1194
    • /
    • 2020
  • 본 연구에서는 지상기상센서가 설치되지 않은 미 관측지점의 기온정보를 추정하기 위하여 K-최근접 이웃, 랜덤 포레스트, 신경망 알고리즘을 대상으로 위성영상을 이용하여 기온자료를 산출하고 그 정확성을 평가·분석하고자 하였다. 위성영상자료는 2019년에 취득된 Landsat-8과 MODIS Aqua/Terra을 이용하였으며, 기상자료는 기상청과 산림청의 AWS/ASOS 자료를 이용하였다. 또한 추정 정확도를 향상시키기 위하여 수치표면 모델, 일사량, 경사방향, 경사도를 생성하여 이용하였다. 머신러닝 알고리즘 정확도 비교는 10-fold 교차검증을 통하여 R2(결정계수) 및 RMSE(평균제곱근오차)의 통계량을 계산하여 대상지역별 추정결과를 비교하였다. 그 결과 신경망 알고리즘이 R2=0.805, RMSE=0.508로 세 알고리즘 중 가장 안정적인 결과를 나타내었다. 신경망 알고리즘을 구축된 위성영상 데이터셋에 적용하여 2019년 6월부터 9월까지의 평균기온 지도를 생성할 수 있었으며 세밀한 기온 정보를 관측할 수 있음을 확인하였다. 연구 성과는 폭염 대응 정책, 열섬완화 연구 등 국가재난안전 관리에 활용 될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

우리나라 시군단위 벼 수확량 예측을 위한 다종 기상자료의 비교평가 (A Comparative Evaluation of Multiple Meteorological Datasets for the Rice Yield Prediction at the County Level in South Korea)

  • 조수빈;윤유정;김서연;정예민;김근아;강종구;김광진;조재일;이양원
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
    • /
    • 제37권2호
    • /
    • pp.337-357
    • /
    • 2021
  • 노지에서 재배되는 벼는 필연적으로 기상요소의 영향을 받을 수밖에 없으며, 벼 생장에 영향을 미치는 최적의 기상자료 확보 및 변수 선정은 벼 수확량 예측 모델링에 있어 매우 중요하다. 본 연구에서는 1996-2019년의 7월, 8월, 9월에 대하여, 다종의 기상자료 비교평가를 통해 우리나라 벼 수확량 모델링에 대한 적합성을 살펴보고, 기상요소와 벼 수확량 사이의 비선형적인 관계를 고려하여 기계학습 기법을 이용한 수확량 하인드캐스트 실험을 수행하고자 한다. 다종의 기상자료로는, 기상청 ASOS 지상관측과 함께, CRU-JRA ver. 2.1, ERA5 재분석장을 사용하였다. 이들 기상자료에서 공통적으로 도출할 수 있는 월 단위 기온, 상대습도, 일사량, 강수량 변수에 대한 비교를 통하여, 각 자료의 특성 및 벼 수확량과의 연관성을 분석하였다. CRU-JRA ver. 2.1 재분석장은 전반적으로 타 자료와 높은 일치성을 나타냈으며, 변수별 특징을 보았을 때, 상대습도는 벼 수확량에 미치는 영향이 거의 없었으나, 일사량은 벼 수확량과의 상관성이 상당히 높은 것으로 나타났다. 7월, 8월, 9월의 기온, 일사량, 강수량을 랜덤 포리스트 모델에 투입하여 벼 수확량 하인드캐스트 실험을 수행한 결과, CRU-JRA ver. 2.1 재분석장은 세 종류 기상자료 중에 가장 높은 정확도를 나타냈다(CC = 0.772). 또한 예측 모델에서 변수의 중요도는 일사량이 가장 높게 나타나, 기존의 농학적 연구결과와 일치하였다. 본 연구는 벼 수확량 예측을 위한 다종 기상자료의 선택에 있어 하나의 합리적 방법을 제시한 것으로써 의미가 있다고 하겠다.

중국이동통신산업중적복무질량(中国移动通信产业中的服务质量), 고객만의도화고객충성도(顾客满意度和顾客忠诚度) (Service Quality, Customer Satisfaction and Customer Loyalty of Mobile Communication Industry in China)

  • Zhang, Ruijin;Li, Xiangyang;Zhang, Yunchang
    • 마케팅과학연구
    • /
    • 제20권3호
    • /
    • pp.269-277
    • /
    • 2010
  • 现有文献表明, 影响服务业顾客忠诚的最重要因素是服务质量. 然而, 在服务质量是直接还是间接影响顾客忠诚方面, 学者们的观点有着明显的分歧. 目前, 中国国内专门针对移动通信行业服务质量与顾客忠诚之间关系的文章较少. 此外, 以往相关文献多是将顾客忠诚作为一个整体变量进行研究, 没有进一步将其细分为多个维度. 基于此, 本文拟通过实证研究来探析移动通信业服务质量各维度与顾客忠诚各维度之间的直接和间接影响机理, 其中选择顾客满意作为二者关系的中介变量, 希望研究结论能给国内移动通信企业的服务管理提供有效的理论指导. 为了使搜集到的数据有效, 本次调研范围仅限于黑龙江哈尔滨市, 调查对象为移动通信公司的用户. 本次调研采取随机抽样的方式, 共发放问卷350份, 收回问卷325份, 回收率为 92.9%. 剔除无效问卷, 有效问卷为289份, 即有效回收率为82.6%. 本文借鉴国内外现有文献所使用的量表, 这些量表已经在实证研究中得到验证. 本文提出六个假设, 总体而言, 只有四个假设没有得到支持. 为了验证服务质量构成要素量表的合理性, 本文对289份有效样本进行探索性因子分析. 同样, 对顾客忠诚的维度进行检验. 本研究采用Cronbach's ${\alpha}$系数来评价量表的信度. 本研究从内容效度, 结构效度和聚合效度三方面对问卷进行效度检验. 本研究对数据和模型的拟合优度进行检验, 以提高假设检验的准确程度. 通过文献资料的收集, 整理及数据处理, 本文提出了服务质量五维度模型以及服务质量与顾客忠诚度之间相互关系模型, 通过实证分析验证了有形性, 可靠性, 反应性, 保证性和关怀性是服务质量的五个构成要素, 验证了PZB对于服务质量的SERVQUAL的测量方法, 研究了移动通信服务质量各维度对顾客忠诚各维度的直接影响机理, 以及服务质量各维度如何通过顾客满意这一中介变量对顾客忠诚各维度的间接影响机理, 建立了相应的关系模型,并运用结构方程分析方法,对模型进行实证检验, 得出如下研究结论: 第一, 移动通信服务质量由有形性, 可靠性, 响应性, 保证性和移情性五个要素构成, 顾客忠诚由态度忠诚和行为忠诚两个维度构成. 在PZB设计的SERVQUAL量表基础上, 本文针对移动通信行业设计了服务质量测量量表, 通过探索性因子分析得出五个因子. 这五个因子与五构成要素基本一致, 说明服务质量五要素概念适用于移动通信行业. 同样, 对顾客忠诚量表进行因子分析, 得出两个因子, 与本文中的态度忠诚和行为忠诚相一致. 第二, 移动通信服务质量对顾客忠诚存在直接和间接的正向影响作用. 其中, 服务质量对态度忠诚有直接和间接的正向作用, 间接作用是通过顾客满意这一中介变量影响的; 服务质量对行为忠诚有直接和间接的正向作用, 间接作用是通过顾客满意和态度忠诚这两个中介变量影响的. 这说明移动通信服务质量越好, 顾客的满意度越高, 其对服务提供商的态度就越积极, 在行为上就越容易表现出对服务提供商的忠诚. 而且, 服务质量各维度对顾客忠诚各维度的影响机理是不同的, 比如: 有形性对顾客满意有直接的正向作用, 但对顾客忠诚却没有显著的直接作用; 保证性对顾客满意没有显著的直接作用, 但对顾客忠诚有直接和间接的正向作用. 第三, 顾客满意在移动通信服务质量与态度忠诚, 行为忠诚之间的具有显著的中介作用, 这说明服务质量的提高可以增加顾客的满意度, 而满意的顾客更容易成为忠诚的顾客; 而态度忠诚在移动通信服务质量与行为忠诚之间的具有显著的中介作用, 这说明顾客行为上表现出忠诚可能是虚假忠诚, 只有态度和行为都忠诚的顾客才是真正的忠诚顾客. 本文的研究结论对中国及其它国家的电信运营商如何提升服务质量有一定的借鉴意义. 本文存在两方面的局限性: 首先, 本研究仅在黑龙江哈尔滨地区进行问卷调研, 针对移动公司用户, 统计数据会存在一定的抽样误差, 影响最终的统计分析结果. 第二, 本研究主要探讨了服务质量对顾客忠诚的影响关系, 并引入了顾客满意作为中介变量, 但没有考虑其他可能影响顾客忠诚的因素, 例如顾客价值, 消费者特征等.

일부 직업인의 건강증진생활양식에 영향을 미치는 요인 연구 (A Study on the Factors Affecting Health Promoting Lifestyles of Some Workers)

  • 이은경;안병상;유택수;김성천;정재열;박용신;장두섭;송용선;이기남
    • 대한예방한의학회지
    • /
    • 제4권2호
    • /
    • pp.119-141
    • /
    • 2000
  • The current industrial health service is shifting to health improvement business with 1st primary prevention-focused service from secondary and tertiary prevention-focused business, and Oriental medicine can provide such primary prevention-focused service due to the characteristics of its science. In particular, the advanced concept of health improvement can match the science of health care of Oriental medicine. Notably, what is most important in health improvement is our lifestyle, This does not underestimate the socio-environmental factors, which have lessened their importance due to modernism. The approach of Oriental medicine weighs more individuals' lifestyle and health care through self-cultivation. This matches the new model of advanced health business. Oriental medicine is less systemized than Western medicine, but it can provide ample contents that enhance health. If we conceive health-improvement program based on the advantages provided by these two medical systems, this will influence workers to the benefit of their health. Also, health Program needs to define factors that determine individual lives, and to provide information and technologies essential to our lives. The Oriental medicine approach puts more stress on a subject's capabilities than it does on the effect his surrounding environment can have. This needs to be supported theoretically by not only defining the relations between an individual's health state and his lifestyle, but also identifying the degree to which an individual in the industrial work place practices health improvement lifestyle . This is the first step toward initiating health-improvement business . In order to do this, this researcher conducted a survey by taking random samplings from workers, and can draw the following conclusions from it. 1 The sampled group is categorized into', by sender, female 6.6%, and male 93.4%, with males dominant; by marriage status , unmarried 43.9% and married 55.6%, with both similar percentage, and, by age, below 30, 48.4%, between 30 and 39, 27.4%, between 40 and 49, 18.2%, and over 50, 6.0%. The group further is categorized into; by education, middle school or under 1.7%, high school 30.5%, and junior college or higher 65.8% with high school and higher dominant: and by income, below 1.7 million won 24.2%, below 2.4 million won 14.8%, and above 2.4 million 6.3% Still, the group by job is categorized into collegians with 23.9%, office worker with 10.3%, and professionals with 65.8% , and this group does not include workers engaged in production that are needed for this research, but mostly office workers . 2. The subjects selected for this survey show their degree of practicing health-improvement lifestyle at an average of 2.63, health management pattern at 2.64, and health-related awareness at 2.62 The sub-divisions of health-improvement lifestyle show social emotion (2.87), food (2.66). favorite food (2.59), and leisure activities (2.52), in this order for higher points. It further shows health awareness (2.47) and safety awareness (2.40), lower points than those in health management pattern . 3. In the area of using leisure time for health-improvement, males, older people, married, and people with higher income earn higher marks. And, in the area of food management, the older and married earn higher marks . In the area of favorite food management, females, lower-income bracket, and lower-educated show higher degree of practice , while in the area of social emotion management, the older. married, and higher-income bracket show higher marks. In addition, in the area of health awareness, the older, married, and people with higher-income show higher degree of practice. 4. To look at correlation by overall and divisional health-improvement practice degree , this researcher has analyzed the data using Person's correlation coefficient. The lifestyle shows significant correlation with its six sub-divisions, and use of leisure time, food, and health awareness all show significant correlation with their sub-divisions. And. the social emotion and safety awareness show significant correlation with all sub-divisions except favorite food management.

  • PDF

계획된 간호 정보가 수면량에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구 -개심술 환자를 중심으로- (The Effect of Structured Information on the Sleep Amount of Patients Undergoing Open Heart Surgery)

  • 이소우
    • 대한간호학회지
    • /
    • 제12권2호
    • /
    • pp.1-26
    • /
    • 1982
  • The main purpose of this study was to test the effect of the structured information on the sleep amount of the patients undergoing open heart surgery. This study has specifically addressed to the Following two basic research questions: (1) Would the structed in formation influence in the reduction of sleep disturbance related to anxiety and Physical stress before and after the operation? and (2) that would be the effects of the structured information on the level of preoperative state anxiety, the hormonal change, and the degree of behavioral change in the patients undergoing an open heart surgery? A Quasi-experimental research was designed to answer these questions with one experimental group and one control group. Subjects in both groups were matched as closely as possible to avoid the effect of the differences inherent to the group characteristics, Baseline data were also. collected on both groups for 7 days prior to the experiment and found that subjects in both groups had comparable sleep patterns, trait anxiety, hormonal levels and behavioral level. A structured information as an experimental input was given to the subjects in the experimental group only. Data were collected and compared between the experimental group and the control group on the sleep amount of the consecutive pre and post operative days, on preoperative state anxiety level, and on hormonal and behavioral changes. To test the effectiveness of the structured information, two main hypotheses and three sub-hypotheses were formulated as follows; Main hypothesis 1: Experimental group which received structured information will have more sleep amount than control group without structured information in the night before the open heart surgery. Main hypothesis 2: Experimental group with structured information will have more sleep, amount than control group without structured information during the week following the open heart surgery Sub-hypothesis 1: Experimental group with structured information will be lower in the level of State anxiety than control group without structured information in the night before the open heart surgery. Sub-hypothesis 2 : Experimental group with structured information will have lower hormonal level than control group without stuctured information on the 5th day after the open heart surgery Sub-hypothesis 3: Experimental group with structured information will be lower in the behavioral change level than control group without structured information during the week after the open heart surgery. The research was conducted in a national university hospital in Seoul, Korea. The 53 Subjects who participated in the study were systematically divided into experimental group and control group which was decided by random sampling method. Among 53 subjects, 26 were placed in the experimental group and 27 in the control group. Instruments; (1) Structed information: Structured information as an independent variable was constructed by the researcher on the basis of Roy's adaptation model consisting of physiologic needs, self-concept, role function and interdependence needs as related to the sleep and of operational procedures. (2) Sleep amount measure: Sleep amount as main dependent variable was measured by trained nurses through observation on the basis of the established criteria, such as closed or open eyes, regular or irregular respiration, body movement, posture, responses to the light and question, facial expressions and self report after sleep. (3) State anxiety measure: State Anxiety as a sub-dependent variable was measured by Spi-elberger's STAI Anxiety scale, (4) Hormornal change measure: Hormone as a sub-dependent variable was measured by the cortisol level in plasma. (5) Behavior change measure: Behavior as a sub-dependent variable was measured by the Behavior and Mood Rating Scale by Wyatt. The data were collected over a period of four months, from June to October 1981, after the pretest period of two months. For the analysis of the data and test for the hypotheses, the t-test with mean differences and analysis of covariance was used. The result of the test for instruments show as follows: (1) STAI measurement for trait and state anxiety as analyzed by Cronbachs alpha coefficient analysis for item analysis and reliability showed the reliability level at r= .90 r= .91 respectively. (2) Behavior and Mood Rating Scale measurement was analyzed by means of Principal Component Analysis technique. Seven factors retained were anger, anxiety, hyperactivity, depression, bizarre behavior, suspicious behavior and emotional withdrawal. Cumulative percentage of each factor was 71.3%. The result of the test for hypotheses show as follows; (1) Main hypothesis, was not supported. The experimental group has 282 minutes of sleep as compared to the 255 minutes of sleep by the control group. Thus the sleep amount was higher in experimental group than in control group, however, the difference was not statistically significant at .05 level. (2) Main hypothesis 2 was not supported. The mean sleep amount of the experimental group and control group were 297 minutes and 278 minutes respectively Therefore, the experimental group had more sleep amount as compared to the control group, however, the difference was not statistically significant at .05 level. Thus, the main hypothesis 2 was not supported. (3) Sub-hypothesis 1 was not supported. The mean state anxiety of the experimental group and control group were 42.3, 43.9 in scores. Thus, the experimental group had slightly lower state anxiety level than control group, howe-ver, the difference was not statistically significant at .05 level. (4) Sub-hypothesis 2 was not supported. . The mean hormonal level of the experimental group and control group were 338 ㎍ and 440 ㎍ respectively. Thus, the experimental group showed decreased hormonal level than the control group, however, the difference was not statistically significant at .05 level. (5) Sub-hypothesis 3 was supported. The mean behavioral level of the experimental group and control group were 29.60 and 32.00 respectively in score. Thus, the experimental group showed lower behavioral change level than the control group. The difference was statistically significant at .05 level. In summary, the structured information did not influence the sleep amount, state anxiety or hormonal level of the subjects undergoing an open heart surgery at a statistically significant level, however, it showed a definite trends in their relationships, not least to mention its significant effect shown on behavioral change level. It can further be speculated that a great degree of individual differences in the variables such as sleep amount, state anxiety and fluctuation in hormonal level may partly be responsible for the statistical insensitivity to the experimentation.

  • PDF