• Title/Summary/Keyword: Rainfall-Runoff simulation

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Two-dimensional Numerical Simulation of Rainfall-induced Slope Failure (강우에 의한 사면붕괴에 관한 2차원 수치모의)

  • Regmi, Ram Krishna;Jung, Kwan-Sue;Lee, Gi-Ha
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.34-34
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    • 2012
  • Heavy storms rainfall has caused many landslides and slope failures especially in the mountainous area of the world. Landslides and slope failures are common geologic hazards and posed serious threats and globally cause billions in monetary losses and thousands of casualies each year so that studies on slope stability and its failure mechanism under rainfall are being increasing attention of these days. Rainfall-induced slope failures are generally caused by the rise in ground water level, and increase in pore water pressures and seepage forces during periods of intense rainfall. The effective stress in the soil will be decreased due to the increased pore pressure, which thus reduces the soil shear strength, eventually resulting in slope failure. During the rainfall, a wetting front goes downward into the slope, resulting in a gradual increase of the water content and a decrease of the negative pore-water pressure. This negative pore-water pressure is referred to as matric suction when referenced to the pore air pressure that contributes to the stability of unsaturated soil slopes. Therefore, the importance is the study of saturated unsaturated soil behaviors in evaluation of slope stability under heavy rainfall condition. In an actual field, a series of failures may occur in a slope due to a rainfall event. So, this study attempts to develop a numerical model to investigate this failure mechanism. A two-dimensional seepage flow model coupled with a one-dimensional surface flow and erosion/deposition model is used for seepage analysis. It is necessary to identify either there is surface runoff produced or not in a soil slope during a rainfall event, while analyzing the seepage and stability of such slopes. Runoff produced by rainfall may result erosion/deposition process on the surface of the slope. The depth of runoff has vital role in the seepage process within the soil domain so that surface flow and erosion/deposition model computes the surface water head of the runoff produced by the rainfall, and erosion/deposition on the surface of the model slope. Pore water pressure and moisture content data obtained by the seepage flow model are then used to analyze the stability of the slope. Spencer method of slope stability analysis is incorporated into dynamic programming to locate the critical slip surface of a general slope.

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Evaluation of GPM satellite and S-band radar rain data for flood simulation using conditional merging method and KIMSTORM2 distributed model (조건부합성 기법과 KIMSTORM2 분포형 수문모형을 이용한 GPM 위성 강우자료 및 Radar 강우자료의 홍수모의 평가)

  • Kim, Se Hoon;Jung, Chung Gil;Jang, Won Jin;Kim, Seong Joon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.1
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    • pp.21-33
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    • 2019
  • This study performed to simulate the watershed storm runoff using data of S-band dual-polarization radar rain, GPM (Global Precipitation Mission) satellite rain, and observed rainfall at 21 ground stations operated by KMA (Korea Meteorological Administration) respectively. For the 3 water level gauge stations (Sancheong, Changchon, and Namgang) of NamgangDam watershed ($2,293km^2$), the KIMSTORM2 (KIneMatic wave STOrm Runoff Model2) was applied and calibrated with parameters of initial soil moisture contents, Manning's roughness of overland and stream to the event of typhoon CHABA (82 mm in watershed aveprage) in $5^{th}$ October 2016. The radar and GPM data was corrected with CM (Conditional Merging) method such as CM-corrected Radar and CM-corrected GPM. The CM has been used for accurate rainfall estimation in water resources and meteorological field and the method combined measured ground rainfall and spatial data such as radar and satellite images by the kriging interpolation technique. For the CM-corrected Radar and CM-corrected GPM data application, the determination coefficient ($R^2$) was 0.96 respectively. The Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) was 0.96 and the Volume Conservation Index (VCI) was 1.03 respectively. The CM-corrected data of Radar and GPM showed good results for the CHABA peak runoff and runoff volume simulation and improved all of $R^2$, NSE, and VCI comparing with the original data application. Thus, we need to use and apply the radar and satellite data to monitor the flood within the watershed.

Assessment of Rainfall-Sediment Yield-Runoff Prediction Uncertainty Using a Multi-objective Optimization Method (다중최적화기법을 이용한 강우-유사-유출 예측 불확실성 평가)

  • Lee, Gi-Ha;Yu, Wan-Sik;Jung, Kwan-Sue;Cho, Bok-Hwan
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.43 no.12
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    • pp.1011-1027
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    • 2010
  • In hydrologic modeling, prediction uncertainty generally stems from various uncertainty sources associated with model structure, data, and parameters, etc. This study aims to assess the parameter uncertainty effect on hydrologic prediction results. For this objective, a distributed rainfall-sediment yield-runoff model, which consists of rainfall-runoff module for simulation of surface and subsurface flows and sediment yield module based on unit stream power theory, was applied to the mesoscale mountainous area (Cheoncheon catchment; 289.9 $km^2$). For parameter uncertainty evaluation, the model was calibrated by a multi-objective optimization algorithm (MOSCEM) with two different objective functions (RMSE and HMLE) and Pareto optimal solutions of each case were then estimated. In Case I, the rainfall-runoff module was calibrated to investigate the effect of parameter uncertainty on hydrograph reproduction whereas in Case II, sediment yield module was calibrated to show the propagation of parameter uncertainty into sedigraph estimation. Additionally, in Case III, all parameters of both modules were simultaneously calibrated in order to take account of prediction uncertainty in rainfall-sediment yield-runoff modeling. The results showed that hydrograph prediction uncertainty of Case I was observed over the low-flow periods while the sedigraph of high-flow periods was sensitive to uncertainty of the sediment yield module parameters in Case II. In Case III, prediction uncertainty ranges of both hydrograph and sedigraph were larger than the other cases. Furthermore, prediction uncertainty in terms of spatial distribution of erosion and deposition drastically varied with the applied model parameters for all cases.

Distributed GIS-Based Watershed Rainfall-Runoff Model Development and Its Calibration using Weather Radar (기상레이더와 지형정보시스템을 이용한 분포형 강우-유출 유역모형의 개발과 검정)

  • Skahill, Brian E.;Choi, Woo-Hee;Kim, Min-Hwan;Kim, Sung-Kyun;Johnson, Lynn E.
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.285-300
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    • 2003
  • An event-based, kinematic, infiltration-excess, and distributed rainfall-runoff model using weather radar and Geographic Information System(GIS) was developed to acknowledge and account lot the spatial variability and uncertainty of several parameters relevant to storm surface runoff and surface flow The developed model is compatible with raster GIS and spatially and temporally varied rainfall data. To calibrate the model, Monte Carlo simulation and a likelihood measure are utilized; allowing for a range of possible system responses from the calibrated model. Using rain gauge adjusted radar-rainfall estimates, the developed model was applied and evaluated to a limited number of historical events for the Ralston Creek and Goldsmith Gulch basins within the Denver Urban Drainage and Flood Control District (UDFCD) that contain mixed land use classifications. While based on a limited number of Monte Carlo simulations and considered flood events, Nash and Sutcliffe efficiency score ranges of -0.19∼0.95 / -0.75∼0.81 were obtained from the calibrated models for the Ralston Creek and Goldsmith Gulch basins, based on a comparison of observed and simulated hydrographs. For the Ralston Creek and Goldsmith Gulch basins, Nash and Sutcliffe efficiency scores of 0.88/0.10, 0.14/0.71, and 0.99/0.95 for runoff volume, peak discharge, and time to peak, respectively, were obtained from the model.

Simulations of Runoff using Rice Straw Mats and Soil Amendments (볏짚거적과 토양개량제를 이용한 강우유출 모의)

  • Won, Chul-Hee;Shin, Min-Hwan;Choi, Yong-Hun;Shin, Jae-Young;Park, Woon-Ji;Choi, Joong-Dae
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.54 no.2
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    • pp.95-102
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    • 2012
  • The objective of this research was to experimentally test the effect of rice straw mats on the reduction of runoff, sediment discharge and turbidity under a laboratory scale. We used the small runoff plots of 1 m ${\times}$ 1 m ${\times}$ 0.65 m ($L{\times}W{\times}H$) in size filled with loamy sand. Experimental treatments were bare (control), rice straw mat cover of straw mats + PAM + Gypsum (SPG), rice straw mats + Chaff + PAM + Gypsum (SCPG) and rice straw mats + Sawdust + PAM + Gypsum (SSPG); slope of 10 % or 20 %; and rainfall intensity of 30 mm/hr. Runoff volume and rate of covered plots were significantly lower than those of control plot. Average runoff rate of covered plots, slope of 10 % and 20 %, decreased 85.6 % and 72 % in respectively. Sediment reduction ratio was more than 99 % regardless of slope. The differences runoff and sediment discharge among different cover materials were not significant. It was also shown that even if runoff reduction by surface cover were low, sediment discharge reduction could be very significant and contribute to improve the water quality of streams in sloping agricultural regions. It was concluded that the use of straw mat and soil amendments (PAM and Gypsum) on sloping agricultural fields could reduce soil erosion and muddy runoff significantly and help improve the water quality and aquatic ecosystem in receiving waters. But mixing effect of PAM and Gypsum was minimal.

A Study on the Water Cycle Improvement Plan of Low Impact Development (저영향개발 기법의 물순환 개선 방안 연구)

  • Kim, Byungsung;Lim, Seokhwa;Lee, Sangjin;Baek, Jongseok;Kim, Jaemoon
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.109-115
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    • 2020
  • Recently, since impervious areas have increased due to urban development, the water cycle system of urban watersheds has been destructed. Hence, researches on LID (Low Impact Development) technique have been conducted to solve such problems environmentally. In order to verify suitability with the scale and arrangement of LID technique, the runoff reduction effect of the LID technique should be analyzed per small watershed unit. In this study, pre-post difference of the runoff by applying the LID was estimated using the rational method and rainwater treatment capacity equation. As a result, the runoff before and after the application of LID were estimated as 22,533.5 ㎥ and 14,992.1 ㎥, respectively. In addition, rainfall-runoff simulations were carried out using SWMM to evaluate the efficiency of the LID technique. The SWMM simulation results showed that the runoff before and after the application of LID were 21,174 ㎥ and 15,664 ㎥, respectively. Based on the results of the two methods, the scale and arrangement of the LID technique were revised in order to maximize the effect of the water cycle improvement. Rainfall-runoff simulations were carried out using the SWMM with the revised LID techniques. As a result, despite 34.8 % reduction of pervious pavement area, the rate of runoff reduction increased by 2.1 %. These results indicate that designing the scale and arrangement of LID technique, while considering the total amount of inflow entering into each LID techniques, is essential to effectively achieve the goals of runoff reduction in urban development.

Sensitivity Analysis of the SWMM Model Parameters Based on Design Rainfall Condition (설계강우조건에 따른 SWMM모형 매개변수의 민감도 분석)

  • Lee, Jong-Tae;Hur, Sung-Chul;Kim, Tae-Hwa
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.38 no.3 s.152
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    • pp.213-222
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    • 2005
  • This study is a sensitivity analysis of the parameters which affect the simulation results under various design rainfall conditions, using the SWMM model, for three selected basins in urban areas. The sensitivity of the peak flow rate is defined by $S_Q$ (=1.0 - (min. ratio of peak flow rate/max. ratio of peak flow rate)), and the rainfall conditions are classified in terms of design rainfall frequency, duration, and distribution. The simulation results show that in most conditions the parameters - the impermeable area ratio, the sewer slope, and the initial infiltration capacity - have more significant effects on the results than other parameters. As the design rainfall frequency increases, the sensitivity of the sewer slope and sewer roughness increases, while the parameters related with the surface runoff decrease. When the rainfall duration increases, the sensitivities of most parameters of surface runoff and sewer flow decrease. Also, at the 1st quarterly Huff rainfall distribution condition, the impermeable area ratio has high sensitivity, but at the 4th quarterly condition the parameters related with sewer flow show higher sensitivities. These tendencies can be explained by considering the procedure for computing the effective rainfall and kinematic wave on the surface and sewer flow.

Effects of Surface Compaction Treatment on Soil Loss from Disturbed Bare Slopes under Simulated Rainfalls (인공강우 시 나지교란사면 토사유출에 미치는 다짐처리의 영향)

  • Park, Sang Deog;Shin, Seung Sook;Kim, Seon Jeong;Choi, Byoungkoo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.46 no.5
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    • pp.559-568
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    • 2013
  • Surface compaction significantly impacts runoff and soil erosion under rainfall since it leads to changes of soil physical characteristics such as increase of bulk density and shear stress, change of microporosity, and decrease of hydraulic conductivity. This study addressed surface compaction effects on runoff and soil loss from bare and disturbed soils that are commonly distributed on construction sites. Thirty-six rainfall simulations from three replicates of each involving rainfall intensities (68.5 mm/hr, 95.6 mm/hr) and plot gradients ($5^{\circ}$, $12.5^{\circ}$, $20^{\circ}$) were conducted to measure runoff and soil loss for two different soil surface treatments (compacted surface, non-compacted surface). Compacted surface increased significantly soil bulk density and soil strength. However, the effect of surface treatments on runoff changed with rainfall intensity and plot gradient. Rainfall intensity and plot gradient had a positive effect on mean soil loss. In addition, the effect of surface treatments on soil loss responded differently with rainfall intensity and plot gradient. Compacted surfaces increased soil loss at gentle slope ($5^{\circ}$) while they decreased soil loss at steep slope ($20^{\circ}$). These results indicate that there exists transitional slope range ($10{\sim}15^{\circ}$) between gentle and steep slope by surface compaction effects on soil loss under disturbed bare soils and simulated rainfalls.

A Study on Runoff Characteristics of Combined Sewer Overflow(CSO) in Urban Area Using GIS & SWMM

  • Kim, Jae-Hoon;Paik, Do-Hyeon
    • Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.467-474
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    • 2005
  • The runoff characteristics of combined sewer overflow(CSO) in the urban area of Jeonju were investigated and analyzed by using the SWMM (Storm Water Management Model) and GIS. From August to November 2004, investigations on two rainfall events were performed and flowrate, pH, BOD, COD, SS, T-N and T-P were measured. these data were used for model calibration. Using GIS technique, watershed characteristics of study area were calculated. that is, divide into sub_basin, total width, slope, make soil map etc. On the basis of the measured data and the simulation results by SWMM, it could be known that the $80-90\%$ of pollution load are discharged in early-stage storm runoff. SMC(site mean Concentration) for combined sewer system area were BOD 28.1, COD 31.5, SS 186 ppm etc. this is shown that during the rain fall, high concentration of waste was loaded to receiving water. Unit loads of combined sewer system area were BOD 306, COD 410, SS 789, T-N 79, T-P 6.8 kg/ha/yr.

Effects of Climate Change on the Streamflow for the Daechung Dam Watershed (기후변화에 따른 대청댐 유역의 유출 영향 분석)

  • Kim, Ung-Tae;Lee, Dong-Ryul;Yoo, Chul-Sang
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.37 no.4
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    • pp.305-314
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    • 2004
  • Climate change mainly due to the increase of green house gases cause different patterns of water cycle within the basin. However, it is common that current planning and management practices do not consider the effect of the climate change. So, this study evaluated the effect of climate change on the water circulation within the watershed. This study used several GCM simulations for the double $CO_2$condition for the generation of temperature and rainfall series using the Markov chain. Daily runoff series for 100 years were generated using a rainfall-runoff model. As results. annual temperature increase by +3.2 ∼+4.6$^{\circ}C$, annual precipitation change -7 ∼ +8 %, annual runoff change -14 ∼ +7 %, and potential evapotranspiration amount change +3 ∼+4 % for the change of 1 $^{\circ}C$ are found to be expected depending on GCM simulations. Even though the simulation results are very dependent on the GCM predictions considered, overall variability of runoff is expected to become higher than the current state.