• Title/Summary/Keyword: Rainfall threshold

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Analyzing the Characteristics of Atmospheric Stability from Radiosonde Observations in the Southern Coastal Region of the Korean Peninsula during the Summer of 2019 (라디오존데 고층관측자료를 활용한 한반도 남해안 지역의 2019년도 여름철 대기 안정도 특성 분석)

  • Shin, Seungsook;Hwang, Sung-Eun;Lee, Young-Tae;Kim, Byung-Taek;Kim, Ki-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.42 no.5
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    • pp.496-503
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    • 2021
  • By analyzing the characteristics of atmospheric stability in the southern coastal region of the Korean Peninsula in the summer of 2019, a quantitative threshold of atmospheric instability indices was derived for predicting rainfall events in the Korean Peninsula. For this analysis, we used data from all of the 243 radiosonde intensive observations recorded at the Boseong Standard Weather Observatory (BSWO) in the summer of 2019. To analyze the atmospheric stability of rain events and mesoscale atmospheric phenomena, convective available potential energy (CAPE) and storm relative helicity (SRH) were calculated and compared. In particular, SRH analysis was divided into four levels based on the depth of the atmosphere (0-1, 0-3, 0-6, and 0-10 km). The rain events were categorized into three cases: that of no rain, that of 12 h before the rain, and that of rain. The results showed that SRH was more suitable than CAPE for the prediction of the rainfall events in Boseong during the summer of 2019, and that the rainfall events occurred when the 0-6 km SRH was 150 m2 s-2 or more, which is the same standard as that for a possible weak tornado. In addition, the results of the atmospheric stability analysis during the Changma, which is the rainy period in the Korean Peninsula during the summer and typhoon seasons, showed that the 0-6 km SRH was larger than the mean value of the 0-10 km SRH, whereas SRH generally increased as the depth of the atmosphere increased. Therefore, it can be said that the 0-6 km SRH was more effective in determining the rainfall events caused by typhoons in Boseong in the summer of 2019.

Statistical nature of the dry and wet periods defined in the time series of annual precipitations (1771-1990) of seoul (서울의 연 강수량)

  • 임규호
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.123-137
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    • 1992
  • We analyzed a time series composed of the annual precipitations of Seoul based on the measurements of a Korean raingage and a modern raingage. The precipitations measured with a Korean raingage for the period of 1771 to 1907 are followed by the precipitations with a modern raingage for the period of 1908 to 1990. The latter part of the time series of annual precipitations were obtained from a book for annual precipitations of Korea by Korea Meteorological Administration and the former from Wada's table 1 for monthly precipitations reproduced from the daily rainfall measurements by a Korean raingage for the period of the Yi Dynasty. In our analysis three different precipitation regimes clearly stand out of the entire period. In order to define objectively the period of each precipitation regime we made a time series of 9 year moving averages from the above time series. By taking into account the shapes of the moving average time series and by using a threshold value of annual precipitation 1050 mm, we defined three precipitation regimes of wet period 1(WP1), dry period (DP), and wet period 2 (WP2). The WP1 and WP2 show very similar characteristics in out statistical analyses. On the other hand, DP is very different from the two periods in many statistical aspects. The strong similarities of the WP1 and WP2 regimes in the magnitudes of statistical parameters and in the shapes of their power spectrum distribution are supporting very positively the soundness of precipitation amounts measured with a Korean raingage in spite of numerous conceivable errors which might have been introduced into measurements of precipitation due to changes of observation site and environment, the scale of units employed, and urbanization of Seoul, etc. However, the annual precipitation amounts are not enough to examine throughly the characteristic of precipitation variations during the two regimes. It is definitely necessarly to recover the daily amounts of precipitation, based on two or three times measurements of rainfall with a Korean raingage, scattered in various ancient documents such as the official diary of 'Seungjeong-weon'

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Analysis of bifurcation characteristics for the Seolmacheon experimental catchment based on variable scale of source basin (수원 유역의 변동성 규모를 기반으로 한 설마천 시험유역의 분기 특성 해석)

  • Kim, Joo-Cheol;Jung, Kwan Sue
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.5
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    • pp.289-299
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    • 2021
  • This study analyzes bifurcation characteristics of the Seolmacheon experimental catchment by extracting the shape variation of channel network due to variable scale of source basin or threshold area. As the area of source basin decreases, a bifurcation process of channel network occurs within the basin of interest, resulting in the elongation of channel network (increase of total channel length) as well as the expansion of channel network (increase of the source number). In the former case, the elongation of channel reaches overwhelms the generation of sources, whereas, in the latter case, the drainage path network tends to fulfill the inner space of the basin of interest reflecting the opposite trend. Therefore, scale invariance of natural channel network could be expressed to be a balanced geomorphologic feature between the elongation of channel network and the expansion of channel network due to decrease of source basin scale. The bifurcation structure of the Seolmacheon experimental catchment can be characterized by the coexistence of the elongation and scale invariance of channel network, and thus a further study is required to find out which factor is more crucial to rainfall transformation into runoff.

Development and Application of Paddy Storage Estimation Model During Storm Periods (홍수기 논의 저류량 산정모형 개발 및 적용)

  • Kim, Seong-Joon;Kim, Sun-Joo;Yoon, Chun-Gyeong;Kwon, Hyung-Joong;Park, Geun-Ae
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.36 no.6
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    • pp.901-910
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    • 2003
  • The hydrologic behavior of paddy field depends largely on the irrigation and levee height management by farmers. The storage and drainage amount of paddy for storm events certainly influences the stream discharge. To understand the paddy storage effect during storm periods, a daily paddy water balance model embedding farmer's water management was developed by using 4 years (1996, 1997, 2001, 2002) field experimental data at 2 locations (Suwon and Yeoju) From the modeling, it was possible to simulate the daily ponding depth of paddy by treating paddy levee height and threshold pending depth indicating irrigation time as 10 days average parameters of the model. The storage amount(306.9 mm to 343.6 mm) showed little deviation to rainfall amount(425.1 mm to 850.8 mm).

An Evaluation of Snowmelt Effects Using SWAT in Chungju Dam Basin (SWAT을 활용한 충주댐 유역의 융설 영향 평가)

  • Kim, Nam-Won;Lee, Byong-Ju;Lee, Jeong-Eun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.39 no.10 s.171
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    • pp.833-844
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    • 2006
  • The objective of this study is to evaluate the snowmelt effects on the hydrological components, especially on the runoff, by using the soil water assessment tool(SWAT) which is a continuous semi-distributed long term rainfall-runoff model. The model was applied to the basin located in the upstream of the Chungju Dam. Some parameters in the snowmelt algorithm were estimated for the Chungju basin in order to reflect the snowmelt effects. The snowmelt effects were assessed by comparing the simulated runoff with the observed runoff data at the outlet of the basin. It was found out that the simulated runoff with considering the snowmelt component matches more satisfactorily to the observed one than without considering snowmelt effect. The simulation results revealed that the snowmelt effects were noticeable on March and April. Similar results were obtained at other two upstream gauging points. The effect of the elevation bands which distribute temperature and precipitation with elevation was analyzed. This study also showed that the snowmelt effect significantly affects the temporal distribution as well as quantity of the hydrological components. The simulated runoff was very sensitive to the change of temperature near the threshold temperature which the snowmelt can occur. However, the reason was not accounted for this paper, Therefore, further analyses related to this feature are needed.

Proposal and Application of Water Deficit-Duration-Frequency Curve using Threshold Level Method (임계수준 방법을 이용한 물 부족량-지속기간-빈도 곡선의 제안 및 적용)

  • Sung, Jang Hyun;Chung, Eun-Sung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.47 no.11
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    • pp.997-1005
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    • 2014
  • This study evaluated hydrological drought the using the annual minimum flow and the annual maximum deficit method and proposed the new concept of water deficit-duration-frequency curves similar to rainfall intensity-duration-frequency curves. The analysis results of the annual minimum flow, the return periods of hydrological drought in the most duration of 1989 and 1996yr were the longest. The analysis results of the annual maximum deficit, the return periods of 60-days and 90-day deficit which are relatively short duration were the longest in 1995yr, about 35-year, Hydrological drought lasted longer was in 1995, the return period was about 20-year. Though duration as well as magnitude is a key variable in drought analysis, it was found that the method using the annual minimum flow duration not distinguish duration.

Accessing socio-economic and climate change impacts on surface water availability in Upper Indus Basin, Pakistan with using WEAP model.

  • Mehboob, Muhammad Shafqat;Kim, Yeonjoo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.407-407
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    • 2019
  • According to Asian Development Bank report Pakistan is among water scarce countries. Climate scenario on the basis IPCC fifth assessment report (AR5) revealed that annual mean temperature of Pakistan from year 2010-2019 was $17C^o$ which will rise up to $21C^o$ at the end of this century, similarly almost 10% decrease of annual rainfall is expected at the end of the century. It is a changing task in underdeveloped countries like Pakistan to meet the water demands of rapidly increasing population in a changing climate. While many studies have tackled scarcity and stream flow forecasting of the Upper Indus Basin (UIB) Pakistan, very few of them are related to socio-economic and climate change impact on sustainable water management of UIB. This study investigates the pattern of current and future surface water availability for various demand sites (e.g. domestic, agriculture and industrial) under different socio-economic and climate change scenarios in Upper Indus Basin (UIB) Pakistan for a period of 2010 to 2050. A state-of-the-art planning tool Water Evaluation and Planning (WEAP) is used to analyze the dynamics of current and future water demand. The stream flow data of five sub catchment (Astore, Gilgit, Hunza, Shigar and Shoyke) and entire UIB were calibrated and validated for the year of 2006 to 2011 using WEAP. The Nash Sutcliffe coefficient and coefficient of determination is achieved ranging from 0.63 to 0.92. The results indicate that unmet water demand is likely to increase severe threshold and the external driving forces e.g. socio-economic and climate change will create a gap between supply and demand of water.

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Calculation of Direct Runoff Hydrograph considering Hydrodynamic Characteristics of a Basin (유역의 동수역학적 특성을 고려한 직접유출수문곡선 산정)

  • Choi, Yun-Ho;Choi, Yong-Joon;Kim, Joo-Cheol;Jung, Kwan-Sue
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.157-163
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    • 2011
  • In this study, after the target basin was divided into both overland and channel grids, the travel time from center of each grid cell to watershed's outlet was calculated based on the manning equation. Through this process, volumetric discharge was calculated according to the isochrones and finally, the direct runoff hydrograph was estimated considering watershed's hydrodynamic characteristics. Sanseong subwatershed located in main stream of Bocheong basin was selected as a target basin. The model parameters are only two: area threshold and channel velocity correction factor; the optimized values were estimated at 3,800 and 3.3, respectively. The developed model based on the tuned parameters led to well-matching results between observed and calculated hydrographs (mean of absolute error of peak discharge: 3.41%, mean of absolute error of peak time: 0.67 hr). Moreover, the analysis results regarding histogram of travel time-contribution area demonstrates that the proposed model characterizes relatively well hydrodynamic characteristics of the catchment due to effective rainfall.

The study of Heavy Rain Warning Information considering Threshold Rainfall and disaster risk (영향한계강우량과 재해위험성을 고려한 호우특보 기준에 관한 연구)

  • Hyeon Ji Lee;Dong Ho Kang;Yong In Song;Byung Sik Kim
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.188-188
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    • 2023
  • 지구온난화, ENSO 등 전지구적인 기후변화 현상으로 위험기상 발생이 증가하고 있다. 한반도는 삼면이 바다에 접하였기 때문에 매우 불안정한 대기로 저기압이 빈번히 통과하는 특징을 가지며, 우리나라는 매년 이상기후로 인한 기상재해로 인명 및 재산 피해가 증가하는 추세를 보이고 있다. 최근 10년간 가장 많이 발생한 피해액 기준 대형 자연재난은 호우로 총 49회 발생하였다. 호우는 다른 기상재해에 비해 발생 시간이 짧고, 공간 규모가 작을 뿐만 아니라 시공간적으로 변동성이 매우 크기 때문에 발생 시 많은 인명 및 재산 피해를 유발한다. 기상청은 호우 외 9가지 기상현상으로 인해 중대 재해 발생이 예상되는 경우 주의를 환기하거나 경고를 예보하는 특보를 발표한다. 현재 사용 중인 호우특보 기준은 기후변화와 위험기상 발생 패턴 변화에 따른 호우 피해와 강우량의 상관성을 고려해 3시간 강우량 개념으로 강우강도, 12시간 강우량 개념으로 누적강우량을 파악할 수 있게 개선한 결과이다. 그러나 지역 특성을 반영하지 아니하고, 하나의 특보 기준 값을 전 지자체에 적용하기 때문에 국지성 집중호우의 지역별 특성을 세세히 반영하지 못하는 등 한계를 보인다. 이와 반대로 영국의 경우 기상특보 기준에 기상현상이 미치는 영향을 포함하였으며, 일본의 경우 우리나라 시군구 개념인 시정촌별로 기상특보 기준을 다르게 설정하여 운영 중이다. 지역 특성을 반영한 해외 기상특보 사례와 달리 우리나라 기상특보는 지역별 위험 및 사회·경제적 취약성을 고려하지 않아 특보 기준 값이 획일화되어 있음을 확인했다. 이에 본 연구는 기상특보 중 호우특보로 연구 범위를 한정하고, 위험기상의 획일적 의사결정 시스템을 보완하기 위해 영향한계강우량과 재해위험성을 고려한 호우특보 기준을 연구하여 제안하고자 한다.

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Evapotranspiration of Soybean-Barley Cropping as a Function of Evaporation and Available Soil Water in the Root Zone (콩 보리 작부체계하(作付體系下)에서 대기증발요구(大氣蒸發要求) 및 토양수분(土壤水分)의 함수(函數)로서의 증발산량(蒸發散量))

  • Im, Jeong-Nam;Jung, Yeong-Sang;Ryu, Kwan-Shig;Yoo, Sun-Ho
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.213-220
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    • 1982
  • Soil water changes in lysimeters with four different soils and two different available soil depths were monitored during the growing seasons of the soybean-barley cropping from 1977 to 1980 in Suweon to evaluate evapotranspiration (ET) as a function of available soil water and evaporative demand of the atmosphere. ET was calculated with soil water profile and water balance. Soil water content was measured with a neutron moisture depth gauage and The evaporative demand of the atmosphere was estimated with a class A pan evaporation. Rainfall. solar radiation, and wind speed were observed to examine heat and water balances. The average ET of soybeans ranged from 1.6 mm/day at seedling to 6.5 mm/day at flowering, and that of barley ranged from 0.5 mm/day at the regrowth stage to 4.6 mm/day at heading; however, a large variability was observed. The ratio of ET to pan evaporation ($ET/E_o$) ranged from 0.5 to 1.1 for soybeans and 0.4 to 1.2 for barley. The soil evaporation factor ($K_e$) of the $ET/E_o$ component decreased as the soil water depleted and the canopy developed. The crop transpiration factor ($K_t$), another component of $ET/E_o$, also was a function of time and the soil water. $K_t$ was constant when the available soil water fraction (f) in the root zone was greater than a threshold value, and $K_e$ was decreased linearly when f was lower than this threshold. The threshold was 0.7 for the moderate evaporative demand days, 0.4 to 0.5 for the low evaporative demand days, and 0.9 to 0.96 for the high evaporative demand days. Conclusively, the ET can be estimated from the evaporative demand of the atmosphere, $E_o$, $K_e$ and $K_t$, and the available soil water content in the root zone.

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