• Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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• v.18 no.3
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• pp.97-104
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• 2010

The important factors in a flood simulation are hydrologic data (such as the rainfall and intensity), a threedimensional terrain model, and the hydrologic inundation calculation matrix. Should any of these factors lack accuracy, flood prediction data becomes unreliable and imprecise. The three-dimensional terrain model is constructed based on existing digital maps, current map updates, and airborne LiDAR data. This research analyzes and offers ways to improve the model's accuracy by comparing flood weakness areas selected according to the existing data on flood locations and design frequency.

• Atmosphere
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• v.27 no.4
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• pp.411-422
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• 2017

The aim of this research is to review recent trends in weather and climate research in North Korea. We selected North Korean journal 'Weather and Hydrology' for the last 10 years (2007-2016), and identified trends in research subject, researchers, and affiliations. Furthermore, we analyzed the major achievements and trends by research sector. Our main results are same as follows. The largest number of researches on 'modernization and informatization on prediction' have been carried out in North Korea's recent meteorological and climatological research. This could be implicated that the scope of national science policy directly affected the promotion of specific research field. Especially, North Korea was evaluated to be concentrating its efforts on numerical model research and development. The numerical model which enables very short-term (6 hours) rainfall forecast which using ensemble Kalman filter data assimilation method (4D EnKF) was developed. In addition, development of automatic weather system and improvement of the data transfer system were promoted. However, the result reveals that the automated real-time data transfer system was not fully equipped yet. These results could be used as a basic data for meteorological cooperation between South and North Korea.

• Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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• v.52 no.4
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• pp.83-91
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• 2010

Generally, the GCM (General Circulation Model) data by IPCC climate change scenarios are used for future weather prediction. IPCC GCM models predict well for the continental scale, but is not good for the regional scale. This paper tried to generate future temperature and precipitation of 8 scattered meteorological stations in South Korea by using the MIROC3.2 hires GCM data and applying LARS-WG downscaling method. The MIROC3.2 A1B scenario data were adopted because it has the similar pattern comparing with the observed data (1977-2006) among the scenarios. The results showed that both the future precipitation and temperature increased. The 2080s annual temperature increased $3.8{\sim}5.0^{\circ}C$. Especially the future temperature increased up to $4.5{\sim}7.8^{\circ}C$ in winter period (December-February). The future annual precipitation of 2020s, 2050s, and 2080s increased 17.5 %, 27.5 %, and 39.0 % respectively. From the trend analysis for the future projected results, the above middle region of South Korea showed a statistical significance for winter precipitation and south region for summer rainfall.

• Journal of Integrative Natural Science
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• v.8 no.3
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• pp.221-232
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• 2015

In this study, the vertical characteristics of wind were analyzed using the horizontal wind, vertical wind, and vertical wind shear, which are generated from a wind profiler during concentrated heavy rain, and the quantitative characteristics of concentrated heavy rain were analyzed using CAPE, SWEAT, and SRH, among the stability indexes. The analysis of the horizontal wind showed that 9 cases out of 10 had a low level jet of 25 kts at altitudes lower than 1.5 km, and that the precipitation varied according to the altitude and distribution of the low-level jet. The analysis of the vertical wind showed that it ascended up to about 3 km before precipitation. The analysis of the vertical wind shear showed that it increased up to a 1 km altitude before precipitation and had a strong value near 3 km during heavy rains. In the stability index analysis, CAPE, which represents thermal buoyancy, and SRH, which represents dynamic vorticity, were used for the interpretation of the period of heavy rain. As SWEAT contains dynamic upper level wind and thermal energy, it had a high correlation coefficient with concentrated-heavy-rain analysis. Through the case studies conducted on August 12-13, 2012, it was confirmed that the interpretation of the prediction of the period of heavy rain was possible when using the intensive observation data from a wind profiler and the stability index.

• Journal of the Korean earth science society
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• v.34 no.1
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• pp.102-106
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• 2013

The intensity of the East Asian summer monsoon has a negative correlation with that of the western North Pacific summer monsoon. Based on the relationship, we suggest the potential predictability of Northeast Asian summer precipitation by using the relationship. The western North Pacific subtropical high (WNPSH) properly represents the intensity of the western North Pacific summer monsoon. It also dominates climate anomalies in the western North Pacific-East Asian region in summertime. The estimates of the Northeast Asian summer rainfall anomalies using WNPSH variability have a greater benefit than those using the western North Pacific monsoon index.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.14 no.5
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• pp.1159-1166
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• 1994

This study presents the methodology for the performance analysis and prediction of small hydro power plants(SHP). Rainfall data are characterized to estimate the flow duration curve of SHP, using the cumulative density function of Weibull distribution. The model for the performance analysis of SHP is developed. Also, the performance characteristics of the existing Anheung Plant located in Han River basin are analyzed by using the developed model. As a result, it was found that the model is suitable to analyze the performance characteristics of existing SHP and to predict the primary design performance such as the design flowrate, capacity, rate of operation and annual electricity production of SHP.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2011.05a
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• pp.282-286
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• 2011

토양침식 및 유사유출로 인한 피해를 예방하고 대응방안을 수립하기 위해서는 침식의 발생원인과 규모에 대한 정량적 평가가 필요하다. 이를 위해서는 지속적인 계측에 의한 토양침식량 산정이 가장 바람직하지만 실질적으로 유역규모의 지속적인 모니터링은 불가능하므로 유역의 수문/지형/지질학적 특성을 고려한 수치모형을 사용하여 토양침식량 및 유사유출량을 산정하는 것이 일반적이다. 이러한 수치모형을 이용한 수문모의의 경우 모형의 구조, 모델링에 사용되는 자료, 매개변수 등에 포함된 다양한 불확실성 요인에 의해 계산결과에 상당한 불확실성을 포함하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 매개변수의 불확실성 전이에 따른 수문모의결과의 불확실성의 정량적인 평가를 위해 서로 다른 두가지 수문량(유출량, 유사유출량)을 제공하는 강우-유사-유출 모형을 선택하고, 다중최적화기법인 MOSCEM-UA을 이용하여 매개변수 상호작용에 의한 Pareto 최적해 군 및 균형최적해를 산정하고, 이에 따른 수문예측결과의 불확실성을 평가하였다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2011.05a
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• pp.33-33
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• 2011

현재 우리나라 기상청에서는 단기, 중기 및 장기 예보자료를 생산하고 있으나, 이들 자료는 단순히 일기 예보에 치중되어 생산되고 있어 강우-유출해석에 직접 적용하기에는 시 공간 해상도가 크고 정량적 강수예측의 정확도가 미흡하다. 이에 기상 및 수자원분야에서는 정확도 개선을 위해서 관측강우와 예측강우의 비교 분석을 통해 편차를 산정하여 예측강수를 보정하는 기법을 적용하고 있다. 다만, 기존의 편차보정방법은 보정인자로 강수량만을 고려하기 때문에 정확도 개선에는 한계가 존재한다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 수자원분야의 수치예보자료의 정확도를 향상시키기 위해 규모, 발생영역에 대한 강수의 특성을 고려한 강수예측자료의 편차보정 방법을 제안하고 이를 강우-유출모델에 적용하여 개선정도를 평가하고자 한다. 이에 적용유역을 춘천댐상류유역으로 선정하고 국내 기상청의 RDAPS(Regional Data Assimilation and Prediction System)수치예보자료, 지점강우자료, radar자료의 수문기상자료와 지형자료를 수집하였다. 화천, 평화의 댐 일부 미계측유역의 관측자료로 radar자료를 이용하였다. 이상의 자료를 토대로 강우강도 및 규모, 영향범위를 고려한 예측강우의 편차를 산정하여 RDAPS 수치예보자료의 정확도를 개선하고 평가하였다. 이는 해당 유역뿐만 아니라 주변 유역의 정보를 이용하여 예측강우의 발생위치에 대한 오차를 고려한 방법으로, 각 영역별로 예측강우의 편차보정계수를 산정하여 적용하였다. 또한, 이전시간대의 강우 편차에 대한 오차를 줄이기 위해 정규분포방법을 이용한 Ensemble 편차보정계수를 산정하고 최근 생산된 수치예보자료에 적용하여 확률예측강우를 산정하였다.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.34 no.3
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• pp.199-207
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• 2001

Due to the nationwide development, sediment yield has to be estimated to design the sedimentation basin which is used to minimize the effects of construction or disturbing the natural soil condition. But there is no proved equation for the estimation of sediment yield in Korea. Therefore, applicability and the limitation of RUSLE (revised universal sediment loss equation) sediment yield equation is examined for the construction sites, where the rainfall and sediment data are available. General mistakes in estimation of the RUSLE parameters are also discussed. It is found that RUSLE could be applied in Korea as long as the sediment delivery ratio was considered. Appropriate estimation method of sediment delivery ratio are also proposed.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.34 no.3
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• pp.209-216
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• 2001

Universal Soil Loss Equation(USLE) was developed for the estimation of the annual average soil loss from farm land. But, USLE has been applied in estimation of the sediment yield due to the construction activities in Korea without any calibration for last couple of years. Therefore, applicability and the limitation of the MUSLE(modified USLE), which was developed for the estimation of the sediment yield due to single rainfall event, is examined by application of MUSLE into several construction sites and comparing the estimated sediment yields with the actual ones. It is found that MUSLE could be applied in Korea as long as the concentration time, runoff volume and the peak flow rate are estimated with appropriate methods. Comparisons between the applicability of RUSLE and MUSLE are also carried out.