• Title/Summary/Keyword: Rainfall matrix

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Landslide Risk Assessment in Inje Using Logistic Regression Model (로지스틱 회귀분석을 이용한 인제군 산사태지역의 위험도 평가)

  • Lee, Hwan-Gil;Kim, Gi-Hong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.313-321
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    • 2012
  • Korea has been continuously affected by landslides, as 70% of the land is covered by mountains and most of annual rainfall concentrates between June and September. Recently, abrupt climate change affects the increase of landslide occurrence. Gangwon region is especially suffered by landslide damages, because the most of the part is mountainous, steep, and having shallow soil. In this study, a landslide risk assessment model was developed by applying logistic regression to the various data of Duksan-ri, Inje-eup, Inje-gun, Gangwon-do, which has suffered massive landslide triggered by heavy rain in July 2006. The information collected from field investigation and aerial photos right after the landslide of study area were stored in GIS DB for analysis. Slope gradient entered in two ways-as categorical variable and as linear variable. Error matrix for each case was made, and developed model showed the classification accuracy of 81.4% and 81.9%, respectively.

Soil Moisture Measurements and Correlation Analysis to Understand the Runoff Generation Process for a Bumrunsa Hillslope of Sulmachun Watershed (설마천 범륜사 사면 유출과정의 이해를 위한 실측토양수분 상관도 분석)

  • Kim, Sang-Hyun;Kang, Mi-Jeong;Kwak, Yong-Seok
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.44 no.5
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    • pp.351-362
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    • 2011
  • The soil moisture measurements and correlation analysis are presented to improve understanding the hydrological process at the hillslope scale. The rainfall events is a main driver of soil moisture variation, and its stochastic characteristic need to be properly treated prior to the correlation analysis between soil moisture measurements. Using field measurements for two designated periods during the late summer and autumn seasons in 2007 obtained from the Bumrunsa hillslope located at the Sulmachun watershed, prewhitened correlation analysis were performed for 8, 14, 7 and 7 relationships representing the vertical, lateral, recharge and return flows, for two designated periods, respectively. The analysis indicated both temporal and spatial variation patterns of hydrological processes, which can be explained by the relative contribution of matrix and macropore flows and the impact of transect topography, respectively.

Generalization of Modified TOPMODEL for Rainfall-Runoff Analysis of Sulmachun Watershed (수정 TOPMODEL에 의한 유출해석과 일반화 (설마천 유역을 중심으로))

  • Lee, Hak-Su;Kim, Nam-Won;Kim, Sang-Hyeon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.35 no.3
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    • pp.295-306
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    • 2002
  • The modified TOPMODEL of two storage systems has been integrated to the generalized assumptions of decreasing hydraulic conductivity to vertical direction. Three different recharge functions were introduced to explore the impact of the macropore flow to vortical direction, the storage at the surface zone and the relative storage deficit of the soil matrix. Combinations of these approaches provide 30 type of the model structure for the hillslope hydrology. Developed models have been applied to several hydrologic events at the Sulmachun watershed. The performance evaluation with the Monte carlo simulation suggests that the exponential function of transmissivity reduction should be appropriate form for the physically -based hydrologic simulation on the Sulmachun watershed. It has been shown that the recharge function of macropore flow contributes to improve the predictability of the generalized version of modified TOPMODEL.

Assessment of Water Quality in the Lower Reaches Namhan River by using Statistical Analysis and Water Quality Index (WQI) (통계분석 및 수질지수를 이용한 남한강 하류 유역의 수질 평가)

  • Cho, Yong-Chul;Choi, Hyeon-Mi;Ryu, In-Gu;Kim, Sang-hun;Shin, Dongseok;Yu, Soonju
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.37 no.2
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    • pp.114-127
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    • 2021
  • Water pollution in the lower reaches of the Namhan River is getting worse due to drought and a decrease in water quantity due to climatic changes and hence is affecting the water quality of Paldang Lake. Accordingly, we have used a water quality index (WQI) and statistical analysis in this study to identify the characteristics of the water quality in the lower reaches of the Namhan River, the main causes of water pollution, and tributaries that need priority management. Typically, 10 items (WT, pH, EC, DO, BOD, COD, SS, T-N, T-P, and TOC) were used as the water quality factors for the statistical analysis, and the matrix of data was set as 324 × 10·1. The correlation analysis demonstrated a strong correlation between Chemical Oxygen Demand (COD) and T-P with a high statistical significance (r=0.700, p<0.01). Furthermore, the result of principal component analysis (PCA) revealed that the main factors affecting the change in water quality were T-P and organic substances introduced into the water by rainfall. Based on the Mann-Kendall test, a statistically significant increase in pH was observed in SH-1, DL, SH-2, CM, and BH, along with an increase in WQI in SH-2 and SM. BH was identified as a tributary that needs priority management in the lower reaches of the Namhan River, with a "Somewhat poor" (IV) grade in T-P, "Fair" grade in WQI, and "Marginal" grade in summer.

Assessment of Slope Failures Potential in Forest Roads using a Logistic Regression Model (로지스틱 회귀분석을 이용한 임도붕괴 위험도 평가)

  • Baek, Seung-An;Cho, Koo-Hyun;Hwang, Jin-Sung;Jung, Do-Hyun;Park, Jin-Woo;Choi, Byoungkoo;Cha, Du-Song
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.105 no.4
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    • pp.429-434
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    • 2016
  • Slope failures in forest roads often result in social and economic loss as well as environmental damage. This study was carried out to assess susceptibility of slope failures of forest roads in Hongcheon-gun, Gangwon-do where many slope failures occurred after heavy rainfall in 2013 using GIS and logistic regression analysis. The results showed that sandy soil (6.616) in soil texture type had the highest susceptibility to slope failures while medium class (-3.282) in tree diameter showed the lowest susceptibility. A error matrix for both slope failure and non-slope failure area was made and a model was developed showing a classification accuracy of 74.6%. Non-slope failures area in the forest roads were classified mostly in the range of >0.7 which was higher values than the classification criteria (0.5) used by the logistic regression model. It is suggested that considering forest environment and site factors related to forest road failures would improve the accuracy in predicting susceptibility of slope failures.

Change in Fluorescence Characteristics of Dissolved Organic Matter at Inflow Stream per Catchment of Different Land Use (토지이용도가 다른 소유역별 유입하천에서 용존유기물 형광특성 변화)

  • Kim, Sea-Won;Oh, Jong-Min;Lee, Bo-Mi;Choi, Kwang-Soon
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.44 no.3
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    • pp.292-302
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    • 2011
  • The Lake Sihwa watershed includes industrial, urban, and rural areas simultaneously. In this study, we analyzed the characteristics of dissolved organic matter (DOM) in spatial-temporal runoff patterns at representative sites having different land use in the watershed of Lake Sihwa. The result of synchronous and 3D-EEMs(3-Dimensional Excitation Emission Matrix Spectroscopy) analysis in 4TG (industrial area), fluorescence distribution and variation clearly appeared in the Fulvic-like fluorescence (FLF) and Humic-like fluorescence (HLF) regions along with the Protein-like fluorescence (PLF) region. A characteristic that Peak A (HLF) region fluorescence intensity did not decrease and the HLF region of fluorescence intensity and spatial-temporal changes clearly appeared during rainfall in AS (urban area). The results of fluorescence analysis in MS did not show great changes in PLF and FLF while showing that fluorescence intensity changes over time in the Terrestrial-like fluorescence (THLF) region increased greatly. In conclusion, our results showed significant differences in the runoff characteristics of DOM particularly in industrial, urban and rural area, and these differences should be considered for the efficient controlling of DOM in the watershed.

Multiple Regression Equations for Estimating Water Supply Capacities of Dams Considering Influencing Factors (영향요인을 고려한 댐 용수공급능력 추정 회귀모형)

  • Kang, Min Goo;Lee, Gwang Man
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.45 no.11
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    • pp.1131-1141
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    • 2012
  • In this study, factors that influence water supply capacities of dams are extracted using factor analysis, and multiple regression equations for estimating water supply capacities of dams are developed using the analysis results. Twenty-one multi-purpose dams and twelve Municipal and Industrial (M&I) water supply dams are selected for case studies, and eight variables influencing water supply capacities of dams, namely: watershed area, inflow, effective reservoir storage, grade on amount of M&I water supply, grade on amount of agricultural water supply, grade on amount of in-stream flow supply, grade on river administration, and grade on average rainfall, are determined. Two case studies for multi-purpose dams and M&I water supply dams are performed, employing factor analysis, respectively. For the two cases, preliminary tests, such as reviewing matrix of correlation coefficient, Bartlett's test of sphericity, and Kaiser-Meyer-Olkin (KMO) test, are conducted to evaluate the suitability of the variables for factor analysis. In case of multi-purpose dams, variables are grouped into three factors; M&I water supply dams, two factors. The factors are rotated using Varimax method, and then factor loading of each variable is computed. The results show that the variables influencing water supply capacities of dams are reasonably selected and appropriately grouped into factors. In addition, multiple regression equations for predicting the amounts of annual water supply of dams are established using the factor scores as explanatory variables, it is identified that the models' accuracies are high, and their applications to determining effective storage capacity of a dam during dam planning and design steps are presented. Consequently, it is thought that the variables and factors are useful for dam planning and dam design.

Mapping Technique for Flood Vulnerable Area Using Surface Runoff Mechanism (지표유출메커니즘을 활용한 홍수취약지구 표출 기법)

  • LEE, Jae-Yeong;HAN, Kun-Yeun;KIM, Hyun-Il
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.181-196
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    • 2019
  • Floods can be caused by a variety of factors, and the main cause of floods is the exceeding of urban drainage system or river capacity. In addition, rainfall frequently occurs that causes large watershed runoff. Since the existing methodology of preparing for flood risk map is based on hydraulic and hydrological modeling, it is difficult to analyse for a large area because it takes a long time due to the extensive data collection and complex analysis process. In order to overcome this problem, this study proposes a methodology of mapping for flood vulnerable area that considered the surface runoff mechanism. This makes it possible to reduce the time and effort required to estimate flood vulnerabilities and enable detailed analysis of large areas. The target area is Seoul, and it was confirmed that flood damage is likely to occur near selected vulnerable areas by verifying using 2×2 confusion matrix and ROC curve. By selecting and prioritizing flood vulnerable areas through the surface runoff mechanism proposed in this study, the establishment of systematic disaster prevention measures and efficient budget allocation will be possible.

Groundwater Flow Model for the Pollutant Transport in Subsurface Porous Media Theory and Modeling (지하다공질(地下多孔質) 매체(媒體)속에서의 오염물질이동(汚染物質移動) 해석(解析)을 위한 지하수(地下水)흐름 모형(模型))

  • Cho, Won Cheal
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.97-106
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    • 1989
  • This paper is on the modeling of two-dimensional groundwater flow, which is the first step of the development of Dynamic System Model for groundwater flow and pollutant transport in subsurface porous media. The particular features of the model are its versatility and flexibility to deal with as many real-world problems as possible. Points as well as distributed sources/sinks are included to represent recharges/pumping and rainfall infiltrations. All sources/sinks can be transient or steady state. Prescribed hydraulic head on the Dirichlet boundaries and fluxes on Neumann or Cauchy boundaries can be time-dependent or constant. Sources/sinks strength over each element and node, hydraulic head at each Dirichlet boundary node and flux at each boundary segment can vary independently of each other. Either completely confined or completely unconfined aquifers, or partially confined and partially unconfined aquifers can be dealt with effectively. Discretization of a compound region with very irregular curved boundaries is made easy by including both quadrilateral and triangular elements in the formulation. Large-field problems can be solved efficiently by including a pointwise iterative solution strategy as an optional alternative to the direct elimination solution methed for the matrix equation approximating the partial differential equation of groundwater flow. The model also includes transient flow through confining leaky aquifers lying above and/or below the aquifer of interest. The model is verified against three simple cases to which analytical solutions are available. The groundwater flow model shall be combined with the model of pollutant transport in subsurface porous media. Then the combined model, with the applications of the Eigenvalue technique and the Dynamic system theory, shall be improved to the Dynamic System Model which can simulate the real groundwater flow and the pollutant transport accurately and effectively for the analyses and predictions.

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Analysis of Effect of Environment on Growth and Yield of Autumn Kimchi Cabbage in Jeonnam Province using Big Data (빅데이터를 활용한 재배환경이 전라남도 지방 가을배추의 생육과 수량에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Wi, Seung Hwan;Lee, Hee Ju;Yu, In Ho;Jang, YoonAh;Yeo, Kyung-Hwan;An, Sewoong;Lee, Jin Hyoung
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.183-193
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    • 2020
  • This study was conducted to evaluate the effect of environment factors on the growth of autumn season cultivation of Kimchi cabbage using the big data in terms of public open data(weather, soil information, and growth of crop, etc.). The growth data and the environment data such as temperature, daylength, and rainfall from 2010 to 2019 were collected. As a result of composing the correlation matrix, the height and leaf number showed high correlation in growing degree days(GDDs) and daylength, and the yield showed negative correlation in growing degree days and the concentration of clay. GDDs and daylength explained about 89% and 84% of variation in height, respectively. These two environmental factors also explained about 85% and 79% of variation in leaf numbers, respectively. In contrast, the coefficient of determination was low for yield when GDDs and concentration of clay was used. The outcome of regional statistical analysis indicated that relationship between yield and sum of sand and silt were high in Haenam and Jindo areas. Hierarchical cluster analysis, which was performed to verify the association of yield, GDDs, and concentration of clay, showed that Haenam and Jindo were clustered together. Although GDDs and yield vary by year and region, and there are regions with similar concentration of clays, observation data are grouped as the result. These suggests that GDDs and soil texture are expected to be related to yield. The cluster analysis results can be used for further data analysis and agricultural policy establishment.