• Title/Summary/Keyword: Rainfall indices

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Selection of dominant meteorological indices related with heavy rainfall caused by BAIU activity

  • Koji, Nishiyama;Yoshitaka, I;Kenji, Jinno;Akira, Kawamura
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2003.05a
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    • pp.163-170
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    • 2003
  • In this study, paying much attention to notable features obtained from spatial distributions of strongly related indices (precipitable water, convergence of air, convective available potential energy) with precipitation, fatal problems in selecting strongly related indices with observed precipitation in a BAIU season were discussed. These results showed spatial distribution of a predicted index provided alternative and physically consistent interpretation for selecting dominant index for heavy rainfall even if the predicted index did not correlate with observed rainfall at a specific observational point as confirmed by the features of CONV (Convergence) or even if it correlated with observed rainfall as confirmed by those of PW (Precipitable Water). Therefore, dominant meteorological indices of heavy rainfall should be selected according to physically evidenced interpretation on features of spatial distributions of indices, and physically and statistically consistent relationship should be built up.

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Rainfall Trend Detection Using Non Parametric Test in the Yom River Basin, Thailand

  • Mama, Ruetaitip;Bidorn, Butsawan;Namsai, Matharit;Jung, Kwansue
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.424-424
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    • 2017
  • Several studies of the world have analyzed the regional rainfall trends in large data sets. However, it reported that the long-term behavior of rainfall was different on spatial and temporal scales. The objective of this study is to determine the local trends of rainfall indices in the Yom River Basin, Thailand. The rainfall indices consist of the annual total precipitation (PRCTPOP), number of heavy rainfall days ($R_{10}$), number of very heavy rainfall days ($R_{20}$), consecutive of dry days (CDD), consecutive of wet days (CWD), daily maximum rainfall ($R_{x1}$), five-days maximum rainfall ($R_{x5}$), and total of annual rainy day ($R_{annual}$). The rainfall data from twelve hydrological stations during the period 1965-2015 were used to analysis rainfall trend. The Mann-Kendall test, which is non-parametric test was adopted to detect trend at 95 percent confident level. The results of these data were found that there is only one station an increasing significantly trend in PRCTPOP index. CWD, which the index is expresses longest annual wet days, was exhibited significant negative trend in three locations. Meanwhile, the significant positive trend of CDD that represents longest annual dry spell was exhibited four locations. Three out of thirteen stations had significant decreasing trend in $R_{annual}$ index. In contrast, there is a station statistically significant increasing trend. The analysis of $R_{x1}$ was showed a station significant decreasing trend at located in the middle of basin, while the $R_{x5}$ of the most locations an insignificant decreasing trend. The heavy rainfall index indicated significant decreasing trend in two rainfall stations, whereas was not notice the increase or decrease trends in very heavy rainfall index. The results of this study suggest that the trend signal in the Yom River Basin in the half twentieth century showed the decreasing tendency in both of intensity and frequency of rainfall.

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A Study on Variability of Extreme Precipitation by Basin in South Korea (한국의 유역별 호우변화에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Seung-Ho;Kim, Eun-Kyung;Heo, In-Hye
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.505-520
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    • 2011
  • This study is aimed to examine the change on extreme precipitation events in South Korea. The country is divided into six basins, and seven extreme precipitation indices-related to heavy rainfall are analyzed at sixty weather stations. The increasing trend in amount of heavy rainfall is more stable than that in days of heavy rainfall. The increasing trend is the most stable when days of rainfall are more than 50 mm, or rainfall is over the 95th percentile. The precipitation indices-related to heavy rainfall was mostly increasing during analysis period. Especially, basins of the Han river, the upper Nakdong river, and the Eastern coast show significantly increasing trends compared to the other basins. However, the increasing trends of the Geum river and the Seomjin river are not statistically significant. Heavy rainfall events had stably increased in the Han and the Nakdong rivers since the mid-1970s. However, the number of stably increasing regions has decreased since the mid-2000s. It means that the frequency and intensity of the recent heavy rainfall become more irregular.

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Analysis of the Applicability of Flood Risk Indices According to Flood Damage Types (홍수피해유형별 홍수 위험 지수 적용성 분석)

  • Kim, Myojeong;Kim, Gwangseob
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.29-39
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    • 2018
  • In this study, the applicabilities of flood risk indices using FVI from IPCC, PSR method from OECD, and DPSIR method from EEA, were analyzed. Normalized values of daily maximum rainfall, hourly maximum rainfall, ten minute maximum rainfall, annual precipitation, total days of heavy rainfall (more than 80mm/day), density of population, density of asset, DEM, road statistics, river maintenance ratio, reservoir capacity, supply ratio of water supply and sewerage, and pumping capacity were constructed from 2000 to 2015 for nationwide 113 watersheds, to estimate flood risk indices. The estimated indices were compared to 4 different types of flood damage such as the number of casualties, damage area, the amount of flood damage, and flood frequency. The relationships between flood indices and different flood damage types demonstrated that the flood index using the PSR method shows better results for the amount of flood damage, the number of casualties and damage area, and the flood index using the DPSIR method shows better results for flood frequency.

Selection of Climate Indices for Nonstationary Frequency Analysis and Estimation of Rainfall Quantile (비정상성 빈도해석을 위한 기상인자 선정 및 확률강우량 산정)

  • Jung, Tae-Ho;Kim, Hanbeen;Kim, Hyeonsik;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.39 no.1
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    • pp.165-174
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    • 2019
  • As a nonstationarity is observed in hydrological data, various studies on nonstationary frequency analysis for hydraulic structure design have been actively conducted. Although the inherent diversity in the atmosphere-ocean system is known to be related to the nonstationary phenomena, a nonstationary frequency analysis is generally performed based on the linear trend. In this study, a nonstationary frequency analysis was performed using climate indices as covariates to consider the climate variability and the long-term trend of the extreme rainfall. For 11 weather stations where the trend was detected, the long-term trend within the annual maximum rainfall data was extracted using the ensemble empirical mode decomposition. Then the correlation between the extracted data and various climate indices was analyzed. As a result, autumn-averaged AMM, autumn-averaged AMO, and summer-averaged NINO4 in the previous year significantly influenced the long-term trend of the annual maximum rainfall data at almost all stations. The selected seasonal climate indices were applied to the generalized extreme value (GEV) model and the best model was selected using the AIC. Using the model diagnosis for the selected model and the nonstationary GEV model with the linear trend, we identified that the selected model could compensate the underestimation of the rainfall quantiles.

Drought Index Calculation for Irrigation Reservoirs (관개용 저수지의 한발지수산정)

  • 김선주;이광야;신동원
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.37 no.6
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    • pp.103-111
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    • 1995
  • Drought index calculation based on the principal hydrological parameters, such as rainfall and reservoir storage, can estimate the duration and intensity of drought in irrigation reservoirs. It is difficult to build up a drought criteria since the conditions change variously by the reliability of rainfall. Because of the increasing water demands, it is urgent to prepare a generalized positive countermeasure to overcome drought. Water demands can at calculated but the estimation of drought characteristics, and the effective water management method can be established. The purpose of this study is to obtain a drought index and build up a data-base on the reservoir basins for establishing the fundamental hydrological data-base. This Index can observe the behavior of the WSI(Water Supply Index) and the component indices. The results summarized through this study are as follows. 1. WSI value of zero does not correspond to 100% in average due to the skewness in the probability distributions. 2. WSI is not a linear index; that is, given change in terms of water volume or percentage of average does not result in a proportional change on the WSI scale. 3. WSI is not always between the reservoir and the rainfall index in magnitude. This is only true if the component indices are of opposite sign. If they are of the same sign, the SWSI will often have a mangitude greater than either of the component indices. This is easily understood, because the concurrence of extreme values of the same sign for the two components is rarer than the occurrence of extreme values for either of the two components individually.

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Evaluation of Probability Precipitation using Climatic Indices in Korea (기상인자를 이용한 우리나라의 확률강수량 평가)

  • Oh, Tae-Suk;Moon, Young-Il
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.42 no.9
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    • pp.681-690
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    • 2009
  • In this research, design precipitation was calculated by reflecting the climatic indices and its uncertainty assessment was evaluated. Climatic indices used the sea surface temperature and moisture index which observed globally. The correlation coefficients were calculated between the annual maximum precipitation and the climatic indices. and then climatic indices which have the larger correlation coefficient were selected. Therefore, the regression relationship was established by a locally weighted polynomial regression. Next, climatic indices were generated by montecarlo simulation using kernel function. Finally, the design rainfall was calculated by the locally weighted polynomial regression using generated climatic indices. At the result, the comparison of design rainfall between the reflection of the climatic indices and the frequency analysis did not indicate a significant difference. Also, this result can be used as basic data for calculation of probability precipitation to reflect climate change.

Gauging the climate-associated risks for paddy water management based on reservoir performance indices

  • Ahmad, Mirza Junaid;Cho, Gun-ho;Choi, Kyung-sook
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.515-515
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    • 2022
  • Climate change is strongly threatening the performance of agricultural reservoirs, which are instrumental in ensuring uninterrupted water supplies for rice cultivation in Korea. In this study, various performance indices were derived and overall sustainability of the 400 agricultural reservoirs was evaluated in the context of climate change trends during 1973-2017. Rice crop evapotranspiration, irrigation water requirements, runoff generation in the upstream watershed, and volumetric evaporation losses were plugged into a water balance model to simulate the reservoir operation during the study period. Resilience, reliability, and vulnerability are the three main indicators of reservoir performance, and these were combined into a single sustainability metric to define the overall system credibility. Historical climate data analysis confirmed that the country is facing a gradual warming shift, particularly in the central and southern agricultural regions. Although annual cumulative rainfall increased over the last 45 years, uneven monthly rainfall distribution during the dry and wet seasons also exacerbated the severity and frequency of droughts/floods. For approximately 85% of the selected reservoirs, the sustainability ranged between 0.35 to 0.77, and this range narrowed sharply with time, particularly for the reservoirs located in the western and southern coast regions. The study outcomes could help in developing the acceptable ranges of the performance indices and implementing appropriate policy and technical interventions for improving the sustainability of reservoirs with unacceptable ranges of the performance indices.

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Comparative Analysis of Italian Ryegrass Vegetation Indices across Different Sowing Seasons Using Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (무인기를 이용한 이탈리안 라이그라스의 파종계절별 식생지수 비교)

  • Yang Seung Hak;Jung Jeong Sung;Choi Ki Choon
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Grassland and Forage Science
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    • v.43 no.2
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    • pp.103-108
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    • 2023
  • Due to the recent impact of global warming, heavy rainfall and droughts have been occurring regardless of the season, affecting the growth of Italian ryegrass (IRG), a winter forage crop. Particularly, delayed sowing due to frequent heavy rainfall or autumn droughts leads to poor growth and reduced winter survival rates. Therefore, techniques to improve yield through additional sowing in spring have been implemented. In this study, the growth of IRG sown in Spring and Autumn was compared and analyzed using vegetation indices during the months of April and May. Spectral data was collected using an Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) equipped with a hyperspectral sensor, and the following vegetation indices were utilized: Normalized Difference Vegetation Index; NDVI, Normalized Difference Red Edge Index; NDRE (I), Chlorophyll Index, Red Green Ratio Index; RGRI, Enhanced Vegetation Index; EVI and Carotenoid Reflectance Index 1; CRI1. Indices related to chlorophyll concentration exhibited similar trends. RGRI of IRG sown in autumn increased during the experimental period, while IRG sown in spring showed a decreasing trend. The results of RGRI in IRG indicated differences in optical characteristics by sowing seasons compared to the other vegetation indices. Our findings showed that the timing of sowing influences the optical growth characteristics of crops by the results of various vegetation indices presented in this study. Further research, including the development of optimal vegetation indices related to IRG growth, is necessary in the future.

Effect of Balloonflower and Potato Cultivation on Runoff and NPS Pollution Loads (도라지와 감자 재배가 유출과 비점오염부하에 미치는 영향)

  • Shin, Jae Young;Shin, Min Hwan;Choi, Yong Hoon;Kang, Hyun Woo;Won, Chul Hee;Hwang, Moon Young;Yang, Hee Jung;Lim, Kyoung Jae;Choi, Joong Dae
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.54 no.6
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    • pp.89-99
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    • 2012
  • An upland monitoring was conducted for about 4 years with respect to the water and quality of rainfall-runoff. The objective was to characterize of runoff and nonpoint source (NPS) pollution from a sandy field with 4.5 % in slope under balloonflower (2008-2010) and potato (2011) cultivation. Balloonflower was cultivated without any surface cover but potato was grown under plastic mulching. Runoff rate, EMCs and NPS pollution loads were estimated. The first flush effect was evaluated, and the correlation coefficient among the selected water quality indices were analyzed. Average rainfall size was higher by 2.3 mm when balloonflower was cultivated but average runoff rate was higher by 0.02 when potato was cultivated due to the plastic mulching. EMCs monitored from balloonflower field were higher than potato field except SS and TN, but all NPS pollution loads of potato field were 2.1~22.9 times greater than balloonflower field because of larger runoff volume. As a result of first flush effects, balloonflower and potato field were more influenced by increasing of accumulated rainfall and rainfall intensity rather than first flush. In the result of correlation analysis, there were no evident correlations between runoff and water quality indices. However, there were obvious correlations between SS and the other indices except TN. As a result of this study, it was thought that perennial balloonflower crop could help reduce runoff and NPS pollution loads but annual crop with plastic mulching increase them.