• Title/Summary/Keyword: Rainfall generation model

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The Impacts on Flow by Hydrological Model with NEXRAD Data: A Case Study on a small Watershed in Texas, USA (레이더 강수량 데이터가 수문모델링에서 수량에 미치는 영향 -미국 텍사스의 한 유역을 사례로-)

  • Lee, Tae-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.46 no.2
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    • pp.168-180
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    • 2011
  • The accuracy of rainfall data for a hydrological modeling study is important. NEXRAD (Next Generation Radar) rainfall data estimated by WRS-88D (Weather Surveillance Radar - 1988 Doppler) radar system has advantages of its finer spatial and temporal resolution. In this study, NEXRAD rainfall data was tested and compared with conventional weather station data using the previously calibrated SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool) model to identify local storms and to analyze the impacts on hydrology. The previous study used NEXRAD data from the year of 2000 and the NEXRAD data was substituted with weather station data in the model simulation in this study. In a selected watershed and a selected year (2006), rainfall data between two datasets showed discrepancies mainly due to the distance between weather station and study area. The largest difference between two datasets was 94.5 mm (NEXRAD was larger) and 71.6 mm (weather station was larger) respectively. The differences indicate that either recorded rainfalls were occurred mostly out of the study area or local storms only in the study area. The flow output from the study area was also compared with observed data, and modeled flow agreed much better when the simulation used NEXRAD data.

Climate-instigated disparities in supply and demand constituents of agricultural reservoirs for paddy-growing regions

  • Ahmad, Mirza Junaid;Cho, Gun-ho;Choi, Kyung-sook
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.516-516
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    • 2022
  • Agricultural reservoirs are critical water resources structures to ensure continuous water supplies for rice cultivation in Korea. Climate change has increased the risk of reservoir failure by exacerbating discrepancies in upstream runoff generation, downstream irrigation water demands, and evaporation losses. In this study, the variations in water balance components of 400 major reservoirs during 1973-2017 were examined to identify the reservoirs with reliable storage capacities and resilience. A conceptual lumped hydrological model was used to transform the incident rainfall into the inflows entering the reservoirs and the paddy water balance model was used to estimate the irrigation water demand. Historical climate data analysis showed a sharp warming gradient during the last 45 years that was particularly evident in the central and southern regions of the country, which were also the main agricultural areas with high reservoir density. We noted a country-wide progressive increase in average annual cumulative rainfall, but the forcing mechanism of the rainfall increment and its spatial-temporal trends were not fully understood. Climate warming resulted in a significant increase in irrigation water demand, while heavy rains increased runoff generation in the reservoir watersheds. Most reservoirs had reliable storage capacities to meet the demands of a 10-year return frequency drought but the resilience of reservoirs gradually declined over time. This suggests that the recovery time of reservoirs from the failure state had increased which also signifies that the duration of the dry season has been prolonged while the wet season has become shorter and/or more intense. The watershed-irrigated area ratio (W-Iratio) was critical and the results showed that a slight disruption in reservoir water balance under the influence of future climate change would seriously compromise the performance of reservoirs with W-Iratio< 5.

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Study on Improvement of Calibration/Validation of SWAT for Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Land Uses and Rainfall Patterns (강수패턴과 토지이용의 시공간적 분석을 위한 SWAT모형의 검보정 개선방안 연구)

  • Lee, Ji-Won;Kum, Donghyuk;Kim, Bomchul;Kim, Young Sug;Jeong, Gyo-Cheol;Kim, Ki-Sung;Choi, Joong-Dae;Lim, Kyoung Jae
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.365-376
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study was to evaluate effects of spatio-temporal changes in land uses and rainfall magnitude using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT). Prior of application of the model to real-world problem, the model should be calibrated and validated properly. In most modeling approaches, the validation process is done assuming no significant changes occurring at the study watershed between calibration and validation periods, which is not proper assumption for agricultural watersheds. If simulated results obtained with calibrated parameters match observed data with higher accuracy for validation period, this does not always mean the simulated result represents rainfall-runoff, pollutant generation and transport mechanism for validation period because temporal and spatial variables and rainfall magnitude are often not the same. In this study SWAT was applied to Mandae study watershed in Korea to evaluate effects of spatio-temporal changes in landuses using 2009 and 2010 crop data for each field at the watershed. The Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency (NSE) values for calibration and validation with either 2009 or 2010 was evaluated and the NSE value for calibration with 2009 and calibration with 2010 were compared. It was found that if there is substantial change in land use and rainfall, model calibration period should be determined to reflect those changes. Through these approaches, inherent limitation of the SWAT, which does not consider changes in land uses over the simulation period, was investigated. Also, Effects of changes in rainfall magnitude during calibration process were analyzed.

Design of a Data Model for the Rainfall-Runoff Simulation Based on Spatial Database (공간DB 기반의 강우-유출 모의를 위한 데이터 모델 설계)

  • Kim, Ki-Uk;Kim, Chang-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2010
  • This study proposed the method for the SWMM data generation connected with the spatial database and designed the data model in order to display flooding information such as the runoff sewer system, flooding areas and depth. A variety of data, including UIS, documents related to the disasters, and rainfall data are used to generate the attributes for flooding analysis areas. The spatial data is constructed by the ArcSDE and Oracle DB. The prototype system is also developed to display the runoff areas based on the GIS using the ArcGIS ArcObjects and spatial DB. The results will be applied to the flooding analysis based on the SWMM.

Simulation of Nitrogen Movement in the Rainfall Event at an Upland Agricultural Watershed (임야지에서 강우사상시 질소거동 모의에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Sang-Hyeon;Kim, Geon-Mok
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.521-532
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    • 2001
  • The propagation patterns of nitrogen during rainfall events are unsteady and heterogeneous due to the characteristics of generation and transport mechanisms. A simulation of non point source pollution was performed using GRASS-AGNPS to examine efficient management methods for diffusive pollution. Digital Elevation Model(DEM) was prepared to estimate the impact of topography on the transport pattern of diffusive pollutant Hanjaechon watershed on the Kyungbook province was selected as a study ares. Water quality samples were collected and analyzed for the calibration of the model. A heuristic approach was employed to improve the model performance. The model could successfully produce spatial distributions of nitrogen. The constructed map-layers may help to decision makers to determine the best management practices.

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Regionalized Sensitivity Analysis of Extended TOPMODEL (확장 TOPMODEL의 영역화 민감도 분석)

  • Kim, Sang-Hyeon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.741-755
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    • 1998
  • An extension of TOPMODEL was developed for rainfall-runoff simulation in agricultural watersheds equipped with tile drains. Tile drain functions are incorporated into the framework of TOPMODEL. Nine possible flow generation scenarios are suggested for tile drained watershed and applied in the modeling procedure. In the model development process, the traditional physically based storage approach and a new approach using a transfer function for the simulation of the flow in the unsaturated zone were compared. In order to provide better insight into the simulation process, a regionalized sensitivity analysis was performed to test the performance of the model and to compare the behavior of the transfer function to that of the simple storage related formulation. The results of analysis show good performance of the transfer function approach. Since the rainfall-runoff response pattern tends to vary seasonally, seven events distributed throughout a year were used in the sensitivity analysis to investigate the seasonal variation of the hydrologic characteristics. It is found that the sensitivity of each parameter described by the model are varied seasonally.

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Application of TOPMODEL at Artificially Drained Watershed (인공배수유역에서의 TOPMODEL의 적용)

  • Kim, Sang-Hyeon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.30 no.5
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    • pp.539-548
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    • 1997
  • A physically based model for rainfall runoff simulation in agricultural watershed equipped with tile drains is presented. This model is developed from the TOPMODEL which is based on the detailed topographic information provided by Digital Elevation Model (DEM). Nine possible flow generation scenarios in the tile drained basin are suggested and used in the development of the model. The model can identify the portions of the hydrograph resulting from tile flow, subsurface flow and surface flow. The performance of the model is assessed through a calibration and validation process. The results of the analysis show that the model describes the physical system well and provides a better insight into the hillslope hydrology of agricultural watersheds with tile drainage.

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Generation of radar rainfall ensemble using probabilistic approach (확률론적 방법론을 이용한 레이더 강우 앙상블 생성)

  • Kang, Narae;Joo, Hongjun;Lee, Myungjin;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.50 no.3
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    • pp.155-167
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    • 2017
  • Accurate QPE (Quantitative Precipitation Estimation) and the quality of the rainfall data for hydrological analysis are very important factors. Especially, the quality has a great influence on flood runoff result. It needs to know characteristics of the uncertainties in radar QPE for the reliable flood analysis. The purpose of this study is to present a probabilistic approach which defines the range of possible values or probabilistic distributions rather than a single value to consider the uncertainties in radar QPE and evaluate its applicability by applying it to radar rainfall. This study generated radar rainfall ensemble for the storms by the typhoon 'Sanba' on Namgang dam basin, Korea. It was shown that the rainfall ensemble is able to simulate well the pattern of the rain-gauge rainfall as well as to correct well the overall bias of the radar rainfall. The suggested ensemble technique represented well the uncertainties of radar QPE. As a result, the rainfall ensemble model by a probabilistic approach can provide various rainfall scenarios which is a useful information for a decision making such as flood forecasting and warning.

Hydrologic Modeling of an Agricultural Watershed with Tile Drains and GIS (Tile Drain 의 영향과 GIS를 연계한 농경지 유역에 대한 수문학적 모의)

  • Kim, Sang- Hyun;Son, Kwang-Ik;Han, Kun Yeun
    • Water for future
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.203-215
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    • 1996
  • A physically based model for rainfall-runoff simulation in agricultural watersheds equipped with tile drains is developed from the TOPMODEL framework. The model is based on detailed topographical information provided by the Digital Elevation Model (DEM), which is available in the Geographic Information System GRASS. Nine possible flow generation scenarions are suggested and used in the development of the model. The storage and delaying effects in the soil matrix and in the tile system are simulated with a second order linear reservoir. The model can identify the portions of the hydrators resulting from tile flow, subsurface flow and surface runoff.

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Application of Very Short-Term Rainfall Forecasting to Urban Water Simulation using TREC Method (TREC기법을 이용한 초단기 레이더 강우예측의 도시유출 모의 적용)

  • Kim, Jong Pil;Yoon, Sun Kwon;Kim, Gwangseob;Moon, Young Il
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.48 no.5
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    • pp.409-423
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    • 2015
  • In this study the very short-term rainfall forecasting and storm water forecasting using the weather radar data were implemented in an urban stream basin. As forecasting time increasing, the very short-term rainfall forecasting results show that the correlation coefficient was decreased and the root mean square error was increased and then the forecasting model accuracy was decreased. However, as a result of the correlation coefficient up to 60-minute forecasting time is maintained 0.5 or higher was obtained. As a result of storm water forecasting in an urban area, the reduction in peak flow and outflow volume with increasing forecasting time occurs, the peak time was analyzed that relatively matched. In the application of storm water forecasting by radar rainfall forecast, the errors has occurred that we determined some of the external factors. In the future, we believed to be necessary to perform that the continuous algorithm improvement such as simulation of rapid generation and disappearance phenomenon by precipitation echo, the improvement of extreme rainfall forecasting in urban areas, and the rainfall-runoff model parameter optimizations. The results of this study, not only urban stream basin, but also we obtained the observed data, and expand the real-time flood alarm system over the ungaged basins. In addition, it is possible to take advantage of development of as multi-sensor based very short-term rainfall forecasting technology.