• Title/Summary/Keyword: Rainfall design frequency

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Evaluation of Probability Precipitation using Climatic Indices in Korea (기상인자를 이용한 우리나라의 확률강수량 평가)

  • Oh, Tae-Suk;Moon, Young-Il
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.42 no.9
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    • pp.681-690
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    • 2009
  • In this research, design precipitation was calculated by reflecting the climatic indices and its uncertainty assessment was evaluated. Climatic indices used the sea surface temperature and moisture index which observed globally. The correlation coefficients were calculated between the annual maximum precipitation and the climatic indices. and then climatic indices which have the larger correlation coefficient were selected. Therefore, the regression relationship was established by a locally weighted polynomial regression. Next, climatic indices were generated by montecarlo simulation using kernel function. Finally, the design rainfall was calculated by the locally weighted polynomial regression using generated climatic indices. At the result, the comparison of design rainfall between the reflection of the climatic indices and the frequency analysis did not indicate a significant difference. Also, this result can be used as basic data for calculation of probability precipitation to reflect climate change.

Rain Attenuation Analysis for Designing UAV Data Link on Ku-Band (Ku대역 무인항공기 데이터 링크 설계를 위한 강우감쇠 분석)

  • Lee, Jaeyoon
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.40 no.7
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    • pp.1248-1256
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    • 2015
  • It is necessary to apply an exact data and a precise prediction model for a rain attenuation to design the link margin for a data link using Ku-band with the serious effect by rain. In this paper, we investigate the regional rainfall-rate distribution of Korea proposed in TTAK.KO-06.0122/R1 and compare it with the distribution provided by Rec. ITU-R PN.837-1 and Crane. And, the rain rate climate regions similar with the rainfall-rate distribution of Korea in Rec. ITU-R PN.837-1 and Crane model are selected. Finally, using Rec. ITU-R P.618-8 and Crane rain attenuation prediction model, we derive and analyze the rain attenuation for Ku-band frequency according to the time percentage of an average year and the distance of wireless communication link between unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) and ground data terminal (GDT).

Estimation of Soil Loss into Sap-Gyo Reservoir Watershed using GIS and RUSLE (GIS와 RUSLE 기법을 이용한 삽교호유역의 토사 유실량 산정)

  • Kim, Man-Sik;Jung, Seung-Kwon
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.3 no.4
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    • pp.19-27
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    • 2002
  • Prediction of exact soil loss yield has as important engineering meaning as prediction of exact flow measurement in a stream. The quantity of soil loss in a stream should be considered in planning and management of water resources and water quality such as design and maintenace of hydraulic structures : dams, weirs and seawalls, channel improvement, channel stabilization, flood control, design and operation of reservoirs and design of harbors. In this study, the soil loss of Sap-gyo reservoir watershed is simulated and estimated by RUSLE model which is generally used in the estimation of soil loss. The parameters of RUSLE model are selected and estimated using slope map, landuse map and soil map by GIS. These parameters are applied to RUSLE's estimating program. And soil loss under probability rainfall in different frequencies are estimated by recent 30 years of rainfall data of Sap-gyo reservoir watershed.

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Conversion Factor Calculation of Annual Maximum Precipitation in Korea Between Fixed and Sliding Durations (고정시간과 임의시간에 따른 우리나라 연최대강우량의 환산계수 산정)

  • Oh, Tae Suk;Moon, Young-Il
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.5B
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    • pp.515-524
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    • 2008
  • An estimation of reliable probability precipitation is one of the most important processes for reasonable hydrologic structure design. A probability precipitation has been calculated by frequency analysis using annual maximum rainfall series on the each duration among the observed rainfall data. Annual maximum rainfall series have abstracted on hourly rainfall data or daily rainfall data. So, there is necessary to proper conversion factor between the fixed and sliding durations. Therefore, in this study, conversion factors on the each duration between fixed and sliding durations have calculated using minutely data compared to hourly and daily data of 37 stations observed by Meteorological Administration in Korea. Also, regression equations were computed by regression analysis of conversion factors on the each duration. Consequently, conversion factors were used basis data for calculations of stable probability precipitation.

Non-stationary Frequency Analysis with Climate Variability using Conditional Generalized Extreme Value Distribution (기후변동을 고려한 조건부 GEV 분포를 이용한 비정상성 빈도분석)

  • Kim, Byung-Sik;Lee, Jung-Ki;Kim, Hung-Soo;Lee, Jin-Won
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.499-514
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    • 2011
  • An underlying assumption of traditional hydrologic frequency analysis is that climate, and hence the frequency of hydrologic events, is stationary, or unchanging over time. Under stationary conditions, the distribution of the variable of interest is invariant to temporal translation. Water resources infrastructure planning and design, such as dams, levees, canals, bridges, and culverts, relies on an understanding of past conditions and projection of future conditions. But, Water managers have always known our world is inherently non-stationary, and they routinely deal with this in management and planning. The aim of this paper is to give a brief introduction to non-stationary extreme value analysis methods. In this paper, a non-stationary hydrologic frequency analysis approach is introduced in order to determine probability rainfall consider changing climate. The non-stationary statistical approach is based on the conditional Generalized Extreme Value(GEV) distribution and Maximum Likelihood parameter estimation. This method are applied to the annual maximum 24 hours-rainfall. The results show that the non-stationary GEV approach is suitable for determining probability rainfall for changing climate, sucha sa trend, Moreover, Non-stationary frequency analyzed using SOI(Southern Oscillation Index) of ENSO(El Nino Southern Oscillation).

A Study on the Estimation of the Design Flood for Small Catchment in Jirisan (지리산 소하천유역의 홍수량 산정에 대한 고찰)

  • Chang, Hyung Joon;Kim, Seong Goo;Yoon, Young Ho;Kim, Min Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.23-29
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    • 2022
  • The frequency of localized heavy rain is increasing due to the influence of abnormal climate that is rapidly increasing in recent years. As a result, the difficulty of safe water resource management is increasing and human and material damage is increasing. Various countermeasures are being established to reduce the damage caused by localized heavy rain, but small-scale mountain catchments are experiencing many difficulties due to the lack of a basic plan. Therefore in this study the risk of flooding was evaluated using the rainfall-runoff model in the Yu-pyeong catchment national park among national parks in Korea. As a result of the analysis, it was simulated that flooding occurred in the Yu-pyeong catchment of Mt. Jirisan when rainfall with a recurrence frequency of 50 years or more occurred, and it was confirmed that there was a high risk of structures, safety facilities and trails.

Analysis on Hydrologic Stability of Agricultural Reservoir Using Probable Maximum Flood (최대가능홍수량 적용에 따른 농업용 저수지의 수문학적 안정성 분석)

  • Kim, Sang-Woo;Maeng, Seung-Jin
    • KCID journal
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.28-34
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    • 2010
  • This study re-exams hydrologic stability on spillway outlet capacity of agricultural reservoirs using hydrologic data with current rainfall condition instead of project hydrologic data applied at design on Backgok reservoir located in Chungbuk province. It is concluded that Backgok reservoir is not hydrologically stable and therefore structural measures including the extension of spillway and non structural measures should be taken. Continuous basic plan for river maintenance including additional bank reinforcement to bottom river shall be carried out. Due to high peak flood with more than 290% compared to 200 year frequency probability flood which was design standard of the past in view of the results of calculating PMF according to revised design standard for reservoirs, there could a problem for securing rationality in case of applying PMF with design flood. Therefore, hydrological stability, construction, and maintenance cost shall be synthetically studied and reasonal application shall be made if the decision is made on applying PMF with design flood.

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Regional Drought Frequency Analysis of Monthly Precipitation with L-Moments Method in Nakdong River Basin (L-Moments법에 의한 낙동강유역 월강우량의 지역가뭄빈도해석)

  • 김성원
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.431-441
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    • 1999
  • In this study, the regional frequency analysis is used to determine each subbasin drought frequency with reliable monthly precipitation and the L-Moments method which is almost unbiased and has very nearly a normal distribution is used for the parameter estimation of monthly precipitation time series in Nakdong river basin. As the result of this study, the duration of '93-'94 is most severe drought year than any other water year and the drought frequency is established as compared the regional frequency analysis result of cumulative precipitation of 12th duration months in each subbasin with that of 12th duration months in the major drought duration. The Linear regression equation is induced according to linear regression analysis of drought frequency between Nakdong total basin and each subbasin of the same drought duration. Therefore, as the foundation of this study, it can be applied proposed method and procedure of this study to the water budget analysis considering safety standards for the design of impounding facilities large-scale river basin and for this purpose, above all, it is considered that expansion of reliable preciptation data is needed in watershed rainfall station.

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The Study on Application of Regional Frequency Analysis using Kernel Density Function (핵밀도 함수를 이용한 지역빈도해석의 적용에 관한 연구)

  • Oh, Tae-Suk;Kim, Jong-Suk;Moon, Young-Il;Yoo, Seung-Yeon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.39 no.10 s.171
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    • pp.891-904
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    • 2006
  • The estimation of the probability precipitation is essential for the design of hydrologic projects. The techniques to calculate the probability precipitation can be determined by the point frequency analysis and the regional frequency analysis. The regional frequency analysis includes index-flood technique and L-moment technique. In the regional frequency analysis, even if the rainfall data passed homogeneity, suitable distributions can be different at each point. However, the regional frequency analysis can supplement the lacking precipitation data. Therefore, the regional frequency analysis has weaknesses compared to parametric point frequency analysis because of suppositions about probability distributions. Therefore, this paper applies kernel density function to precipitation data so that homogeneity is defined. In this paper, The data from 16 rainfall observatories were collected and managed by the Korea Meteorological Administration to achieve the point frequency analysis and the regional frequency analysis. The point frequency analysis applies parametric technique and nonparametric technique, and the regional frequency analysis applies index-flood techniques and L-moment techniques. Also, the probability precipitation was calculated by the regional frequency analysis using variable kernel density function.

Flooding Risk Assessment Using Flooding Characteristic Values (침수특성치를 이용한 침수위험성 평가)

  • Ahn, Jeonghwan;Kim, Kunwoo;Cho, Woncheol
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.957-964
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    • 2013
  • This research is on the methodology of flood risk assessment using flooding characteristic values. Necessity of design magnitude for flood control considering floods was judged by plotting peak flow with respect to frequency and duration, and flooding magnitude was defined with 6 flooding characteristic values which were proposed to be significant factors when assessing flooding magnitude. Precipitation data used in the assessment modeling were applied by combining all the possible precipitation events. After overlapping the simulated results with precipitation matrix by flooding characteristic values, contour map was drawn, and Flooding characteristic contour graph for possible rainfall events were suggested in respect of all possible precipitation. Flooding characteristic contour graph for possible rainfall events was confirmed that reducing of damage magnitude of each flood characteristic value was figured out easily. The flood risk assessment methods suggested in this study would be a good reference for urban drainage system design, which only focuses on pipe conduit.