• Title/Summary/Keyword: Rainfall changes

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An Analysis of the variability of rainfall quantile estimates (확률 강우량의 변동성 분석)

  • Jung, Sung In;Yoo, Chul Sang;Yoon, Yong Nam
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2004.05b
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    • pp.256-261
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    • 2004
  • Due to the problems of global warming, the frequency of meteorological extremes such as droughts, floods and the annual rainfall amount are suddenly increasing. Even though the increase of greenhouse gases, for example, is thought to be the main factor for global warming, its impact on global climate has not yet been revealed clearly in rather quantitative manners. Therefore, tile objective of this study is to inquire the change of precipitation condition due to climate change by global warming. In brief, this study want to see its assumption if rainfall quantile estimates are really changing. In order to analyze the temporal change, the rainfall quantile estimates at the Seoul rain gauge stations are estimated for the 21-year data period being moved from 1908 to 2002 with 1-year lag. The main objective of this study is to analyze the variability of rainfall quantile estimates using four methods. Next, The changes in confidence interval of rainfall quantile are evaluated by increasing the data period. It has been found that confidence interval of rainfall quantile estimates is reduced as the data period increases. When the hydraulic structures are to be designed, it is important to select the data size and to re-estimate the flood prevention capacity in existing river systems.

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Characteristics of Organic Matters in the Suyeong River During Rainfall Event (강우 시 수영강 유역 내 유기물질의 특성)

  • Kim, Suhyun;Kim, Jungsun;Kang, Limseok
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.487-493
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    • 2018
  • Urban stormwater runoff is the one of the most extensive causes of deterioration of water quality in streams in urban areas. Especially, in the Suyeong River watershed, non-point sources from urban-residential areas are the most common cause of water pollution. Also, it has been ascertained that BOD and COD as indexes of organic matter, have limitation on management of Suyeong River's water quality. In this study, changes of organic matter properties of Suyeong River from inflow of non-point source during rainfall were investigated. Fractions of organic matters were analyzed using water samples collected at two sites (Suyeong River and Oncheon Stream) during a rain event. Variations of dissolved organic carbon (DOC) concentration by rainfall were similar to flow rate change in the river. Distribution of organic matter fraction according to change of rain duration revealed that while hydrophilic component increased at initial rainfall, the hydrophobic component was similar to change in dissolved organic carbon (DOC) concentration. Also, the relative proportion of hydrophilic components in organic matter in river water increased, due to rainfall. Results of biodegradation of organic matters revealed that decomposition rate of organic matters during rainfall was higher than that of during a non-rainfall event.

Analysis of Changes in Rainfall Frequency Under Different Thresholds and Its Synoptic Pattern (절점기준에 따른 강우빈도 변화 및 종관기후학적 분석)

  • Kim, Tae-Jeong;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.36 no.5
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    • pp.791-803
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    • 2016
  • Recently, frequency of extreme rainfall events in South Korea has been substantially increased due to the enhanced climate variability. Korea is prone to flooding due to being surrounded by mountains, along with high rainfall intensity during a short period. In the past three decades, an increase in the frequency of heavy rainfall events has been observed due to enhanced climate variability and climate change. This study aimed to analyze extreme rainfalls informed by their frequency of occurrences using a long-term rainfall data. In this respect, we developed a Poisson-Generalized Pareto Distribution (Poisson-GPD) based rainfall frequency method which allows us to simultaneously explore changes in the amount and exceedance probability of the extreme rainfall events defined by different thresholds. Additionally, this study utilized a Bayesian approach to better estimate both parameters and their uncertainties. We also investigated the synoptic patterns associated with the extreme events considered in this study. The results showed that the Poisson-GPD based design rainfalls were rather larger than those of based on the Gumbel distribution. It seems that the Poisson-GPD model offers a more reasonable explanation in the context of flood safety issue, by explicitly considering the changes in the frequency. Also, this study confirmed that low and high pressure system in the East China Sea and the central North Pacific, respectively, plays crucial roles in the development of the extreme rainfall in South Korea.

Variation of Non-Point Source Pollution according to AMC Condition Using Probable Rainfall (확률강우량을 이용한 AMC 조건에 따른 비점원 오염량의 변화)

  • 안승섭
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.42 no.3
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    • pp.76-88
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    • 2000
  • AGNPS model is applied in this study to analyze the changes of non-point source pollutant according to AMC condition using probable rainfall. Probable rainfall of H-dam area by Gumber's extreme value distribution is computed through frequency analysis for each return period. 35 coarse grids are subdivided into 134 find grids of finite differential network to analyze peak flow soil loss quantity and nutrients of study area and the modified CN estimation equation shows good result about rainfall events-peak flow relationship. And as the consequence of estimation of soil loss quantity for each rainfall event soil loss quantity shows 120%-170% of actual soil loss quantity Regression analysis for the observed and calculated values of flow T-P AMC has an important effect on nutrients concentration of outflow and it if found that the excessive fertilization under AMC III condition may cause eutrophication by nutrients because the range of increase of outflow concentration appears relatively high.

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An Analysis of Rainwater Overflow by Housing Development and Overflow Decrease Method - Focused on the 13, 14 Districts (Motjarigol) of the Eun-pyung New Town in Seoul - (단지 개발로 인한 우수 유출량 변화 예측 및 저감방안에 관한 연구 - 서울 은평뉴타운 13, 14단지(못자리골)를 중심으로 -)

  • Sung, Jong-Sang;Lee, Eun-Seok;Kim, Dae-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.34 no.4 s.117
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    • pp.116-128
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    • 2006
  • This study focuses on hydrological changes caused by developments in the 13th, 14th (Motjarigol) district in Eun Pyoung New Town, Seoul on the basis of the Land Use Planning of development plan. Through analyses from the hydrological experiments about rainfall outflow using universal equation and amounts of infiltration through soils, the changes in amounts of overflows were estimated and the results were discussed from a urban ecological point of view. As a result, it has been predicted that the amount of rainfall outflow at post-development was dramatically increased, compared to pre-development. Installing of Derbris Dams and infiltration facilities were suggested as alternative plan to meditigate these changes. If we apply these alternatives, the rainfall outflow would be reduced up to 30% compared to the development plan without BMPs (Best Management Practice). In conclusion, it is proposed that once the ecological principles were considered during development planning process, we can minimize the adverse effects of developments to our environments.

Analysis on Spatio-Temporal Pattern and Regionalization of Extreme Rainfall Data (극치강수량의 시공간적 특성 분석 및 지역화에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jeong-Ju;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.31 no.1B
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    • pp.13-20
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    • 2011
  • The spatio-temporal pattern in precipitation is a significant element in defining characteristics of precipitation. In this study, a new scheme on regionalization utilizing temporal information was introduced on the basis of existing approaches that is mainly based on simple moments of data and geographical information. Given the identified spatio-temporal pattern, this study was extended to characterize regional pattern of annual maximum rainfall over Korea. We have used circular statistics to characterize the temporal distribution on the precipitation, and the circular statistics allow us to effectively assess changes in timing of the extreme rainfall in detail. In this study, a modified K-means method was incorporated with derived temporal characteristics of extreme rainfall in order to better characterize hydrologic pattern for regional frequency analysis. The extreme rainfall was reasonably separated into five categories that considered most attributes in both quantitative and temporal changes in extremes. The results showed that the proposed approach is a promising approach for regionalization in term of physical understanding of extreme rainfall.

Effect of Rainfall Patterns on the Response of Water Pressure and Slope Stability Within a Small Catchment: A Case Study in Jinbu-Myeon, South Korea

  • Viet, Tran The;Lee, Giha;Oh, Sewook;Kim, Minseok
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.17 no.12
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    • pp.5-16
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    • 2016
  • This study aims to assess the influence of rainfall patterns on shallow landslides initiation. Doing so, five typical rainfall patterns with the same cumulative amount and intensity components comprising Advanced (A1 and A2), Centralized (C), and Delayed (D1 and D2) were designed based on a historical rainstorm event in Jinbu. Mt area. Those patterns were incorporated as the hydrological conditions into the Transient Rainfall Infiltration and Grid-based Regional Slope-stability Model (TRIGRS) to assess their influences on groundwater pressure and changes in the stability of the slope. The results revealed that not only the cumulative rainfall thresholds necessary to initiate landslides, but also the rate at which the factor of safety decreases and the time required to reach the critical state, are governed by rainfall patterns. The sooner the peak rainfall intensity, the smaller the cumulative rainfall threshold, and the shorter the time until landslide occurrence. Left-skewed patterns were found to have a greater effect on landslide initiation. Specifically, among five rainfalls, pattern (A1) produced the most critical state. The severity of response was followed by patterns A2, C, D1, and D2. Our conclusion is that rainfall patterns have a significant effect on the cumulative rainfall threshold, the build-up of groundwater pressure, and the occurrence of shallow landslides.

Evaluation of Stability of Slope with Granite Weathered Soil considering Rainfall Events (강우사상을 고려한 화강풍화토 비탈면의 안정성 평가)

  • Kim, Gyu-Hyeong;Hwang, Eui-Pil;Lee, Kang-Il
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.421-429
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: This study conducted a slope stability study considering changes in the ground water level due to rain phenomena and the duration of rainfall, that is for the purpose of analyzing the stability of the slope surface of the cut section, seepage numerical analysis is performed by height of slope and rainfall accident, and the characteristics of rainfall was applied reasonably in order to determine the slope change during rain by analyzing rainfall and rainfall pattern due to climate change. Results: As a result of numerical analysis of stability for slope composed of the granite weathered soils according to the characteristics of rainfall(Uniform Rainfall, US Army Corps., Huff's method - 1/4, 4/4), Conclusion: The higher the slope, the smaller the safety factor of the slope, the smaller the elevation of the ground water level as the rainwater seepage does not reach the underground water level. In addition, the ground water level was assessed to be rose significantly in condition of case 3 Huff's method - 1/4, rain pattern with the largest initial rainfall duration, and the safety factor was analyzed to be small.

Assessment of the ENSO Impact on Frequency and Spatial Distribution of Rainfall in South Korea (ENSO가 우리나라 강우의 확률빈도와 공간분포에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Soo Jun;Kim, Byung Sik;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.143-153
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this paper is to evaluate impacts of ENSO on frequency and spatial distribution of rainfall in South Korea. In this paper, First, rainfall data in 60 climate stations were categorized into Warm(El Nino), Cold(La Nina), Normal episodes based on the Cold & Warm Episodes by Season, then 100 years of daily rainfall data were generated for each episodic events(El Nino, La Nina, Normal) using Markov Chain model. Finally, Estimating frequency based flood and comparison for each episodes were conducted. From the results, it shows that there are significant changes in the rainfall frequency and the spatial distribution of rainfall among Warm(EL Nino), Cold(La Nina) and Normal episodes.

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Evaluation of the Application of Radar Data for Local Landslide Warning (국지적 산사태 발생 예보를 위한 레이더 자료의 활용성 평가)

  • Choi, Yun Seok;Choi, Cheon Kyu;Kim, Kyung Tak;Kim, Joo Hun
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.191-201
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    • 2013
  • Landslide in Korea occurs generally in summer, and rainfall is a major factor to trigger landslides. This study evaluates the applicability of radar rainfall to estimate landslide occurs locally in mountainous area. Temporal changes in spatial distribution of rainfall is analyzed using radar data, and the characteristics of rainfall in landslide area during the landslide occurred in Inje, July 2006. This study shows radar rainfall field can estimate local landslides more precisely than the rainfall data from ground gauges.