• Title/Summary/Keyword: Radiation Prediction

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An Improved Photovoltaic System Output Prediction Model under Limited Weather Information

  • Park, Sung-Won;Son, Sung-Yong;Kim, Changseob;LEE, Kwang Y.;Hwang, Hye-Mi
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.13 no.5
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    • pp.1874-1885
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    • 2018
  • The customer side operation is getting more complex in a smart grid environment because of the adoption of renewable resources. In performing energy management planning or scheduling, it is essential to forecast non-controllable resources accurately and robustly. The PV system is one of the common renewable energy resources in customer side. Its output depends on weather and physical characteristics of the PV system. Thus, weather information is essential to predict the amount of PV system output. However, weather forecast usually does not include enough solar irradiation information. In this study, a PV system power output prediction model (PPM) under limited weather information is proposed. In the proposed model, meteorological radiation model (MRM) is used to improve cloud cover radiation model (CRM) to consider the seasonal effect of the target region. The results of the proposed model are compared to the result of the conventional CRM prediction method on the PV generation obtained from a field test site. With the PPM, root mean square error (RMSE), and mean absolute error (MAE) are improved by 23.43% and 33.76%, respectively, compared to CRM for all days; while in clear days, they are improved by 53.36% and 62.90%, respectively.

Real-time Energy Demand Prediction Method Using Weather Forecasting Data and Solar Model (기상 예보 데이터와 일사 예측 모델식을 활용한 실시간 에너지 수요예측)

  • Kwak, Young-Hoon;Cheon, Se-Hwan;Jang, Cheol-Yong;Huh, Jung-Ho
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.310-316
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    • 2013
  • This study was designed to investigate a method for short-term, real-time energy demand prediction, to cope with changing loads for the effective operation and management of buildings. Through a case study, a novel methodology for real-time energy demand prediction with the use of weather forecasting data was suggested. To perform the input and output operations of weather data, and to calculate solar radiation and EnergyPlus, the BCVTB (Building Control Virtual Test Bed) was designed. Through the BCVTB, energy demand prediction for the next 24 hours was carried out, based on 4 real-time weather data and 2 solar radiation calculations. The weather parameters used in a model equation to calculate solar radiation were sourced from the weather data of the KMA (Korea Meteorological Administration). Depending on the local weather forecast data, the results showed their corresponding predicted values. Thus, this methodology was successfully applicable to anywhere that local weather forecast data is available.

Mathematical Description and Prognosis of Cell Recovery after Thermoradiation Action

  • Komarova, Ludmila N.;Kim, Jin-Kyu;Petin, Vladislav G.
    • Korean Journal of Environmental Biology
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2008
  • A mathematical model for the synergistic interaction of physical and chemical environmental agents was suggested for quantitative prediction of irreversibly damaged cells after combined exposures. The model took into account the synergistic interaction of agents and was based on the supposition that additional effective damages responsible for the synergy are irreversible and originated from an interaction of ineffective sublesions. The experimental results regarding the irreversible component of radiation damage of diploid yeast cells simultaneous exposed to heat with ionizing radiation ($^{60}Co$) or UV light (254 nm) are presented. It was shown that the cell ability of the liquid holding recovery decreased with an increase in the temperature, at which the exposure was occurred. A good correspondence between experimental results and model prediction was demonstrated. The importance of the results obtained for the interpretation of the mechanism of synergistic interaction of various environmental factors is discussed.

Design and Performance Prediction of Power System in a Solar Stirling Engine for 9 kW Output (9 kW 출력용 태양열 스털링엔진 발전시스템의 설계와 성능예측)

  • Bae, Myung-Whan;Kang, Sang-Yul
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2003.04a
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    • pp.2198-2204
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    • 2003
  • In order to make a match of the insufficient direct solar radiation, in this study, the target output is lowered to 9 kW smaller than 25 kW in former studies. It is also necessary to match the collector/receiver with engine/generator systems to accomplish the power level of a system. The simulation analyses of a dish solar power system with stirling engine are totally carried out to predict the system performance with the designed values. In addition, an influence of direct solar radiation on system performance and operation control is discussed in simulation. It is found that the diameter of concentrator could be made small to 8 m regardless of slope errors with 2.5 and 5.0 mrad radiation, and the operation range of mean pressure control. is wide even if the direct solar radiation is a quit low.

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Prediction of Daily Solar Irradiation Based on Chaos Theory (혼돈이론을 이용한 일적산 일사량의 예측)

  • Cho, S. I.;Bae, Y. M.;Yun, J. I.;Park, E. W.;Hwang, H.
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.123-130
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    • 2000
  • A forcasting scheme for daily solar irradiance on agricultural field sis proposed by application of chaos theory to a long term observation data. It was conducted by reconstruction of phase space, attractor analysis, and Lyapunov analysis. Using the methodology , it was determined whether evolution of the five climatic data such as daily air temperature , water temperature , relative humidity, solar radiation, and wind speed are chaotic or not. The climatic data were collected for three years by an automated weather station at Hwasung-gun, Kyonggi-province. The results showed that the evolution of solar radiation was chaotic , and could be predicted. The prediction of the evolution of the solar radiation data was executed by using ' local optimal linear reconstruction ' algorithm . The RMS value of the predicting for the solar radiation evolution was 4.32 MJ/$m^2$ day. Therefore, it was feasible to predict the daily solar radiation based on the chaos theory.

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A Study on Prediction of vibration and Sound Radiation by Plate With Four Edges Clamped (네 변이 고정된 평판의 진동 및 방사 소음 예측에 관한 연구)

  • 심현진;이정윤;오재응
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.743-747
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    • 2003
  • In recent years, several studies of the practical application of active sound and vibration control have been developed to plate to plate response with various boundary conditions. This study considers vibration and sound radiation for the clamped rectangular plate. The radiation of a sound from rectangular plate can be calculated that the velocity of a vibrating plate is analyzed. The vibration formulation is based on a variation method for the vibration of the plate, and assumes no damping, no fluid loading of the structure. And the plate is exited by harmonic point force. The radiation of sound from plate is analyzed in the far field, and is calculated from the Rayleigh integral. The prediction results of vibration and sound level have proved with FEM or BEM.

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A Study on the Radiated Noise the Prediction in the Pipe by Fluid Induced Vibration using the Radiation Efficiency and Pipe Surface Vibration (배관 표면진동과 방사효율을 이용한 배관 소음예측기법 연구)

  • Yi, Jongju;Park, Kyunghoon;Jung, Woojin;Seo, Youngsoo
    • Transactions of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering
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    • v.24 no.10
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    • pp.763-769
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    • 2014
  • This study is on the experiment and prediction of the pipe noise due to the internal fluid. The vibration of pipe external surface and noise in air were measured according to the internal fluid velocity and pipe type. In the experiment, the vibration and noise level of the straight pipe and rounded pipes show that the vibration and noise level are almost same. The 900 mitred pipe shows the high vibration and noise level. In the prediction of noise due to the internal flow, the method using the pipe surface vibration and radiation efficiency shows good agreement with experimental result.

Validation of KREAM Based on In-Situ Measurements of Aviation Radiation in Commercial Flights

  • Hwang, Junga;Kwak, Jaeyoung;Jo, Gyeongbok;Nam, Uk-won
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.37 no.4
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    • pp.229-236
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    • 2020
  • There has been increasing necessity of more precise prediction and measurements of aviation radiation in Korea. For our air crew and passengers' radiation safety, we develop our own radiation prediction model of KREAM. In this paper, we validate the KREAM model based on comparison with Liulin observations. During early three months of this year, we perform total 25 experiments to measure aviation radiation exposure using Liulin-6K in commercial flights. We found that KREAM's result is very well consistent with Liulin observation in general. NAIRAS shows mostly higher results than Liulin observation, while CARI-6M shows generally lower results than the observations. The percent error of KREAM compared with Liulin observation is 10.95%. In contrast, the error for NAIRAS is 43.38% and 22.03% for CARI-6M. We found that the increase of the altitude might cause sudden increase in radiation exposure, especially for the polar route. As more comprehensive and complete analysis is required to validate KREAM's reliability to use for the public service, we plan to expand these radiation measurements with Liulin and Tissue Equivalent Proportional Counter (TEPC) in the near future.

System Development for Road Noise Prediction of Automobile Tire (자동차 타이어 도로소음 예측 시스템 개발)

  • 김병삼
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Technology Engineers
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.81-90
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    • 1998
  • Noise produced by surface transportation vehicles affects our daily lives, penetrating wherver man lives or works. In this paper, a theoretical model has been studied to describe the sound radiation by the surface vibration of in-service tires and studied about an experiment on sound radiation characteristic due to tire vibration. When a tire is analyzed, it has been modeled as a curved beams with distributed sprongs and dash-pots which represent the radial, tangential stiffnes and damping of tire, respectively. The experimental investigation for the sound radiation of a radial tire has been made. Based on the sound intensity and STSF(Spatial Transformation of Sound Field) techniques. the sound pressure and the sound radiation are measured. The comparison of numerically analyzed results with experimental results was made seperately for the tire in rotation. As a result of this study, a program for the prediction of the tire vibration sound radiation was intended to by developed which enables a designer of a tire to foresee the influence of the various design factors on the tire vibration sound radiation.

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Simulation and Experimental Studies of Real-Time Motion Compensation Using an Articulated Robotic Manipulator System

  • Lee, Minsik;Cho, Min-Seok;Lee, Hoyeon;Chung, Hyekyun;Cho, Byungchul
    • Progress in Medical Physics
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.171-180
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study is to install a system that compensated for the respiration motion using an articulated robotic manipulator couch which enables a wide range of motions that a Stewart platform cannot provide and to evaluate the performance of various prediction algorithms including proposed algorithm. For that purpose, we built a miniature couch tracking system comprising an articulated robotic manipulator, 3D optical tracking system, a phantom that mimicked respiratory motion, and control software. We performed simulations and experiments using respiratory data of 12 patients to investigate the feasibility of the system and various prediction algorithms, namely linear extrapolation (LE) and double exponential smoothing (ES2) with averaging methods. We confirmed that prediction algorithms worked well during simulation and experiment, with the ES2-averaging algorithm showing the best results. The simulation study showed 43% average and 49% maximum improvement ratios with the ES2-averaging algorithm, and the experimental study with the $QUASAR^{TM}$ phantom showed 51% average and 56% maximum improvement ratios with this algorithm. Our results suggest that the articulated robotic manipulator couch system with the ES2-averaging prediction algorithm can be widely used in the field of radiation therapy, providing a highly efficient and utilizable technology that can enhance the therapeutic effect and improve safety through a noninvasive approach.