• Title/Summary/Keyword: RMB

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An Empirical Study of the Impact of China's Export Tax Rebates on RMB Appreciation

  • Ma, Degong;Cho, Hyun-Jun
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.273-290
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    • 2012
  • While the issue of RMB (Renminbi, Chinese Yuan) revaluation became the focus of world attention in 2003, the reform of the RMB exchange rate regime in 2005 didn't fundamentally solve the RMB appreciation problem, and even in 2008 the global financial crisis made RMB appreciation face new challenges and risks. It appears that the rise in RMB value is caused by supply exceeding demand in China's foreign exchange market; however, intrinsically it is due to the asymmetry in RMB exchange rate formation mechanism. The export tax rebates policy implemented by Chinese government is one of the leading causes of the asymmetry. This study constructs a transmission model between export tax rebates and foreign exchange rates, and applies the Granger Test to validate the causality between kernel variables based on correlative data from 1994-2011, and uses the error correction method to analyze the quantified relations of kernel variables, and finally gets the contribution rate of export tax rebates to RMB appreciation.

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How Is the RMB Exchange Rate Misaligned? A Recent Application of Behavioral Equilibrium Exchange Rate (BEER) to China

  • Cui, Yuming
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.281-310
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    • 2013
  • The aim of this paper is to estimate the degree of RMB misalignment from its equilibrium exchange rate by applying the Behavioral Equilibrium Exchange Rate (BEER) approach. We employ monthly data with reference to China's top 20 trading partners covering the period of 1997 to 2012. We find that the RMB was slightly overvalued before 2001 and significantly undervalued by up to 20 per cent in the end of 2006. There is evidence showing that the RMB approached to its equilibrium level from 2007 to 2008. However, the global financial crisis interrupted the trend of declining misalignment of RMB exchange rate. The RMB's total misalignment increased to around 25 per cent in the mid-2011 mainly because the RMB was re-pegged to the US dollar and some currencies of China's main trading partners depreciated during the period of crisis. More recently, the degree of RMB misalignment slightly declined since 2012 when the RMB proceeded to appreciate and China's ratio of current account surplus to GDP dropped considerably. Our findings prove that there is a trend of the RMB approaching to its equilibrium exchange rate since 2007 except for the period of crisis.

Assessing the Chinese Yuan as Invoicing Currency Using Monte-Carlo Simulation : RMB's Quasi-Option Hedging Effect (몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 활용한 한·중 통상 결제통화로서 위안화 활용 영향력 평가 : 위안화 활용비율의 옵션화로 인한 헷지효과)

  • Seo, Min-Kyo;Min, Yujuana;Yang, Oh-Suk
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.41 no.5
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    • pp.113-138
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    • 2016
  • This study analyzed the impact when Korea expands Chinese Renminbi(RMB) as invoicing currency on the trade to China using Monte-Carlo simulation. Primarily, we analyzed the impact on the balance of Korean Won(KRW) converted from RMB in a case that simulated exchange rate(Korean won to Chinese Renminbi) and realized historically identical probability distribution but in different stochastic process. In addition, we developed the simulation of the case where the volatility of RMB to KRW exchange rate abnormally expanded. The major results found in this study are as follows. First, in the case where RMB exchange rate simulated in identical probability distribution but in the different stochastic process, no matter how much RMB was utilized as invoicing currency, expansion of the RMB exchange rate and exchange rate volatility operated as positive mechanism to increase the KRW converted balance. Secondly, while the expansion of US dollar exchange rate volatility positively influences the balance on average, it caused a polarization of balance, which makes under-average-balance lower and over-average-balance higher. On the contrary, the expansion of RMB exchange rate volatility even shows a similar mechanism but the impact is more moderate than USD exchange rate volatility. Thirdly, as RMB exchange rate volatility expanded, the balance of translated invoicing currency (RMB) declined, whilst the negative impact of RMB exchange rate volatility on balance of translated invoicing currency(RMB) showed diminishing effect. Lastly, the influence of RMB's exchange rate volatility through RMB usage ratio trends similar to bull spread strategy, which is a combination of call option with put option. Therefore, since RMB usage in invoicing currency could spawn a hedging effect, corporations might utilize RMB as a strategic device for maximizing profits.

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A Study on the Financial Service Negotiations in the Korean-Chinese Free-Trade Agreement (FTA) with Respect to RMB Internationalization (위안화 국제화를 고려한 한·중 FTA 금융서비스 협상 전략에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Sang-Su;Son, Sam-Ho
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.81-88
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    • 2013
  • Purpose - This paper analyzes the influence of the RMB internationalization on the KRW/dollar exchange rate using an autoregressive distributed lag model. Comparing the parameter estimators from the sample period before and after the global financial crisis, we found that the RMB/dollar exchange rate has increasingly become more influential on the KRW/dollar exchange rate. Moreover, for the past several years, the Chinese government has actively utilized the financial service FTA negotiation as a measure for the RMB internationalization. This paper simultaneously considers RMB internationalization and financial service negotiations in the Korean-Chinese FTA. The purpose of this paper is to explicitly suggest a direction for the financial service negotiations in the Korean-Chinese FTA considering the effects of RMB internationalization. Research design, data, and methodology - The research plan of this paper has two parts. First, for an empirical study, this paper uses the daily exchange rate of the U.S. dollar against the currencies of the ASEAN5, Taiwan,and Korea. By using an autoregressive distributed lag model, this paper studies the influence of the change in the RMB/dollar exchange rate on changes in the local currency/dollar exchange rate in seven economies neighboring China. Our sample periods are 06/2005 - 07/2008 and 06/2010 -02/2013. During these periods, China was under the multi-currency basket system. We exempted the period of 08/2008 - 05/2010 from the analysis because there was nearly no RMB/dollar exchange rate fluctuation during those months. Second, after analyzing the recent financial service liberalizations and deregulations in China, we recommend a direction for the financial service negotiations in the Korean-Chinese FTA. In the past several years,the main Chinese financial policy agenda has surrounded the RMB internationalization. Therefore, it is crucial to understand this in the search for strategies for the financial service negotiations in the Korean-Chinese FTA. This paper employs an existing literature survey and examines the FTA protocols in its research methodology. Results and Conclusions - After the global financial crisis, the Chinese government wanted to break away from the dollar influence and pursued independent RMB internationalization in order to continue the growth and stability of its economy. Hence, every neighboring economy of China has been strategically impacted by RMB internationalization. Nevertheless, there is little empirical study on the influence of RMB internationalization on the KRW/dollar exchange rate. This paper is one of the few studies to analyze this problem comprehensively. By using a relatively simple estimation model, we can confirm that the coefficient of the RMB/dollar exchange rate has become more significant, except in the case of Indonesia. Although Korea is not under the multi-currency basket system but under the weakly controlled floating exchange rate system, its coefficient appears as large as that of the ASEAN5. This is the basis of the currency cooperation that has grown from the expansion of trade between the two countries. These empirical results suggest that the Korean government should specifically consider the RMB internationalization in the Korean-Chinese FTA negotiations.

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A Study on the Impact of Real Exchange Rate Volatility of RMB on China's Foreign Direct Investment to Japan

  • He, Yugang
    • East Asian Journal of Business Economics (EAJBE)
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.24-36
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    • 2018
  • Purpose - From establishing China-Japan diplomatic relations in 1972, the relations between two states has improved a lot, from which makes the government and the people reap much benefit. Owing to this reason, this paper aims at exploiting the impact of exchange rate volatility of RMB on China's foreign direct investment to Japan. Research design and methodology - The quarterly time series data from 2003 to 2016 will be employed to conduct an empirical analysis under the vector error correction model. Meanwhile, a menu of estimated methods such the Johansen co-integration test and the Granger Causality test will be also used to explore the impact of exchange rate volatility of RMB on China's foreign direct investment to Japan. Results - The empirical analysis results exhibit that the real exchange rate has a positive effect on China's foreign direct investment to Japan in the long run. Conversely, the real exchange rate volatility of RMB, the trade openness and the real GDP have a negative effect on China's foreign direct investment to Japan in the long run. However, in the short run, the China's foreign direct investment to Japan, the real exchange rate, the trade openness and the real GDP in period have a negative effect on China's foreign direct investment to Japan in period. Oppositely, the real exchange rate volatility of RMB in period has a positive effect on China's foreign direct investment to Japan in period. Conclusions - From the empirical evidences in this paper provided, it can be concluded that an increase in the exchange rate volatility of RMB can result in a decrease in the China's foreign direct investment to Japan in the long run. However, an increase in the exchange rate volatility of RMB can lead to an increase in the China's foreign direct investment to Japan in the short run. Therefore, the China's government should have a best control of the real exchange rate volatility of RMB so as to improve China's foreign direct investment to Japan.

The Relationship Between Renminbi Exchange Rate Fluctuations and China's Import and Export Trade

  • Renhong WU;Yuantao FANG;Md. Alamgir HOSSAIN
    • The Journal of Industrial Distribution & Business
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.17-27
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: The renminbi (RMB) has appreciated alongside the elevation of China's economic status, leading to increased exchange rate volatility. Moreover, China's medical industry saw a surge in import and export trade volume, with trade related to epidemic prevention and control in the medical sector significantly increasing its share. The medical device trade, in particular, occupies a substantial portion of this trade. Research design, data and methodology: This paper focuses on the import and export value of medical devices in the medical industry as a case study to explore the impact of RMB exchange rate fluctuations on the import and export trade of the medical industry during the pandemic. Additionally, it investigates whether the import and export trade of the medical industry can be a contributing factor to the fluctuations in the RMB exchange rate. Results: Through an empirical study on the import and export values of medical devices in the medical industry over the past three years, as well as the RMB exchange rate, this paper establishes a VAR model and conducts a series of tests including stationarity tests and cointegration tests. Conclusions: The conclusion is that fluctuations in the RMB exchange rate have a long-term impact on China's medical industry's import and export trade.

A Study on the Purchasing Power Parity Hypothesis: Evidence from China (구매력평가 가설에 대한 연구: 중국을 대상으로)

  • Zhang, Xueqin;He, Yugang
    • The Journal of Industrial Distribution & Business
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.65-75
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    • 2019
  • Purpose - Along with Chinese exchange rate's reform advancement, the issue of exchange rate of RMB has increasingly become the heated focus in the world. In July 2005, China carried out the reform of the exchange rate system, and this behavior has aroused the attention of the world. However, the dispute on whether the theory of purchasing power parity holds or not in China still exists. As such, this paper will attempt to explore whether the purchasing power parity is significant in China. Research design, data, and methodology - The monthly data from July 2005 to December 2017 will be employed to analyze the nominal exchange rate of RMB against the US dollar and the nominal exchange rate of RMB against the euro. Based on these datum, an empirical analysis will be conducted under the unit root test and the cointegration test to exploit the significance of purchasing power parity in China. Results - The findings of this paper reveal that an increase in China's consumer price index will lead to an increase in the RMB exchange rate, which will lead to the depreciation of RMB. Concomitantly, an increase in the consumer price index in the US and Europe will result in a decrease in the RMB exchange rate, which will lead to an appreciation of RMB. In general, in terms of the US, if US consumer price index increases by 1%, China's nominal exchange rate against US dollar will decrease by 0.905%; if China's consumer price index increases by 1%, China's nominal exchange rate against US dollar will increase by 0.648%. In terms of Europe, if Europe consumer price index increases by 1%, China's nominal exchange rate against euro will decrease by 0.277%; If China's consumer price index increases by 1%, China's nominal exchange rate against euro will increase by 0.235%. Conclusions - Generally speaking, the empirical evidences this paper provided show that the purchasing power parity theory has a certain explanatory ability for the decision of RMB exchange rate. As such, the purchasing power parity cannot hold completely, and China's government should continue to deepen the reform of the exchange rate system to improve China's exchange rate market.

An Experimental Studies on Flame and NOx Emission Characteristics of Rapid Mix Combustor (초 저 NOx 선단 예혼합 연소기의 화염 및 NOx 배출 특성 연구)

  • Mun, Min-Uk;Kim, Se-Won;Shin, Myung-Chul;Kim, Yong-Mo
    • 한국연소학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2006.10a
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    • pp.122-127
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    • 2006
  • The objective of this research is to determine generally applicable design principles for the development of Rapid mix burner. Details operating RMB(Rapid mix burner) is designed that thermal NOx and prompt NOx formation be reduced through control of low peak flame temperature, and nearly uniform flame temperature by rapid mixing at the ignition point. Results from RMB(Rapid mix burner) achieving lower than 43 ppm NOx emissions and nearly flame temperature uniform

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The effects of the RMB's appreciation on trade balance in US

  • Gong, Chi;Liu, Zi-Yang
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.20 no.11
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    • pp.135-142
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    • 2015
  • This paper applied a VAR model to analyze the effects of RMB exchange rate brought to processing trade, non-processing trade and FDI. Then we can get the results that the appreciation of RMB could not solve the problem of US trade deficit. It is more likely that the appreciation just can transfer the trade imbalance to other country with US, which could not radically solve the economic problems of US. Also this paper find that the data of service trade is surplus while the main goods deficit was occur in advanced technology product, especially in the information & communications trade And US has real advantage in these industries, so the situation will be changed if US decreased the barrier in these industries. In that way, the imbalance situation should be greatly reduced.

Metabolic Engineering of Rational Screened Saccharopolyspora spinosa for the Enhancement of Spinosyns A and D Production

  • Jha, Amit Kumar;Pokhrel, Anaya Raj;Chaudhary, Amit Kumar;Park, Seong-Whan;Cho, Wan Je;Sohng, Jae Kyung
    • Molecules and Cells
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    • v.37 no.10
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    • pp.727-733
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    • 2014
  • Spinosyns A and D are potent ingredient for insect control with exceptional safety to non-target organisms. It consists of a 21-carbon tetracyclic lactone with forosamine and tri-Omethylated rhamnose which are derived from S-adenosyl-methionine. Although previous studies have revealed the involvement of metK1 (S-adenosylmethionine synthetase), rmbA (glucose-1-phosphate thymidylyltransferase), and rmbB (TDP-D-glucose-4, 6-dehydratase) in the biosynthesis of spinosad, expression of these genes into rational screened Saccharopolyspora spinosa (S. spinosa MUV) has not been elucidated till date. In the present study, S. spinosa MUV was developed to utilize for metabolic engineering. The yield of spinosyns A and D in S. spinosa MUV was $244mgL^{-1}$ and $129mgL^{-1}$, which was 4.88-fold and 4.77-fold higher than that in the wild-type ($50mgL^{-1}$ and $27mgL^{-1}$), respectively. To achieve the better production; positive regulator metK1-sp, rmbA and rmbB genes from Streptomyces peucetius, were expressed and co-expressed in S. spinosa MUV under the control of strong $ermE^*$ promoter, using an integration vector pSET152 and expression vector pIBR25, respectively. Here-with, the genetically engineered strain of S. spinosa MUV, produce spinosyns A and D up to $372/217mgL^{-1}$ that is 7.44/8.03-fold greater than that of wild type. This result demonstrates the use of metabolic engineering on rationally developed high producing natural variants for the production.