• Title/Summary/Keyword: R-Squared

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Parameter Estimation of Coastal Water Quality Model Using the Inverse Theory (역산이론을 이용한 연안 수질모형의 매개변수 추정)

  • Cho, Hong-Yeon;Cho, Bum-Jun;Jeong, Shin-Taek
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.149-157
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    • 2005
  • Typical water quality (WQ) parameters defined in the governing equation of the WQ model are the pollutant loads from atmosphere and watersheds, pollutant release rates from sediment, diffusion coefficient and reaction coefficient etc. The direct measurement of these parameters is very difficult as well as requires high cost. In this study, the pollutant budget equation including these parameters was used to construct the linear simultaneous equations. Based on these equations, the inverse problems were constructed and WQ parameter estimation method minimizing the sum of squared errors between the computed and observed amounts of the mass changes was suggested. WQ parameters, i.e., the atmospheric pollutant loads, sediment release rates, diffusion coefficients and reaction coefficient, were estimated using .this method by utilizing the vertical concentration profile data which has been observed in Cheonsu Bay and Ulsan Port. Values of the estimated parameters show a large temporal variation. However, this technique is persuasive in that the RHS (root mean square) error was less than $5.0\%$ of the observed value ranges and the agreement index was greater than 0.95.

Evaluation of the Image Blurring in the Fast Spin Echo Technique ccording to Variation of the ETL (고속스핀에코기법을 이용한 MRI검사에서 ETL 변화에 따른 영상 blurring의 평가)

  • Kwon, Soon-Yong;Lim, Woo-Taek;Kang, Chung-Hawn;Kim, Kyeong-Soo;Kim, Soon-Bae;Kim, Hyun-Soo
    • Korean Journal of Digital Imaging in Medicine
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.55-61
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study is to evaluate image blurring according to variation of the ETL and propose the clinically appropriate ETL range. SIEMENS MAGNETOM Skyra 3.0T and 20 channel head coil were used for the study. MRI phantom was kept the lines horizontally to three direction(X,Y,Z) of the coil and T1, T2 weighted images that used the fast spin echo technique acquired. The ETL with increase of 10 was applied from 10 to 80. In addition, the ETL with increase of 1 was applied in the interval statistically significant differences occurred. And T1, T2 weighted images that used the conventional spin echo technique acquired to compare image blurring of the images that used the fast spin echo technique. The slope of lattice in the images was measured using Image J 1.47v program to evaluate image blurring. And image blurring was determined by the degree of the slope. The statistical significance of both techniques was evaluated by the Kruskal-Wallis test of the SPSS 17.0v. And the correlation of the ETL and image blurring was evaluated quantitatively by regression analysis. The slope of the T1, T2 weighted images that used fast spin echo technique decreased as contrasted with conventional spin echo technique. In the result of the Kruskal-Wallis test, the T1, T2 weighted images that used fast spin echo technique made a significant difference with conventional spin echo technique. Particularly, in the Tomhane' T2 test, the T1, T2 weighted images made a significant difference from ETL 22 and 31 respectively. In the result of the regression analysis, the R-squared of the T1, T2 weighted images are 0.762 and 0.793. It is difficult to apply the long ETL in the T1 weighted image caused by the short TR and multi-slices study. Therefore, clinical impact according to variation of the ETL is very slight in the T1 weighted images. But the application of the proper ETL is demanded in T2 weighted images using the fast spin echo technique in order to prevent image blurring.

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Study on Minimum Viable Population of Seed Bank in Pine Forest (소나무림 매토종자 최소생존가능개체군에 관한 연구)

  • Yi, Myung-Hoon
    • Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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    • v.32 no.5
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    • pp.497-506
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate the proper minimum viable population of a seed bank for the ecological restoration of pine forest using a seed bank. It examined the germinated soil seed bank from August 2010 to November 2011. The results of the correlation analysis showed that the area and the number of herbaceous species were the highest at 0.686. The results of the regression analysis of four variables including the number of woody species, the number of woody individuals, the number of herbaceous species, and the number of herbaceous individuals using the theory of island biogeography to the minimum viable population in studied plots showed that all four variables were significant with area at the level of 0.05, and R square was 0.583. One function was selected between the number of species and the number of individuals from the canonical correlation analysis, and the function square was 0.824. Both canonical function and squared canonical correlation showed significant at the level of 0.01. The result of study recommended the area size of the minimum viable population in pine forest applied by seed bank to be larger than $64m^2$, the number of species to be over 21, and the number of population to be over 120. It also found that the number of herbaceous species determined the cluster size of the seed bank. Therefore, it is necessary to consider herbaceous species that appear in the seed bank.

Relationship between General Characteristics, Learning Flow, Self-Directedness and Learner Satisfaction of Medical Students in Online Learning Environment (온라인 학습환경에서 의과대학생의 일반적 특성, 학습몰입, 자기주도성, 학습만족도간의 관계)

  • Jeon, Seong Ju;Yoo, Hyo Hyun
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.20 no.8
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    • pp.65-74
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze relationship between general characteristics of learners and learner-related variables such as learning flow, self-directedness and learner satisfaction, thereby find out effective online teaching methods and provide the necessary basic data for improving learning satisfaction. A total of 473 students of medical school in C region were the subjects of this study and surveyed for research in a self-reporting form. According to the study, proportion of 31 to 40 minutes (38.9%) of learning engaged time was the highest, 65.5% of the learners studied regularly, more than those who studied irregularly(34.5%), and the higher the grade, the higher the percentage of learners who studied regularly. Learning flow averaged 4.03 (±0.86), self-directedness averaged 4.49 (±0.97), and learner satisfaction averaged 4.38 (±1.01). There were significant differences in learning flow, self-directedness and learner satisfaction according to grade, learning engaged time, and learning regularity. the factors affecting learner satisfaction were grade, learning flow, and self-directedness, with 72.5% adjusted R-squared. This study is expected to be used to establish an online learning management system to improve learning satisfaction by identifying variables related to learning satisfaction in the online learning environment of medical students.

Study on the Size of Plant Community in Fragmented Habitats (서식처 분획화에 따른 식물군집의 크기에 관한 연구)

  • 신현탁;김용식
    • Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.147-155
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    • 1998
  • This study was conducted from March to August 1997 to decide the size of plant community in fragmentary habitats. The thirty one sites and one hundred and eighteen plots were plotted in the areas including Yangpyong, Yoju, Pyongtaek and Ansong in Kyonggi-do, Chomchon and Sangju in Kyongsangbuk-do, Nonsan in Chungchongnam-do and Iksan in Chollapuk-do. The area and number of woody species by correlation analysis were recorded as the highest value as 0.716. In order to apply the theory of island biogeography to the fragmented habitats in Korea, the four variables were calculated by regression model. The four variables such as number of woody species, number of woody individuals, number of herbaceous species and number of herbaceous individuals were recorded as significant with area at the level of 0.05 and R square was 0.71. The one function was selected between number of species and number of individuals from the canonical correlation analysis, and the function square was 0.8876. Both canonical function and squared canonical correlation showed significant at the level of 0.01. The number of species and individuals were not increased from the condition that was the size of plant community of 400$m^2$, 30 for number of species and 4,000 for number of individuals. This results of this study can be widely used as a basic information for the conservation management, especially the fragmented ecosystems or the biotop creation in the landscaping.

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The Assessment of Framingham Risk Score and 10 Year CHD Risk according to Application of LDL Cholesterol or Total Cholesterol (LDL Cholesterol 또는 Total Cholesterol의 적용에 따른 Framingham Risk Score와 10년 내 심혈관질환 발생 위험도 평가)

  • Kwon, Se Young;Na, Young Ak
    • Korean Journal of Clinical Laboratory Science
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    • v.48 no.2
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    • pp.54-61
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    • 2016
  • Studies on assessment tools for predicting cardiovascular disease risk (CDR), along with the studies to prevent CDR have been consistently reported. The validity of the Framingham risk score (FRS), a commonly known tool, has been verified through the precedent studies. In this study, we examined the differences of FRS according to the application of categories of LDL cholesterol (LDL-C) or Total cholesterol (TC), and attempted to evaluate the agreement of 10 yr CHD risk judgment based on the above-mentioned application. Excluding those diagnosed as cardiovascular diseases, data on subjects (755 men and 775 women) from the 2011 Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey were used. We found differences of FRS and 10 yr CHD risk depending on the application of categories of LDL cholesterol (LDL-C) or Total cholesterol (TC). FRS of TC points were higher than those of LDL-C in both men and women. In classification of low risk (<10%), intermediate risk (10~19%), and high risk (${\geq}20%$), there were disagreements for 106 men and 26 women. Women showed almost perfect agreement from Coefficient of Cohen's Kappa (0.718 in men, and 0.884 in women). In assessment of 10 yr CHD risk, R-squared value from regression including TC was higher than that of LDC-C in both men and women (0.972 vs 0.885). From this result, we can draw a conclusion that correlation coefficients of FRS and CHD risk including TC were higher than those of LDC-C, and women showed a greater degree of agreement than men.

Daily Reservoir Inflow Prediction using Quantitative Precipitation Model (강수진단모형을 이용한 실시간 저수지 일유입량 예측)

  • Kang, Boo-Sik;Kang, Tae-Ho;Oh, Jai-Ho;Kim, Jin-Young
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.291-295
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    • 2007
  • 강수진단모형을 이용하여 저수지 이수운영을 위한 실시간 유량예측기법을 개발하였다. 강수진단모형은 현재 기상청 현업에서 수행중인 강우수치예보를 기반으로 상세 지역의 지형 효과에 의한 강수를 예측하는 정량강수예측모형(QPM; Quantitative Precipitation Model)으로서 부경대학교 환경대기과학과에서 개발된 모형이다. QPM은 중규모 예측 모형으로부터 계산된 수평 바람, 고도, 기온, 강우 강도, 그리고 상대습도 등의 예측 자료를 이용하고, 소규모 상세지형 효과를 고려함으로써 중규모 예측 모형에서 생산된 강수량 예측 값을 상세 지역의 지형을 고려한 강수량 예측 값으로 재구성하여 결과적으로 3km 간격의 상세지역 강우산출과 지형에 따른 강수량의 분포 파악이 용이할 뿐만 아니라 계산 효율성을 개선된 모형이다. QPM 검증을 위하여 기상학적 평가와 수문학적 평가를 수행하였다. 호우 사례별 일강수량의 시공간 분포로 부터, QPM을 활용한 시스템에 의한 예측결과가 원시자료 RDAPS 보다 고해상도의 예측 및 지형효과의 반영도가 높았으며, AWS의 관측자료와 비교하여 보다 높은 예측성을 보여 주었다. 대상기간인 2006년 1월 1일부터 6월 20일까지 관측강우는 총 391.5mm 였으며 RQPM은 실적강우에 비하여 119.5mm 정도 과소산정하고 있으나 분위사상과정을 거치게 되면 351.7mm로서 실적강우에 불과 10.2% 못미치고 있다. 이는 고무적인 결과로 볼 수 있으며 현업에서의 활용성이 기대되는 수준이라 볼 수 있다. 강우-유출모의를 위한 QPM신뢰도를 높이기 위하여 분위사상법(Quantile Mapping)을 이용하여 QPM모의에 존재할 수 있는 계통오차에 대한 추가적인 보정을 수행하였다. 수문학적 평가를 위하여는 장기연속유출모형인 SSARR모형을 기반으로 개발된 RRFS(Rainfall-Runoff Forecast System)을 이용하여 2006년 1월${\sim}$9월까지의 용담댐 유입량에 대하여 모의예측결과와 관측유입량 비교를 통한 검증을 수행하였다. 위 기간중 예측유입량의 RMSE(Root Mean Squared Error), COE(Sutcliffe Coefficient of Efficiency), MAE(Mean Absolute Error), $R^2$값은 각각 7.50, 0.68, 2.59, 0.69 값을 보이고 있다. 본 연구에서는 QPM에 의한 예측성의 향상 및 구축된 시스템에 의한 일강수량의 장기예측 가능성을 확인하였고, 향후 시스템을 현업에 활용하기 위해서 생산된 예측자료의 보다 장기적인 검증을 통한 시스템의 안정화가 필요할 것으로 사료된다.

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Effects of Ultrathin Co Insertion Layer on Magnetic Anisotropy and GMR Properties of NiFe/Cu/Co Spin Valve Thin Films (NiFe/Cu 계면에 삽입된 Co 층이 NiFe/Cu/Co 스핀밸브 박막의 거대자기저항 특성과 자기이방성에 미치는 영향)

  • 김형준;조권구;주승기
    • Journal of the Korean Magnetics Society
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.251-255
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    • 1999
  • NiFe(60 $\AA$)/Co(0$\AA$$\leq$x$\AA$$\leq$15$\AA$)/Cu(60$\AA$)/Co(30$\AA$) spin valve thin films were prepared on 4$^{\circ}$ tilt-cut Si(111) substrates with a 50 $\AA$ thick Cu underlayer without applying any external magnetic field during the deposition, and the effects of inserted ultrathin Co layer on magnetic anisotropy and GMR properties of the NiFe(60 $\AA$)/Cu(60$\AA$)/Co(30$\AA$) spin valves were investigated. As the ultrathin Co layer was inserted into the NiFe/Cu interface of the spin valves, GMR ratio was increased from about 1.5% to 3.5%, and the easy axis of NiFe(60 $\AA$) layer was rotated by 90$^{\circ}$. Accordingly, it was aligned along the same direction with the easy axis of Co(30 $\AA$)layer. Therefore, squared R-H curves was obtained in the spin valves, which is favorable properties for the digital GMR devices such as MRAM. In order to investigate the change of magnetic anisotropy of NiFe layer of the spin valves in more details,XRD measurement was performed using NiFe(500 $\AA$) and NiFe(500 $\AA$)/Co(10 $\AA$) thin films on the same templates. Strong (220) NiFe peak was observed in both films regardless of the inserted Co layer, so it was thought that the variation of magnetic anisotropy of NiFe layer is from the interface effect, the change of interface from NiFe/Cu to NiFe/Co, rather than the volume effect such as the change of magnetocrystalline effect.

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Moisture Content Change of Korean Red Pine Logs During Air Drying: II. Prediction of Moisture Content Change of Korean Red Pine Logs under Different Air Drying Conditions (소나무 원목의 천연건조 중 함수율 변화: II. 소나무 원목의 천연건조 중 함수율 변화 예측)

  • HAN, Yeonjung;CHANG, Yoon-Seong;EOM, Chang-Deuk;LEE, Sang-Min
    • Journal of the Korean Wood Science and Technology
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    • v.47 no.6
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    • pp.732-750
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    • 2019
  • Air drying was carried out on 15 Korean red pine logs to provide a prediction model of the moisture content (MC) change in the wood during drying. The final MC was 17.4% after 880 days since the beginning of air drying in the summer for 6 Korean red pine logs with 68.7% initial MC. The final MC was 16.0% after 760 days since the beginning of air drying in the winter for 9 Korean red pine logs with 35.8% initial MC. A regression model with R-squared of 0.925 was obtained as a result of multiple regression analyses with initial MC, top diameter, temperature, relative humidity, and wind speed as independent variable and and MC change during air drying as dependent variable. The initial MC and top diameter, which is the characteristic of Korean red pine, have greater effect on the MC decrease during air drying compared to meteorological factors such as the temperature, relative humidity, and wind speed. Two-dimensional mass transfer analysis was performed to predict the MC distribution of Korean red pine logs during air drying. Two prediction models with different air drying days and different meteorological factors for the determination of the diffusion coefficient and surface emission coefficient were presented. The error between the different two methods ranged from 0.1 to 0.8% and the difference from the measured value ranged from 2.2 to 3.6%. By measuring the internal MC during air drying of Korean pine logs with various initial MC and diameter, and calculating the moisture transfer coefficient in wood for each meteorological condition, the error of the prediction model can be reduced.

Low-Flow Projection according to the Actual Evapotranspiration scenarios under the Climate Change -Chungju Dam Case- (기후변화 실제증발산 시나리오에 따른 갈수량전망 - 충주댐 사례 -)

  • Sun, HoYoung;Kang, BooSik
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.104-104
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    • 2018
  • 이수안전도의 기준이 되는 갈수량에 대해 기후변화 시나리오에 따른 전망을 제시하였다. 충주 댐 유역을 대상으로 기준기간(1986~2000년)에서의 기상청의 관측 기상자료와 IPCC 보고서의 RCP 4.5/8.5 시나리오를 대상으로 CMIP5(Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5)에서 제공하는 기후변화 자료 중 5개의 모델(ACCESS1.3 CanESM2, CNRM-CM5, GFDL-ESM2G, HadGEM2-AO)의 기준기간과 미래기간(2011~2100년)의 기상자료를 수집하였다. 기후변화 자료는 정상성/비정상성 분위사상법과 베이지안 모델 평균기법을 통해 불확실성과 통계적 오차를 저감하였다. 미래기간에서, 강우는 RCP 4.5에서 1.74mm/year, RCP 8.5에서 3.22mm/year, 실제증발산은 RCP 4.5에서 1.09mm/year, RCP 8.5에서 1.78mm/year의 증가율을 보였다. 실제증발산을 입력자료로 활용할 수 있도록 IHACRES모델의 CMD(Catchment Moisture Deficit) 비선형 모듈의 매개변수를 변이하여 유효강우량 산정 과정을 개선하였다. 기준기간에서 관측유량자료와 IHACRES의 시뮬레이션을 통해 산정된 유량자료의 R-squared는 0.65이다. 기준기간에서의 매개변수를 고정하여 미래기간의 유량을 산정하고 유황분석을 통해 갈수량 전망하였다. 유량은 RCP 4.5에서 4.41MCM/year, RCP 8.5에서 9.66MCM/year의 증가율을 보였다. 갈수량은 RCP 4.5에서 0.30MCM/year, RCP 8.5에서 -0.47MCM/year의 증감율을 보였다. 연간 강수량 대비 실제증발산의 비율의 추세분석 결과, RCP 4.5에서는 홍수기에는 0.014%/year, 비홍수기에는 0.027%/year의 증가율을 보이며 거의 변화가 없는 추세를 확인할 수 있었다. RCP 8.5의 홍수기에는 -0.042%/year, 비홍수기에서는 0.167%/year의 증감율을 보이며 홍수기에는 실제증발산에 비해 강수량의 증가가 확연히 보였으며 비홍수기에는 강수량에 비해 실제증발산의 증가가 뚜렷이 확인되었다. RCP 8.5에서 비홍수기의 강수량 대비 실제증발산의 증가가 갈수량의 감소로 반영된 것을 확인할 수 있었다. 미래기간의 RCP 4.5/8.5에서 실제증발산의 증가로 인하여 강수량이 증가함에 따라 유입량이 증가함에도 불구하고 갈수량의 증가로 이어지지 않았다. 미래 갈수량의 감소는 하천의 건전성과 이수안전도의 위협이 될 수 있다.

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