• 제목/요약/키워드: Quantitative risk assessment

검색결과 507건 처리시간 0.034초

빌딩공사의 안전관리정보시스템 개발 (A Development on the Safety Management Information System in Building Work)

  • 박종근
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제20권4호
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    • pp.71-77
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    • 2005
  • There are insufficient models that find problems and solutions for accident prevention through risk assessment and suggest safe work process and work instruction from foundation works to finish work for accident decrease. This paper presents a quantitative risk assessment model by analysis of risk factors in each process such as foundation, erection, structure, equipment finish and etc based on accident examples and investigation on actual condition in building. In addition, the safety management system was developed to perform risk assessment of construction and use it for effective safety training for labor.

돈육 생산공정에서의 정량적 위해 평가에 fuzzy 연산의 적용 (Application of Fuzzy Math Simulation to Quantitative Risk Assessment in Pork Production)

  • 임명남;이승주
    • 한국식품과학회지
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    • 제38권4호
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    • pp.589-593
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    • 2006
  • 돈육 가공 공정에 대한 QRA에 Monte Carlo simulation이 적용된 바 있는데, 새로운 방법으로 fuzzy 연산을 적용하여 Monte Carlo simulation과 비교 분석하였다. Carcass단계에 대한 오염 예측치인 fuzzy 값과 Monte Carlo simulation 확률분포 값의 기술통계량인 평균값은 각각 -4.393 log $CFU/cm^2$, -4.589 log $CFU/cm^2$ 로 나타났으며, processing 단계에서는 -4.185 log $CFU/cm^2$, -4.466 log $CFU/cm^2$으로 두 가지 접근 방법들이 비슷한 경향을 보였다. Fuzzy 값은 Monte Carlo simulation 확률분포 값을 포함하는 것으로 나타났다. 한편 최근 국내에서는 위해 평가에 대한 연구가 많이 이루어지고 있는데 대부분 데이터 분석은 Monte Carlo simulation에만 의존하고 있고, 다른 접근 방법에 대한 연구는 미진한 실정이다. 따라서 본 연구는 위해 평가를 위한 방법적 도구들을 개발하는데 새로운 접근 방향을 제시하였다 또한 향후 fuzzy 연산법은 데이터가 불충분한 위해 평가의 초기 단계에서 유용하게 사용될 수 있는 방법이 될 것이다.

제조업에 대한 안전성평가시스템 모델 구축에 관한 연구 (- Development of a Safety Assessment System Model in the Manufacturing Industry -)

  • 성호경
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제5권2호
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    • pp.11-26
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    • 2003
  • While a number of Korean companies have undergone ceaseless restructuring to survive today's rapidly changing global economy, the brick and mortar industry has been exerting their efforts to enhance the productivity through the development of new products, quality improvement, cost reduction measures. At present, various risk-evaluation measures have been taken in the fields at the discretion of an enterpriser, though, the effective methods enabling quantitative analysis are insufficient. Accordingly, this study is intended to contribute to the synthetic safety manage -ment in the factory fields and to suggest the quantitative -risk-analysis system by introducing such safety-estimation steps as assortment of processes, pre-assessment of risk factors, decision of risks, counter measures against studied risks, establishment of remedies.

선박항로 위험도 평가 시뮬레이터 개발에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Development of Ship's Passage Risk Assessment Simulator)

  • 김광일;정중식;박계각
    • 한국지능시스템학회논문지
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    • 제23권3호
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    • pp.220-225
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    • 2013
  • 항구 등 선박교통이 밀집된 구역에서 선박의 사고는 빈번하게 발생한다. 해양사고는 한번 발생하면 대형사고로 이어질 확률이 높으므로, 철저한 해상교통관리가 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 실 해역의 통계적인 해상교통정보와 실시간 선박 통항분포를 바탕으로 항로 위험도를 정량적으로 평가하기 위한 시뮬레이터를 개발하고자 한다. 항로 위험도 평가 시뮬레이터는 항로정보 입력부, 통항분포 분석부, 알고리즘 실행부로 구성하였다. 또한 완도해역의 해상교통정보를 시뮬레이터에 적용하여 항로의 정량적인 항로 위험도를 산출하고자 한다.

위험관리시스템 구축을 위한 정량적 안전평가 절차 (Procedure of Quantitative Safety Assessment for Risk Management System)

  • 정원
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제9권3호
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    • pp.165-176
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    • 2009
  • The risk management case is an organization's formal arrangement to ensure the safety of its work activity within risk management system. It allows an organization to demonstrate its capability in achieving its safety objectives and in meeting regulatory requirements. This paper presents how the safety assessments are described, prepared and maintained to meet the criteria specified by the upcoming safety regulations. We propose the elements of risk management system that include arrangements for the ongoing identification of hazards, assessment of risks and the implementation of necessary control measures.

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터널 건설 프로젝트 리스크 분석 및 리스크 정량화 모델 개발에 관한 연구 (Risk Factors Analysis and Quantitative Risk Assessment Model for Tunnel Construction Project)

  • 정승아;안성진
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2023년도 봄 학술논문 발표대회
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    • pp.363-364
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    • 2023
  • The tunnel construction projects is demanded more efficient risk management measures and loss forecasts to prepare for risk losses from an increase in the trend of tunnel construction. This study aims to analyze the risk factors that caused the loss of material in actual tunnel construction and to develop a quantified predictive loss model, based on the past loss record of tunnel construction projects.

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정량적 위험성 평가를 통한 고속도로 휴게소 수소 충전소 안전 가이드라인 연구 (A Study on Safety Guidelines for Hydrogen Refueling Stations at Expressway Service Area using Quantitative Risk Assessment)

  • 김희진;장경민;김수현;김기범;정은상
    • 한국수소및신에너지학회논문집
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    • 제32권6호
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    • pp.551-564
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    • 2021
  • The use of clean energy based on the hydrogen economy is increasing rapidly due to the greenhouse gas reduction policies and the increase in the need for hydrogen. Currently, South Korea government have been considering a plan to construct hydrogen refueling stations at expressway service area for the purpose of supplying hydrogen vehicles. In the case of a hydrogen refueling stations, a quantitative risk assessment (QRA) must be performed because it includs and uses a high pressurized hydrogen storage tank. In this study, QRA was conducted using societal risk and F-N curve by the consequence assessment (CA) of jet fire and explosion according to the population density, capacity of the high pressurized hydrogen storage tank and frequency assessment (FA) data to the general hydrogen refueling stations systems in expressway service area. In the cases of jet with a leak diameter of 7.16 mm, regardless of expressway service area location, the societal risk was over 1E-04 that was acceptable for as Low As reasonably practicable (ALARP) region (workforce), but unacceptable for ALARP region (public). In the cases of gas explosion, all expressway service area satisfy ALARP region. In the case of the population density is over 0.0727, QRA for constructing the hydrogen refueling stations, must be conducted.

하수처리수의 논 관개용수 재이용을 위한 미생물 위해성 평가 (Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment of Wastewater Reuse for Irrigation in Paddy Field)

  • 윤춘경;한정윤;정광욱;장재호
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제48권2호
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    • pp.77-87
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    • 2006
  • The reuse of wastewater for agricultural irrigation may cause human health risk as a result of exposure to pathogens. This study conducted the quantitative microbial risk assessment in paddy field irrigated with treated wastewater. Six treatments were used to irrigate the paddy field from Year 2003 to Year 2005: biofilter-effluent, UV-disinfected water (6, 16, 40, 68 $mW s cm^{-2}$), pond-treated water, wetland-treated water, conventional irrigation water and tap water. Total coliforms, fecal coliforms and E. coli were monitored during rice growing period. Beta - Poisson model was employed to calculate the microbial risk of pathogens ingestion that may occur to farmers and neighbor children. Uncertainty of risk was estimated using Monte Carlo simulation. In this study, the microbial risk was higher during initial cultivation (end of May$\sim$June), and it decreased with time. Biofilter effluent (secondary effluent) irrigation showed higher risk values than others (>$10^{-4}$) and irrigation with UV-disinfected water has the lowest risk range ($10^{-6}{\sim}10^{-5}$). The risk value estimated in 2005 was lower than risk value in 2003 and 2004, it is likely due to clean tap water irrigation in initial transplanting stage. It is suggested that irrigation with UV-disinfected water and pond-treated water would reduce the microbial risk associated with wastewater irrigation in paddy field. In addition, the first irrigation water quality significantly affected the subsequent microbial risk.

철도위험물수송에 관한 위험도 정량화방안 및 경감대책 연구 (A Study on Quantitative Risk Assessment Method and Risk Reduction Measures for Rail Hazardous Material Transportation)

  • 이상곤;조원철;이태식
    • 한국재난관리표준학회지
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    • 제1권3호
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    • pp.69-76
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    • 2008
  • 본 연구는 철도를 통한 위험물 운송시 발생할 수 있는 위험을 정량화하는 방법을 개발하고, 이를 통한 경감대책을 제시한다. 본 논문에서는 철도위험물 수송에 관한 위험도를 평가하기 위한 방법으로 정량적 위험도 평가 방법을 채택하였으며, 과거 사고이력과 더불어 위험이 높을 것으로 판단되는 익산시를 대상으로 했다. 노출인원에 대한 평균개인의 위험을 거리에 따른 위험도로 표현한 결과 원자력 기준 미만으로 안전한 것으로 판단되고, 또한 사회적 위험도로 표현한 결과, 위험경감대책 적용요구 구간(ALARP)범위 내에 포함되어 이에 대한 경감대책을 제시하였다. 위험 경감대책으로 차량설계, 운영, 피해확대 방지, 발생빈도 감소를 위한 탈선사고 방지, 경로변경 방안 등을 제시하였으며 경감대책의 적용으로 높은 수준의 안전성을 확보할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

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복합화력발전소 내 수소연료 저장설비의 안전관리 체계 구축을 위한 Bow-tie 기법을 활용한 반정량적 위험성 평가 (Semi-quantitative Risk Assessment using Bow-tie Method for the Establishment of Safety Management System of Hydrogen Fuel Storage Facility in a Combined Cycle Power Plant)

  • 박희경;정시우;최유정;이민철
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제39권2호
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    • pp.75-86
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    • 2024
  • Hydrogen has been selected as one of the key technologies for reducing CO2 emissions to achieve carbon neutrality by 2050. However, hydrogen safety issues should be fully guaranteed before the commercial and widespread utilization of hydrogen. Here, a bow-tie risk assessment is conducted for the hydrogen fuel supply system in a gas turbine power plant, which can be a mass consumption application of hydrogen. The bow-tie program is utilized for a qualitative risk assessment, allowing the analysis of the causes and consequences according to the stages of accidents. This study proposed an advanced bow-tie method, which includes the barrier criticality matrix and visualized maps of quantitative risk reduction. It is based on evaluating the importance of numerous barriers for the extent of their impact. In addition, it emphasizes the prioritization and concentrated management of high-importance barriers. The radar chart of a bow tie allows the visual comparison of risk levels before/after the application of barriers (safety measures). The risk reduction methods are semi-quantitatively analyzed utilizing the criticality matrix and radar chart, and risk factors from multiple aspects are derived. For establishing a secure hydrogen fuel storage system, the improvements suggested by the bow-tie risk assessment results, such as 'Ergonomic equipment design to prevent human error' and 'Emergency shutdown system,' will enhance the safety level. It attempts to contribute to the development and enhancement of an efficient safety management system by suggesting a method of calculating the importance of barriers based on the bow-tie risk assessment.