• Title/Summary/Keyword: Quantitative risk assessment

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Risk Assessment for High Capacity Multiport Hydrogen Refueling Station (대용량 멀티포트 동시 충전 기반 수소충전소 안전성 평가 연구)

  • CHOONGHEE JOE;SEUNGKYU KANG;BUSEUNG KIM;KYUNGSIK LEE
    • Journal of Hydrogen and New Energy
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.505-513
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    • 2023
  • Hydrogen infrastructure is expanding. High-capacity hydrogen refueling stations offer advantages because they can refuel a variety of light and heavy-duty vehicles, and multi-port refueling technology is developing to reduce charging time for heavy-duty vehicles. In this study, we suggest directions to lower the risk by analyzing the risk factors for each process involved in the installation of a high-capacity multi-port hydrogen refueling station in Changwon city. We conducted both qualitative and quantitative risk assessments of the equipment to evaluate the station. A hazard and operability study was performed for qualitative risk assessment, and PHAST/SAFETI were used for quantitative risk assessment. Quantitative risk assessment was used to calculate the consequence analysis of the facility to ensure secure design prior to station development and to predict individual and societal risks in various scenarios. As a result, the station's risk level was determined to be as low as reasonably practicable.

Probabilistic Risk Assessment Techniques for the Risk Analysis of Construction Projects (건설공사의 위험도분석을 위한 확률적 위험도 평가)

  • 조효남;임종권;박영빈
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 1997.04a
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    • pp.27-34
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    • 1997
  • In this paper, systematic and comprehensive approaches are suggested for the application of quantitative PRA techniques especially for those risk events that cannot be easily evaluated quantitatively In addition, dominant risk events are identified based on their occurrence frequency assessed by both actual survey of construction site conditions and the statistical data related with the probable accidents. Practical FTA(Fault Tree Analysis) and ETA(Event Tree Analysis) models are used for the assessment of the identified risks. When the risk events are lack of statistical data, appropriate Bayesian models incorporating engineering judgement and test results are also introduced in this paper. Moreover, a fuzzy probability technique is used for the quantitative risk assessment of those risk components which are difficult to evaluate quantitatively.

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Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment of Clostridium perfringens on Ham and Sausage Products in Korea (햄 및 소시지류에서의 Clostridium perfringens에 대한 정량적 미생물 위해평가)

  • Ko, Eun-Kyung;Moon, Jin-San;Wee, Sung-Hwan;Bahk, Gyung-Jin
    • Food Science of Animal Resources
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.118-124
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    • 2012
  • This study was conducted for quantitative microbial risk assessment (QMRA) of Clostridium perfringens with consumption on ham and sausage products in Korea, according to Codex guidelines. Frame-work model as product-retail-consumption pathway composed with initial contamination level, the time and temperature in distributions, and consumption data sets for ham and sausage products and also used the published predictive growth and dose-response models for Cl. perfringens. The simulation model and formulas with Microsoft@ Excel spreadsheet program using these data sets was developed and simulated with @RISK. The probability of foodborne disease by Cl. perfringens with consumption of the ham and sausage products per person per day was estimated as $3.97{\times}10^{-11}{\pm}1.80{\times}10^{-9}$. There were also noted that limitations in this study and suggestion for development of QMRA in the future in Korea.

A Study on Safety Improvement for Packaged Hydrogen Refueling Station by Risk Assessment (위험성 평가를 통한 패키지형 수소충전소 안전성 향상에 관한 연구)

  • KANG, SEUNGKYU;HUH, YUNSIL;MOON, JONGSAM
    • Journal of Hydrogen and New Energy
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.635-641
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    • 2017
  • In this study, the components of packaged hydrogen filling station were analyzed and risk factors were examined. Risk scenarios were constructed and quantitative risk assessments were conducted through a general risk assessment program (phast/safeti 7.2). Through the risk assessment, the range of damage according to accident scenarios and the ranking that affects the damage according to the risk factors are listed, and scope of damage and countermeasures for risk reduction are provided. The quantitative risk assessment result of the packaged hydrogen filling station through this task will be used as the basic data for improving the safety of the packaged filling system and preparing safety standards.

Comparison of Monte Carlo Simulation and Fuzzy Math Computation for Validation of Summation in Quantitative Risk Assessment

  • Im, Myung-Nam;Lee, Seung-Ju
    • Food Science and Biotechnology
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.361-366
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    • 2007
  • As the application of quantitative risk assessment (QRA) to food safety becomes widespread, it is now being questioned whether experimental results and simulated results coincide. Therefore, this paper comparatively analyzed experimental data and simulated data of the cross contamination, which needs summation of the simplest calculations in QRA, of chicken by Monte Carlo simulation and fuzzy math computation. In order to verify summation, the following basic operation was performed. For the experiment, thigh, breast, and a mixture of both parts were preserved for 24 hr at $20^{\circ}C$, and then the cell number of Salmonella spp. was measured. In order to examine the differences between experimental results and simulated results, we applied the descriptive statistics. The result was that mean value by fuzzy math computation was more similar to the experimental than that by Monte Carlo simulation, whereas other statistical descriptors by Monte Carlo simulation were more similar.

Quantitative Risk Assessment Method for Deep Placed Underground Spaces (대심도지하공간의 정량적위험성 평가기법)

  • Lee, Chang-wook
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.92-119
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    • 2010
  • As the necessity to utilize deep-placed underground spaces is increasing, we have to seriously consider the safety problems arising from the U/G spaces which is a restricted environment. Due to the higher cost of land compensation for above ground area and environmental issues, the plan to utilize deep-placed U/G spaces is currently only being established for the construction of U/G road network and GTX. However it is also expected that the U/G spaces are to be used as a living space because of the growing desires to change the above ground areas into the environmentally green spaces. Accordingly it is necessary to protect the U/G environments which is vulnerable against desasters caused by fire, explosion, flooding, terrorism, electric power failure, etc. properly. We want to introduce the principles of the Quantitative Risk Assessment(QRA) method for preparedness against the desasters arising from U/G environments, and also want to introduce an example of QRA which was implemented for the GOTTHARD tunnel which is the longest one in Europe.

Quantitative Risk Assessment of the Adverse Effects due to Exposure to Cyanobacteria Toxin (Microcystin-LR) through Drinking Water in the Nakdong River Watershed (수돗물을 통해 노출되는 녹조독소의 인체위해성 평가)

  • Lee, Jae-Hyun;Shin, Gwy-Am
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.345-362
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    • 2017
  • The primary purpose of this study was to determine the risk of various disease outcomes due to exposure to cyanobacteria toxin (microcystin-LR) through drinking water in a Korean watershed. In order to determine the risk in a more quantitative way, the risk assessment framework developed by the National Research Council (NRC) of the United States (US) - hazard identification, dose-response relationship, exposure assessment, and risk characterization - was used in this study. For dose-response relationships, a computer software (BenchMark Dose Software (BMDS)) developed by the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) was used to fit the data from previous studies showing the relationship between the concentration of microcystin-LR and various disease outcomes into various dose-response models. For exposure assessment, the concentrations of microcystin-LR in the source water and finished water in a Korean watershed obtained from a recent study conducted by the Ministry of Environment of Korea were used. Finally, the risk of various disease outcomes due to exposure to cyanobacteria toxin (microcystin-LR) through drinking water was characterized by Monte-Carlo simulation using Crystall Ball program (Oracle Inc.) for adults and children. The results of this study suggest that the risk of disease due to microcystin-LR toxin through drinking water is very low and it appears that current water treatment practice should be able to protect the public from the harmful effects of cyanobacteria toxin (microcystin-LR) through drinking water.

A study on the development and applicability of fire risk assessment method for small road tunnels passing only small cars (소형차 전용 도로터널의 화재 위험도 평가기법개발 및 적용성에 관한 연구)

  • Ryu, Ji-Oh;Choi, Pan-Gyu
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.917-930
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    • 2018
  • A quantitative risk assessment method for quantitatively evaluating the fire risk in designing a road tunnel disaster prevention facilities has been introduced to evaluate the appropriateness of a disaster prevention facility in a large tunnel through which all vehicle types pass. However, since the quantitative risk assessment method of the developed can be applied only to the large sectional area tunnels (large tunnels), it is necessary to develop a quantitative risk assessment method for road tunnels passing only small cars which has recently been constructed or planned. In this study, fire accidents scenarios and quantitative risk assesment method for small road tunnels through small cars only which is based on the methods for existing road tunnels (large tunnels). And the risk according to the distance between cross passage is evaluated. As a result, in order to satisfy the societal risk assessment criteria, the distance of the appropriate distance between cross passages was estimated to be 200 m, and the effect of the ventilation system of the large port exhaust ventilation system was quantitatively analyzed by comparing the longitudinal ventilation system.

Equipment Reliability Database for Chemical Plants (화학공장 설비 및 기기에 대한 신뢰도 데이터베이스 구축)

  • Ko Jae-Wook;Kwon Hyuk-Myun
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.10 no.1 s.30
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    • pp.13-18
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    • 2006
  • Chemical plants should perform Quantitative Risk Assessment that evaluates types of accident, frequency and damage which can happen through using the hazardous equipment and the hazardous materials for preventing and preparing industrial disasters. It is necessary that Chemical plants should include the reliability database which efficiently evaluate the Quantitative Risk Assessment. So in this study, we suggest a which methodology applies Quantitative Risk Assessment on the basis of the constructed data to imply the reliability of industrial facilities and equipment, collection of reliability data, system analysis and development of software.

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Application of Quantitative Assessment of Coronary Atherosclerosis by Coronary Computed Tomographic Angiography

  • Su Nam Lee;Andrew Lin;Damini Dey;Daniel S. Berman;Donghee Han
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.518-539
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    • 2024
  • Coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) has emerged as a pivotal tool for diagnosing and risk-stratifying patients with suspected coronary artery disease (CAD). Recent advancements in image analysis and artificial intelligence (AI) techniques have enabled the comprehensive quantitative analysis of coronary atherosclerosis. Fully quantitative assessments of coronary stenosis and lumen attenuation have improved the accuracy of assessing stenosis severity and predicting hemodynamically significant lesions. In addition to stenosis evaluation, quantitative plaque analysis plays a crucial role in predicting and monitoring CAD progression. Studies have demonstrated that the quantitative assessment of plaque subtypes based on CT attenuation provides a nuanced understanding of plaque characteristics and their association with cardiovascular events. Quantitative analysis of serial CCTA scans offers a unique perspective on the impact of medical therapies on plaque modification. However, challenges such as time-intensive analyses and variability in software platforms still need to be addressed for broader clinical implementation. The paradigm of CCTA has shifted towards comprehensive quantitative plaque analysis facilitated by technological advancements. As these methods continue to evolve, their integration into routine clinical practice has the potential to enhance risk assessment and guide individualized patient management. This article reviews the evolving landscape of quantitative plaque analysis in CCTA and explores its applications and limitations.