• Title/Summary/Keyword: Quantitative estimate

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A Comparative Study on the Risk(Individual and Societal) Assessment for Surrounding Areas of Chemical Processes (화학공정 주변지역에 미치는 위험성(사회적 위험성 및 개인적 위험성) 평가방법에 관한 비교 연구)

  • 김윤화;엄성인;고재욱
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.56-63
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    • 1995
  • Two methods of the numerical method of CPQRA(Chemical Process Quantitative Risk Analysis) and the manual method of IAEA(International Atomic Energy Agency) were used to estimate the individual risk and societal risk around the chemical plant. Where, the CPQRA is introduced to verify the theoritical background of the manual of international atomic energy agency. The Gaussian plume model which has a weather stability class D with velocity of 5m/s was applied to calculate dispersion of hazard material. Also, 8-point method was employed to the effects of accidents for wind distribution. Furthermore, historical record, FTA(Fault Tree Analysis) and ETA(Event Tree Analysis) were used to estimate the probability or frequency of accidents. Eventually, the individual risk shows isorisk contour and the societal risk shows F-N curve around hazard facility, especially in chemical plants. Caulculated results, which both individual and societal risk, by using IAEA manual show simillar results to those of calculation by numerical method of CPQRA.

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Reproducibility of Statistical Motor Unit Number Estimate in Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis: Comparisons between Size-and Number-Weighted Modifications (근위축성 측삭 경화증에서의 Statistical Motor Unit Number Estimate 재연성: Size-and Number-Weighted Modifications간의 비교)

  • Kwon, Oh Yun;Lee, Kwang-Woo
    • Annals of Clinical Neurophysiology
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.27-33
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    • 2003
  • Background: Motor unit number estimation (MUNE) can directly assess motor neuron populations in muscle and quantify the degree of physiologic and/or pathologic motor neuron degeneration. A high degree of reproducibility and reliability is required from a good quantitative tool. MUNE, in various ways, is being increasingly applied clinically and statistical MUNE has several advantages over alternative techniques. Nevertheless, the optimal method of applying statistical MUNE to improve reproducibility has not been established. Methods: We performed statistical MUNE by selecting the most compensated compound muscle action potential (CMAP) area as a test area and modified the results obtained by weighted mean surface-recorded motor unit potential (SMUP). Results: MUNE measures in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) patients showed better reproducibility with sizeweighted modification. Conclusions: We suggest size-weighted MUNE testing of "neurogenically compensated"CMAP areas present an optimal method for statistical MUNE in ALS patients.

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Prediction of free magnetic energy stored in a solar active region via a power-law relation between free magnetic energy and emerged magnetic flux

  • Magara, Tetsuya
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.39 no.1
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    • pp.69.2-69.2
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    • 2014
  • To estimate free magnetic energy stored in an active region is a key to the quantitative prediction of activity observed on the Sun. This energy is defined as an excess over the potential energy that is the lowest energy taken by a magnetic structure formed in the solar atmosphere including the solar corona. It is, however still difficult to derive the configuration of a coronal magnetic field only by observations, so we have to use some observable quantity to estimate free magnetic energy. Recently, by performing a coordinated series of three-dimensional magnetohydrodynamic simulations of an emerging flux tube that transfers intense magnetic flux to the solar atmosphere we have found an universal power-law relation between free magnetic energy and emerged magnetic flux, the latter of which is a possibly observed quantity. We further investigate what causes this relation through a comparison with a model of linear force-free field.

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A QUALITATIVE METHOD TO ESTIMATE HSI DISPLAY COMPLEXITY

  • Hugo, Jacques;Gertman, David
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.45 no.2
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    • pp.141-150
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    • 2013
  • There is mounting evidence that complex computer system displays in control rooms contribute to cognitive complexity and, thus, to the probability of human error. Research shows that reaction time increases and response accuracy decreases as the number of elements in the display screen increase. However, in terms of supporting the control room operator, approaches focusing on addressing display complexity solely in terms of information density and its location and patterning, will fall short of delivering a properly designed interface. This paper argues that information complexity and semantic complexity are mandatory components when considering display complexity and that the addition of these concepts assists in understanding and resolving differences between designers and the preferences and performance of operators. This paper concludes that a number of simplified methods, when combined, can be used to estimate the impact that a particular display may have on the operator's ability to perform a function accurately and effectively. We present a mixed qualitative and quantitative approach and a method for complexity estimation.

A Study on the Distributed Lag Model by Bayesian Decision Making Method (분포시차모형의 Bayesian 의사결정법에 관한 연구)

  • 이필령
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.8 no.11
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    • pp.27-34
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    • 1985
  • Recently the distributed lag models for time series data have been used in several quantitative analyses. But the analyses of time series which have the serial correlations in error terms and the lagged values of dependent variables violate the hypothesis of OLS method. This paper suggests that the approach technique of distributed lay model with serial correlation should be applied by the Bayesian inference to estimate the parameters. For the application of distributed lag model by Bayesian analysis, the data for monthly consumption expenditure per household by items of commodities from 1972 to 1981 are used in order to estimate the lagged coefficient of processed food and the regression coefficient of the food and beverage.

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APPROXIMATION FORMULAS FOR SHORT-MATURITY NEAR-THE-MONEY IMPLIED VOLATILITIES IN THE HESTON AND SABR MODELS

  • HYUNMOOK CHOI;HYUNGBIN PARK;HOSUNG RYU
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.180-193
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    • 2023
  • Approximating the implied volatilities and estimating the model parameters are important topics in quantitative finance. This study proposes an approximation formula for short-maturity near-the-money implied volatilities in stochastic volatility models. A general second-order nonlinear PDE for implied volatility is derived in terms of time-to-maturity and log-moneyness from the Feyman-Kac formula. Using regularity conditions and the Taylor expansion, an approximation formula for implied volatility is obtained for short-maturity nearthe-money call options in two stochastic volatility models: Heston model and SABR model. In addition, we proposed a novel numerical method to estimate model parameters. This method reduces the number of model parameters that should be estimated. Generating sample data on log-moneyness, time-to-maturity, and implied volatility, we estimate the model parameters fitting the sample data in the above two models. Our method provides parameter estimates that are close to true values.

Reflections on the China-Malaysia Economic Partnership

  • AL SHAHER, Shaher;ZREIK, Mohamad
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.229-234
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    • 2022
  • The study aims to investigate whether Musharakah management has an impact on Chinese and Malaysian business partnerships. To estimate the relationship between Musharakah and the Sino-Malaysian partnership, this study uses a panel econometric technique namely pooled ordinary least squares. Ordinary Least Squares regression (OLS) is a common technique for estimating coefficients of linear regression equations which describe the relationship between one or more independent quantitative variables and a dependent variable. Data was retrieved from the annual reports (from 2009 to 2019) of non-financial firms listed on the stock exchange of China and Malaysia. Four partnership measures (i.e., Musharakah, Mudarabah, Tawuruq, and Kafalah) were used to estimate the impact of Musharakah on the Sino-Malaysian partnership. Empirical results reveal that Musharakah and Mudarabah are positively related to Kafalah but the relationship is statistically insignificant. Alternatively, Musharakah is positively and significantly related to Mudarabah. Musharakah and Mudarabah have a positive but insignificant relationship. The findings of this study suggest that management of partnership has a positive impact on firm partnership. Furthermore, it supports the hypothesis that improving partnership enhances Musharakah, which has a positive impact on the firm's partnership.

Development of Multimedia Exposure Model for PCBs

  • Park, Shinai;Han, Jee-Yeun;Park, Jongsei
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society of Environmental Toocicology Conference
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    • 2003.05a
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    • pp.166-166
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    • 2003
  • In terms of the risk assessment, qualitative and quantitative informations are needed to estimate the exposures of environmental pollutants, which may be potentiality of risks, and those are the information about the changes caused by the chemical transportation among environmental media and transformation in environmental media by duration. The various fate mechanism of chemical is possible for estimation of chemical concentration in environmental media. Since there are limitations in measuring the change of chemical concentration within all medium according to the time period, estimating method through modeling are developed.

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ON A TWO WEIGHTS ESTIMATE FOR THE COMMUTATOR

  • Chung, Daewon
    • East Asian mathematical journal
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.103-113
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    • 2017
  • We provide quantitative two weight estimates for the commutator of the Hilbert transform under certain conditions on a pair of weights (u, v) and b in $Carl_{u,v}$. In [10] and [11], Bloom's inequality is shown in a modern setting, and the boundedness of the commutators is provided by assuming both weights u, v are $A_2$ and $b{\in}BMO_{\rho}$. In the present paper we show that the condition on b can be replaced by $Carl_{u,v}$ by using the joint $A^d_2$ condition.

PROBABILISTIC APPROACH ON SEISMOGENIC POTENTIAL OF A FAULT

  • Chang, Chun-Joong
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.43 no.5
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    • pp.437-446
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    • 2011
  • Siting criteria for nuclear power plants require that faults be characterized as to their potential for generating earthquakes, or that the absence of the potential for these occurrences be demonstrated. Because the definition of active faults in Korea has been applied by the deterministic method, which depends on the numerical age of fault movement, the possibility of inherent uncertainties exists in determining the maximum earthquake from the fault sources for seismic design. In an attempt to overcome these problems this study suggests new criteria and a probabilistic quantitative diagnostic procedure that could estimate whether a fault is capable of generating earthquakes in the near future.