• 제목/요약/키워드: Quantile regression model

검색결과 89건 처리시간 0.026초

Herding Behavior and Cryptocurrency: Market Asymmetries, Inter-Dependency and Intra-Dependency

  • JALAL, Raja Nabeel-Ud-Din;SARGIACOMO, Massimo;SAHAR, Najam Us;FAYYAZ, Um-E-Roman
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권7호
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    • pp.27-34
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    • 2020
  • The study investigates herding behavior in cryptocurrencies in different situations. This study employs daily returns of major cryptocurrencies listed in CCI30 index and sub-major cryptocurrencies and major stock returns listed in Dow-Jones Industrial Average Index, from 2015 to 2018. Quantile regression method is employed to test the herding effect in market asymmetries, inter-dependency and intra-dependency cases. Findings confirm the presence of herding in cryptocurrency in upper quantiles in bullish and high volatility periods because of overexcitement among investors, which lead to high volume trading. Major cryptocurrencies cause herding in sub-major cryptocurrencies, but it is a unidirectional relation. However, no intra-dependency effect among cryptocurrencies and equity market is observed. Results indicate that in the CKK model herding exists at upper quantile in market that may be due when the market is moving fast, continuously trading, and bullish trend are prevailing. Further analysis confirms this narrative as, at upper quantile, the beta of bullish regime is negative and significant, meaning the main source of market herding is a bullish trend in investment, which increases market turbulence and gives investors opportunity to herd. Also, we found that herding in cryptocurrencies exits in high volatility periods, but this herding mostly depends on market activity, not market movement.

Pointwise Estimation of Density of Heteroscedastistic Response in Regression

  • Hyun, Ji-Hoon;Kim, Si-Won;Lee, Sung-Dong;Byun, Wook-Jae;Son, Mi-Kyoung;Kim, Choong-Rak
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.197-203
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    • 2012
  • In fitting a regression model, we often encounter data sets which do not follow Gaussian distribution and/or do not have equal variance. In this case estimation of the conditional density of a response variable at a given design point is hardly solved by a standard least squares method. To solve this problem, we propose a simple method to estimate the distribution of the fitted vales under heteroscedasticity using the idea of quantile regression and the histogram techniques. Application of this method to a real data sets is given.

몬테칼로 시뮬레이션을 이용한 비선형회귀추정량들의 비교 분석 (The Comparison Analysis of an Estimators of Nonlinear Regression Model using Monte Carlo Simulation)

  • 김태수;이영해
    • 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
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    • 제9권3호
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    • pp.43-51
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    • 2000
  • In regression model, we estimate the unknown parameters by using various methods. There are the least squares method which is the most general, the least absolute deviation method, the regression quantile method and the asymmetric least squares method. In this paper, we will compare each others with two cases: firstly the theoretical comparison in the asymptotic sense and then the practical comparison using Monte Carlo simulation for a small sample size.

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비선형 회귀모형 추정량들의 몬데칼로 시뮬레이션에 의한 비교 (Monte Carlo simulation of the estimators for nonlinear regression model)

  • 김태수;이영해
    • 한국시뮬레이션학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국시뮬레이션학회 2000년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.6-10
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    • 2000
  • In regression model we estimate the unknown parameters using various methods. There are the least squares method which is the most general, the least absolute deviation, the regression quantile and the asymmetric least squares method. In this paper, we will compare each others with two case: to begin with the theoretical comparison in the asymptotic sense, and then the practical comparison using Monte Carlo simulation for a small sample size.

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The Effect of Foreign Ownership and Product Market Competition on Firm Performance: Empirical Evidence from Vietnam

  • HA, Thach Xuan;TRAN, Thu Thi
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권11호
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    • pp.79-86
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    • 2021
  • In recent years, firm performance has been a topic that attracts many researchers. It is extremely important to identify the factors that change firm performance. In the current trend of competition and integration, foreign ownership, product market competition is found to reduce agency costs and impact firm performance. The purpose of this research is to investigate the relationship between foreign ownership, product market competition, and firm performance. Our research using a quantile regression model, through panel data of 290 companies listed on the Vietnam stock exchange (include Ho Chi Minh and Hanoi stock exchanges) from 2017 to 2019 that was collected by Thomson - Reuters DataStream has shown that foreign ownership and product market competition have a positive impact on Tobin's Q but are not statistically significant with ROA. Critically, our quantile regression results suppose foreign ownership, product market competition have a significantly larger positive impact in high-performing firms relative to low-performing firms. The results help propose solutions to planners and managers to change foreign ownership and product market competition to increase business performance. Besides, through quantile regression analysis, managers need to pay attention to the impact on foreign ownership, product market competition; there will be a difference between high-performing firms relative to low-performing firms.

Healthcare Systems and COVID-19 Mortality in Selected OECD Countries: A Panel Quantile Regression Analysis

  • Jalil Safaei;Andisheh Saliminezhad
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제56권6호
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    • pp.515-522
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    • 2023
  • Objectives: The pandemic caused by coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has exerted an unprecedented impact on the health of populations worldwide. However, the adverse health consequences of the pandemic in terms of infection and mortality rates have varied across countries. In this study, we investigate whether COVID-19 mortality rates across a group of developed nations are associated with characteristics of their healthcare systems, beyond the differential policy responses in those countries. Methods: To achieve the study objective, we distinguished healthcare systems based on the extent of healthcare decommodification. Using available daily data from 2020, 2021, and 2022, we applied quantile regression with non-additive fixed effects to estimate mortality rates across quantiles. Our analysis began prior to vaccine development (in 2020) and continued after the vaccines were introduced (throughout 2021 and part of 2022). Results: The findings indicate that higher testing rates, coupled with more stringent containment and public health measures, had a significant negative impact on the death rate in both pre-vaccination and post-vaccination models. The data from the post-vaccination model demonstrate that higher vaccination rates were associated with significant decreases in fatalities. Additionally, our research indicates that countries with healthcare systems characterized by high and medium levels of decommodification experienced lower mortality rates than those with healthcare systems involving low decommodification. Conclusions: The results of this study indicate that stronger public health infrastructure and more inclusive social protections have mitigated the severity of the pandemic's adverse health impacts, more so than emergency containment measures and social restrictions.

응급의료센터 체류시간 최적화 (A Stay Time Optimization Model Emergency Medical Center (EMC))

  • 김은주;임지영;류정순;조선희;배나리;김상숙
    • 가정간호학회지
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    • 제18권2호
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    • pp.81-87
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    • 2011
  • Purpose: The aim of this study was to estimate optimization model of stay time in EMC. Methods: Data were collected at an EMC in a hospital using medical records from June to August in 2007. The sample size was 8,378. The data were structured by stay time for doctor visit, decision making, and discharge from EMC. Descriptive statistics were used to find out general characteristics of patients. Average mean and quantile regression models were adopted to estimate optimized stay time in EMC. Results: The stay times in EMC were highly skewed and non-normal distributions. Therefore, average mean as an indicator of optimal stay time was not appropriate. The total stay time using conditional quantile regression model was estimated about 110 min, that was about 166 min shorter than estimated time using average mean. Conclusion: According to these results, we recommend to use a conditional quantile regression model to estimate optimal stay time in EMC. We suggest that this results will be used to develop a guideline to manage stay time more effectively in EMC.

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서포트벡터기계를 이용한 VaR 모형의 결합 (Combination of Value-at-Risk Models with Support Vector Machine)

  • 김용태;심주용;이장택;황창하
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제16권5호
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    • pp.791-801
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    • 2009
  • VaR(Value-at-Risk)는 시장위험을 측정하기 위한 중요한 도구로 사용되고 있다. 그러나 적절한 VaR 모형의 선택에는 논란의 여지가 많다. 본 논문에서는 특정 모형을 선택하여 VaR 예측값을 구하는 대신 대표적으로 많이 사용되는 두개의 VaR 모형인 역사적 모의실험과 GARCH 모형의 예측값들을 서포트벡터기계 분위수 회귀모형을 이용하여 결합하는 방법을 제안한다.

일반계 고등학생 사교육비 지출에 대한 베이지안 분위회귀모형 분석 (Bayesian quantile regression analysis of private education expenses for high scool students in Korea)

  • 오현숙
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제28권6호
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    • pp.1457-1469
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    • 2017
  • 일반계 고등학생의 사교육비 지출은 대학입시와 맞물려 최근 더욱 증가하고 있는 동시에 가구소득 수준, 지역 등에 따라 양극화되고 있다. 기존의 사교육비 연구는 주로 다중회귀모형을 토대로 최소자승법을 이용하였으나 자료가 최소자승법의 기본가정인 정규성과 등분산성을 만족하지 않으면 분석결과의 신뢰성에 대한 문제가 발생된다. 본 연구는 2015년도 사교육실태조사자료에 대하여 정규성과 등분산성이 성립되지 않음을 확인하고 이를 통제할 수 있는 베이지안 분위회귀모형을 적합한 후 깁스 샘플링 방법을 이용하여 사교육비 지출규모 수준 (분위수)에 따라 영향요인들을 분석하였다. 분석결과 학생의 성별, 부모의 나이, 방과후 학교 참여시간과 비용은 사교육비 지출규모에 의미있는 영향을 주지 못하였다. 가구소득은 사교육비 지출규모의 모든 수준에서 동일하게 영향을 주는 요인으로 파악되었다. 그 외, 거주지역, 총사교육시간, 학생의 성적, 부모의 교육정도, 가구의 경제활동주체, 방과후 학교 참여여부, EBS 교재비용은 사교육비 지출 규모의 수준에 따라 다르게 영향을 주었다.

Analysis of Extreme Sea Surface Temperature along the Western Coastal area of Chungnam: Current Status and Future Projections

  • Byoung-Jun Lim;You-Soon Chang
    • 한국지구과학회지
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    • 제44권4호
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    • pp.255-263
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    • 2023
  • Western coastal area of Chungnam, including Cheonsu Bay and Garorim Bay, has suffered from hot and cold extremes. In this study, the extreme sea surface temperature on the western coast of Chungnam was analyzed using the quantile regression method, which extracts the linear regression values in all quantiles. The regional MOHID (MOdelo HIDrodinâmico) model, with a high resolution on a 1/60° grid, was constructed to reproduce the extreme sea surface temperature. For future prediction, the SSP5-8.5 scenario data of the CMIP6 model were used to simulate sea surface temperature variability. Results showed that the extreme sea surface temperature of Cheonsu Bay in August 2017 was successfully simulated, and this extreme sea surface temperature had a significant negative correlation with the Pacific decadal variability index. As a result of future climate prediction, it was found that an average of 2.9℃ increased during the simulation period of 86 years in the Chungnam west coast and there was a seasonal difference (3.2℃ in summer, 2.4℃ in winter). These seasonal differences indicate an increase in the annual temperature range, suggesting that extreme events may occur more frequently in the future.