• Title/Summary/Keyword: Quantile regression model

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Herding Behavior and Cryptocurrency: Market Asymmetries, Inter-Dependency and Intra-Dependency

  • JALAL, Raja Nabeel-Ud-Din;SARGIACOMO, Massimo;SAHAR, Najam Us;FAYYAZ, Um-E-Roman
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.7
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    • pp.27-34
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    • 2020
  • The study investigates herding behavior in cryptocurrencies in different situations. This study employs daily returns of major cryptocurrencies listed in CCI30 index and sub-major cryptocurrencies and major stock returns listed in Dow-Jones Industrial Average Index, from 2015 to 2018. Quantile regression method is employed to test the herding effect in market asymmetries, inter-dependency and intra-dependency cases. Findings confirm the presence of herding in cryptocurrency in upper quantiles in bullish and high volatility periods because of overexcitement among investors, which lead to high volume trading. Major cryptocurrencies cause herding in sub-major cryptocurrencies, but it is a unidirectional relation. However, no intra-dependency effect among cryptocurrencies and equity market is observed. Results indicate that in the CKK model herding exists at upper quantile in market that may be due when the market is moving fast, continuously trading, and bullish trend are prevailing. Further analysis confirms this narrative as, at upper quantile, the beta of bullish regime is negative and significant, meaning the main source of market herding is a bullish trend in investment, which increases market turbulence and gives investors opportunity to herd. Also, we found that herding in cryptocurrencies exits in high volatility periods, but this herding mostly depends on market activity, not market movement.

Pointwise Estimation of Density of Heteroscedastistic Response in Regression

  • Hyun, Ji-Hoon;Kim, Si-Won;Lee, Sung-Dong;Byun, Wook-Jae;Son, Mi-Kyoung;Kim, Choong-Rak
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.197-203
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    • 2012
  • In fitting a regression model, we often encounter data sets which do not follow Gaussian distribution and/or do not have equal variance. In this case estimation of the conditional density of a response variable at a given design point is hardly solved by a standard least squares method. To solve this problem, we propose a simple method to estimate the distribution of the fitted vales under heteroscedasticity using the idea of quantile regression and the histogram techniques. Application of this method to a real data sets is given.

The Comparison Analysis of an Estimators of Nonlinear Regression Model using Monte Carlo Simulation (몬테칼로 시뮬레이션을 이용한 비선형회귀추정량들의 비교 분석)

  • 김태수;이영해
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.43-51
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    • 2000
  • In regression model, we estimate the unknown parameters by using various methods. There are the least squares method which is the most general, the least absolute deviation method, the regression quantile method and the asymmetric least squares method. In this paper, we will compare each others with two cases: firstly the theoretical comparison in the asymptotic sense and then the practical comparison using Monte Carlo simulation for a small sample size.

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Monte Carlo simulation of the estimators for nonlinear regression model (비선형 회귀모형 추정량들의 몬데칼로 시뮬레이션에 의한 비교)

  • 김태수;이영해
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Simulation Conference
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    • 2000.11a
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    • pp.6-10
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    • 2000
  • In regression model we estimate the unknown parameters using various methods. There are the least squares method which is the most general, the least absolute deviation, the regression quantile and the asymmetric least squares method. In this paper, we will compare each others with two case: to begin with the theoretical comparison in the asymptotic sense, and then the practical comparison using Monte Carlo simulation for a small sample size.

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The Effect of Foreign Ownership and Product Market Competition on Firm Performance: Empirical Evidence from Vietnam

  • HA, Thach Xuan;TRAN, Thu Thi
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.11
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    • pp.79-86
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    • 2021
  • In recent years, firm performance has been a topic that attracts many researchers. It is extremely important to identify the factors that change firm performance. In the current trend of competition and integration, foreign ownership, product market competition is found to reduce agency costs and impact firm performance. The purpose of this research is to investigate the relationship between foreign ownership, product market competition, and firm performance. Our research using a quantile regression model, through panel data of 290 companies listed on the Vietnam stock exchange (include Ho Chi Minh and Hanoi stock exchanges) from 2017 to 2019 that was collected by Thomson - Reuters DataStream has shown that foreign ownership and product market competition have a positive impact on Tobin's Q but are not statistically significant with ROA. Critically, our quantile regression results suppose foreign ownership, product market competition have a significantly larger positive impact in high-performing firms relative to low-performing firms. The results help propose solutions to planners and managers to change foreign ownership and product market competition to increase business performance. Besides, through quantile regression analysis, managers need to pay attention to the impact on foreign ownership, product market competition; there will be a difference between high-performing firms relative to low-performing firms.

Healthcare Systems and COVID-19 Mortality in Selected OECD Countries: A Panel Quantile Regression Analysis

  • Jalil Safaei;Andisheh Saliminezhad
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.56 no.6
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    • pp.515-522
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    • 2023
  • Objectives: The pandemic caused by coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has exerted an unprecedented impact on the health of populations worldwide. However, the adverse health consequences of the pandemic in terms of infection and mortality rates have varied across countries. In this study, we investigate whether COVID-19 mortality rates across a group of developed nations are associated with characteristics of their healthcare systems, beyond the differential policy responses in those countries. Methods: To achieve the study objective, we distinguished healthcare systems based on the extent of healthcare decommodification. Using available daily data from 2020, 2021, and 2022, we applied quantile regression with non-additive fixed effects to estimate mortality rates across quantiles. Our analysis began prior to vaccine development (in 2020) and continued after the vaccines were introduced (throughout 2021 and part of 2022). Results: The findings indicate that higher testing rates, coupled with more stringent containment and public health measures, had a significant negative impact on the death rate in both pre-vaccination and post-vaccination models. The data from the post-vaccination model demonstrate that higher vaccination rates were associated with significant decreases in fatalities. Additionally, our research indicates that countries with healthcare systems characterized by high and medium levels of decommodification experienced lower mortality rates than those with healthcare systems involving low decommodification. Conclusions: The results of this study indicate that stronger public health infrastructure and more inclusive social protections have mitigated the severity of the pandemic's adverse health impacts, more so than emergency containment measures and social restrictions.

A Stay Time Optimization Model Emergency Medical Center (EMC) (응급의료센터 체류시간 최적화)

  • Kim, Eun-Joo;Lim, Ji-Young;Ryu, Jeong-Soon;Cho, Sun-Hee;Bae, Na-Ri;Kim, Sang-Suk
    • Journal of Korean Academic Society of Home Health Care Nursing
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.81-87
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    • 2011
  • Purpose: The aim of this study was to estimate optimization model of stay time in EMC. Methods: Data were collected at an EMC in a hospital using medical records from June to August in 2007. The sample size was 8,378. The data were structured by stay time for doctor visit, decision making, and discharge from EMC. Descriptive statistics were used to find out general characteristics of patients. Average mean and quantile regression models were adopted to estimate optimized stay time in EMC. Results: The stay times in EMC were highly skewed and non-normal distributions. Therefore, average mean as an indicator of optimal stay time was not appropriate. The total stay time using conditional quantile regression model was estimated about 110 min, that was about 166 min shorter than estimated time using average mean. Conclusion: According to these results, we recommend to use a conditional quantile regression model to estimate optimal stay time in EMC. We suggest that this results will be used to develop a guideline to manage stay time more effectively in EMC.

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Combination of Value-at-Risk Models with Support Vector Machine (서포트벡터기계를 이용한 VaR 모형의 결합)

  • Kim, Yong-Tae;Shim, Joo-Yong;Lee, Jang-Taek;Hwang, Chang-Ha
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.791-801
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    • 2009
  • Value-at-Risk(VaR) has been used as an important tool to measure the market risk. However, the selection of the VaR models is controversial. This paper proposes VaR forecast combinations using support vector machine quantile regression instead of selecting a single model out of historical simulation and GARCH.

Bayesian quantile regression analysis of private education expenses for high scool students in Korea (일반계 고등학생 사교육비 지출에 대한 베이지안 분위회귀모형 분석)

  • Oh, Hyun Sook
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.1457-1469
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    • 2017
  • Private education expenses is one of the key issues in Korea and there have been many discussions about it. Academically, most of previous researches for private education expenses have used multiple regression linear model based on ordinary least squares (OLS) method. However, if the data do not satisfy the basic assumptions of the OLS method such as the normality and homoscedasticity, there is a problem with the reliability of estimations of parameters. In this case, quantile regression model is preferred to OLS model since it does not depend on the assumptions of nonnormality and heteroscedasticity for the data. In the present study, the data from a survey on private education expenses, conducted by Statistics Korea in 2015 has been analyzed for investigation of the impacting factors for private education expenses. Since the data do not satisfy the OLS assumptions, quantile regression model has been employed in Bayesian approach by using gibbs sampling method. The analysis results show that the gender of the student, parent's age, and the time and cost of participating after school are not significant. Household income is positively significant in proportion to the same size for all levels (quantiles) of private education expenses. Spending on private education in Seoul is higher than other regions and the regional difference grows as private education expenditure increases. Total time for private education and student's achievement have positive effect on the lower quantiles than the higher quantiles. Education level of father is positively significant for midium-high quantiles only, but education level of mother is for all but low quantiles. Participating after school is positively significant for the lower quantiles but EBS textbook cost is positively significant for the higher quantiles.

Analysis of Extreme Sea Surface Temperature along the Western Coastal area of Chungnam: Current Status and Future Projections

  • Byoung-Jun Lim;You-Soon Chang
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.44 no.4
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    • pp.255-263
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    • 2023
  • Western coastal area of Chungnam, including Cheonsu Bay and Garorim Bay, has suffered from hot and cold extremes. In this study, the extreme sea surface temperature on the western coast of Chungnam was analyzed using the quantile regression method, which extracts the linear regression values in all quantiles. The regional MOHID (MOdelo HIDrodinâmico) model, with a high resolution on a 1/60° grid, was constructed to reproduce the extreme sea surface temperature. For future prediction, the SSP5-8.5 scenario data of the CMIP6 model were used to simulate sea surface temperature variability. Results showed that the extreme sea surface temperature of Cheonsu Bay in August 2017 was successfully simulated, and this extreme sea surface temperature had a significant negative correlation with the Pacific decadal variability index. As a result of future climate prediction, it was found that an average of 2.9℃ increased during the simulation period of 86 years in the Chungnam west coast and there was a seasonal difference (3.2℃ in summer, 2.4℃ in winter). These seasonal differences indicate an increase in the annual temperature range, suggesting that extreme events may occur more frequently in the future.