• Title/Summary/Keyword: Quantification of environmental characteristics

Search Result 69, Processing Time 0.019 seconds

A top-down iteration algorithm for Monte Carlo method for probability estimation of a fault tree with circular logic

  • Han, Sang Hoon
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • v.50 no.6
    • /
    • pp.854-859
    • /
    • 2018
  • Calculating minimal cut sets is a typical quantification method used to evaluate the top event probability for a fault tree. If minimal cut sets cannot be calculated or if the accuracy of the quantification result is in doubt, the Monte Carlo method can provide an alternative for fault tree quantification. The Monte Carlo method for fault tree quantification tends to take a long time because it repeats the calculation for a large number of samples. Herein, proposal is made to improve the quantification algorithm of a fault tree with circular logic. We developed a top-down iteration algorithm that combines the characteristics of the top-down approach and the iteration approach, thereby reducing the computation time of the Monte Carlo method.

Water consumption forecasting and pattern classification according to demographic factors and automated meter reading (인구통계학적 요인 및 원격검침 자료를 활용한 가정용 물 사용패턴 분류 및 물 사용량 예측 연구)

  • Kim, Kibum;Park, Haekeum;Kim, Taehyeon;Hyung, Jinseok;Koo, Jayong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
    • /
    • v.36 no.3
    • /
    • pp.149-165
    • /
    • 2022
  • The water consumption data of individual consumers must be analyzed and forecast to establish an effective water demand management plan. A k-mean cluster model that can monitor water use characteristics based on hourly water consumption data measured using automated meter reading devices and demographic factors is developed in this study. In addition, the quantification model that can estimate the daily water consumption is developed. K-mean cluster analysis based on the four clusters shows that the average silhouette coefficient is 0.63, also the silhouette coefficients of each cluster exceed 0.60, thereby verifying the high reliability of the cluster analysis. Furthermore, the clusters are clearly classified based on water usage and water usage patterns. The correlation coefficients of four quantification models for estimating water consumption exceed 0.74, confirming that the models can accurately simulate the investigated demographic data. The statistical significance of the models is considered reasonable, hence, they are applicable to the actual field. Because the use of automated smart water meters has become increasingly popular in recent year, water consumption has been metered remotely in many areas. The proposed methodology and the results obtained in this study are expected to facilitate improvements in the usability of smart water meters in the future.

The Correlation Analysis of Physical Characteristics on Human Sensibility Space (감성적 의미공간상의 물리특성간 상관분석)

  • 김정만;김병극
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
    • /
    • v.22 no.52
    • /
    • pp.241-246
    • /
    • 1999
  • In this study, to specify an evaluation of human sensibility, the types of color, intensity of illuminations and lights consisting work environmental condition are decided, and image data from examining the change of human sensibility followed by changes of the above three conditions are obtained. Using the factor analysis and quantification theory in multi-variate analysis type of Sensibility Ergonomics, determinating the structure of factors, specifying the relations of environmental conditions and factors can be done so that the structure of image on human sensibility space with the change of environmental conditions is analyzed.

  • PDF

Long-term Simulation and Uncertainty Quantification of Water Temperature in Soyanggang Reservoir due to Climate Change (기후변화에 따른 소양호의 수온 장기 모의 및 불확실성 정량화)

  • Yun, Yeojeong;Park, Hyungseok;Chung, Sewoong;Kim, Yongda;Ohn, Ilsang;Lee, Seoro
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
    • /
    • v.36 no.1
    • /
    • pp.14-28
    • /
    • 2020
  • Future climate change may affect the hydro-thermal and biogeochemical characteristics of dam reservoirs, the most important water resources in Korea. Thus, scientific projection of the impact of climate change on the reservoir environment, factoring uncertainties, is crucial for sustainable water use. The purpose of this study was to predict the future water temperature and stratification structure of the Soyanggang Reservoir in response to a total of 42 scenarios, combining two climate scenarios, seven GCM models, one surface runoff model, and three wind scenarios of hydrodynamic model, and to quantify the uncertainty of each modeling step and scenario. Although there are differences depending on the scenarios, the annual reservoir water temperature tended to rise steadily. In the RCP 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios, the upper water temperature is expected to rise by 0.029 ℃ (±0.012)/year and 0.048 ℃ (±0.014)/year, respectively. These rise rates are correspond to 88.1 % and 85.7 % of the air temperature rise rate. Meanwhile, the lower water temperature is expected to rise by 0.016 ℃ (±0.009)/year and 0.027 ℃ (±0.010)/year, respectively, which is approximately 48.6 % and 46.3 % of the air temperature rise rate. Additionally, as the water temperatures rises, the stratification strength of the reservoir is expected to be stronger, and the number of days when the temperature difference between the upper and lower layers exceeds 5 ℃ increases in the future. As a result of uncertainty quantification, the uncertainty of the GCM models showed the highest contribution with 55.8 %, followed by 30.8 % RCP scenario, and 12.8 % W2 model.

Development of a model to forecast the external migration rate in development projects reflecting city characteristics

  • Kim, Ki-Bum;Park, Joon;Seo, Jee-Won;Yu, Young-Jun;Hyun, In-Hwan;Koo, Ja-Yong
    • Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.23 no.4
    • /
    • pp.406-419
    • /
    • 2018
  • In planning public service systems such as waterworks, the design population is very important factor. Owing to the limitations of the indirect method, two new models, which take into consideration urban characteristics, were developed to accurately predict external migration rate (EMR), which is an essential component in estimating reliably the design population. The root mean square error (RMSE) between the model values and observed values were 10.12 and 15.58 for the metropolitan cities and counties respectively and were lower compared to RMSE values of 27.31 and 28.79 obtained by the indirect method. Thus, the developed models provide a more accurate estimate of EMR than the indirect method. In addition, the major influencing factors for external migration in counties were development type, ageing index, number of businesses. On the other hand, the major influencing migration factors for cities were project scale, distance to city center, manufacturing size, population growth rate and residential environment. Future medium and long-term studies would be done to identify emerging trends to appropriately inform policy making.

Quantification Method of Tunnel Face Classification Using Canonical Correlation Analysis (정준상관분석을 이용한 막장등급평가 수량화기법 연구)

  • Seo Yong-Seok;Kim Chang-Yong;Kim Kwang-Yeom;Lee Hyun-Woo
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
    • /
    • v.15 no.4 s.42
    • /
    • pp.463-473
    • /
    • 2005
  • Because of using the same rating ranges for every rock types the RMR or the Q-system could not usually consider local geological characteristics They also could not present sufficiently the engineering anisotropy of rocks. The canonical correlation analysis was carried out with 3 kinds of face mapping data obtained from granite, sedimentary rock and phyllite in order to clarify a discrepancy between rock types. According to analysis results, as a type of rocks changes, RM factors have different influences on the total rating of RMR.

Suggestion of a Modified RMR based on Effect of RMR Parameters on Tunnel Displacement in Sedimentary Rocks (퇴적암 기반 터널에서의 지질인자별 변위 영향도를 고려한 RMR 수정 제안)

  • Seo, Yong-Seok;Yim, Sung-Bin;Na, Jong-Hwa;Park, Si-Hyun
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
    • /
    • v.18 no.2
    • /
    • pp.197-205
    • /
    • 2008
  • Total displacement under non-reinforcement is a quantitative index of rock mass behavior during tunnel excavation and depends widely upon geological characteristics. The primary purpose of this study is to suggest a rock mass evaluation method, well representing tunnel behavior during excavation, according to rock type. A 3-D numerical analysis was carried out, with consideration of the shape of tunnel section, excavation condition and so forth, in a sedimentary rock-based tunnel, and total displacements under non-reinforcement according to rock mass class were calculated. Finally, quantification analysis was carried out to assess correlation of the total displacement with RMR parameters. As the result, a modified RMR system fer quantification of rock mass behavior during tunnel excavation is suggested.

A Study on Geological Factors Affecting Behavior of Sedimentary Rock Tunnel Using Quantification Method Type I (수량화방법 I을 이용한 퇴적암 터널의 지질 인자별 변위 영향도 분석)

  • Yim, Sung-Bin;Seo, Yong-Seok;Kim, Chang-Yong;Kim, Kwang-Yoem
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
    • /
    • v.17 no.2 s.52
    • /
    • pp.263-270
    • /
    • 2007
  • Tunnel behavior measured by monitoring during construction is a main item for safety evaluation and it depends widely upon local geological characteristics. To assess in this study how much the geological factors influence on tunnel behavior for each RMR factor, a quantification analysis was carried out using tunnel face maps and measurements as explanatory variables and dependent variables, respectively. The results showed that average significance of the influence of RMR factors - R1, R2, R3, R4 and R5, on tunnel displacements are 17.0%, 20.4%, 20.4%, 11.6% and 30.6%, respectively, and this probably indicates that the groundwater condition played a significant role for the tunnel displacement.

A mini-review on microplastics in drinking water treatment processes (정수처리장 내의 미세플라스틱의 유입 및 처리기술 현황에 관한 고찰)

  • Choi, Byeonggyu;Kim, Jiyoon;Choi, Soohoon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
    • /
    • v.34 no.5
    • /
    • pp.357-371
    • /
    • 2020
  • Microplastics have become a rising issue in due to its detection in oceans, rivers, and tap water. Although a large number of studies have been conducted on the detection and quantification in various water bodies, the number of research conducted on the removal and treatment of microplastics are still comparatively low. In the current research, the inflow and removal of microplastics were investigated for various drinking water treatment plants around the world. Addition to the investigation of filed research, a survey was also conducted on the current research trend on microplastic removal for different treatment processes in the drinking water treatment plants. This includes the researches conducted on coagulation/flocculation, sedimentation, dissolved air flotation, sand filtration and disinfection processes. The survey indicated mechanisms of microplastic removal in each process followed by the removal characteristics under various conditions. Limitations of current researches were also mentioned, regarding the gap between the laboratory experimental conditions and field conditions of drinking water treatment plants. We hope that the current review will aid in the understanding of current research needs in the field of microplastic removal in drinking water treatment.

Study of Benefit Characteristics for Low Impact Development (LID) Facilities demonstrated in Seoul Metropolitan (서울시 저영향개발(LID) 시범 시설에 대한 편익 특성 연구)

  • Lee, Seung Won;Kim, Reeho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
    • /
    • v.38 no.6
    • /
    • pp.299-308
    • /
    • 2016
  • Seoul metropolitan has established a vision as 'Healthy water-cycle city' to resolve urban water-environmental deterioration. And it established administrative structure to expand Low Impact Development (LID) facilities to recover aggravated water-cycle and water-environment. Therefore, various LID facilities are constructed and operated, however, benefit analytic plans for systematic valuation are insufficient. In this study, to analyze economic, environmental and social benefits of LID facilities, contents for benefit analysis were selected and categorized as water, energy, air quality and climate changes. As a result of quantification and valuation to the beneficial effects, LID facilities showed the total benefit as 1,191~3,292 won/yr. Characteristics of benefit distribution by analysis contents were various reflecting functional characteristics of each LID facility (Water: 30~90%, Energy: 4~44%, Air quality: <1~2%, Climate change: 5~22%). As a result of Triple Bottom Line analysis, economic benefit showed the greatest portion as 75~90%. As further studies, suggested benefit assessment plans for each LID facility should be applied to inter-connected LID systems on complex-scaled area, and synergy effects by various LID systems would be evaluated such as prevention of heat island and flood disasters.