• Title/Summary/Keyword: Quality Prediction Model

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Prediction of short-term algal bloom using the M5P model-tree and extreme learning machine

  • Yi, Hye-Suk;Lee, Bomi;Park, Sangyoung;Kwak, Keun-Chang;An, Kwang-Guk
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.404-411
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    • 2019
  • In this study, we designed a data-driven model to predict chlorophyll-a using M5P model tree and extreme learning machine (ELM). The Juksan weir in the Youngsan River has high chlorophyll-a, which is the primary indicator of algal bloom every year. Short-term algal bloom prediction is important for environmental management and ecological assessment. Two models were developed and evaluated for short-term algal bloom prediction. M5P is a classification and regression-analysis-based method, and ELM is a feed-forward neural network with fast learning using the least square estimate for regression. The dataset used in this study includes water temperature, rainfall, solar radiation, total nitrogen, total phosphorus, N/P ratio, and chlorophyll-a, which were collected on a daily basis from January 2013 to December 2016. The M5P model showed that the prediction model after one day had the highest performance power and dropped off rapidly starting with predictions after three days. Comparing the performance power of the ELM model with the M5P model, it was found that the performance power of the 1-7 d chlorophyll-a prediction model was higher. Moreover, in a period of rapidly increasing algal blooms, the ELM model showed higher accuracy than the M5P model.

Changing Characteristics of Parameters in Model for Water Quality Prediction (수질예측모델에서의 매개변수 변화특성(지역환경 \circled2))

  • 김선주;김성준;이석호
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 2000.10a
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    • pp.578-583
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    • 2000
  • In order to operate water quality model for a lake or a channel, user should examine the all kinds of parameters and should know how them react to the model for calculating the pollution which are happened from the watershed or are reacted in the water. The aim of this study is analyzing the characteristics of parameters which are used by a water quality model (CE-QUAL-W2), so that we are trying to find out how them to react to the model for calculating the many kinds of pollution.

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Fault Prediction Using Statistical and Machine Learning Methods for Improving Software Quality

  • Malhotra, Ruchika;Jain, Ankita
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.241-262
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    • 2012
  • An understanding of quality attributes is relevant for the software organization to deliver high software reliability. An empirical assessment of metrics to predict the quality attributes is essential in order to gain insight about the quality of software in the early phases of software development and to ensure corrective actions. In this paper, we predict a model to estimate fault proneness using Object Oriented CK metrics and QMOOD metrics. We apply one statistical method and six machine learning methods to predict the models. The proposed models are validated using dataset collected from Open Source software. The results are analyzed using Area Under the Curve (AUC) obtained from Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC) analysis. The results show that the model predicted using the random forest and bagging methods outperformed all the other models. Hence, based on these results it is reasonable to claim that quality models have a significant relevance with Object Oriented metrics and that machine learning methods have a comparable performance with statistical methods.

Density Adaptive Grid-based k-Nearest Neighbor Regression Model for Large Dataset (대용량 자료에 대한 밀도 적응 격자 기반의 k-NN 회귀 모형)

  • Liu, Yiqi;Uk, Jung
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.49 no.2
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    • pp.201-211
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: This paper proposes a density adaptive grid algorithm for the k-NN regression model to reduce the computation time for large datasets without significant prediction accuracy loss. Methods: The proposed method utilizes the concept of the grid with centroid to reduce the number of reference data points so that the required computation time is much reduced. Since the grid generation process in this paper is based on quantiles of original variables, the proposed method can fully reflect the density information of the original reference data set. Results: Using five real-life datasets, the proposed k-NN regression model is compared with the original k-NN regression model. The results show that the proposed density adaptive grid-based k-NN regression model is superior to the original k-NN regression in terms of data reduction ratio and time efficiency ratio, and provides a similar prediction error if the appropriate number of grids is selected. Conclusion: The proposed density adaptive grid algorithm for the k-NN regression model is a simple and effective model which can help avoid a large loss of prediction accuracy with faster execution speed and fewer memory requirements during the testing phase.

Prediction model for electric power consumption of seawater desalination based on machine learning by seawater quality change in future (장래 해수수질 변화에 따른 머신러닝 기반 해수담수 전력비 예측 모형 개발)

  • Shim, Kyudae;Ko, Young-Hee
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.spc1
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    • pp.1023-1035
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    • 2021
  • The electricity cost of a desalination facility was also predicted and reviewed, which allowed the proposed model to be incorporated into the future design of such facilities. Input data from 2003 to 2014 of the Korea Hydrographic and Oceanographic Agency (KHOA) were used, and the structure of the model was determined using the trial and error method to analyze as well as hyperparameters such as salinity and seawater temperature. The future seawater quality was estimated by optimizing the prediction model based on machine learning. Results indicated that the seawater temperature would be similar to the existing pattern, and salinity showed a gradual decrease in the maximum value from the past measurement data. Therefore, it was reviewed that the electricity cost for seawater desalination decreased by approximately 0.80% and a process configuration was determined to be necessary. This study aimed at establishing a machine-learning-based prediction model to predict future water quality changes, reviewed the impact on the scale of seawater desalination facilities, and suggested alternatives.

A Software Quality Prediction Model Without Training Data Set (훈련데이터 집합을 사용하지 않는 소프트웨어 품질예측 모델)

  • Hong, Euy-Seok
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartD
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    • v.10D no.4
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    • pp.689-696
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    • 2003
  • Criticality prediction models that determine whether a design entity is fault-prone or non fault-prone are used for identifying trouble spots of software system in analysis or design phases. Many criticality prediction models for identifying fault-prone modules using complexity metrics have been suggested. But most of them need training data set. Unfortunately very few organizations have their own training data. To solve this problem, this paper builds a new prediction model, KSM, based on Kohonen SOM neural networks. KSM is implemented and compared with a well-known prediction model, BackPropagation neural network Model (BPM), considering internal characteristics, utilization cost and accuracy of prediction. As a result, this paper shows that KSM has comparative performance with BPM.

Text-to-speech with linear spectrogram prediction for quality and speed improvement (음질 및 속도 향상을 위한 선형 스펙트로그램 활용 Text-to-speech)

  • Yoon, Hyebin
    • Phonetics and Speech Sciences
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.71-78
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    • 2021
  • Most neural-network-based speech synthesis models utilize neural vocoders to convert mel-scaled spectrograms into high-quality, human-like voices. However, neural vocoders combined with mel-scaled spectrogram prediction models demand considerable computer memory and time during the training phase and are subject to slow inference speeds in an environment where GPU is not used. This problem does not arise in linear spectrogram prediction models, as they do not use neural vocoders, but these models suffer from low voice quality. As a solution, this paper proposes a Tacotron 2 and Transformer-based linear spectrogram prediction model that produces high-quality speech and does not use neural vocoders. Experiments suggest that this model can serve as the foundation of a high-quality text-to-speech model with fast inference speed.

Failure Prediction Model for Software Quality Diagnosis (소프트웨어 품질 진단을 위한 고장예측모델)

  • Jung Hye-jung
    • Journal of Venture Innovation
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.143-152
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    • 2024
  • Recently, as a lot of software with AI functions has been developed, the number of software products with various prediction functions is increasing, and as a result, the importance of software quality has increased. In particular, as consideration for functional safety of products with AI functions increases, software quality management is being conducted at a national level. In particular, the GS Quality Certification System is a quality certification system for software products that is being implemented at the national level, and the GS Certification System is also researching quality evaluation methods for AI products. In this study, we attempt to present an evaluation model that satisfies the basic conditions of software quality based on international standards among the various quality evaluation models presented to verify software reliability. Considering the software quality characteristics of the artificial intelligence sector, we study quality evaluation models, diagnose quality, and predict failures. .In this study, we propose an international standard model for artificial intelligence based on the software reliability growth model, present an evaluation model, and present a method for quality diagnosis through the model. In this respect, this study is considered to be important in that it can predict failures in advance and find failures in advance to prevent risks by predicting the failure time that will occur in software in the future. In particular, it is believed that predicting failures will be important in various safety-related software.

An Adaptable Integrated Prediction System for Traffic Service of Telematics

  • Cho, Mi-Gyung;Yu, Young-Jung
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.171-176
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    • 2007
  • To give a guarantee a consistently high level of quality and reliability of Telematics traffic service, traffic flow forecasting is very important issue. In this paper, we proposed an adaptable integrated prediction model to predict the traffic flow in the future. Our model combines two methods, short-term prediction model and long-term prediction model with different combining coefficients to reflect current traffic condition. Short-term model uses the Kalman filtering technique to predict the future traffic conditions. And long-term model processes accumulated speed patterns which means the analysis results for all past speeds of each road by classifying the same day and the same time interval. Combining two models makes it possible to predict future traffic flow with higher accuracy over a longer time range. Many experiments showed our algorithm gives a better precise prediction than only an accumulated speed pattern that is used commonly. The result can be applied to the car navigation to support a dynamic shortest path. In addition, it can give users the travel information to avoid the traffic congestion areas.