• 제목/요약/키워드: Qualitative Models

검색결과 393건 처리시간 0.027초

정성추론에서의 모호성제거를 위한 양적지식의 활용 (Disambiguiation of Qualitative Reasoning with Quantitative Knowledge)

  • 윤완철
    • 대한산업공학회지
    • /
    • 제18권1호
    • /
    • pp.81-89
    • /
    • 1992
  • After much research on qualitative reasoning, the problem of ambiguities still hampers the practicality of this important AI tool. In this paper, the sources of ambiguities are examined in depth with a systems engineering point of view and possible directions to disambiguation are suggested. This includes some modeling strategies and an architecture of temporal inference for building unambiguous qualitative models of practical complexity. It is argued that knowledge of multiple levels in abstraction hierarchy must be reflected in the modeling to resolve ambiguities by introducing the designer's decisions. The inference engine must be able to integrate two different types of temporal knowledge representation to determine the partial ordering of future events. As an independent quantity management system that supports the suggested modeling approach, LIQUIDS(Linear Quantity-Information Deriving System) is described. The inference scheme can be conjoined with ordinary rule-based reasoning systems and hence generalized into many different domains.

  • PDF

Classify and Quantify Cumulative Impact of Change Orders On Productivity Using ANN Models

  • 이민재
    • 한국건설관리학회논문집
    • /
    • 제6권5호
    • /
    • pp.69-77
    • /
    • 2005
  • Change is inevitable and is a reality of construction projects. Most construction contracts include change clauses and allowing contractors an equitable adjustment to the contract price and duration caused by change. However, the actions of a contractor can cause a loss of productivity and furthermore can result in disruption of the whole project because of a cumulative or ripple effect. Because of its complicated nature, it becomes a complex issue to determine the cumulative impact (ripple effect) caused by single or multiple change orders. Furthermore, owners and contractors do not always agree on the adjusted contract price for the cumulative Impact of the changes. A number of studies have attempted to quantify the impact of change orders on project costs and schedule. Many of these attempted to develop regression models to quantify the loss. However, regression analysis has shortcomings in dealing with many qualitative or noisy input data. This study develops ANN models to classify and quantify the labor productivity losses that are caused by the cumulative impact of change orders. The results skew that ANN models give significantly improved performance compared to traditional statistical models.

EINSTein 모형을 이용한 복잡계이론의 지상전 적용에 관한 연구 (A Study on Applying Complex System Theory to Land Warfare using EINSTein Model)

  • 이태원;강성진
    • 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
    • /
    • 제9권1호
    • /
    • pp.55-66
    • /
    • 2000
  • This paper deals with complex system theory to describe land combat situation using EINSTein (Enhanced ISAAC Neural Simulation Tool) simulation model. Many studies have shown that existing Lanchester equations used in most wargame models does not describe changes of combat units, real land warfare situation and qualitative factors in combat. Future warfare will be a non-linear combat with various weapon system and complex combat units. EINSTein models is an agent-based simulation tool using complex system theory. We have compared and tested land combat results with Lanchester models and EINSTein models. The results have shown that EINSTein model has a possibility to apply and analyze land warfare more properly than Lanchester models.

  • PDF

SD법과 HFP법의 융합을 이용한 항만경쟁모델의 개발 (Development of Competitive Port Model Using the Hybrid Mechanism of System Dynamic Method and Hierarchical Fuzzy Process Method)

  • 여기태;이철영
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
    • /
    • 제1권1호
    • /
    • pp.103-131
    • /
    • 2000
  • If a system such as a port has a large boundary and complexity, and the system's substance is considered as a black box, forecast accuracy will be very low. Futhermore various components in a port exert significant influence on each other. To copy with these problem the form of structure models were introduced by using SD method. The Competitive Ports Model had several sub-systems consisting of each Unit Port models, and each Unit Port model was made by quantitative, qualitative factors and their feedback loops. The fact that all components of one port have influence on the components of the other ports should be taken into account to construct Competitive Port Models. However, with the current approach that is impossible, and in this paper therefore, models were simplified by HFP adapted to integrate level variables of unit port models. Although many studies on modelling of port competitive situation have been conducted, both theoretical frame and methodology are still very weak. In this study, a new algorithm called ESD(Extensional System Dynamics) for the evaluation of port competition was presented, and applied to simulate port systems in northeast asia.

  • PDF

지리정보시스템을 활용한 연초재배 토양의 비옥도 평가 (Soil Fertility Evaluation by Application of Geographic Information System for Tobacco Fields)

  • 석영선;홍순달;안정호
    • 한국연초학회지
    • /
    • 제21권1호
    • /
    • pp.36-48
    • /
    • 1999
  • Field test was conducted in Chungbuk province to evaluate the soil fertility using landscape and soil attributes by application of geographic information system(GIS) in 48 tobacco fields during 2 years(1996 ; 23 fields, 1997 ; 25 fields). The soil fertility factors and fertilizer effects were estimated by twenty five independent variables including 13 chemical properties and 12 GIS databases. Twenty five independent variables were classified by two groups, 15 quantitative indexes and 10 qualitative indexes and were analyzed by multiple linear regression (MLR) of SAS, REG and GLM models. The estimation model for evaluation of soil fertility and fertilizer effect was made by giving the estimate coefficient for each quantitative index and for each group of qualitative index significantly selected by MLR. Estimation for soil fertility factors and fertilizer effects by independent variables was better by MLR than single regression showing gradually improvement by adding chemical properties, quantitative indexes and qualitative indexes of GIS. Consequently, it is assumed that this approach by MLR with quantitative and qualitative indexes was available as an evaluation model of soil fertility and recommendation of optimum fertilization for tobacco field.

  • PDF

협동적 의사결정을 위한 다단계 모형 통합 (A Multilevel Model Integration for Collaborative Decision Making)

  • 권오병;이건창
    • 한국경영과학회지
    • /
    • 제23권2호
    • /
    • pp.103-129
    • /
    • 1998
  • Corporate level decision making with multiple decision makers in a consistent way is essential in Decision Support System. However, since the decision makers have different interests and knowledge, the models used by them are also different in their level of abstraction. This makes decision makers waste a lot of efforts for an integrated decision making. The purpose of this paper is to propose an integration mechanism so that collaborative decision making models may be used synthetically in multi-abstraction level. Models are classified as multimedia model, mathematical model, qualitative model, causal & directional model, causal model, directional model and relationship model according to the level of abstraction. The proposed integration mechanism consists of model interpretation phase. model transformation phase, and model integration phase. Specifically, the model transformation Phase is divided into (1) model tightening mode which gather information to make a model transformed into upper level model, and (2) model relaxing mode which makes lower level model. In the model integration phase, models of same level are to be integrated schematically. An illustrative M&A-decision example is given to show the possibility of the methodology.

  • PDF

빅데이터 기반의 정성 정보를 활용한 부도 예측 모형 구축 (Bankruptcy Prediction Modeling Using Qualitative Information Based on Big Data Analytics)

  • 조남옥;신경식
    • 지능정보연구
    • /
    • 제22권2호
    • /
    • pp.33-56
    • /
    • 2016
  • 대부분의 부도 예측에 관한 연구는 재무 변수를 중심으로 통계적 방법 또는 인공지능 기법을 적용하여 부도 예측 모형을 구축하였다. 그러나 재무비율과 같은 회계 정보를 이용한 부도 예측 모형은 재무 제표 결산 시점과 신용평가 시점 간 시차를 고려하지 않을 뿐만 아니라 해당 산업의 경제적 상황과 같은 외부 환경적인 요소를 반영하기 어렵다는 한계점이 존재하였다. 기업의 부도 여부를 예측하기 위해 정량 정보인 재무 변수만을 이용하는 것에 한계가 있음에도 불구하고 정성 정보를 부도 예측 모형에 반영한 연구는 아직 미흡한 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 재무 변수를 이용하는 기존 부도 예측 모형의 성과를 개선하기 위해 빅데이터 기반의 정성 정보를 추가적인 입력 변수로 활용하는 부도 예측 모형을 제안하였다. 제안 모형의 성과 향상은 정성 정보를 예측 모형에 통합시키기에 적합한 형태로 정보의 유형을 변환시킬 수 있는가에 따라 달려있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 정성 정보 처리를 위한 방법으로 빅데이터 분석 기법 중 하나인 텍스트 마이닝(Text Mining)을 활용하였다. 해당 산업과 관련된 경제 뉴스 데이터로부터 경제 상황에 대한 감성 정보를 추출하기 위해 도메인 중심의 감성 어휘 사전을 구축하고, 구축된 어휘 사전을 기반으로 감성 분석(Sentiment Analysis)을 수행하였다. 형태소 분석 등을 포함한 텍스트 전처리 과정을 거쳐 감성 어휘를 추출하고, 각 어휘에 대한 극성 및 감성 점수를 부여하였다. 분석 결과, 전통적 부도 예측 모형에 경제 뉴스 데이터에서 도출한 정성 정보를 반영하는 것은 모형의 성과를 개선하는 것으로 나타났다. 특히, 경제 상황에 대한 부정적 감정이 기업의 부도 여부를 예측하는 데 더욱 효과적임을 알 수 있었다.

Korean Immigrant Women's Meanings of Breast, Breast Cancer, and Breast Cancer Screenings

  • Suh Eun-Young Eunice
    • 대한간호학회지
    • /
    • 제36권4호
    • /
    • pp.604-611
    • /
    • 2006
  • Purpose. Koreans are one of the fastest growing Asian populations in the U.S. since 1960s. In Korean immigrant women (KIW), breast cancer was reported as the most frequently diagnosed cancer. However, their screening rates for breast cancer are lower than national guidelines; it is assumed that underlying cultural schemas of breast, breast cancer, and its screening modalities exist and need to be studied. This study was aimed to investigate cultural meanings of breast, breast cancer, and breast cancer screenings in KIW. Methods. Using cultural models theory from cognitive anthropology, naturalistic qualitative methodology was utilized. Three focus group interviews with fifteen KIW were conducted. Thematic analysis with constant comparison technique was performed eliciting units of meaning, categories, and themes. Results. The cultural schema of the meaning of breast is 'mother who is breast-feeding her baby,' with two themes of 'balance in size,' and 'shyness.' Regarding breast cancer, three themes, i.e., 'indifference,' 'fear,' and 'uncertainty' are emerged. 'Lack of information about screening modalities' is the overarching schema with reference to breast cancer screenings. Conclusions. The findings of this study demonstrate unique cultural models of KIW related to breast cancer and its screenings, which are critical to understand and penetrate their barriers to breast cancer screening.

3D Quantitative and Qualitative Structure-Activity Relationships of the δ -Opioid Receptor Antagonists

  • Chun, Sun;Lee, Jee-Young;Ro, Seong-Gu;Jeong, Ki-Woong;Kim, Yang-Mee;Yoon, Chang-Ju
    • Bulletin of the Korean Chemical Society
    • /
    • 제29권3호
    • /
    • pp.656-662
    • /
    • 2008
  • Antagonists of the d -opioid receptor are effective in overcoming resistance against analgesic drugs such as morphine. To identify novel antagonists of the d -opioid receptor that display high potency and low resistance, we performed 3D-QSAR analysis using chemical feature-based pharmacophore models. Chemical features for d -opioid receptor antagonists were generated using quantitative (Catalyst/HypoGen) and qualitative (Catalyst/HipHop) approaches. For HypoGen analysis, we collected 16 peptide and 16 non-peptide antagonists as the training set. The best-fit pharmacophore hypotheses of the two antagonist models comprised identical features, including a hydrophobic aromatic (HAR), a hydrophobic (HY), and a positive ionizable (PI) function. The training set of the HipHop model was constructed with three launched opioid drugs. The best hypothesis from HipHop included four features: an HAR, an HY, a hydrogen bond donor (HBD), and a PI function. Based on these results, we confirm that HY, HAR and PI features are essential for effective antagonism of the d -opioid receptor, and determine the appropriate pharmacophore to design such antagonists.

철도 사상사고 위험도 평가를 위한 사고 시나리오 모델 개발에 관한 연구 (Development of Accident Scenario Models for the Risk Assessment of Railway Casualty Accidents)

  • 박찬우;왕종배;조연옥
    • 한국안전학회지
    • /
    • 제24권3호
    • /
    • pp.79-87
    • /
    • 2009
  • The objective of this study is to develop accident scenario models for the risk assessment of railway casualty accidents. To develop these scenario models, hazardous events and hazardous factors were identified by gathering various accident reports and information. Then, the accident scenario models were built up. Each accident scenario model consists of an occurrence scenario model and a progress scenario model. The occurrence scenario refers to the occurrence process of the event before the hazardous event. The progress scenario means the progress process of the event after the hazardous event. To manage a large amount of accident/incident data and scenarios, a railway accident analysis information system was developed using railway accident scenario models. To test the feasibility of the developed scenario models, more than 800 domestic railway casualty accidents that occurred in 2004 and 2005 were investigated and quantitative and qualitative analyses were performed using the developed information system.