• Title/Summary/Keyword: Pure confidence

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Fracture Probability Properties of Pure and Cantilever Bending Fatigue of STS304 Steel (STS304강의 순수 및 외팔보형 굽힘 피로에 대한 파괴확률 특성)

  • Roh, Sung-Kuk;Park, Dae-Hyun;Jeong, Soon-Uk
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2001.06a
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    • pp.199-204
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    • 2001
  • Big accidents of flyings, vessel, subways, gas equipments, buildings and bridge happens frenquently. Therefore many people are suffering harm of property. The destruction cause of macaine components is almost accused by fatigue. This study is test for STS304 specimen using pure and cantilever bending state. Rounded specimen and notched specimen including fracture surface investigation was comparatively experimented, fatigue life according to degree of surface finishing was examined. Fatigue fracture probability of notched canilever specimens were predicted by P-S-N curve, median rank and Weibull distribution. And at the relation with the rotational speed and stress, the fatigue life of the test specimen was higher at high speed than low speed.

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An Analysis of the Efficiency of Item-based Agricultural Cooperative Using the DEA Model (확률적 DEA모형에 의한 품목농협의 효율성 분석)

  • Lee, Sang-Ho
    • Journal of agriculture & life science
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    • v.45 no.6
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    • pp.279-289
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this study is to estimate efficiency of item-based agricultural cooperative by using Data Envelopment Analysis. A proposed method employs a bootstrapping approach to generating efficiency estimates through Monte Carlo simulation resampling process. The technical efficiency, pure technical efficiency, and scale efficiency measure of item-based agricultural cooperative is 0.80, 0.87, 0.93 respectively. However the bias-corrected estimates are less than those of DEA. We know that the DEA estimator is an upward biased estimator. In technical efficiency, average lower and upper confidence bounds of 0.726 and 0.8747. According to these results, the DEA bootstrapping model used here provides bias-corrected and confidence intervals for the point estimates, it is more preferable.

The estimation of the productivity in adjacent water fisheries (연근해어업 업종별 생산성 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Cheol-Hyung
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.45 no.1
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    • pp.63-77
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    • 2014
  • This study is to estimate the recent changes in total factor productivity of 15 Korean adjacent water fisheries based on Malmquist productivity indices. The study adopted both input and output oriented productivity measures utilizing a hyperbola distance function. In addition to this point, the study also calculated the 95% confidence interval for the various components of the productivities in order to access the statistical significance of estimates using 2000 times of re-sampling process through the smoothed bootstraping. The results of the study showed us that there was 18% reduction in the overall total factor productivity during the study period from 2007 to 2011, which turned out to be 5% of annual decrease in productivity. The study found that the main reason of this decrease in total productivity is about 22% downward shift of a fisheries production function due to recent conditions of a devastated fishing ground. When we evaluated the statistical significance of changes in technical efficiency combining both pure technical and scale efficiency based on the 95% confidence intervals, we could not find any evidence of changes in those components of total factor productivity. When we accessed the productivity of the each of 15 adjacent water fisheries methods, only the large danish seine fisheries showed us about 7% increase in productivity. Even though the large trawling and the large tow-boat trawling revealed no changes in productivity, all of the other 12 fisheries suffered the decreases in productivities.

An Analysis of the Efficiency of Agricultural Social Enterprises Using the Stochastic DEA Model (농업·농촌 기반 사회적기업의 부트스트래핑 효율성 분석)

  • Lee, Sang-Ho
    • Korean Journal of Organic Agriculture
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.41-50
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    • 2021
  • This paper analyzes the efficiency of social enterprises by analyzing bootstrapping data envelopment analysis. Unlike the definitive DEA model, we analyze the confidence intervals of efficiency estimates through the DEA model, which takes into account stochastic factors. Major analysis results are summarized as follows: First, the results of the bootstrapping DEA analysis of social enterprises estimated that the technical efficiency was 0.459 and the 95% confidence interval was 0.389 to 0.601. Second, the number of inefficient social enterprises with efficiency values of less than 0.5 was found to be 15 (55.56%) in technical efficiency, 5 (18.52%) in pure technical efficiency, and 8 (29.63%) in scale efficiency. It can be seen that a significant number of social enterprises are operating in an inefficient state. Third, looking at the returns of scale of social enterprises, 25 (67.57%) are currently in the increasing returns of scale, 10 (27.02%) are in the constant returns of scale, and 2 (5.41%) are in decreasing returns of scale. In other words, it can be seen that social enterprises are under-invested in terms of input factors.

Factors Predicting Microinvasion in Ductal Carcinoma in situ

  • Ozkan-Gurdal, Sibel;Cabioglu, Neslihan;Ozcinar, Beyza;Muslumanoglu, Mahmut;Ozmen, Vahit;Kecer, Mustafa;Yavuz, Ekrem;Igci, Abdullah
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.55-60
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    • 2014
  • Background: Whether sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB) should be performed in patients with pure ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) of the breast has been a question of debate over the last decade. The aim of this study was to identify factors associated with microinvasive disease and determine the criteria for performing SLNB in patients with DCIS. Materials and Methods: 125 patients with DCIS who underwent surgery between January 2000 and December 2008 were reviewed to identify factors associated with DCIS and DCIS with microinvasion (DCISM). Results: 88 patients (70.4%) had pure DCIS and 37 (29.6%) had DCISM. Among 33 DCIS patients who underwent SLNB, one patient (3.3%) was found to have isolated tumor cells in her biopsy, whereas 1 of 14 (37.8%) patients with DCISM had micrometastasis (7.1%). Similarly, of 16 patients (18.2%) with pure DCIS and axillary lymph node dissection (ALND) without SLNB, none had lymph node metastasis. Furthermore, of 20 patients with DCISM and ALND, only one (5%) had metastasis. In multivariate analysis, the presence of comedo necrosis [relative risk (RR)=4.1, 95% confidence interval (CI)=1.6-10.6, P=0.004], and hormone receptor (ER or PR) negativity (RR=4.0, 95%CI=1.5-11, P=0.007), were found to be significantly associated with microinvasion. Conclusions: Our findings suggest patients presenting with a preoperative diagnosis of DCIS associated with comedo necrosis or hormone receptor negativity are more likely to have a microinvasive component in definitive pathology following surgery, and should be considered for SLNB procedure along with patients who will undergo mastectomy due to DCIS.

The Study on the Comparative Analysis of the Aquaculture Production Efficiency Regarding Methods and Species (양식업의 양식방법별 어종별 생산효율성 비교분석에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Cheol-Hyung
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.43 no.2
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    • pp.79-94
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate the production efficiencies of the Korean aquaculture fishery with respect to species and methods using a Data Envelopment Analysis. The study extracted the 8 fishes in each of the sea cage culture, aquarium basin, and enclosed aquaculture for the analytical purposes. First, the study estimated the technical, pure technical, and scale efficiencies of the total of 24 aquaculture fishes based on the traditional DEA under the assumptions of both CRS and VRS. 2 fishes were identified as the efficient DMUs under the CCR-model, and 6 fishes under the BCC-model. Second, we tested to see if there was any difference in production efficiencies regarding those three different methods of aquaculture. we could not find any evidence of the differences in efficiency using a rank sum test based on the traditional DEA. However, we could do find that the pure technical efficiency in the sea cage culture was lower than others at 1% level of significance and the pure technical efficiency in enclosed aquaculture was also lower than others at 5% level of significance using Bilateral-DEA, which could explicitly consider the heterogeneity in the 3 production methods of aquaculture. Finally, the study obtained the 95% confidence intervals of the efficiency scores for the 24 fishes under our study using the smoothed bootstraping method in the process of the re-sampling in cooperation with both a kernel density estimation and a reflection method. At the same time, we could estimate the bias-corrected efficiency scores while the traditionally estimated efficiency scores suffered from the biases in the process of solving a linear programming with the deterministic nature of a production frontier. And hence, we could distinguish the differences in production efficiencies of the 8 fishes with respect to those 3 methods of aquaculture.

Utilizing Purely Symmetric J Measure for Association Rules (연관성 규칙의 탐색을 위한 순수 대칭적 J 측도의 활용)

  • Park, Hee-Chang
    • Journal of the Korean Data Analysis Society
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.2865-2872
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    • 2018
  • In the field of data mining technique, there are various methods such as association rules, cluster analysis, decision tree, neural network. Among them, association rules are defined by using various association evaluation criteria such as support, confidence, and lift. Agrawal et al. (1993) first proposed this association rule, and since then research has been conducted by many scholars. Recently, studies related to crossover entropy have been published (Park, 2016b). In this paper, we proposed a purely symmetric J measure considering directionality and purity in the previously published J measure, and examined its usefulness by using examples. As a result, it is found that the pure symmetric J measure changes more clearly than the conventional J measure, the symmetric J measure, and the pure crossover entropy measure as the frequency of coincidence increases. The variation of the pure symmetric J measure was also larger depending on the magnitude of the inconsistency, and the presence or absence of the association was more clearly understood.

Hazardous Alcohol Consumption and the Risk of Hearing Impairment in Adults Based on the Korean National Health and Nutrition Survey: A Retrospective Study

  • Park, Jin-A;Suh, Michelle J.
    • Journal of Audiology & Otology
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.63-68
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    • 2019
  • Background and Objectives: To investigate the relationship between hearing impairment and alcohol drinking patterns in South Korean adults. Subjects and Methods: Data collection was performed by Korean National Health and Nutrition Survey from January 1 to December 31, 2012. Data analyses were performed from February 20 to March 3, 2018. Data from 3,860 adults 20 years of age or older without a history of malignancy or chronic otitis media in the Korean National Health and Nutrition Survey 2012 database who participated in the health questionnaires, and who had available results from otologic examinations that included pure tone audiogram, were included. Pure-tone average hearing thresholds were calculated at 500, 1,000, 2,000, and 4,000 Hz. Hearing loss was defined as a pure-tone average >40 dB in one or both ears. The Alcohol Use Disorder Identification Test was used to evaluate drinking statuses of subjects. Data were analyzed using the complex-sample χ2-test of independence and a complex-sample logistic regression analysis. Results: Of the 29,954,319 individuals in the weighted cross-sectional study population, 15,106,040 (50.4%) were men and 14,848,098 (49.6%) were women. A total of 8.1% of men and 7% of women had hearing impairment. The degrees of drinking with appropriate, risky, and hazardous drinking habits were 58.2, 32.1, and 9.7% among men; and 76.4, 12.5, and 11.1% among women, respectively. Among men, the odds ratio of hearing loss increased by 2.506 times when comparing hazardous and appropriate drinking (confidence interval, 1.083 to 5.800, p=0.002). Moderate alcohol consumption (≤2 drinks per day) was not protective for hearing in either group. Conclusions: As hazardous drinking tends to coexist with hearing impairment in men, appropriate prevention and intervention strategies should be emphasized. A longitudinal study to investigate harmful drinking and the mechanism of hearing loss should be performed.

Hazardous Alcohol Consumption and the Risk of Hearing Impairment in Adults Based on the Korean National Health and Nutrition Survey: A Retrospective Study

  • Park, Jin-A;Suh, Michelle J.
    • Korean Journal of Audiology
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.63-68
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    • 2019
  • Background and Objectives: To investigate the relationship between hearing impairment and alcohol drinking patterns in South Korean adults. Subjects and Methods: Data collection was performed by Korean National Health and Nutrition Survey from January 1 to December 31, 2012. Data analyses were performed from February 20 to March 3, 2018. Data from 3,860 adults 20 years of age or older without a history of malignancy or chronic otitis media in the Korean National Health and Nutrition Survey 2012 database who participated in the health questionnaires, and who had available results from otologic examinations that included pure tone audiogram, were included. Pure-tone average hearing thresholds were calculated at 500, 1,000, 2,000, and 4,000 Hz. Hearing loss was defined as a pure-tone average >40 dB in one or both ears. The Alcohol Use Disorder Identification Test was used to evaluate drinking statuses of subjects. Data were analyzed using the complex-sample χ2-test of independence and a complex-sample logistic regression analysis. Results: Of the 29,954,319 individuals in the weighted cross-sectional study population, 15,106,040 (50.4%) were men and 14,848,098 (49.6%) were women. A total of 8.1% of men and 7% of women had hearing impairment. The degrees of drinking with appropriate, risky, and hazardous drinking habits were 58.2, 32.1, and 9.7% among men; and 76.4, 12.5, and 11.1% among women, respectively. Among men, the odds ratio of hearing loss increased by 2.506 times when comparing hazardous and appropriate drinking (confidence interval, 1.083 to 5.800, p=0.002). Moderate alcohol consumption (≤2 drinks per day) was not protective for hearing in either group. Conclusions: As hazardous drinking tends to coexist with hearing impairment in men, appropriate prevention and intervention strategies should be emphasized. A longitudinal study to investigate harmful drinking and the mechanism of hearing loss should be performed.

The Analysis of Geospatial Efficiency of Goheung-Gun Aquaculture Type Ochon-Gye Using Bootstrap-DEA (고흥군 양식어업형 어촌계의 입지에 따른 어업효율성 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jong-Cheon;Lee, Chang-Soo
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.52 no.1
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    • pp.23-46
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to understand the production efficiency of individual fishing communities and provide directions for improvement. The subject of the study is aquaculture type Ochon-Gye in Goheung-gun. The analysis method used bootstrap-DEA to overcome the statistical reliability problem of the traditional DEA analysis technique. In addition, data mining-GIS was applied to identify the spatial productivity of fishing communities. The values of technology efficiency, pure technology efficiency, and scale efficiency were estimated for 32 aquaculture-type fishing villages. Then, using the benchmarking reference set and weights, the projection was presented through adjustment of the input factor excess, and furthermore, the confidence interval of the efficiency values considering statistical significance was estimated using bootstrap.