• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제14권23호
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• pp.19-25
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• 1991

In this paper, constrained resource project scheduling problems schedule project activities subject to finite constraints on the availability of non-storable resource. Further, resources are assumed to be available per period in constant amounts, and are also demanded by an activity in constant amounts throughout the duration of the activity. We describe formulation which minimizes the combined cost of fluctuations in resource demand and delay of project completion. Cost bounding procedures are augmented by dominance relationships presented as theorems. This paper presents algorithm for solving the problem. And numerical examples are presented. Sensitivity analysis to evaluate the effect of changes of cost efficients is conducted.

• 국제학술발표논문집
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• The 2th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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• pp.653-661
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• 2007

Overseas construction projects tend to be more complex than domestic projects, being exposed to more external risks, such as politics, economy, society, and culture, as well as more internal risks from the project itself. It is crucial to have an early understanding of the project condition, in order to be well prepared in various phases of the project. This study compares a structural equation model and multiple regression analysis, in their capacity to predict cost performance of international construction projects. The structural equation model shows a more accurate prediction of cost performance than does regression analysis, due to its intrinsic capability of considering various cost factors in a systematic way.

• 국제학술발표논문집
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• The 6th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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• pp.371-375
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• 2015

Design-Build (DB) has gained in popularity in roadway projects due to its defining advantage to improve communication and fast-track project delivery. However, very little is known about the impact of change order frequency and occurrence timing pertaining to DB projects. The study analyzes their impacts on project time and cost performance by conducting a rigorous numerical analysis drawing on 530 3R (rehabilitation, reconstruction, and resurfacing) projects completed between 2002 and 2011 in Florida by using a multiple linear regression. The results indicate that DB outperformed Design-Bid-Build in project cost as well as time. Critically, the regression analysis signifies that earlier change order occurrence caused more unfavorable impacts on schedule and cost. The proposed analyses and models will lead to the improved ability of agencies to quickly and more reliably estimate the potential change order impacts on schedule and cost.

• 한국건설관리학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국건설관리학회 2002년도 학술대회지
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• pp.35-41
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• 2002

현금흐름 예측에 대한 많은 자료들은 실제 Tendering Stage(입찰단계) 혹은 Planning Stage(계획단계)의 Model들로서 Feasibility Study를 위한 Cash Flow Forecasting 주였다. 이 Model 들의 기법들은 하나의 Project를 통해서 Cash Flow를 예측하는 Model들이 대부분이고, 예측 방법은 주로 통계적인 접근 방법, 예들 들어 과거 Data를 통해서 Cash Flow 예측 곡선 Model 만들고 Project 유형별 상수나 변수 값을 부여함으로서 예측에 적용하였거나, Fuzzy Technique을 이용하여 Progress와 Cash Flow의 관계를 수식화 한 Model에 관리자의 경험과 판단에 의한 Forecasting Model도 제시되었다. 또한 Cash Flow가 아닌 기성 Flow 및 Cost Flow를 기준으로 한 표준화된 Model이 제시되었다 다른 한편으로는 Schedule과 Cost를 통합한 방법들, 즉, 간단한 주요 Activity와 Cost를 연결한 방법, Activity와 Cost Item과의 연결, 또는 Work Package를 이용한 방법, 마지막으로 좀더 정확도를 기하기 위한 Resource Level까지의 통합을 통해서 Project의 Cash Flow를 예측한 연구들이 이루어 졌다. 그러나 이러한 모든 예측 방법은 실제로 Planning Stage에 Forecasting한 Model로서 현재 진행중인 Project에 적용하기에는 그 정확도면에서 상당히 떨어지고, 대부분의 Model들은 Cash Flow 예측에 가장 중요한 Time lags를 고려하지 않았다. 또한Resource까지 연결은 현장 Engineer들의 많은 작업과 관리를 요구하게 된다. 본 연구는 시공단계에서의 Project의 현금흐름 예측에 관한 연구로서 매출계획과 건설회사의 실행 예산을 이용하여 현금흐름예측을 할 수 있는 Model을 제시하였다. 특히 건설공사의 현금흐름 예측의 중요한 요소인 Cash-Out에 대하여, 공사비 구성요소인 자재, 노무, 중기, 외주, 경비등 각 Resource의 보할(Weights)을 실 공사원가에 따른 보할의 변화와 Resource들의 Time Lag를 적용 기존 연구자의 Model과 다른 Model을 제시하였다. 또한 기존 연구자들의 Model과 비교하여 편리성, 정확도 및 신뢰성이 높은 Model임도 증명하였다.

• 품질경영학회지
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• 제33권3호
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• pp.135-148
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• 2005

This paper considers a six sigma project for reducing the project costs through project risk management. The project follows a disciplined process of five phases: define, measure, analyze, improve, and control. A risk management process map is used to identify process input and output variables. Seven key process input variables are selected by using C&E diagram and X-Y matrix and finally four vital few input variables are selected by the related statistical analysis. The optimum alternatives of the vital few input variables are obtained by the method of PUGH matrix. The process is running on control plan and we obtained substantial project cost reductions in early stage of the control phase.

• 국제학술발표논문집
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• The 5th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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• pp.332-337
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• 2013

Various project delivery methods have been utilized by owners over the years to maximize project performance. The design-build delivery method is being increasingly used due to the advantages it can offer to an engineering construction industry. Numerous studies have advocated the use of design/build over the traditional design/bid/build delivery approach. This study represents comprehensive analysis of 40 projects from the construction industry and shows that design/build method may not provide all the benefits to project performance. This study found timesaving was a definitive advantage of design/build project delivery, but the positive effects of cost changes was not convincing. Based on the results of the study, the project management expertise and experience of the contractor may have a greater impact on project performance outcomes than focusing on project delivery strategy only.

• 한국군사과학기술학회지
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• 제14권5호
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• pp.850-858
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• 2011

The risk analysis plays an important role in weapon system acquisition project due to uncertainties in the acquisition process. But in domestic, studies on risk analysis are insufficient and risk cost is not included in acquisition budget in policy. Therefore, in this study, we suggest a method that measures risk or success probability of project using the stochastic model. In particular, in order to calculate the success probability, we apply the joint probability distribution model of cost and schedule that are critical factors influencing the project risk. And also we verify the applicability of this model in Korean defence industry environment through case studies.

• Journal of Construction Engineering and Project Management
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• 제4권4호
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• pp.9-16
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• 2014

The purpose of this paper is to develop a model for forecasting early design construction cost of building projects using Artificial Neural Network (ANN). Eighty questionnaires distributed among construction organizations were utilized to identify significant parameters for the building project costs. 169 case studies of building projects were collected from the construction industry in Gaza Strip. The case studies were used to develop ANN model. Eleven significant parameters were considered as independent input variables affected on "project cost". The neural network model reasonably succeeded in estimating building projects cost without the need for more detailed drawings. The average percentage error of tested dataset for the adapted model was largely acceptable (less than 6%). Sensitivity analysis showed that the area of typical floor and number of floors are the most influential parameters in building cost.

• 한국건설관리학회논문집
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• 제12권1호
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• pp.53-61
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• 2011

건축 프로젝트는 그 다양성과 특수성으로 인해 많은 불확실성을 갖고 있다. 이러한 불확실성을 해소하기 위해 공사비 예측은 건축 프로젝트의 전 과정에 걸쳐 반복적으로 이루어져야 하며 특히 초기단계의 공사비 예측은 효과적인 사업 추진을 위해 매우 중요한 과정이다. 통상 초기단계 공사비 예측은 과거에 수행되었던 실적공사와의 비교를 기반으로 하며, 이러한 원리를 이용한 기계학습방법이 사례기반추론이다. 사례기반추론은 해결하고자 하는 문제와 유사한 사례를 데이터베이스에서 검색, 수정하여 해답을 얻는 방법으로 이를 위해서는 속성 유사도와 속성 가중치의 정의가 필요하다. 그러나 속성 가중치를 결정하는 문제에 있어서, 기존의 방법들은 정성변수의 속성 가중치 결정이 불가능하다는 단점이 있으며, 이는 사례기반추론에 사용할 수 있는 변수를 한정시키기 때문에 공사비 예측의 정확성을 저해시키는 요인이 되고 있다. 따라서 본 연구는 최적화 문제를 해결하는 기법의 하나인 유전 알고리즘을 이용하여 정성변수의 속성 가중치 결정 방법을 제안하고, 이를 국방 병영생활관과 공공아파트에 적용하여 그 유효성을 검증하였다.

• 상하수도학회지
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• 제37권6호
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• pp.409-423
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• 2023

In this study, we analyzed how the revenue water ratio(RWR) is affected by changes in conditions of the water supply area, such as the ratio of aging pipes, maintenance conditions, and revenue water. As a result of analyzing the impact of pipe aging and maintenance conditions on the RWR, it was confirmed that the RWR could be decreased if the pipe replacement project to improve the aging pipe ratio was not carried out and proper maintenance costs were not secured. It was also confirmed that an increase in the revenue water could be operated to facilitate the achievement of the project's target RWR. In contrast, a decrease in the revenue water due to a population reduction could affect the failure of the target RWR. In addition to analyzing the causes of variation in the RWR, the calculation of estimated project costs was considered by using leakage reduction instead of RWR from recent RWR improvement project cost data. From this analysis, it was reviewed whether the project costs planned to achieve the target RWR of the RWR improvement project in A city were appropriate. In conclusion, the RWR could be affected by variations in the ratio of aging pipes, maintenance conditions, and revenue water, and it was reasonable to consider not only the construction input but also the input related to RWR improvement, such as leakage reduction, when calculating the project cost.