• Title/Summary/Keyword: Process-error model

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Modeling and Identification of Paper Plants based on PRS (PRS를 이용한 제지공정의 인식 및 모델링에 관한 연구)

  • 오창훈;여영구;강홍
    • Proceedings of the Korea Technical Association of the Pulp and Paper Industry Conference
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    • 2004.11a
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    • pp.221-232
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    • 2004
  • Paper process is complex and multivariable system. Identification of a paper process model is imperative for the development of predictive control method. 13-level Pseudo-Random Sequence Signals were used to identify the plant model in which the neural network model was considered model as a real paper process. Results of simulations for identification using 13-level PRS signals and Prediction Error Method are compared with plant operation data. From the comparison, we can see that the dynamics of the model show good agreement with those of real plant.

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A Bayesian state-space production model for Korean chub mackerel (Scomber japonicus) stock

  • Jung, Yuri;Seo, Young Il;Hyun, Saang-Yoon
    • Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.139-152
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    • 2021
  • The main purpose of this study is to fit catch-per-unit-effort (CPUE) data about Korea chub mackerel (Scomber japonicus) stock with a state-space production (SSP) model, and to provide stock assessment results. We chose a surplus production model for the chub mackerel data, namely annual yield and CPUE. Then we employed a state-space layer for a production model to consider two sources of variability arising from unmodelled factors (process error) and noise in the data (observation error). We implemented the model via script software ADMB-RE because it reduces the computational cost of high-dimensional integration and provides Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling, which is required for Bayesian approaches. To stabilize the numerical optimization, we considered prior distributions for model parameters. Applying the SSP model to data collected from commercial fisheries from 1999 to 2017, we estimated model parameters and management references, as well as uncertainties for the estimates. We also applied various production models and showed parameter estimates and goodness of fit statistics to compare the model performance. This study presents two significant findings. First, we concluded that the stock has been overexploited in terms of harvest rate from 1999 to 2017. Second, we suggest a SSP model for the smallest goodness of fit statistics among several production models, especially for fitting CPUE data with fluctuations.

The Optimum Mix Design of 40MPa, 60MPa High Fluidity Concrete using Neural Network Model (신경망 모델을 이용한 40MPa, 60MPa 고유동 콘크리트의 최적배합설계)

  • Cho, Sung-Won;Cho, Sung-Eun;Kim, Young-Su
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2021.05a
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    • pp.223-224
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    • 2021
  • Recently, the demand for high fluidity concrete has been increased due to skyscrapers. However, it has its own limits. First of all, high fluidity concrete has large variation and through trial & error it costs lots of money and time. Neural network model has repetitive learning process which can solve the problem while training the data. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to predict optimum mix design of 40MPa, 60MPa high fluidity concrete by using neural network model and verifying compressive strength by applying real data. As a result, comparing collective data and predicted compressive strength data using MATLAB, 40MPa mix design error rate was 1.2%~1.6% and 60MPa mix design error rate was 2%~3%. Overall 40MPa mix design error rate was less than 60MPa mix design error rate.

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In-Flight Alignment of SDINS without Initial Heading Information (초기 기수각 정보가 필요 없는 SDINS의 운항중 정렬)

  • 홍현수;이장규;박찬국
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.8 no.6
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    • pp.524-532
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    • 2002
  • This paper presents a new in-flight alignment method for an SDINS under large initial heading error. To handle large heading error, a new attitude error model is introduced. The attitude errors are divided into heading error and leveling errors using a newly defined horizontal frame. Some navigation error dynamic models are derived from the attitude error model for indirect feedback filtering of the in-flight alignment system. A Kalman filter with Position measurement is designed to estimate navigation errors as the indirect feedback filter Simulation results show that the proposed in-flight alignment method reduces the heading error very quickly from more than 40deg to about 5deg so as to apply a refined navigation filter. The total alignment process including leveling mode and navigation mode in addition to the proposed one allows large initial values not only in heading error but also in leveling errors.

A Technique of Parameter Identification via Mean Value and Variance and Its Application to Course Changes of a Ship

  • Hane, Fuyuki;Masuzawa, Isao
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1999.10a
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    • pp.153-156
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    • 1999
  • The technique is reported of identifying parameters in off-line process. The technique demands that closed-loop system consists of a reference and two-degree-of-freedom controllers (TDFC) in real process. A model process is the same as the real process except their parameters. Deviations are differences between the reference and the output of the plant or the model. The technique is based on minimizing identification error between the two deviations. The parameter differences between the plant and the model are characterized of mean value and of variance which are derived from the identification error. Consequently, the algorithm which identifies the unknown plant parameters is shown by minimizing the mean value and the variance, respectively, within double convergence loops. The technique is applied to course change of a ship. The plant deviation at the first trial is shown to occur in replacing the nominal parameters by the default parameters. The plant deviation at the second trial is shown to not occur in replacing the nominal parameters by the identified parameters. Hence, the identification technique is confirmed to be feasible in the real field.

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Effect Analysis of Carrier Pinhole Position Error on the Load Sharing and Load Distribution of a Planet Gear (캐리어의 핀홀 위치 오차에 따른 유성기어의 하중 분할 및 하중 분포 영향 분석)

  • Kim, Jeong-Gil;Park, Young-Jun;Lee, Geun-Ho;Kim, Young-Joo;Oh, Joo-Young;Kim, Jae-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Process Engineers
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.66-72
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    • 2016
  • Gearboxes are mechanical components that transmit power by adjusting input and output speed and torque. Their design requirements include small size, light weight, and long lifespan. We have investigated the effects of carrier pinhole position error on the load sharing and load distribution characteristics of a planetary gear set with four planet gears. The simulation model for a simple planetary gear set was developed and verified by comparing analytical results with a putative model. Then, we derived the load sharing and load distribution characteristics under various pinhole position error conditions using the prototypical simulation model. The results showed that the mesh load factor and face load factor increased with the pinhole position error, which then influenced the safety factor for tooth bending strength and surface durability.

The Comparative Study for Property of Learning Effect based on Truncated time and Delayed S-Shaped NHPP Software Reliability Model (절단고정시간과 지연된 S-형태 NHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰모형에 근거한 학습효과특성 비교연구)

  • Kim, Hee Cheul
    • Journal of Korea Society of Digital Industry and Information Management
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.25-34
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    • 2012
  • In this study, in the process of testing before the release of the software products designed, software testing manager in advance should be aware of the testing-information. Therefore, the effective learning effects perspective has been studied using the NHPP software. The finite failure nonhomogeneous Poisson process models presented and applied property of learning effect based on truncated time and delayed S-shaped software reliability. Software error detection techniques known in advance, but influencing factors for considering the errors found automatically and learning factors, by prior experience, to find precisely the error factor setting up the testing manager are presented comparing the problem. As a result, the learning factor is greater than autonomous errors-detected factor that is generally efficient model can be confirmed. This paper, a failure data analysis was performed, using time between failures, according to the small sample and large sample sizes. The parameter estimation was carried out using maximum likelihood estimation method. Model selection was performed using the mean square error and coefficient of determination, after the data efficiency from the data through trend analysis was performed.

A Study on Improved Model of Digital Basemap Database (수치지도 자료기반구축 개선모형에 관한 연구)

  • 유복모;신동빈
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.213-223
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    • 1999
  • This study provides a improved model of digital basemap production that can efficiently identify and correct the various errors generated in digital map production process. In order to fulfill the requirements that the new model calls for, this study provides a typology of errors by analyzing the errors in digital basemap data. Computer programs for automatic error searching and for checking the correctness of the digital codes in the data have also been developed. Exsiting visual error-checking process has also been analyzed and more systematic process is suggested. As a result, it is found that the improved model of digital basemap production suggested in this study contributes to improving the quality of the digital map database by providing a systematic method for efficient error-searching and correction of digital map data.

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Automatic Calibration of SWAT Model Using LH-OAT Sensitivity Analysis and SCE-UA Optimization Method (LH-OAT 민감도 분석과 SCE-UA 최적화 방법을 이용한 SWAT 모형의 자동보정)

  • Lee Do-Hun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.39 no.8 s.169
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    • pp.677-690
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    • 2006
  • The LH-OAT (Latin Hypercube One factor At a Time) method for sensitivity analysis and SCE-UA (Shuffled Complex Evolution at University of Arizona) optimization method were applied for the automatic calibration of SWAT model in Bocheong-cheon watershed. The LH-OAT method which combines the advantages of global and local sensitivity analysis effectively identified the sensitivity ranking for the parameters of SWAT model over feasible parameter space. Use of this information allows us to select the calibrated parameters for the automatic calibration process. The performance of the automatic calibration of SWAT model using SCE-UA method depends on the length of calibration period, the number of calibrated parameters, and the selection of statistical error criteria. The performance of SWAT model in terms of RMSE (Root Mean Square Error), NSEF (Nash-Sutcliffe Model Efficiency), RMAE (Relative Mean Absolute Error), and NMSE (Normalized Mean Square Error) becomes better as the calibration period and the number of parameters defined in the automatic calibration process increase. However, NAE (Normalized Average Error) and SDR (Standard Deviation Ratio) were not improved although the calibration period and the number of calibrated parameters are increased. The result suggests that there are complex interactions among the calibration data, the calibrated parameters, and the model error criteria and a need for further study to understand these complex interactions at various representative watersheds.

Development and Application of Hierarchical Information Search Model(HIS) for Information Architecture Design (정보구조 설계를 위한 계층적 탐색모델 개발 및 적용)

  • Kim, In-Su;Kim, Bong-Geon;Choe, Jae-Hyeon
    • Journal of the Ergonomics Society of Korea
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.73-88
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    • 2004
  • This study was contrived Hierarchical Information Search (HIS) model. HIS model is based on a “cognitive process” in which model, comprising basic human information processing mechanize and information interaction. Its process include 3 semantic cognitive processes: Schema-Association LTM, Form Domain, and Alternative Selection. Design methodology consists to elicitate memory, thinking and cognitive response variables. In case study, menu structure of mobile phone was applied. In result, a correlation between predictive error rate and real error rate was .892. and a correlation between selective and real reaction time was .697. This present to suggest a model of how the methodology could be applied to real system design effectively when this was used. HIS model could become one of the most important factors for success of product design. In the perspective, the systemic methodology would contribute to design a quantitative and predictive system.