• 제목/요약/키워드: Probability testing

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Bounds for the Full Level Probabilities with Restricted Weights and Their Applications

  • Park, Chul Gyu
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제25권4호
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    • pp.489-497
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    • 1996
  • Lower bounds for the full level probabilities are derived under order restrictions in weights. Discussions are made on typical isotonic cones such as linear order, simple tree order, and unimodal order cones. We also discuss applications of these results for constructing conditional likelihood ratio tests for ordered hypotheses in a contingency table. A real data set on torus mandibularis will be analyzed for illustrating the testing procedure.

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Properties of the Poisson-power Function Distribution

  • Kim, Joo-Hwan
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제2권2호
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    • pp.166-175
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    • 1995
  • When a neutral particle beam(NPB) aimed at the object and receive a small number of neutron signals at the detector without any errors, it obeys Poisson law. Under the two assumptions that neutral particle scattering distribution and aiming errors have a circular Gaussian distributions that neutral particle scattering distribution and aiming errors have a circular Gaussian distribution respectively, an exact probability distribution of neutral particles vecomes a Poisson-power function distribution. We study and prove some properties, such as limiting distribution, unimodality, stochastical ordering, computational recursion fornula, of this distribution. We also prove monotone likelihood ratio(MLR) property of this distribution. Its MLR property can be used to find a criteria for the hypothesis testing problem.

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Geometry-based quality metric for multi-view autostereoscopic 3D display

  • Saveljev, Vladimir;Son, Jung-Young;Kwack, Kae-Dal
    • 한국정보디스플레이학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정보디스플레이학회 2009년도 9th International Meeting on Information Display
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    • pp.1014-1017
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    • 2009
  • The analytical expression for quality function is found including the dependence on disparity. The problem is considered in the projective coordinates for which the forward and backward transformation matrices are found. The formation of side observer regions is considered. The probability of the pseudo stereo effect is also estimated. Testing patterns are improved in order to provide higher accuracy of measurements. This is confirmed in experiments.

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Human Error Analysis in a Permit to Work System: A Case Study in a Chemical Plant

  • Jahangiri, Mehdi;Hoboubi, Naser;Rostamabadi, Akbar;Keshavarzi, Sareh;Hosseini, Ali Akbar
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.6-11
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    • 2016
  • Background: A permit to work (PTW) is a formal written system to control certain types of work which are identified as potentially hazardous. However, human error in PTW processes can lead to an accident. Methods: This cross-sectional, descriptive study was conducted to estimate the probability of human errors in PTWprocesses in a chemical plant in Iran. In the first stage, through interviewing the personnel and studying the procedure in the plant, the PTW process was analyzed using the hierarchical task analysis technique. In doing so, PTWwas considered as a goal and detailed tasks to achieve the goal were analyzed. In the next step, the standardized plant analysis risk-human (SPAR-H) reliability analysis method was applied for estimation of human error probability. Results: The mean probability of human error in the PTW system was estimated to be 0.11. The highest probability of human error in the PTW process was related to flammable gas testing (50.7%). Conclusion: The SPAR-H method applied in this study could analyze and quantify the potential human errors and extract the required measures for reducing the error probabilities in PTW system. Some suggestions to reduce the likelihood of errors, especially in the field of modifying the performance shaping factors and dependencies among tasks are provided.

수소화 탈황 반응기 히터의 안전계장기능 신뢰도 향상에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Improvement of Reliability of Safety Instrumented Function of Hydrodesulfurization Reactor Heater)

  • 곽흥식;박달재
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제32권4호
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    • pp.7-15
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    • 2017
  • International standards such as IEC-61508 and IEC-61511 require Safety Integrity Levels (SILs) for Safety Instrumented Functions (SIFs) in process industries. SIL verification is one of the methods for process safety description. Results of the SIL verification in some cases indicated that several Safety Instrumented Functions (SIFs) do not satisfy the required SIL. This results in some problems in terms of cost and risks to the industries. This study has been performed to improve the reliability of a safety instrumented function (SIF) installed in hydrodesulfurization reactor heater using Partial Stroke Testing (PST). Emergency shutdown system was chosen as an SIF in this study. SIL verification has been performed for cases chosen through the layer of protection analysis method. The probability of failure on demands (PFDs) for SIFs in fault tree analysis was $4.82{\times}10^{-3}$. As a result, the SIFs were unsuitable for the needed RRF, although they were capable of satisfying their target SIL 2. So, different PST intervals from 1 to 4 years were applied to the SIFs. It was found that the PFD of SIFs was $2.13{\times}10^{-3}$ and the RRF was 469 at the PST interval of one year, and this satisfies the RRF requirements in this case. It was also found that shorter interval of PST caused higher reliability of the SIF.

주파수 대역 변화를 이용한 배관의 누수지점 추정 개선 연구 (Improved Estimation of Leak Location of Pipelines Using Frequency Band Variation)

  • 이영섭;윤동진
    • 비파괴검사학회지
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    • 제34권1호
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    • pp.44-52
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    • 2014
  • 스마트워터그리드 시스템의 지하 상수도 배관 관리에 있어서 누수는 중요한 요소인데, 특히 그 배관이 낡았고 인구가 많은 도시의 포장도로나 다양한 건축물의 아래에 매설된 경우이다. 이러한 누수지점의 정확한 탐지는 이들 배관의 효율적인 운용을 위해 필수적이기 때문에, 주파수 대역 변화, 창 필터 그리고 확률에 바탕한 새로운 누수지점 탐지 방법론을 본 논문을 통해 제안한다. 정확한 누수지점의 추정은 누수음에 의한 센서 신호간의 시간 지연 추정의 정확성에 따라 결정된다는 것이 알려져 있기 때문에 중요한 주파수에 가중치를 부여하는 몇 가지의 창 함수들이 개선된 상호상관함수를 계산하기 위해 적용되었다. 실제 주철로 제작된 길이 253.9 m의 지하매설 상수도 배관에 대해 새로운 방법론을 적용한 실험결과는 향상된 누수지점 탐지 성능을 보여 주었다.

HMM의 출력확률을 이용한 신경회로망의 성능향상에 관한 연구 (A study on performance improvement of neural network using output probability of HMM)

  • 표창수;김창근;허강인
    • 융합신호처리학회논문지
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2000
  • 본 논문은 HMM(Hidden Markov Model)을 이 용하여 인식을 수행할 경우의 오류를 최소화 할 수 있는 후처리 과정으로 신경망을 결합시켜 HMM 단독으로 사용하였을 때 보다 높은 인식률을 얻을 수 있는 HMM과 신경망의 하이브리드 시스템을 제안한다 HMM을 이용하여 학습한 후 학습에 참여하지 않은 데이터를 인식하였을 때 오인식 데이터를 정인식으로 인식하도록 HMM의 출력으로 얻은 각 출력확률을 후처리에 사용될 신경망의 학습용으로 사용하여 신경망을 학습하여 HMM과 신경망을 결합한 하이브리드 시스템을 만든다 이와 같은 HMM과 신경망을 결합한 하이브리드 모델을 사용하여 단독 숫자음에서 실험한 결과 HMM 단독으로 사용하였을 때 보다 MLP에서는 약 $4.5\%$ RBFN에서는 약 $2\%$의 인식률 향상이 있었다. 기존의 하이브리드 시스템이 갖는 많은 학습시간이 소요되는 문제점과 실시간 음성인식시스템을 구현할 패의 학습데이터의 부족으로 인한 인식률 저하를 해결할 수 있는 방법임을 확인할 수 있었다

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Inverse model for pullout determination of steel fibers

  • Kozar, Ivica;Malic, Neira Toric;Rukavina, Tea
    • Coupled systems mechanics
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.197-209
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    • 2018
  • Fiber-reinforced concrete (FRC) is a material with increasing application in civil engineering. Here it is assumed that the material consists of a great number of rather small fibers embedded into the concrete matrix. It would be advantageous to predict the mechanical properties of FRC using nondestructive testing; unfortunately, many testing methods for concrete are not applicable to FRC. In addition, design methods for FRC are either inaccurate or complicated. In three-point bending tests of FRC prisms, it has been observed that fiber reinforcement does not break but simply pulls out during specimen failure. Following that observation, this work is based on an assumption that the main components of a simple and rather accurate FRC model are mechanical properties of the concrete matrix and fiber pullout force. Properties of the concrete matrix could be determined from measurements on samples taken during concrete production, and fiber pullout force could be measured on samples with individual fibers embedded into concrete. However, there is no clear relationship between measurements on individual samples of concrete matrix with a single fiber and properties of the produced FRC. This work presents an inverse model for FRC that establishes a relation between parameters measured on individual material samples and properties of a structure made of the composite material. However, a deterministic relationship is clearly not possible since only a single beam specimen of 60 cm could easily contain over 100000 fibers. Our inverse model assumes that the probability density function of individual fiber properties is known, and that the global sample load-displacement curve is obtained from the experiment. Thus, each fiber is stochastically characterized and accordingly parameterized. A relationship between fiber parameters and global load-displacement response, the so-called forward model, is established. From the forward model, based on Levenberg-Marquardt procedure, the inverse model is formulated and successfully applied.

제품(製品) 수명(壽命) 시험(試驗)의 응용(應用)과 확장(擴張) (Expansions and Applications of Item Life-time Testing)

  • 이창호
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.10-17
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    • 1983
  • 본 연구에서는 제품의 수명시험을 수행하는데 있어서 수명이 지수분포를 따를 때의 결과를 [1]제품의 MTBF가 $T_1$인 경우, 검사에 통과될 확률 $1-{\alpha}$(${\alpha}$는 생산자 위험), 제품의 MTBF가 $T_2$인 ($T_1$ > $T_2$) 경우, 검사에 통과될 확률 ${\beta}$(${\beta}$는 소비자 위험)로 하여 수명이 Weibull 분포(Shape Parameter를 알고 있을 때)를 따를 때에로 확장하였다. 또한, 수명시험과 관계있는 검사특성곡선(QC curve)과 평균수명시험시간(Average Life Testing Time)을 구해 보았다. 비용분석은 [1]의 과정을 그대로 활용하였다. 위의 전 과정은 Level II Basic Language로 Programming하여 Micro-Computer를 이용하여 계산하였다. 본 연구와는 다른 관점에서 Weibull 분포의 수명시험계획을 다루었던 [6]의 결과는 모두 같은 방향 - 지수분포에 비해 수명시험시간의 절감 - 으로 귀결되었음을 알 수 있다.

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Computer Adaptive Testing Method for Measuring Disability in Patients With Back Pain

  • Choi, Bongsam
    • 한국전문물리치료학회지
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.124-131
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    • 2012
  • Most conventional instruments measuring disability rely on total score by simply adding individual item responses, which is dependent on the items chosen to represent the underlying construct (test-dependent) and a test statistic, such as coefficient alpha for the estimate of reliability, varying from sample to sample (sample-dependent). By contrast, item response theory (IRT) method focuses on the psychometric properties of the test items instead of the instrument as a whole. By estimating probability that a respondent will select a particular rating for an item, item difficulty and person ability (or disability) can be placed on same linear continuum. These estimates are invariant regardless of the item used (test-free measurement) and the ability of sample applied (sample-free measurement). These advantages of IRT allow the creation of invariantly calibrated large item banks that precisely discriminate the disability levels of individuals. Computer adaptive testing (CAT) method often requiring a testing algorithm promise a means for administering items in a way that is both efficient and precise. This method permits selectively administering items that are closely matched to the ability level of individuals (measurement precision) and measuring the ability without the loss of precision provided by the full item bank (measurement efficiency). These measurement properties can reasonably be achieved using IRT and CAT method. This article aims to investigate comprehensive overview of the existing disability instrument for back pain and to inform physical therapists of an alternative innovative way overcoming the shortcomings of conventional disability instruments. An understanding of IRT and CAT method will equip physical therapist with skills in interpreting the measurement properties of disability instruments developed using the methods.