• Title/Summary/Keyword: Probability testing

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A Study on the Accident Rate Forecasting and Estimated Zero Accident Time in the Transportation, Storage, and Telecommunication Divisions (운수창고 및 통신업에서의 재해율 예측과 무재해시간 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Kang, Young-Sig;Kim, Tae-Gu
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.47-52
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    • 2010
  • Many industrial accidents have occurred over the years in the manufacturing and construction industries in Korea. However, as the service industry has increased continuously, the share of the accident rate in the service industry was 39.07% in 2009, while the manufacturing industry share was 33.73%. The service industry share overtook the manufacturing industry share for the first time. Therefore, this research considers prevention of industrial accidents in the service industry as well as manufacturing and construction industries. This paper describes a procedure and a method to estimate efficient accident rate forecasting and estimated zero accident time in the service industry in order to prevent industrial accidents in the transportation, storage, and telecommunication divisions. This paper proposes a model using an analytical function for the sake of very efficient accident rate forecasting. Accordingly, this paper has develops a program for accident rate forecasting, zero accident time estimating, and calculation of achievement probability through MFC (Microsoft Foundation Class) software Visual Studio 2008 in the transportation, storage, and telecommunication divisions. In results of this paper, ARIMA (Auto Regressive Integrating Moving Average) is regarded as a very efficient forecasting model for the transportation, storage, and telecommunication division. In testing this model, value minimizing the Sum of Square Errors (SSE) was calculated as 0.2532. Finally the results of this paper are sure to help establish easy accident rate forecasting and strategy or method of zero accident time in the service industry for prevention of industrial accidents.

A Model-based Test Approach and Case Study for Weapon Control System (모델기반 테스트 기법 및 무장통제장치 적용 사례)

  • Bae, Jung Ho;Jang, Bucheol;Koo, Bongjoo
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.688-699
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    • 2017
  • Model-based test, a well-known method of the black box tests, is consisted of the following four steps : model construction using requirement, test case generation from the model, execution of a SUT (software under test) and detection failures. Among models constructed in the first step, state-based models such as UML standard State Machine are commonly used to design event-based embedded systems (e.g., weapon control systems). To generate test cases from state-based models in the next step, coverage-based techniques such as state coverage and transition coverage are used. Round-trip path coverage technique using W-Method, one of coverage-based techniques, is known as more effective method than others. However it has a limitation of low failure observability because the W-Method technique terminates a testing process when arrivals meet states already visited and it is hard to decide the current state is completely same or not with the previous in the case like the GUI environment. In other words, there can exist unrevealed faults. Therefore, this study suggests a Extended W-Method. The Extended W-Method extends the round-trip path to a final state to improve failure observability. In this paper, we compare effectiveness and efficiency with requirement-item-based technique, W-Method and our Extended W-Method. The result shows that our technique can detect five and two more faults respectively and has the performance of 28 % and 42 % higher failure detection probability than the requirement-item-based and W-Method techniques, respectively.

Finite Element Analysis of Ultrasonic Wave Propagation and Scattering (초음파 전파 및 산란 문제의 유한요소 해석)

  • Jeong, Hyun-Jo;Park, Moon-Cheol;Park, Yun-Won
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Nondestructive Testing
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.411-421
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    • 2002
  • The accurate analysis of ultrasonic wave propagation and scattering plays an important role in many aspects of nondestructive evaluation. A numerical analysis makes it possible to perform parametric studies, and in this way the probability of detection and reliability of test results can be improved. In this study, a finite element method was developed for the analysis of ultrasonic fields, the accuracy of results was checked by solving several representative problems. The size of element and the integral time step, which are the critical components for the convergence of numerical results, were determined in a commercial finite element code. Several propagation and scattering problems in 2-D isotropic and anisotropic materials were solved and their results were compared with known analytical or experimental results.

Evaluation on the Lightning Breakdown Voltages of Palm Oil and Coconut Oil under Non-Uniform Field at Small Gap Distances

  • Thien, Yee Von;Azis, Norhafiz;Jasni, Jasronita;Kadir, Mohd Zainal Abidin Ab;Yunus, Robiah;Ishak, Mohd Taufiq;Yaakub, Zaini
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.184-191
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    • 2016
  • In recent years, there are a number of studies that have been carried out to explore the alternative for Mineral Oil (MO) as dielectric insulating fluid in transformers due to the increasing tight regulation on safety and environment. Vegetable oils have been identified as suitable candidate since it is biodegradable, non-toxic and high flash/fire points which ensure more in-service safety. Among the types of vegetable oils considered for transformers application are Palm Oil (PO) and Coconut Oil (CO). This paper presents an experimental study on the lightning breakdown voltages of PO and CO under non-uniform electric field based on needle-sphere electrodes configuration at 3 small gap distances. The type of PO used in this study is Refined Bleached and Deodorized Palm Oil (RBDPO) Olein. The main focus of this study is to examine the lightning breakdown performance of RBDPO and CO under different test conditions and assess its suitability as dielectric insulating fluid in transformers. The effect of voltage polarities (positive and negative) and testing methods (rising-voltage, up-and-down and multiple-voltage) were investigated. The data obtained from all tests were analysed by Weibull distribution in order to determine the withstand voltages for each type of oils. It was found that the breakdown voltages of RBDPO and CO are comparable with MO under positive lightning impulse. Under negative lightning impulse, the breakdown voltage of MO is slightly higher than RBDPO and CO. There is no significant effect of testing methods and voltage polarities on lightning breakdown voltages of RBDPO and CO. Based on the statistical analysis, it is found that the breakdown voltages of RBDPO and CO at 1% probability are slightly lower than MO.

Prediction of Reliability of Fatigue Limit of S34MnV Steel for Marine Diesel Engine Crank Throw Components (선박용 디젤 엔진 크랭크 스로 부품용 S34MnV강의 피로한도에 대한 신뢰도 예측)

  • Kim, Seon Jin;Kong, Yu Sik
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.40 no.8
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    • pp.751-757
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    • 2016
  • The aim of this study is to estimate the reliability of fatigue limit of the material used for crank throw components according to the staircase method. The material used for crank throw components is forged S34MnV grade steel, which is heat treated by normalizing and tempering. In this work, to predict the reliability of the design fatigue strength, axially loaded constant amplitude fatigue testing was conducted. The test specimens were loaded with an axial push/pull load with a mean stress of 0 MPa, which corresponds to a stress ratio of R=-1. The fatigue test results were evaluated by Dixon-Mood formulas. The values of mean fatigue strength and standard deviation predicted by the staircase method were 296.3 MPa and 10.6 MPa, respectively. Finally, the reliability of the fatigue limit in some selected probability of failure is predicted. The proposed method can be applied for the determination of fatigue strength for design optimization of the forged steel.

Analysis of genetic diversity for cattle parentage testing using microsatellite markers (소의 친자감정을 위한 Microsatellite markers의 유전적 다양성 분석)

  • Cho, Gil-jae;Yang, Young-jin;Lee, Kil-wang
    • Korean Journal of Veterinary Research
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.287-292
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    • 2004
  • The objective of present study was to ascertain genetic diversity for cattle parentage testing. A total of 59 random cattle samples(29 Korean native cattle and 30 dairy cows) were genotyped by using 11 microsatellite loci(BM1824, BM2113, ETH10, ETH225, EH3, INRA23, SPS115, TGLA122, TGLA227, TGLA53, and TGLA126). This method consisted of multiplexing PCR procedure and showed reasonable amplification of all PCR products. Genotyping was performed with an ABI 310 genetic analyzer. The number of alleles per locus varied from 5 to 11 with a mean value of 6.73 in the Korean native cattle(KNC), 4 to 9 with a mean of 5.91 in dairy cows(DC). Expected heterozygosity was ranged 0.534~0.855(mean 0.732), 0.370~0.866(mean 0.692) in the KNC and DC, respectively. PIC value was ranged 0.485~0.821(mean 0.684), 0.336~0.834(mean 0.640) in the KNC and DC, respectively. Of the 11 markers, 7 markers(ETH10, EH3, INRA23, SPS115, TGLA122, TGLA227, TGLA53) and 3 markers(INRA23, TGLA227, TGLA53) have relatively high PIC value (>0.7) in the KNC and DC, respectively. The total exclusion probability of 11 microsatellite loci was 0.9997 and 0.9991 in the KNC and DC, respectively. These results present basic information for developing a system for parentage verification and individual identification in the KNC and DC.

The Evaluation of Non-Destructive Formulas on Compressive Strength Using the Reliability Based on Probability (확률 기반의 신뢰도를 이용한 비파괴 압축강도 추정식 평가)

  • Park, Jin-Woo;Choo, Jin-Ho;Park, Gwang-Rim;Hwang, In-Baek;Shin, Yong-Suk
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.25-34
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    • 2015
  • Proposed equation is used many time in calculation of concrete compressive strength using the non-destructive testing at precision safety diagnosis. Most of proposed equation is suggested in abroad and have an error to estimate concrete compressive strength in the domestic. Therefor, proposed equation is low reliability to estimate concrete compressive and it has a significant effect in reliability of precision safety diagnosis. Nevertheless, It is possible to increase the reliability through a number of experiments from this problem that occurs in some localized part. This paper is proposed assessment formula of reliability related core compressive strength to increase the reliability. It is verified that reliability of proposed assessment formula is useful by probabilistic techniques. It is compared with each graphs of concrete compressive strength of proposed equation. It has been found that the present methods are very efficient.

Evaluation of the bond strength between aged composite cores and luting agent

  • Polat, Serdar;Cebe, Fatma;Tuncdemir, Aliriza;Ozturk, Caner;Usumez, Aslihan
    • The Journal of Advanced Prosthodontics
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.108-114
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    • 2015
  • PURPOSE. The aim of this study was to evaluate effect of different surface treatment methods on the bond strength between aged composite-resin core and luting agent. MATERIALS AND METHODS. Seventy-five resin composites and also seventy-five zirconia ceramic discs were prepared. 60 composite samples were exposed to thermal aging (10,000 cycles, 5 to $55^{\circ}C$) and different surface treatment. All specimens were separated into 5 groups (n=15): 1) Intact specimens 2) Thermal aging-air polishing 3) Thermal aging- Er:YAG laser irradiation 4) Thermal aging- acid etching 5) Thermal-aging. All specimens were bonded to the zirconia discs with resin cement and fixed to universal testing machine and bond strength testing loaded to failure with a crosshead speed of 0.5 mm/min. The fractured surface was classified as adhesive failure, cohesive failure and adhesive-cohesive failure. The bond strength data was statistically compared by the Kruskal-Wallis method complemented by the Bonferroni correction Mann-Whitney U test. The probability level for statistical significance was set at ${\alpha}$=.05. RESULTS. Thermal aging and different surface treatment methods have significant effect on the bond strength between composite-resin cores and luting-agent (P<.05). The mean baseline bond strength values ranged between $7.07{\pm}2.11$ and $26.05{\pm}6.53$ N. The highest bond strength of $26.05{\pm}6.53$ N was obtained with Group 3. Group 5 showed the lowest value of bond strength. CONCLUSION. Appropriate surface treatment method should be applied to aged composite resin cores or aged-composites restorations should be replaced for the optimal bond strength and the clinical success.

Innovation Capability and Sustainable Competitive Advantage: An Entrepreneurial Marketing Perspective

  • TEGUH, Sriwidadi;HARTIWI, Prabowo;RIDHO, Bramulya Ikhsan;BACHTIAR, Simamora H.;SYNTHIA, Atas Sari;NOOR, Hazlina Ahmad
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.127-134
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    • 2021
  • This study aims to determine the role of innovative capabilities as a mediator in analyzing entrepreneurial marketing's effect on sustainable competitive advantage in food and beverage micro-, small-, and medium- enterprises (MSMEs). Data was obtained from a food and beverage store manager in Tangerang City, comprising 119 samples. Furthermore, the G⁎Power, a tool used to calculate statistical power analysis for various t-tests, F tests, χ2 tests, z tests, and several exact tests, was used to determine the number of research samples, the α error probability of 5%, and 3 variables. The data collection method used questionnaires with Likert Scale 1-5 to indicate strongly disagree to strongly agree. To analyze data, we used Path Analysis supported by SmartPLS statistics software. Path analysis is a form of multiple regression statistical analysis that is used to evaluate causal models by examining the relationships between a dependent variable and two or more independent variables. It aims to provide estimates of the magnitude and significance of hypothesized causal connections between sets of variables. The data processing process took place in two stages, namely the estimation model testing with validity and reliability, and the structural model testing to decide the impact or correlation between variables utilizing the t-test. The result showed a positive and significant effect of entrepreneurial marketing to innovative capability and competitive advantage through the innovative capability of MSMEs.

Implementation of Test Automation Agent for DO-330 Tool Qualified of ARINC-661 Development Tool (ARINC-661 개발 도구의 DO-330 도구 자격 획득을 위한 시험 자동화 에이전트 구현)

  • Kim, Do Gyun;Kim, Younggon
    • Journal of Platform Technology
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.47-58
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    • 2020
  • DO-330 Software Tool Qualification Considerations is a guideline for development of tools used to develop/verify software and hardware installed on aircraft. And among several processes, the verification process is very crucial as it occupies a large proportion for DO-330. Especially, in order to qualify tool with high safety level, test objectives must be performed with independence, accordingly, more time, cost, and manpower are required than other objectives. In addition, even if the test cases or test procedures are well defined, the higher the complexity of the test the higher probability of human error occurs. In this paper, we propose Script-based Test Automation Agent software structure for efficient DO-330 verification process of A661UAGEN tool developed by Hanwha Systems. Compared to the test performed manually by the test engineer, testing time of the Script-based Test Automation Agent is reduced by 87.5% and testing productivity is increased by 43.75%.

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