• 제목/요약/키워드: Probability of damages

검색결과 108건 처리시간 0.032초

Damage detection of a cable-stayed bridge based on the variation of stay cable forces eliminating environmental temperature effects

  • Chen, Chien-Chou;Wu, Wen-Hwa;Liu, Chun-Yan;Lai, Gwolong
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • 제17권6호
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    • pp.859-880
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    • 2016
  • This study aims to establish an effective methodology for the detection of instant damages occurred in cable-stayed bridges with the measurements of cable vibration and structural temperatures. A transfer coefficient for the daily temperature variation and another for the long-term temperature variation are firstly determined to eliminate the environmental temperature effects from the cable force variation. Several thresholds corresponding to different levels of exceedance probability are then obtained to decide four upper criteria and four lower criteria for damage detection. With these criteria, the monitoring data for three stay cables of Ai-Lan Bridge are analyzed and compared to verify the proposed damage detection methodology. The simulated results to consider various damage scenarios unambiguously indicate that the damages with cable force changes larger than ${\pm}1%$ can be confidently detected. As for the required time to detect damage, it is found that the cases with ${\pm}2%$ of cable force change can be discovered in no more than 6 hours and those with ${\pm}1.5%$ of cable force change can be identified in at most 9 hours. This methodology is also investigated for more lightly monitored cases where only the air temperature measurement is available. Under such circumstances, the damages with cable force changes larger than ${\pm}1.5%$ can be detected within 12 hours. Even though not exhaustively reflecting the environmental temperature effects on the cable force variation, both the effective temperature and the air temperature can be considered as valid indices to eliminate these effects at high and low monitoring costs.

동해항 전면 해역에서의 Freak Waves 발생확률 (Occurrence Probability of Freak Waves at Nearshore of Donghae Harbor in the East Sea)

  • 안경모;오찬영;정원무
    • 한국해안·해양공학회논문집
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.258-265
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    • 2015
  • 지난 20년 동안 해양구조물과 선박 등에 예상치 못한 피해를 주는 freak waves에 대한 연구자들의 관심이 증가하고 있다. 다양한 연구결과에도 불구하고 아직 freak waves의 발생원인, 발생 메커니즘, 발생확률 등에 대한 상반된 결과로 인해 합의된 결과가 도출되지 못하고 있다. 본 논문에서는 동해항 전면 해상에서 측정된 파랑자료를 분석하여 freak waves에 대한 발생확률을 추정하였다. 유의파고 2.5 m 보다 크고 $H_m/H_S{\geq}2$인 freak waves 3개를 발견하였다. Freak waves의 발생확률은 극치파고분포함수를 사용하여 추정하기 적절하며, Mori, Rayleigh, 그리고 Ahn의 극치파고분포함수는 freak wave의 발생확률을 각각 약 O($10^{-1}$), O($10^{-2}$), 그리고 O($10^{-3}$) 정도로 추정하였다. 본 논문에서 분석된 파랑자료의 freak waves의 발생확률은 O($10^{-2}$)와 O($10^{-3}$) 사이에 위치하였다. 즉, Rayleigh와 Ahn의 극치파고분포함수에 의해 예측된 발생확률의 중간에 위치하였다. 현재 Rayleigh와 Ahn의 극치파고분포함수 중에 어떤 분포함수가 정확한지에 대한 판단은 좀 더 다양한 해역에서의 freak waves의 발생확률에 대한 분석이 필요하다고 판단된다.

Cost and reliability of retrofit alternatives for schools located on seismic zones

  • De Leon-Escobedo, David;Garcia-Manjarrez, Jose Luis
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제21권5호
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    • pp.505-514
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    • 2021
  • A formulation based on structural reliability and cost effectiveness is proposed to provide recommendations to select the best retrofit strategy for schools with reinforced concrete frames and masonry walls, among three proposed alternatives. The cost calculation includes the retrofit cost and the expected costs of failure consequences. Also, the uncertainty of the seismic hazard is considered for each school site. The formulation identifies the potential failure modes, among shear and bending forces for beams, and flexure-compression forces for columns, for each school, and the seismic damages suffered by the schools after the earthquake of September 17, 2017 are taken into account to calibrate the damaged conditions per school. The school safety level is measured through its global failure probability, instead of only the local failure probability. The proposed retrofit alternatives are appraised in terms of the cost/benefit balance under future earthquakes, for the respective site seismic hazard, as opposed to the current practice of just restoring the structure original resistance. The best retrofit is the one that corresponds to the minimum value of the expected life cycle cost. The study, with further developments, may be used to develop general recommendations to retrofit schools located at seismic zones.

지진취약도를 통한 철골모멘트골조의 연간 손실 평가 (Annual Loss Probability Estimation of Steel Moment-Resisting Frames(SMRFs) using Seismic Fragility Analysis)

  • 전새미;신동현;김형준
    • 한국전산구조공학회논문집
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    • 제27권6호
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    • pp.517-524
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    • 2014
  • 구조물의 내용연수 동안 예상되는 지진에 대한 피해와 손실을 최소화하는 것이 내진설계의 최종적인 목표로 볼 수 있다. 이러한 목표를 만족시키기 위한 개념으로 지진하중에 대한 구조물의 손상확률을 나타내는 지진취약도를 작성하여 지진에 대한 구조물의 확률론적 성능평가를 수행한 후, 해당 지역에서 발생 가능한 지진에 대한 연간 초과확률로 표현되는 지진위험도를 활용하여 연간 손실 발생확률을 산정하는 절차를 제시한다. 본 연구는 미국 강진지역의 지진하중을 고려하여 설계된 철골모멘트골조에 대해 취약도를 정량적으로 평가하고 연간 손실 발생확률을 예측하다. 또한 HAZUS의 철골모멘트골조 대표건축물에 대한 손실 평가결과를 비교하였으며, 그 결과 HAZUS에 의한 연간손실이 보수적으로 산정됨을 알 수 있었다. 제시된 방법으로부터 해당 구조물의 내진성능 및 연간 손실 평가를 할 수 있으며, 향후 관련 연구에 활용할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

Recurrence plot entropy for machine defect severity assessment

  • Yan, Ruqiang;Qian, Yuning;Huang, Zhoudi;Gao, Robert X.
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.299-314
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    • 2013
  • This paper presents a nonlinear time series analysis technique for evaluating machine defect severity, based on the Recurrence Plot (RP) entropy. The RP entropy is calculated from the probability distribution of the diagonal line length in the recurrence plot, which graphically depicts a system's dynamics and provides a global picture of the autocorrelation in a time series over all available time-scales. Results of experimental studies conducted on a spindle-bearing test bed have demonstrated that, as the working condition of the bearing deteriorates due to the initiation and/or progression of structural damages, the frequency information contained in the vibration signal becomes increasingly complex, leading to the increase of the RP entropy. As a result, RP entropy can serve as an effective indicator for defect severity assessment of rolling bearings.

먼지 피해의 환경분쟁조정 사례 분석과 배상액 산정안 제언 (Dispute Mediation Cases and Suggestions for Calculating Compensation for Dust Damage)

  • 박정호
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제32권10호
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    • pp.693-701
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    • 2023
  • In this study, we analyzed 82 dust damage dispute mediation cases over the past 5 years and evaluated cases where the probability of damage was verified through dust concentration measurement, modeling prediction, and chemical composition analysis. The cause of dust damage was a construction site, which accounted for most of the damage (97%), and was closely related to the distance from the construction site, total floor area of the construction site, and construction duration. Compensation was decided in only 33% of dust damage cases, and in only 6% (five cases) were damages determined using scientific techniques such as dust measurement, and forecasting. The main criteria for determining compensation were whether administrative measures were taken and evidence of damage in the form of videos and photos. In the future, measuring or model for the amount of dust damage is necessary to determine whether the limit has been exceeded and to revise the standard for calculating compensation through various lines of evidence of dust damage.

Reliability analysis of braced frames subjected to near field ground motions

  • Sistani, Asma;Asgarian, Behrouz;Jalaeefar, Ali
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제5권6호
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    • pp.733-751
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    • 2013
  • Near field ground motions have caused several structural damages in recent decades. As a result, seismic codes are being updated with related requirements. In this paper a comparative study on the seismic behavior of concentrically braced frames (CBFs) designed based on different seismic codes is performed. Reliability of various frames with different heights and bracing types are analyzed based on the results of "Incremental Dynamic Analysis" (IDA) under near field ground motions. Fragility curves corresponding to IO (Immediate Occupancy) and CP (Collapse Prevention) limit states are extracted based on IDA curves. Results imply that, frames designed based on the near field seismic design criteria of UBC-97 are more reliable under near field ground motions and their failure probability is less comparing to others.

Slitting Knife의 손상에 미치는 마모의 영향 (The effect of wear on the damage of slitting knife)

  • 남기우;김철수;안석환
    • 동력기계공학회지
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    • 제20권4호
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    • pp.5-11
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    • 2016
  • This study analyzed the damage to a slitting knife after cutting steel sheets. Damages to the structure were observed and wear tests were conducted. In addition, the degradation on the damaged and undamaged parts was compared with a micro Vickers hardness test. Weibull statistical analysis was carried out in order to evaluate the reliability of the micro Vickers hardness measured data. Spalling of the edge portion occurred by degradation during use over a long period. Rough parts in the specimens were caused by damage because the slitting knife was used for 1 year. The friction coefficient and wear loss at the damaged parts of the knife edge were slightly larger from shock due to repetitive cutting operation. The micro Vickers hardness followed a two-parameter Weibull probability distribution.

Seismic Scenario Simulation and Its Applications on Risk Management in Taiwan

  • Yeh, Chin-Hsun
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국방재학회 2009년도 정기 학술발표대회
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    • pp.13-24
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    • 2009
  • This paper introduces various kinds of applications of the scenario-based seismic risk assessment in Taiwan. Seismic scenario simulation (SSS) is a GIS-based technique to assess distribution of ground shaking intensity, soil liquefaction probability, building damages and associated casualties, interruption of lifeline systems, economic losses, etc. given source parameters of an earthquake. The SSS may integrate with rapid earthquake information release system to obtain valuable information and to assist in decision-making processes to dispatch rescue and medical resources efficiently. The SSS may also integrate with probabilistic seismic hazard analysis to evaluate various kinds of risk estimates, such as average annual loss and probable maximum loss in one event, in a probabilistic sense and to help proposing feasible countermeasures.

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엔드밀 공정에서 최대 절삭력 제어 (Peak force control in the milling process)

  • 김홍겸;이건복
    • 한국공작기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국공작기계학회 2001년도 춘계학술대회 논문집(한국공작기계학회)
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    • pp.188-191
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    • 2001
  • Generally, main factors of tool damage are cutting speed, feed rate and depth of cut. The increase of those factors can cause tool breakage or worsen product quality such as machining accuracy deterioration. Those three factors are concerned with cutting force. Cutting force reaches at its maximum value when cutter blade cuts away the object directly, and it is the time when tool damages are at high probability. In this study, we detect the maximum cutting force affecting tool damage and control the maximum cutting force based on the measured peak force.

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