• Title/Summary/Keyword: Probabilistic studies

Search Result 286, Processing Time 0.027 seconds

Updating Inspection Data to Estimate Probability of Failure (파괴확률 산정을 위한 검측 데이터의 확률적 업데이트)

  • Chung, Tae-Young;Park, Heung-Min;Lee, Hak;Kong, Jung-Sik
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
    • /
    • 2007.04a
    • /
    • pp.645-650
    • /
    • 2007
  • According to most studies, assessment of aging structure is trend to detect flaw size by sensor than using existing subjective evaluation by expert for objective evaluation. But Uncertainties existing in the sensor make difference between measured flaw size and actual flaw size, In this paper, Probability of Detection(POD) have been used to quantify the uncertainties and POD is updated by relationship measured flaw size and actual flaw size (Heasler, 1990), also we proposed probabilistic updating approach method to improve measurement accuracy(the difference of measured PDF and actual PDF) by using updated POD.

  • PDF

Improvement in Image Classification by GRF-based Anisotropic Diffusion Restoration (GRF기반이방성 분산 복원에 의한 분류 결과 향상)

  • 이상훈
    • Proceedings of the Korean Association of Geographic Inforamtion Studies Conference
    • /
    • 2004.03a
    • /
    • pp.523-528
    • /
    • 2004
  • This study proposed an anisotropic diffusion restoration fer image classification. The anisotropic diffusion restoration uses a probabilistic model based on Markov random field, which represents geographical connectedness existing in many remotely sensed images, and restores them through an iterative diffusion processing. In every iteration, the bonding-strength coefficient associated with the spatial connectedness is adaptively estimated as a function of brightness gradient. This study made experiments on the satellite images remotely sensed on the Korean peninsula. The experimental results show that the proposed approach is also very effective on image classification in remote sensing.

  • PDF

Design criteria of wind barriers for traffic -Part 2: decision making process

  • Kim, Dong Hyawn;Kwon, Soon-Duck;Lee, Il Keun;Jo, Byung Wan
    • Wind and Structures
    • /
    • v.14 no.1
    • /
    • pp.71-80
    • /
    • 2011
  • This study presents a decision making process for installation of wind barrier which is used to reduce the wind speed applied to running vehicles on expressway. To determine whether it is needed to install wind barrier or not, cost and benefit from wind barrier are calculated during lifetime. In obtaining car accidental risk, probabilistic distribution of wind speed, daily traffic volume, mixture ratio in the volume, and duration time for wind speed range are considered. It is recommended to install wind barrier if benefit from the barrier installation exceed construction cost. In the numerical examples, case studies were shown for risk and benefit calculation and main risky regions on Korean highway were all evaluated to identify the number of installation sites.

Multivariate adaptive regression splines model for reliability assessment of serviceability limit state of twin caverns

  • Zhang, Wengang;Goh, Anthony T.C.
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
    • /
    • v.7 no.4
    • /
    • pp.431-458
    • /
    • 2014
  • Construction of a new cavern close to an existing cavern will result in a modification of the state of stresses in a zone around the existing cavern as interaction between the twin caverns takes place. Extensive plane strain finite difference analyses were carried out to examine the deformations induced by excavation of underground twin caverns. From the numerical results, a fairly simple nonparametric regression algorithm known as multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS) has been used to relate the maximum key point displacement and the percent strain to various parameters including the rock quality, the cavern geometry and the in situ stress. Probabilistic assessments on the serviceability limit state of twin caverns can be performed using the First-order reliability spreadsheet method (FORM) based on the built MARS model. Parametric studies indicate that the probability of failure $P_f$ increases as the coefficient of variation of Q increases, and $P_f$ decreases with the widening of the pillar.

A Quantitative Assessment of Organizational Factors Affecting Safety Using System Dynamics Model

  • Yu Jaekook;Ahn Namsung;Jae Moosung
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • v.36 no.1
    • /
    • pp.64-72
    • /
    • 2004
  • The purpose of this study is to develop a system dynamics model for the assessment of the organizational and human factors in a nuclear power plant which contribute to nuclear safety. Previous studies can be classified into two major approaches. One is the engineering approach using tools such as ergonomics and Probability Safety Assessment (PSA). The other is the socio-psychology approach. Both have contributed to find organizational and human factors and to present guidelines to lessen human error in plants. However, since these approaches assume that the relationship among factors is independent they do not explain the interactions among the factors or variables in Nuclear Power Plants. To overcome these restrictions, a system dynamics model, which can show cause and effect relationships among factors and quantify the organizational and human factors, has been developed. Handling variables such as the degree of leadership, the number of employees, and workload in each department, users can simulate various situations in nuclear power plant organization. Through simulation, users can get insights to improve safety in plants and to find managerial tools in both organizational and human factors.

The Effect of an Aggressive Cool-Down Following A Refueling Outage Accident in which a Pressurizer Safety valve is Stuck Open

  • Lim, Ho- Gon;Park, Jin-Hee;Jang, Seung-Cheol
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • v.36 no.6
    • /
    • pp.497-511
    • /
    • 2004
  • A PSV (pressurizer safety valve) popping test carried out in the early phases of a refueling outage may trigger a test-induced LOCA(loss of coolant accident) if a PSV fails to fully close and is stuck in a partially open position. According to a KSNP (Korea standard nuclear power plant) low power and shutdown PSA (probabilistic safety assessment), the failure of a high pressure safety injection (HPSI) accompanied by the failure of a PSV to fully close was identified as a dominant accident sequence with a significant impact on low power and shutdown risks (LPSR). In this study, we aim to investigate and verify a new means for mitigating this type of accident using a thermal-hydraulic analysis. In particular, we explore the applicability of an aggressive cool-down combined with operator actions. The results of the various sensitivity studies performed there will help reduce LPSR and improve Refueling outage safety.

Design of Cellular Manufacturing System with Alternative Process Plans under Uncertain Demand (수요가 불확실한 환경에서 대체공정계획을 고려한 셀형제조시스템 설계)

  • Ko, Chang-Seong;Lee, Sang-Hun;Lee, Yang-Woo
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
    • /
    • v.24 no.4
    • /
    • pp.559-569
    • /
    • 1998
  • Cellular manufacturing system (CMS) has been recognized as an alternative to improve manufacturing productivity in conventional batch-type manufacturing systems through reducing set-up times, work-in-process inventories and throughput times by means of group technology. Most of the studies on the design of CMS assumed that each part has a unique process plan, and that its demand is known as a deterministic value despite of the probabilistic nature of the real world problems. This study suggests an approach for designing CMS, considering both alternative process plans and uncertain demand. A mathematical model is presented to show how to minimize the expected amortized and operating costs satisfying these two relaxations. Four heuristic algorithms are developed based on tabu search which is well suited for getting an optimal or near-optimal solution. Example problems are carried out to illustrate the heuristic algorithms and each of them is compared with the deterministic counterpart.

  • PDF

PACSR : A Probabilistic ACSR (PACSR : 확률적 ACSR)

  • Seong, Soon-Yong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
    • /
    • v.9 no.1
    • /
    • pp.720-723
    • /
    • 2005
  • There has been significant progress in the development of timed process algebra for the specification and analysis of real-time systems in recent years. ACSR is a timed process algebra, which supports synchronous timed actions and asynchronous instantaneous events. Timed actions model the usage of shared resources and the passage of time, whereas events allow synchronization between processes. To be able to specify real-time systems more effectively, this paper suggests the notion of probabilities. This paper also illustrates extended PACSR with a typical resource allocation system and its deadlock specification and analysis.

  • PDF

Multiple Target Tracking using Normalized Rayleigh Likelihood of Amplitude Information of Target (Normalized Rayleigh Likelihood를 활용한 표적신호세기정보 적용 다중표적추적 기술)

  • Kim, Sujin;Jung, Younghun;Kim, Seongjoon
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
    • /
    • v.20 no.4
    • /
    • pp.474-481
    • /
    • 2017
  • This paper presents a multiple target tracking system using Normalized Rayleigh likelihood of amplitude information of target. Although many studies of Radar systems using amplitude information have been studied, they are focused on single target tracking. This paper proposes the multiple target tracking using amplitude information as well as kinematic information from Radar sensor. The amplitude information are applied in generating the association probability of joint probabilistic data association(JPDA) algorithm through the normalized Rayleigh likelihood. It is verified that the proposed system can enhance the track maintenance and tracking accuracy, especially, in the target crossing case.

Combination of Classifiers Decisions for Multilingual Speaker Identification

  • Nagaraja, B.G.;Jayanna, H.S.
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
    • /
    • v.13 no.4
    • /
    • pp.928-940
    • /
    • 2017
  • State-of-the-art speaker recognition systems may work better for the English language. However, if the same system is used for recognizing those who speak different languages, the systems may yield a poor performance. In this work, the decisions of a Gaussian mixture model-universal background model (GMM-UBM) and a learning vector quantization (LVQ) are combined to improve the recognition performance of a multilingual speaker identification system. The difference between these classifiers is in their modeling techniques. The former one is based on probabilistic approach and the latter one is based on the fine-tuning of neurons. Since the approaches are different, each modeling technique identifies different sets of speakers for the same database set. Therefore, the decisions of the classifiers may be used to improve the performance. In this study, multitaper mel-frequency cepstral coefficients (MFCCs) are used as the features and the monolingual and cross-lingual speaker identification studies are conducted using NIST-2003 and our own database. The experimental results show that the combined system improves the performance by nearly 10% compared with that of the individual classifier.