• Title/Summary/Keyword: Probabilistic studies

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A Study on the Harmonics Effect of SVC in Electric Arc Furnace Loads

  • Kim, Kyung-Chul;Jin, Seong-Eun
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.20 no.9
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    • pp.54-60
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    • 2006
  • Large steel industries have time-varying nonlinear loads such as electric arc furnaces. These nonlinear loads generate harmonic currents and create distortions on the sinusoidal voltage of the power system. The main objective of the static var compensator is to maintain the rms voltage at the point of common coupling within the limit. In this research, harmonic mitigation studies were conducted with and without the SVC, and time-varying harmonics were evaluated according to the international harmonic standards (IEC 61000-3-6 and IEEE Std. 519) using a cumulative probabilistic approach.

A Study on Probabilistic Reliability Evaluation Considering Transmission System :TRELSS and TranRel (송전계통을 고려한 확률론적 신뢰도 평가에 관한 연구 : TRELSS and TranRel)

  • 최재석;강성록;트란트롱틴;전동훈;문승필;추진부
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.53 no.1
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    • pp.43-55
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    • 2004
  • This paper presents a study on evaluating the reliability indices considering a transmission system. Because successful operation of electric power under the deregulated electricity market depends on transmission system reliability management, quantity evaluation of transmission system reliability is very important. This paper introduces features and operation modes of the Transmission Reliability Evaluation for Large-Scale Systems(TRELSS) Version 6.0, a commercial program made in EPRI, and TranRel-I V3.2, a educational program made in GSNU(GyeongSang National University) for assessing reliability indices of composite power system. The packages access not only bulk but also bus indices for reliability evaluation of composite powers system. The practicality, effectiveness and future works of this methodology are illustrated by demonstrations of two case studies of modified IEEE 25 buses reliability test system using TRELSS and TranRel-I and a brief case study for the KEPCO size system using TranRel-II made in GSNU.

Reliability Analysis of the Reactor Protection System Using Markov Processes (마코프 프로세스를 이용한 원자로 보호계통의 신뢰도 분석)

  • Jo, Nam-Jin
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.279-291
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    • 1987
  • The event tree/fault tree techniques used in the current probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) of nuclear power plants are based on the binary and static description of the components and the system. While these techniques Bay be adequate in most of the safety studies, more advanced techniques, e.g., the Markov reliability analysis, are required to accurately study such problems as the plant availability assessments and technical specifications evaluations that are becoming increasingly important. This paper describes a Markov model for the Reactor Protection System of a pressurized water reactor and presents results of model evaluations for two testing policies in technical specifications.

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Reliability analysis of latticed steel towers against wind induced displacement

  • Khan, M.A.;Siddiqui, N.A.;Abbas, H.
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.9-21
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    • 2004
  • The present study aims at the reliability analysis of steel towers against the limit state of deflection. For this purpose tip deflection of the tower has been obtained after carrying out the dynamic analysis of the tower using modal method. This tip deflection is employed for subsequent reliability analysis. A limit state function based on serviceability criterion of deflection is derived in terms of random variables. A complete procedure of reliability computation is then presented. To study the influence of various random variables on tower reliability, sensitivity analysis has been carried out. Design points, important for probabilistic design of towers, are also located on the failure surface. Some parametric studies have also been included to obtain the results of academic and field interest.

Pressurized Thermal Shock Re-Evaluation Studies for Korean PWR Plant (국내 가압경수형 원전에 대한 가압열충격 재평가 연구)

  • Jung, Sung-Gyu;Kim, Hyun-Su;Jin, Tae-Eun;Jang, Chang-Hee
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2001.11a
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    • pp.16-21
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    • 2001
  • The PTS reference temperature of reactor pressure vessel for one of the Korean NPPs has been predicted to exceed the screening criteria before it reaches it's design life. To cope with this issue, a plant-specific PTS analysis had been performed in accordance with the Regulatory Guide 1.154 in 1999. As a result of that analysis, it was found that current methodology of RG. 1.154 was very conservative. The objective of this study is to examine the effects of changing various input parameters and to determine the amount of conservatism of the current PTS analysis method. To do this, based on the past PTS analysis experience, parametric study were performed for various models using modified VISA-II code. This paper discusses the analysis results and recommendations to reduce the conservatism of current analysis method.

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Model-based inverse regression for mixture data

  • Choi, Changhwan;Park, Chongsun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.97-113
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    • 2017
  • This paper proposes a method for sufficient dimension reduction (SDR) of mixture data. We consider mixture data containing more than one component that have distinct central subspaces. We adopt an approach of a model-based sliced inverse regression (MSIR) to the mixture data in a simple and intuitive manner. We employed mixture probabilistic principal component analysis (MPPCA) to estimate each central subspaces and cluster the data points. The results from simulation studies and a real data set show that our method is satisfactory to catch appropriate central spaces and is also robust regardless of the number of slices chosen. Discussions about root selection, estimation accuracy, and classification with initial value issues of MPPCA and its related simulation results are also provided.

Transmission Network Expansion Planning Using Reliability and Economic Assessment

  • Kim, Wook-Won;Son, Hyun-Il;Kim, Jin-O
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.895-904
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    • 2015
  • This paper presents a probabilistic approach of reliability evaluation and economic assessment for solving transmission network expansion planning problems. Three methods are proposed for TNEP, which are reorganizing the existing power system focused on the buses of interest, selecting candidates using modified system operating state method with healthy, marginal and at-risk states, and finally choosing the optimal alternative using cost-optimization method. TNEP candidates can be selected based on the state reliability such as sufficient and insufficient indices, as proposed in this paper. The process of economic assessment involves the costs of construction, maintenance and operation, congestion, and outage. The case studies are carried out with modified IEEE-24 bus system and Jeju island power system expansion plan in Korea, to verify the proposed methodology.

A Study of Ambulance Location Problem Applying the Iterative Procedure of Simulation and Optimization (시뮬레이션과 최적화 모형을 혼합 적용한 구급차 위치선정 모형의 해법연구)

  • Lim, Young Sun;Kim, Sun Hoon;Lee, Young Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.37 no.4
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    • pp.197-209
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    • 2012
  • This paper studies an emergency service vehicle location problem, where minimum reliability level pre-specified at each demand point is assured. Several models are suggested depending on the busy fraction, which is the time proportion of unavailability for the ambulances. In this paper a new model on computing the busy fraction is suggested, where it varies depending on the distance between the demand point and ambulances, hence it may respond the more realistic situation. The busy fraction for the ambulance location determined by the optimization model is computed by the simulation, and updated through the iterative procedure. It has been shown that the performances of the solutions obtained by the algorithm suggested for the instances appeared in the literature.

Pobabilistic Design of Asphalt Pavement Surface Courae (아스팔트 鋪裝道路의 確率論的 表層設計)

  • Kim, Gwang-U;Yeon, Gyu-Seok
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.66-77
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    • 1992
  • A prototype probabilistic approach to thickness design for asphalt pavement surface course was developed using first-order second moment probability model. The tensile strain (load effect) developing at the bottom of surface layer due to the wheel load and the critical strain (resistance) of asphalt concrete were used as random variables for pavement reliability analysis. Based on the parameters for load effect and resistance data collected from reference and field, simulated data were generated by Monte Carlo method for reliability evaluation of the pavement for a typical rural highway. Thickness of pavement surface course was defined in terms of target reliability of the pavement, growth factor of traffic, design life of pavement and resistance of the asphalt concrete to be placed on the pavement. According to these rationales, prototype thickness design chrats were sugested through example studies. From these, similar design charts can be developed for many pavements if appropriate data and target reliability are determined.

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A new approach to calculations of the expected energy and reliability indices in the generations system (발전시스템의 발전에너지기대치 및 신뢰도 계산에 관한 연구)

  • 박영문;서보혁;박준호
    • 전기의세계
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.112-118
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    • 1981
  • This paper derives two new algorithms to calculate the expected energy generated and the reliability indices of a generating system when the loading order of the generating units and the load data of the system are given. These algorithms use the probabilistic simulation model considering the two-block system, and can be easily extended to the three or more block system if necesssary. Suggested model I is a more improved algorithm from the conventional ones, in which the load duration curve is used as is in any other conventional algorithms. And model II, by using the newly developed " ENERGY CURVE", remarkably saves the computing time with reducing the computational errors. Case studies were carried out for the actual load data of Korea Electric Company.c Company.

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