• Title/Summary/Keyword: Probabilistic Risk Assessment

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Safety Analysis on the Tritium Release Accidents

  • Yang, Hee joong
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.96-107
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    • 1991
  • At the design stage of a plant, the plausible causes and pathways of release of hazardous materials are not clearly known. Thus there exist large amount of uncertainties on the consequences resulting from the operation of a fusion plant. In order to better handle such uncertain circumstances, we utilize the Probabilistic Risk Assessment(PRA) for the safety analyses on fusion power plant. In this paper, we concentrate on the tritium release accident. We develop a simple model that describes the process and flow of tritium, by which we figure out the locations of tritium inventory and their vulnerability. We construct event tree models that lead to various levels of tritium release from abnormal initiating events. Branch parameters on the event tree are assessed from the fault tree analysis. Based on the event tree models we construct influence diagram models which are more useful for the parameter updating and analysis. We briefly discuss the parameter updating scheme, and finally develop the methodology to obtain the predictive distribution of consequences resulting from the operating a fusion power plant. We also discuss the way to utilize the results of testing on sub-systems to reduce the uncertain ties on over all system.

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Priority Rankings of the System Modifications to Reduce Core Damage Frequency of Wolsong NPP Units 2/3/4

  • Kwon, Jong-Jooh;Kim, Myung-Ki;Seo, Mi-Ro;Hong, Sung-Yull
    • Proceedings of the Korean Nuclear Society Conference
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    • 1998.05a
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    • pp.899-905
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    • 1998
  • The analysis priority makings the recommendation to reduce the total core damage frequency (CDF) of Wolsong nuclear Power Plant nits 2/3/4 was Performed in this paper. In order to derive the recommendation, the sensitivity analysis of CDF on which major contributors effect m performed based on the accident quantification results during Level 1 Probabilistic safety assessment (PSA). Priorities were ranked in tile way that compares the CDF reduction rate with efforts required to implement those recommendations using risk matrix

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TECHNOLOGY-NEUTRAL NUCLEAR POWER PLANT REGULATION: IMPLICATIONS OF A SAFETY GOALS- DRIVEN PERFORMANCE-BASED REGULATION

  • MODARRES MOHAMMAD
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.221-230
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    • 2005
  • This paper reviews the pivotal phases of the evolution of the current technology-dependent nuclear power safety regulation in the United States. Understanding of this evolution is essential to the development of any future regulatory paradigm, including the technology-neutral regulatory approach that the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) has recently embarked on to develop. The paper proposes and examines the implications of a predominately rationalist and best-estimate probabilistic regulatory framework called safety goals-driven performance-based regulation. This framework relies on continuous assessment of performance of a set of time-dependent safety-critical systems, structures and components that assure attainment of a broad set of technology-neutral protective, mitigative, and preventive goals. Finally, the paper discusses the steps needed to develop a corresponding technology-neutral regulatory system from the proposed framework.

Reliability Assessment in Hea-nam Cheju HVDC system using Well-being Method (Well-being기법을 이용한 해남-제주간 HVDC System신뢰도평가)

  • Son, Hyun-Il;Lee, Hyo-Sang;Shin, Dong-Joon;Kim, Jin-O
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2004.11b
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    • pp.227-229
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    • 2004
  • In a new competitive market environment, it is very important to determines how much power can be transferred through the network. It's known as Available Transfer Capability(ATC). This paper presents a technique to evaluate Reliability Assesment and the Available Transfer Capability of Haenam-Cheju HVDC transmission system using Well-being Method which is based on the probabilistic method. The system Well-being is categorized in terms of the system Healthy and Marginal in addition to the conventional Risk index. Haenam-Cheju HVDC system has been studied for the optimal ATC based in well-being categories.

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Preliminary analyses on decontamination factors during pool scrubbing with bubble size distributions obtained from EPRI experiments

  • Lee, Yoonhee;Cho, Yong Jin;Ryu, Inchul
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.53 no.2
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    • pp.509-521
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    • 2021
  • In this paper, from a review of the size distribution of the bubbles during pool scrubbing obtained from experiments by EPRI, we apply the bubble size distributions to analyses on the decontamination factors of pool scrubbing via I-COSTA (In-Containment Source Term Analysis). We perform sensitivity studies of the bubble size on the various mechanisms of deposition of aerosol particles in pool scrubbing. We also perform sensitivity studies on the size distributions of the bubbles depending on the diameters at the nozzle exit, the molecular weights of non-condensable gases in the carrier gases, and the steam fractions of the carrier gases. We then perform analyses of LACE-ESPANA experiments and compare the numerical ~ results to those from SPARC-90 and experimental results in order to show the effect of the bubble size distributions.

Improvement of Pressurizer PROV System through Micro-Computer and PRA (마이크로 컴퓨터와 확률론적 리스크 평가를 통한 가압기 보호계통의 설계 개선)

  • Jong Ho Lee;Soon Heung Chang
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.302-316
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    • 1985
  • Small break LOCA caused by a stuck-open PORV is one of the important contributors to nuclear power plant risk. This paper deals with the design of a pressurizer surveillance system using microcomputer to prevent the malfunction of system and has assessed the effect of this improvement through Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA) method. Micro-computer diagnoses the malfunction of system by a process checking method and performs automatically backup action related to each malfunction. Owing to this improvement, we can correctly diagnose “Spurious Opening”, “Fail to Reclose” and “Small break LOCA” which are difficult for operator to diagnose quickly and correctly and reduce the probability of a human error by an automatic backup action.

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Multihazard capacity optimization of an NPP using a multi-objective genetic algorithm and sampling-based PSA

  • Eujeong Choi;Shinyoung Kwag;Daegi Hahm
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.56 no.2
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    • pp.644-654
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    • 2024
  • After the Tohoku earthquake and tsunami (Japan, 2011), regulatory efforts to mitigate external hazards have increased both the safety requirements and the total capital cost of nuclear power plants (NPPs). In these circumstances, identifying not only disaster robustness but also cost-effective capacity setting of NPPs has become one of the most important tasks for the nuclear power industry. A few studies have been performed to relocate the seismic capacity of NPPs, yet the effects of multiple hazards have not been accounted for in NPP capacity optimization. The major challenges in extending this problem to the multihazard dimension are (1) the high computational costs for both multihazard risk quantification and system-level optimization and (2) the lack of capital cost databases of NPPs. To resolve these issues, this paper proposes an effective method that identifies the optimal multihazard capacity of NPPs using a multi-objective genetic algorithm and the two-stage direct quantification of fault trees using Monte Carlo simulation method, called the two-stage DQFM. Also, a capacity-based indirect capital cost measure is proposed. Such a proposed method enables NPP to achieve safety and cost-effectiveness against multi-hazard simultaneously within the computationally efficient platform. The proposed multihazard capacity optimization framework is demonstrated and tested with an earthquake-tsunami example.

A Study on Severe Accident Management Scheme using LOCA Sequence Database System (원자력발전소의 냉각재상실사고 특성DB를 활용한 중대사고 관리체계연구)

  • Choi, Young;Park, Jong-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.172-178
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    • 2014
  • In terms of an accident management, the cases causing severe core damage need to be analyzed and arranged systematically for an easy access to the results since the Three Mile Island (TMI) accident. The objectives of this paper are to explain how to identify the plant response and cope with its vulnerabilities using the probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) quantified results and severe accident database SARDB(Severe Accident Risk Data Bank) based on sequences analysis results. Although PSA has been performed for the Korean Standard Power Plants (KSNPs), and that it considered the necessary sequences for an assessment of the containment integrity. The developed Database (DB) system includes a graphical display for a plant and equipment status, previous research results by a knowledge-based technique, and the expected plant behaviour. The plant model used in this paper is oriented to the cases of loss of coolant accident (LOCA) is be used as a training simulator for a severe accident management.

Assessment of the directional extreme wind speeds of typhoons via the Copula function and Monte Carlo simulation

  • Wang, Jingcheng;Quan, Yong;Gu, Ming
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.141-153
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    • 2020
  • Probabilistic information regarding directional extreme wind speeds is important for the precise estimation of the design wind loads on structures. A joint probability distribution model of directional extreme typhoon wind speeds is established using Monte Carlo simulation and empirical copula function to fully consider the correlations of extreme typhoon wind speeds among the different directions. With this model, a procedure for estimating directional extreme wind speeds for given return periods, which ensures that the overall risk is distributed uniformly by direction, is established. Taking 5 typhoon-prone cities in China as examples, the directional extreme typhoon wind speeds for given return periods estimated by the present method are compared with those estimated by the method proposed by Cook and Miller (1999). Two types of directional factors are obtained based on Cook and Miller (1999) and the UK standard's drafting committee (Standard B, 1997), and the directional risks for the given overall risks are discussed. The influences of the extreme wind speed correlations in the different directions and the simulated typhoon wind speed sample sizes on the estimated extreme wind speeds for a given return period are also discussed.

THE APPLICATION OF PSA TECHNIQUES TO THE VITAL AREA IDENTIFICATION OF NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS

  • HA JAEJOO;JUNG WOO SIK;PARK CHANG-KUE
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.259-264
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    • 2005
  • This paper presents a vital area identification (VAI) method based on the current fault tree analysis (FTA) and probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) techniques for the physical protection of nuclear power plants. A structured framework of a top event prevention set analysis (TEPA) application to the VAI of nuclear power plants is also delineated. One of the important processes for physical protection in a nuclear power plant is VAI that is a process for identifying areas containing nuclear materials, structures, systems or components (SSCs) to be protected from sabotage, which could directly or indirectly lead to core damage and unacceptable radiological consequences. A software VIP (Vital area Identification Package based on the PSA method) is being developed by KAERI for the VAI of nuclear power plants. Furthermore, the KAERI fault tree solver FTREX (Fault Tree Reliability Evaluation eXpert) is specialized for the VIP to generate the candidates of the vital areas. FTREX can generate numerous MCSs for a huge fault tree with the lowest truncation limit and all possible prevention sets.