• International Journal of Control, Automation, and Systems
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• v.4 no.5
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• pp.529-538
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• 2006

Separating a reentry vehicle into warhead and body is a conventional and efficient means of producing a huge decoy and increasing the kinetic energy of the warhead. This procedure causes the radar to track the body, whose radar cross section is larger, and ignore the warhead, which is the most important part of the reentry vehicle. However, the procedure is difficult to perform using standard tracking criteria. This study presents a novel tracking algorithm by integrating input estimation and modified probabilistic data association filter to solve this difficulty in a clear environment. The proposed algorithm with a new defined association probability in this filter provides a good tracking capability for the warhead ignoring the radar cross section. The simulation results indicate that the errors between the estimated and the warhead trajectories are reduced to a small interval in a short time. Therefore, the radar can produce a beam to illuminate to the right area and keep tracking the warhead all the way. In conclusion, this algorithm is worthy of further study and application.

• Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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• v.60 no.4
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• pp.248-255
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• 2023

In order to implement the autonomous navigation function, it is essential to track an object within a certain radius of the ship's route. This paper proposes the Multiple Probabilistic Data Association Filter (MPDAF), which can track multiple ships by extending Probabilistic Data Association Filter (PDAF), an existing single object tracking algorithm, using radar data obtained from real marine environments. The proposed MPDAF algorithm was developed to address the problem of tracking multiple objects in a complex environment where there can be significant uncertainty in the number and identification of objects to be tracked. Using real-world radar data provided by the German aerospace center (DLR), it has been verified that the proposed algorithm can track a large number of objects with a small position error.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.44 no.10
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• pp.843-851
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• 2011

In hydrology, it is appropriate to use probabilistic method for forecasting mid/long term streamflow due to the uncertainty of input data. Through this study, it is expanded mid/long term forecasting system more effectively adding priory process function based on PDF-ratio method to the RRFS-ESP system for Guem River Basin. For implementing this purpose, weight is estimated using probabilistic weather forecasting information from KMA. Based on these results, ESP probability is updated per scenario. Through the estimated result per method, the average forecast score using ESP method is higher than that of naive forecasting and it confirmed that ESP method results in appropriate score for RRFS-ESP system. It is also shown that the score of ESP method applying revised inflow scenario using probabilistic weather forecasting is higher than that of ESP method. As a results, it will be improved the accuracy of forecasting using probabilistic weather forecasting.

• Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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• v.37 no.1
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• pp.38-48
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• 2023

To maintain the existing systems of ships and introduce autonomous operation technology, it is necessary to improve situational awareness through the sensor fusion of the automatic identification system (AIS) and automatic radar plotting aid (ARPA), which are installed sensors. This study proposes an algorithm for determining whether AIS and ARPA signals are sent to the same ship in real time. To minimize the number of errors caused by the time series and abnormal phenomena of heterogeneous signals, a tracking method based on the combination of the unscented Kalman filter and probabilistic data association filter is performed on ARPA radar signals, and a position prediction method is applied to AIS signals. Especially, the proposed algorithm determines whether the signal is for the same vessel by comparing motion-related components among data of heterogeneous signals to which the corresponding method is applied. Finally, a measurement test is conducted on a training ship. In this process, the proposed algorithm is validated using the AIS and ARPA signal data received by the voyage data recorder for the same ship. In addition, the proposed algorithm is verified by comparing the test results with those obtained from raw data. Therefore, it is recommended to use a sensor fusion algorithm that considers the characteristics of sensors to improve the situational awareness accuracy of existing ship systems.

• Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SC
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• v.39 no.2
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• pp.176-181
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• 2002

In this paper, we consider the optimal control of detection threshold to minimize the conditional expectation of mean-square state estimation error for a probabilistic data association (PDA) filter. Earlier works on this problem involved the cumbersome graphical optimization algorithm or time-consuming numerical optimization algorithm. Using the numerical approximation of information reduction factor, we obtained the suboptimal detection threshold in a closed-form. This results are very useful for real- time implementation.

• Transactions on Control, Automation and Systems Engineering
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• v.2 no.4
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• pp.235-243
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• 2000

The probabilistic data association filter(PDAF) is known to provide better tracking performance than the standard Kalman filter(KF) in a cluttered environment. In this paper, the stability of the PDAF of Fortmann et al[7], in the presence of uncertainties with regard to the origin of measurement, is investigated. The modified Riccati equation derived by approximating two random terms with their expectations is used to prove the stability of the PDAF. A new Lyapunov function based approach, which is different from the quantitative evaluation of Li and Bar-Shalom[7], is pursued. With the assumption that the system and observation noises are bounded, specific tracking error bounds are established.

• Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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• v.21 no.3
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• pp.224-232
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• 2015

In order to develop an active safety system which avoids or mitigates collisions with preceding vehicles such as autonomous emergency braking (AEB), accurate state estimation of the nearby vehicles is very important. In this paper, an algorithm is proposed using 3 dynamic models to better estimate the state of a vehicle which has various dynamic patterns in both longitudinal and lateral direction. In particular, the proposed algorithm is based on the Interacting Multiple Model (IMM) method which employs three different dynamic models, in cruise mode, lateral maneuver mode and longitudinal maneuver mode. In addition, a Probabilistic Data Association Filter (PDAF) is utilized as a data association algorithm which can improve the reliability of the measurement under a clutter environment. In order to verify the performance of the proposed method, it is simulated in comparison with a Kalman filter method which employs a single dynamic model. Finally, the proposed method is validated using radar data obtained from the field test in the proving ground.

• The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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• v.13 no.6
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• pp.1263-1268
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• 2018

In this paper, a video analysis is proposed to implement video surveillance system with deep learning object detection and probabilistic data association filter for tracking multiple objects, and suggests its implementation using GPU. The proposed video analysis technique involves object detection and object tracking sequentially. The deep learning network architecture uses ResNet for object detection and applies probabilistic data association filter for multiple objects tracking. The proposed video analysis technique can be used to detect intruders illegally trespassing any restricted area or to count the number of people entering a specified area. As a results of simulations and experiments, 48 channels of videos can be analyzed at a speed of about 27 fps and real-time video analysis is possible through RTSP protocol.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.43 no.7
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• pp.645-655
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• 2010

In this study, occurrences of relative probabilistic changing points between Chukwooki rainfall data (CWK) and modern rain gage data (MRG) were analyzed using Barry and Hartigan (BH) Bayesian changing points estimation method which estimated the changing points by calculation of change probabilities at each point. Since any natural phenomenon cannot be simulated identically and perfectly, a statistical method which can not consider the sequential order has its limitation on prediction of a specific time of occurrence. In this respect, Homogeneity analysis between CWK and MRG was performed through the occurrence investigation of relative probabilistic changing points for four rainfall characteristics of data sets using BH bayesian model which estimate the change point by calculating the relative probabilities in each data points. The results show that statistical characteristics of CWK are not different significantly from MRG, even though considered that there may be little quantitative difference CWK and MRG caused from limitation of measurement accuracy of CWK.

• Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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• v.22 no.8
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• pp.633-642
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• 2016

It is important for advanced active safety systems and autonomous driving cars to get the accurate estimates of the nearby vehicles in order to increase their safety and performance. This paper proposes a sensor fusion method for radar and vision sensors to accurately estimate the state of the preceding vehicles. In particular, we performed a study on compensating for the lateral state error on automotive radar sensors by using a vision sensor. The proposed method is based on the Interactive Multiple Model(IMM) algorithm, which stochastically integrates the multiple Kalman Filters with the multiple models depending on lateral-compensation mode and radar-single sensor mode. In addition, a Probabilistic Data Association Filter(PDAF) is utilized as a data association method to improve the reliability of the estimates under a cluttered radar environment. A two-step correction method is used in the Kalman filter, which efficiently associates both the radar and vision measurements into single state estimates. Finally, the proposed method is validated through off-line simulations using measurements obtained from a field test in an actual road environment.