• 터널과지하공간
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• 제20권1호
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• pp.39-48
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• 2010

본 연구에서는 확률론적 기법을 토대로 터널 지보시스템의 신뢰성을 평가할 수 있는 프로그램을 개발하였다. 개발된 프로그램은 솔버로서 FLAC2D를 사용하며 수치해석과 확률론적 해석의 전 과정을 자동적으로 처리할 수 있다. 지반을 모델링한 수치해석시 상당한 계산시간이 소요되므로 시뮬레이션 기법을 적용하여 터널 지보시스템의 신뢰성을 확률론적으로 평가하는 것은 현실적으로 불가능하다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 샘플의 수를 시뮬레이션 기법에 비해 상당히 줄일 수 있어 확률론적 해석을 하는 데 효율적인 점추정법을 사용하였다. 본 연구에서 개발한 프로그램을 터널 프로젝트에 적용하여 결정론적 접근법에 의한 결과와 비교 분석하였다. 이로부터 확률론적 접근법은 파괴확률을 토대로 터널 지보시스템의 신뢰성을 정량적으로 평가할 수 있고 터널 지보설계시 의사결정의 도구로서 활용될 수 있다는 것을 확인하였다.

• 한국정보과학회논문지:소프트웨어및응용
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• 제29권12호
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• pp.926-939
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• 2002

시스템이 실행 중 다양한 환경 요인에 의해 발생할 수 있는 불확실성을 명세하기 위해 확률의 개념을 적용한 명세 방범이 요구되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 실행에 영향을 주는 많은 환경 요인들을 고려하여, 변화하는 실행 환경에서 시스템의 행위를 예측, 분석하기 위한 확률 정형 기법인 확률 추상 시간 기계(PATM:Probabilistic Abstract Timed Machine)를 제안한다. PATM에서는 확률에 영향을 주는 환경요인을 실행 도중 변경이 가능한 가변 확률 요인과 변경이 불가능한 고정 확률 요인으로 분류하고 있다. 시스템의 행위에 대한 분석은 PATM의 동적 실행모델인 확률 도달성 그래프를 통해서 이루어진다. 분석결과를 토대로 시스템의 동작 실패 가능성을 예측하고, 이에 영향을 미치는 가변 환경 요인을 변경하여 궁극적으로 시스템의 신뢰도를 향상할 수 있도록 한다.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• 제18권2호
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• pp.223-231
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• 2020

Due to the fact that Bingöl province is at the intersection of the North Anatolian Fault and the Eastern Anatolian Fault, the seismicity of the region is important. In this study, probabilistic seismic hazard analyzes (PSHA) were conducted to cover the boundaries of Bingöl province. It occurred since 1900, the seismicity of the region was obtained statistically by considering the earthquake records with a magnitude greater than 4 and the Gutenberg-Richter correlation. In the study, magnitude-frequency relationship, seismic hazard and repetition periods were obtained for certain time periods (10, 20, 30, 40, 50, 75 and 100 years). Once a project area determined in this study, which may affect the peak ground acceleration according to various attenuation relationships are calculated and using the Turkey Earthquake Hazard Map, average acceleration value for Bingöl province were determined. As a result of the probabilistic seismic hazard analysis, the project earthquakes with a probability of exceeding 50 years indicate that the magnitude of the project earthquake is 7.4 and that the province is in a risky area in terms of seismicity. The repetition periods of earthquakes of 6.0, 6.5, 7.0 and 7.5 are 42, 105, 266 and 670 years respectively. Within the province of Bingöl; the probability of exceeding 50 years is 2%, 10% and 50%, while the peak ground acceleration values are 1.03 g, 0.58 g and 0.24 g. As a result, probabilistic seismic hazard analysis shows that the seismicity of the region is high and the importance of considering the earthquake effect during construction is emphasized for this region.

• Journal of Information Processing Systems
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• 제10권1호
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• pp.145-161
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• 2014

Recently, many large organizations have multiple data sources (MDS') distributed over different branches of an interstate company. Local patterns analysis has become an effective strategy for MDS mining in national and international organizations. It consists of mining different datasets in order to obtain frequent patterns, which are forwarded to a centralized place for global pattern analysis. Various synthesizing models [2,3,4,5,6,7,8,26] have been proposed to build global patterns from the forwarded patterns. It is desired that the synthesized rules from such forwarded patterns must closely match with the mono-mining results (i.e., the results that would be obtained if all of the databases are put together and mining has been done). When the pattern is present in the site, but fails to satisfy the minimum support threshold value, it is not allowed to take part in the pattern synthesizing process. Therefore, this process can lose some interesting patterns, which can help the decider to make the right decision. In such situations we propose the application of a probabilistic model in the synthesizing process. An adequate choice for a probabilistic model can improve the quality of patterns that have been discovered. In this paper, we perform a comprehensive study on various probabilistic models that can be applied in the synthesizing process and we choose and improve one of them that works to ameliorate the synthesizing results. Finally, some experiments are presented in public database in order to improve the efficiency of our proposed synthesizing method.

• 한국음향학회지
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• 제41권6호
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• pp.662-667
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• 2022

음악 유사도 계산은 음악 검색 서비스 구현에서 가장 중요한 요소 중 하나이다. 본 논문은 커버곡 검색의 성능을 제고하기 위한 음악 유사도 학습에 대해서 다룬다. 음악 유사도 함수를 유도하는 데 확률적 선형 판별 분석을 이용하여 잠재 음악 공간을 구한다. 잠재 음악 공간은 같은 커버곡 간의 거리는 줄이고 다른 곡 간의 거리는 크게 되도록 학습한다. 추출된 음악 특징이 잠재 음악 변수에서 생성되었다는 가정 하에 확률 모델을 구하고, 음악의 동질성 여부를 가설검증하여 음악 유사도 함수를 유도한다. 두 가지 커버곡 실험 데이터셋에서 성능 비교를 수행하여 제안한 음악 유사도 함수가 커버곡 검색 성능을 개선시킬 수 있음을 보였다.

• 한국구조물진단유지관리공학회 논문집
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• 제12권3호
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• pp.175-182
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• 2008

본 논문에서는 최근 유지관리분야에서 중요한 분야로 대두되고 있는 대형구조물의 모니터링에 대한 연구 및 고찰을 바탕으로 대형 구조물의 계측데이터를 이용한 확률적 안전도분석에 대한 평가 모형을 제안하였다. 사장교의 계측 데이터를 이용하여 활하중에 대한 모델을 산정하고, 요소신뢰성 및 체계신뢰성 기법을 통하여 사장교의 실질적인 확률적 안전도를 평가하였다. 사장교의 체계신뢰성은 케이블, 보강형, 주탑의 조합파괴를 포함하는 주파괴경로를 찾아낼 수 있는 부분 ETA(Event Tree Analysis) 모델을 이용하여 산정하였으며 이는 기존 안전도 분석방법과 비교하였을 때 구조물의 여용성을 충분히 반영하는 데 상당히 합리적이며 실제적인 결과를 보여주는 실용적인 방법으로 판단된다.

• 한국지진공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국지진공학회 2000년도 춘계 학술발표회 논문집 Proceedings of EESK Conference-Spring
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• pp.226-232
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• 2000

Seismic probabilistic risk assessment(RA) rather than deterministic assessment provides more valuable information and insight for resolving seismic safety issues in nuclear power plant design. In the course of seismic PRA seismic fragility analysis is the most significant and essential phase especially for structural or mechanical engineers. Lately the seismic fragility analysis is taken as a useful tool in general structural engineering as well. A systemized and synthesized procedure or technology related to seismic fragility analysis of critical industrial facilities reflecting the unique experiences and database in Korea is urgently required. This paper gives a state-of-the-art reviews of PRA and briefly summarizes the technologies related to PRA and seismic fragility analysis before developing an unique technology considering characteristics of Korean database. Some key items to be resolved theoretically or technically are extracted and presented for the future research.

• 한국윤활학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국윤활학회 2000년도 제31회 춘계학술대회
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• pp.54-61
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• 2000

A method and results of classification of 4 types metallic wear debris were presented by using their color features. The color image of wear debris was used (or the initial data, and the color properties of the debris were specified by HSI color model. Particle was characterized by a set of statistical features derived from the distribution of HSI color model components. The initial feature set was optimized by a principal component analysis, and multidimensional scaling procedure was used for the definition of classification plane. It was found that five features, which include mean values of H and S, median S, skewness of distribution of S and I, allow to distinguish copper based alloys, red and dark iron oxides and steel particles. In this work, a method of probabilistic decision-making of class label assignment was proposed, which was based on the analysis of debris-coordinates distribution in the classification plane. The obtained results demonstrated a good availability for the automated wear particle analysis.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제52권9호
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• pp.1983-1989
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• 2020

The human reliability analysis is a method by which, in general terms, the human impact to the safety and risk of a nuclear power plant operation can be modelled, quantified and analysed. It is an indispensable element of the PSA process within the nuclear industry nowadays. The paper herein presents a sensitivity study of the human reliability analysis performed on a real nuclear power plant-specific probabilistic safety assessment model. The analysis is performed on a pre-selected set of post-initiator operator actions. The purpose of the study is to investigate the impact of these operator actions on the plant risk by altering their corresponding human error probabilities in a wide spectrum. The results direct the fact that the future effort should be focused on maintaining the current human reliability level, i.e. not letting it worsen, rather than improving it.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• 제6권1호
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• pp.111-125
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• 2014

Multiple level performance of seismically isolated elevated storage tank isolated with multi-phase friction pendulum bearing is investigated under totally 60 records developed for multiple level seismic hazard analysis (SLE, DBE and MCE). Mathematical formulations involving complex time history analysis have been proposed for analysis of typical storage tank by multi-phase friction pendulum bearing. Multi-phase friction pendulum bearing represent a new generation of adaptive friction isolation system to control super-structure demand in different hazard levels. This isolator incorporates four concave surfaces and three independent pendulum mechanisms. Pendulum stages can be set to address specific response criteria for moderate, severe and very severe events. The advantages of a Triple Pendulum Bearing for seismic isolation of elevated storage tanks are explored. To study seismic performance of isolated elevated storage tank with multi-phase friction pendulum, analytical simulations were performed with different friction coefficients, pendulum radii and slider displacement capacities.