• Title/Summary/Keyword: Priority estimation

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Operational Reliability Analysis of Guided Weapon Systems (유도무기 시스템의 운용 신뢰도 분석)

  • Ha, Ju Seok;Kim, Kyung Mo
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.95-101
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    • 2017
  • Reliability is the priority matter in guided weapon systems. The reliability prediction data is used during the devel opment stage as the manufacturing cost is very high and the production quantity if quite limited. At the same time it takes relatively a long period of time to acquire a reliable operation data set after deployment such that in order t o determine the operational reliability, weapons must be tested and analyzed in real operating environments. For the research, the life distributions were estimated by using actual operation data and the reliability was calculated by ap plying the method of least squares and maximum likelihood estimation. Also, the comparisons were made between pr edicted reliability and actual operational reliability. As a result, the actual reliability of each system was higher than predicted reliability and it was considered that such a difference was caused by the fact that the application of the l atest designing technology and improved parts to the guided weapon systems was not reflected on the estimation of predicted reliability. It was possible to confirm the actual operational reliability of domestic (ROK) guided weapon sy stems through this research and the methods used here will contribute to the reliability analyses for the future guide d weapon systems to be developed.

Estimation Method for Ice load of Managed Ice in an Oblique Condition (깨어진 해빙의 사항조건에서 빙 하중 추정법 연구)

  • Kim, Hyunsoo;Lee, Jae-bin
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.184-191
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    • 2018
  • Recently, as sea ice in the Arctic has been decreasing due to global warming, it has become easier to develop oil and gas resources buried in the Arctic region. As a result, Russia, the United States, and other Arctic coastal states are increasingly interested in the development of oil and gas resources, and the demand for offshore structures to support Arctic sea resources development is expected to significantly increase. Since offshore structures operating in Arctic regions need to secure safety against various drifting ice conditions, the concept of an ice-strengthened design is introduced here, with a priority on calculation of ice load. Although research on the estimation of ice load has been carried out all over the world, most ice-load studies have been limited to estimating the ice load of the icebreaker in a non-oblique state. Meanwhile, in the case of Arctic offshore structures, although it is also necessary to estimate the ice load according to oblique angles, the overall research on this topic is insufficient. In this paper, we suggest algorithms for calculating the ice load of managed ice (pack ice, 100% concentration) in an oblique state, and discuss validity. The effect of oblique angle according to estimated ice load with various oblique angles was also analyzed, along with the impact of ship speed and ice thickness on ice load.

Estimation of Aboveground Biomass Carbon Stock Using Landsat TM and Ratio Images - $k$NN algorithm and Regression Model Priority (Landsat TM 위성영상과 비율영상을 적용한 지상부 탄소 저장량 추정 - $k$NN 알고리즘 및 회귀 모델을 중점적으로)

  • Yoo, Su-Hong;Heo, Joon;Jung, Jae-Hoon;Han, Soo-Hee;Kim, Kyoung-Min
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.39-48
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    • 2011
  • Global warming causes the climate change and makes severe damage to ecosystem and civilization Carbon dioxide greatly contributes to global warming, thus many studies have been conducted to estimate the forest biomass carbon stock as an important carbon storage. However, more studies are required for the selection and use of technique and remotely sensed data suitable for the carbon stock estimation in Korea In this study, the aboveground forest biomass carbon stocks of Danyang-Gun in South Korea was estimated using $k$NN($k$-Nearest Neighbor) algorithm and regression model, then the results were compared. The Landsat TM and 5th NFI(National Forest Inventory) data were prepared, and ratio images, which are effective in topographic effect correction and distinction of forest biomass, were also used. Consequently, it was found that $k$NN algorithm was better than regression model to estimate the forest carbon stocks in Danyang-Gun, and there was no significant improvement in terms of accuracy for the use of ratio images.

Earthquake-related Data Selection using Event Packets (이벤트 패킷을 이용한 지진관련 데이터의 추출)

  • Lim, In-Seub;Jung, Soon-Key
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.13 no.6
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    • pp.59-68
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, we propose a method for selecting meaningful event packets from which can receive before anything else from seismograph according to allotted priority and estimate epicenter using selected packets. Event packets which received from each station will be evaluated with their onset time, signal period and SNR by statistical method and will be selected packets related with real earthquake's P-wave. And estimated epicenters using by 'Application of epicenter estimation using first P arrivals'. With local earthquakes occurred in 2007 were announced by KMA, collected event packets on earthquake happened date and selected p-wave related packets and estimated epicenter. After result of experiment, if an earthquake occurred within seismic networks, can estimate epicenter with small misfits just after event packets arrived from above 4 stations. Considering average distance of each station, in case of using all stations' data include other organization, can estimate and alert rapidly. It show this method is useful when construct a local earthquake early warning system later.

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COLLAPSE PRESSURE ESTIMATES AND THE APPLICATION OF A PARTIAL SAFETY FACTOR TO CYLINDERS SUBJECTED TO EXTERNAL PRESSURE

  • Yoo, Yeon-Sik;Huh, Nam-Su;Choi, Suhn;Kim, Tae-Wan;Kim, Jong-In
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.450-459
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    • 2010
  • The present paper investigates the collapse pressure of cylinders with intermediate thickness subjected to external pressure based on detailed elastic-plastic finite element (FE) analyses. The effect of the initial ovality of the tube on the collapse pressure was explicitly considered in the FE analyses. Based on the present FE results, the analytical yield locus, considering the interaction between the plastic collapse and local instability due to initial ovality, was also proposed. The collapse pressure values based on the proposed yield locus agree well with the present FE results; thus, the validity of the proposed yield locus for the thickness range of interest was verified. Moreover, the partial safety factor concept based on the structural reliability theory was also applied to the proposed collapse pressure estimation model, and, thus, the priority of importance of respective parameter constituting for the collapse of cylinders under external pressure was estimated in this study. From the application of the partial safety factor concept, the yield strength was concluded to be the most sensitive, and the initial ovality of tube was not so effective in the proposed collapse pressure estimation model. The present deterministic and probabilistic results are expected to be utilized in the design and maintenance of cylinders subjected to external pressure with initial ovality, such as the once-through type steam generator.

Analyzing Management Factors on Enterprise Performance

  • Dahlgaard, Jens J.;Ciavolino, Enrico
    • International Journal of Quality Innovation
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2007
  • A sample of Italian manufacturing companies was selected in order to verify the abilities and effects (relationships) of the management factors human resources, leadership and strategic planning on company performance. The Partial Least Squares (PLS) estimation method was used for analyzing the data collected, where the relationships between the management factors and performance were formalized by a Structural Equation Model (SEM). The analysis of the survey data showed unexpected result regarding the non significant direct relationship between Leadership and Performance. The effect of Leadership is obtained by an indirect relationship through Human Resources. The combination of Leadership and Human Resources has hence been identified as the management factors which have the highest impact on the performance of Italian industrial companies. Another interesting and unexpected result was that there was no significant impact of Strategic Planning on Performance. It seems that the leaders of Italian industrial companies have not understood that good strategic planning is a necessary condition for achieving excellence. So another improvement area is in fact Strategic Planning. This area should have the highest priority of any top management team and the focus should include how to establish a strong relationship between strategic planning and performance. No correlation between strategic planning and performance is a strong indication that something is wrong. It is not enough that Leadership is doing Strategic Planning-Leadership is also about studying and follow up on results in order to assure impacts on performance. This link seems to be missing in Italian industrial companies.

Analysis of Load Carrying Capacity of Bridges Based on Field Data with Serviced Time (실측자료에 기초한 공용년수 증가에 따른 교량 내하력 분석)

  • Kyung, Kab Soo;Lee, Yeong Il;Lee, Sung Jin
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.31-38
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, change of load carrying capacity of bridges with time was analyzed referring to the safety inspect data stored in the KISTEC. From this study, it was known that the capacity is rated differently by various parameters such as inspector's subjective. Accordingly, an improved method, in this paper, is suggested which can correct deviation due to several uncertainties involved in rating process. The suggested method can be utilized for efficient maintenance of bridges such as cycles and determination of priority of retrofit, and estimation of service life etc.

Estimation of Demand Functions for Imported Fisheries Products Using Cointegration Analysis: Effect Analysis of Tariff Reduction (공적분 분석을 이용한 우리나라 수입수산물의 수요함수 추정 : 관세감축영향분석)

  • Nam, Jong-Oh;Kim, Soo-Jin
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.23-40
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    • 2010
  • This study investigated the effects of imported fisheries products on WTO/DDA tariff negotiations. To calculate the results, the study estimated the demand functions of imported fisheries products by using unit root and cointegration approaches. These approaches allowed us to solve spurious regression problems with macro-economic variables. In addition, this study surmised the effects of change by individually imported fish products from a tariff negotiation model using price elasticities of estimated import demand function. In a process of the analysis for estimating import effects, this study found out that 39 out of 128 imported fish products had positive (+) price elasticities or did not exhibit cointegrations. To cure this problem, this study suggested that the effects of these 39 imported products be estimated with the average variation rate of import volume, rather than by the Ordinary Least Squares approach. In this study, a case-study of tariff formula with coefficient 8 based on a 'Swiss formula' for priority duty rate of 2001 and 2008 was used by to analyze the effect of change in the 128 imported fish products of both years, respectively.

Risk Assessment for the Converted Lump-sum Turnkey Project (전환 정액일괄도급 계약방식 프로젝트의 리스크 분석)

  • Hwang, Duk-Jin;Moon, Seung-Jae;Yoo, Ho-seon
    • Plant Journal
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.39-43
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    • 2011
  • Due to the recent uncertainty of market situations such as the escalation of petroleum prices, increased production capacities of plants, limitations of the available EPC (Engineering, Procurement, Construction) contractors, and the increase of raw material prices, EPC contractors have had a tendency to include a higher reserve contingency in the lump-sum turnkey contract price. In order to overcome the changes in the market, the plant project construction industry has started to apply the converted lump-sum turnkey contract in plant construction market. This study was focused to find the associated risks and to analyse the identified risks on recent trend of application of the new contract type, which is the converted lump-sum turnkey contract. It was recognized from the analysis that quality and cost have more high priority risks than other project objectives. This paper also suggests the mitigation plan for identified risks to achieve project objectives appropriate to the converted lump-sum turnkey project from the viewpoint of an EPC contractor keeping transparency with owner.

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GIS AND WEB-BASED DSS FOR PRELIMINARY TMDL DEVELOPMENT

  • Choi, Jin-Yong;Bernard A. Engel;Yoon, Kwang-Sik
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.19-30
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    • 2003
  • TMDL development and implementation have great potential fur use in efforts to improve water quality management, but the TMDL approach still has several difficulties to overcome in terms of cost, time requirements, and suitable methodologies. A well-defined prioritization approach for identifying watersheds of concern among several tar-get locations that would benefit from TMDL development and implementation, based on a simple screening approach, could be a major step in solving some of these difficulties. Therefore, a web-based decision support system (DSS) was developed to help identify areas within watersheds that might be priority areas for TMDL development. The DSS includes a graphical user interface based on the HTML protocol, hydrological models, databases, and geographic information system (GIS) capabilities. The DSS has a hydrological model that can estimate non-point source pollution loading based on over 30 years of daily direct runoff using the curve number method and pollutant event mean concentration data. The DSS provides comprehensive output analysis tools using charts and tables, and also provides probability analysis and best management practice cost estimation. In conclusion, the DSS is a simple, affordable tool for the preliminary study of TMDL development via the Internet, and the DSS web site can also be used as an information web server for education related to TMDL.

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