• 제목/요약/키워드: Prior Probability

검색결과 287건 처리시간 0.026초

Can Breast Asymmetry Following the Treatment of Juvenile Idiopathic Scoliosis with Growing Rod Be Prevented? : A Preliminary Analysis

  • Atici, Yunus;Polat, Baris;Erdogan, Sinan;Gurpinar, Tahsin;Demiroz, Serdar
    • Journal of Korean Neurosurgical Society
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    • 제63권2호
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    • pp.228-236
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    • 2020
  • Objective : It can be assumed that the progression of scoliosis in the juvenile period will increase the asymmetry in the rib cage, and thus will contribute to an increase in the breast asymmetry (BA) in the future. We are looking for answers to the questions; "How will the breasts look with respect to each other and what is the possibility of developing BA in the early follow-up period following the early surgical treatment and final fusion surgery of juvenile idiopathic scoliosis (JIS)?" For this reason, in this study, we aimed to evaluate the breast asymmetries of patients in the period after the final fusion. Methods : Following growing rod treatment, final fusion was achieved in 12 females with JIS. We used the anthropomorphic measurement of the modified BREAST-V formula to assess whether there was an asymmetry between the breasts after an average of 4.8 years (2-11) following final fusion. Results : In comparison, the mean volume of the left breast (222.4 mL [range, 104.1-330.2]) was larger than the mean volume of the right breast volume (214.5 mL [range, 95.2-326.7]) (p=0.034). The left breast was larger in 75% of the patients. BA was observed in 50% of the patients. No correlation was detected between the Cobb angle of the patient after final fusion and BA (p=0.688). Conclusion : In the late follow-up period, BA was detected in 50% of the patients with JIS who achieved final fusion after treatment with growing rod. In majority of the patients, left breast was larger. The patients with JIS and their families can be informed prior to the operation about the probability of BA seen in the follow-up period after fusion.

공공임대주택 유형별 부재의 사후보전 수선시기 설정연구 (Analysis of the Breakdown repair time of the Building Components in Public Rental-Housing Types)

  • 이강희;안용한;채창우
    • KIEAE Journal
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    • 제13권6호
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    • pp.129-136
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    • 2013
  • The rental housing has played a key role to supply a decent living space for the low-income households. The owner of the rental housing should maintain and manage the building physical condition. On the other hand, rents should use the housing without any damage and pay a certain fare for the rent. A rent is classified into two types : private and public. The public rent is mainly to supply a living space for non-available home owner with a low-rent fare. Many of public rent are built and supplied by the public institution or local government. The supplier would take a responsibility to maintain the building and components, reflected by the maintenance plan and repair scope. In this paper, it aimed at providing the repair time in building components of the public rental housing such as lighting, electrical cable, paintings and etc.. The repair time is analyzed with three calculation methods which are solved by the probability and empirical approach. Results are as follows : First, the repair time of the electrical facilities are maintained with 11yr, 10yr and 7 in permanent, public and redevelopment rent respectively. The roof proof has a repair time with 14yr, 11yr and 8 in permanent, public and redevelopment rent housing respectively. Second, Most of the components has a prior length of the repair time in permanent, public and redevelopment rent sequently. There is a difference in repair time according to the rental types. Therefore, it would continue to research the difference in aspect of the living style, building physics, living consciousness and etc.

Conservative Neck Dissection in Oral Cancer Patients: a 5 Year Retrospective Study in Malaysia

  • Balasundram, Sathesh;Mustafa, Wan Mahadzir Wan;Ip, Jolene;Adnan, Tassha Hilda;Supramaniam, Premaa
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제13권8호
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    • pp.4045-4050
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    • 2012
  • Objective: The impact of ablative oral cancer surgery was studied, with particular reference to recurrence and nodal metastasis, to assess survival probability and prognostic indicators and to elucidate if ethnicity influences the survival of patients. Methods: Patients who underwent major ablative surgery of the head and neck region with neck dissection were identified and clinical records were assessed. Inclusion criteria were stage I-IV oral and oropharyngeal malignancies necessitating resection with or without radiotherapy from 2004 to 2009. All individuals had a pre-operative assessment prior to the surgery. The post operative assessment period ranged from 1 year to 5 years. Survival distributions were analyzed using Kaplan-Meier curves. Results: 87 patients (males:38%; females:62%) were included in this study, with an age range of 21-85 years. Some 78% underwent neck dissections while 63% had surgery and radiotherapy. Nodal recurrence was detected in 5.7% while 20.5% had primary site recurrence within the study period. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis revealed that the median survival time was 57 months. One year overall survival (OS) rate was 72.7% and three year overall survival rate dropped to 61.5%. On OS analysis, the log-rank test showed a significant difference of survival between Malay and Chinese patients (Bonferroni correction p=0.033). Recurrence-free survival (RFS) analysis revealed that 25% of the patients have reached the event of recurrence at 46 months. One year RFS rate was 85.2% and the three year survival rate was 76.1%. In the RFS analysis, the log-rank test showed a significant difference in the event of recurrence and nodal metastasis (p<0.001). Conclusion: Conservative neck is effective, in conjunction with postoperative radiotherapy, for control of neck metastases. Ethnicity appears to influence the survival of the patients, but a prospective trial is required to validate this.

정규 확률과정을 사용한 공조 시스템의 전력 소모량 예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Prediction of Power Consumption in the Air-Conditioning System by Using the Gaussian Process)

  • 이창용;송근수;김진호
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제39권1호
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    • pp.64-72
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, we utilize a Gaussian process to predict the power consumption in the air-conditioning system. As the power consumption in the air-conditioning system takes a form of a time-series and the prediction of the power consumption becomes very important from the perspective of the efficient energy management, it is worth to investigate the time-series model for the prediction of the power consumption. To this end, we apply the Gaussian process to predict the power consumption, in which the Gaussian process provides a prior probability to every possible function and higher probabilities are given to functions that are more likely consistent with the empirical data. We also discuss how to estimate the hyper-parameters, which are parameters in the covariance function of the Gaussian process model. We estimated the hyper-parameters with two different methods (marginal likelihood and leave-one-out cross validation) and obtained a model that pertinently describes the data and the results are more or less independent of the estimation method of hyper-parameters. We validated the prediction results by the error analysis of the mean relative error and the mean absolute error. The mean relative error analysis showed that about 3.4% of the predicted value came from the error, and the mean absolute error analysis confirmed that the error in within the standard deviation of the predicted value. We also adopt the non-parametric Wilcoxon's sign-rank test to assess the fitness of the proposed model and found that the null hypothesis of uniformity was accepted under the significance level of 5%. These results can be applied to a more elaborate control of the power consumption in the air-conditioning system.

Analysis of electroencephalogram-derived indexes for anesthetic depth monitoring in pediatric patients with intellectual disability undergoing dental surgery

  • Silva, Aura;Amorim, Pedro;Felix, Luiza;Abelha, Fernando;Mourao, Joana
    • Journal of Dental Anesthesia and Pain Medicine
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    • 제18권4호
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    • pp.235-244
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    • 2018
  • Background: Patients with intellectual disability (ID) often require general anesthesia during oral procedures. Anesthetic depth monitoring in these patients can be difficult due to their already altered mental state prior to anesthesia. In this study, the utility of electroencephalographic indexes to reflect anesthetic depth was evaluated in pediatric patients with ID. Methods: Seventeen patients (mean age, $9.6{\pm}2.9years$) scheduled for dental procedures were enrolled in this study. After anesthesia induction with propofol or sevoflurane, a bilateral sensor was placed on the patient's forehead and the bispectral index (BIS) was recorded. Anesthesia was maintained with sevoflurane, which was adjusted according to the clinical signs by an anesthesiologist blinded to the BIS value. The index performance was accessed by correlation (with the end-tidal sevoflurane [EtSevo] concentration) and prediction probability (with a clinical scale of anesthesia). The asymmetry of the electroencephalogram between the left and right sides was also analyzed. Results: The BIS had good correlation and prediction probabilities (above 0.5) in the majority of patients; however, BIS was not correlated with EtSevo or the clinical scale of anesthesia in patients with Lennox-Gastaut, West syndrome, cerebral palsy, and epilepsy. BIS showed better correlations than SEF95 and TP. No significant differences were observed between the left- and right-side indexes. Conclusion: BIS may be able to reflect sevoflurane anesthetic depth in patients with some types of ID; however, more research is required to better define the neurological conditions and/or degrees of disability that may allow anesthesiologists to use the BIS.

다층 퍼셉트론과 마코프 랜덤 필드 모델을 이용한 베이지안 결 분할 (Bayesian Texture Segmentation Using Multi-layer Perceptron and Markov Random Field Model)

  • 김태형;엄일규;김유신
    • 대한전자공학회논문지SP
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    • 제44권1호
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    • pp.40-48
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    • 2007
  • 이 논문은 다중 스케일 베이지안 관점에서 다층 퍼셉트론과 마코프 랜덤 필드를 사용한 새로운 결 분할 방법을 제안한다. 다층 퍼셉트론의 출력은 사후 확률을 모델링하므로 본 논문에서는 다중 스케일 웨이블릿 계수들을 다층 퍼셉트론의 입력으로 사용한다. 다층 퍼셉트론으로부터 구한 사후 확률과 MAP (maximum a posterior) 분류를 이용하여 각 스케일에서 결 분류를 수행한다. 또한 가장 섬세한 스케일에서 더 개선된 분할 결과를 얻기 위하여 모든 스케일에서 MAP 분류 결과들을 거친 스케일에서 섬세한 스케일까지 차례로 융합한다. 이런 과정은 한 스케일에서의 분류 정보와 그 인접한 보다 거친 스케일에서 얻어지는 문맥과 관련한 연역적 정보를 이용하여 MAP 분류를 행함으로써 이루어진다. 이 융합 과정에서, MRF (Markov random fields) 사전 모델이 평탄화 제한자로서 동작하고, 깁스 샘플러 (Gibbs sampler)는 MAP 분류기로서 동작한다. 제안한 분할 방법은 HMT (Hidden Markov Trees) 모델과 HMTseg 알고리즘을 이용한 결 분할 방법보다 더 좋은 성능을 보인다.

공학교육에서 귀납법 추론을 위한 변수 통제 (Variable Control in Inductive Inference for Engineering Education)

  • 황운학
    • 실천공학교육논문지
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2014
  • 이 연구는 귀납법적 확증(confirmation)을 위해서 실행하는 실험이 확률론적 추론임을 밝히고 이의 단점을 보완하기 위해서 적용된 확률적 확인론에 따라서 수행하는 실험에서 통제하는 절차와 방법을 다루었다. 이 통제란 알려진 조건과 상황들을 인위적으로 조작하되 가설에서 명시된 특정조건(즉 독립변수) 이외의 조건(기타 변수)이 작용하여 현상이 발생(종속변수)될 가능성을 막는 것이다. 특정조건에 의하여 현상이 발생할 가능성을 극대화 시키고 기타 조건에 의하여 현상이 발생할 가능성을 최소화시키는 것이다. 그렇게 함으로써 특정 선행사건(독립변수)과 후행사건(종속변수) 사이의 진정한 인과관계성(the causal relationship)을 객관적으로 정확하게 추론하도록 보장하는 방법이 통제인 것이다. 이 연구에서는 변수통제에 대해 좀 더 구체적으로 다루기 위해 대표적인 헬스기구인 Elliptical Trainer (ET)와 Tread Mill (TM)를 이용한 실험에서 변수통제를 가하여 운동속도(독립변수)에 따른 에너지 소비량 변화(종속변수)와 운동속도(독립변수)에 따른 호흡교환율(RER)과 심장 박동율(HR)의 변화(종속변수)를 얻었다. 마지막으로 이 통제를 통해 얻어진 실험결과들을 그래프로 그려 그 결과에 따라 연구의 결론이 다루어졌다.

채널 오류율 추정에 기반을 둔 길쌈부호의 개선된 재구성 알고리즘 (An Improved Reconstruction Algorithm of Convolutional Codes Based on Channel Error Rate Estimation)

  • 성진우;정하봉
    • 한국통신학회논문지
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    • 제42권5호
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    • pp.951-958
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    • 2017
  • 채널 재구성 기법이란 통신시스템에서 의도되지 않은 수신자가 수신 신호로부터 어떤 채널 부호가 사용되었는지, 주요 파라미터는 무엇인지를 알아내는 기법이다. 본 논문은 수신한 신호가 길쌈부호로 부호화된 경우, 사용된 길쌈부호의 주요파라미터인 입출력단의 비트수인 k와 n, 그리고 $k{\times}n$ 생성다항식행렬(Polynomial Generator Matrix, PGM)을 찾아내는 기법에 대해 다룬다. 본 논문은 M. Marazin 등이 제안한, 피버팅을 통한 가우스 조단소거법(Gauss Jordan Elimination Through Pivoting, GJETP)을 사용한 길쌈부호의 채널 재구성 기법에서 채널오류율과 무관하게 임계값을 설정해주던 것과 달리, 수신한 시퀀스로부터 2진 대칭 채널(Bynary Symetric Channel, BSC)의 채널오류확률을 추정하고 이로부터 임계값을 설정하는 방식을 제안하고, S. Shaojing 등의 연판정(soft decision) 값을 이용한 기법을 적용시켜서 채널 재구성 기법의 성공률을 향상시켰다.

이중 터치를 이용한 보안 키패드 제안 및 구현 (Proposal and Implementation of Security Keypad with Dual Touch)

  • 송진석;정명우;최정인;서승현
    • 정보처리학회논문지:컴퓨터 및 통신 시스템
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    • 제7권3호
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    • pp.73-80
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    • 2018
  • 스마트폰의 대중화와 금융서비스의 간편화에 따라 모바일 금융 서비스를 이용하는 비중이 늘어나고 있다. 하지만 기존의 금융 서비스를 위해 개발된 보안 키패드는 확률 분석 공격이 가능하며 보안 취약성을 지니고 있다. 이에 따라 본 논문에서는 이중 터치를 기반으로 한 보안 키패드 제안하며 이를 구현하였다. 이에 앞서 국내 모바일 금융 서비스의 모바일뱅킹과 모바일 간편 결제 서비스에서 사용되는 기존 보안키패드의 종류를 알아보고 취약점을 분석하였다. 더불어 본 연구에서 제안한 이중터치보안키패드와 기존의 보안키패드의 안전성을 기존의 키패드 공격(Brute Force Attack, Smudge Attack, 키로깅 공격, 어깨너머공격, Joseph Bonneau)의 인증 프레임워크를 활용하여 비교하였다. 분석된 결과에 따라 본 논문에서 제안하는 이중 터치를 통한 보안 키패드가 높은 안전성을 보여줌을 확인할 수 있다. 이중 터치를 통한 보안 키패드를 활용하면 보다 안전한 금융서비스를 이용할 수 있으며 그 외 모바일 환경에서 이뤄지는 서비스에 적용하여 안전성을 높일 수 있다.

Influence of Moisture Content and Seed Dimensions on Mechanical Oil Expression from African Oil Bean (Pentaclethra macrophylla Benth) Seed

  • Aremu, Ademola K.;Ogunlade, Clement A.
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • 제41권3호
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    • pp.193-200
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    • 2016
  • Purpose: New low-cost oilseeds are needed to meet an ever-increasing demand for oil for food, pharmaceutical, and industrial applications. African oil bean seed is a tropical crop that is underutilized and has high oil yields, but there have been no studies conducted on its mechanical oil expression up to now. The objective of this work was to investigate the effect of moisture content and seed dimensions on mechanical oil expression from the seeds. Methods: Fresh oil bean seeds were procured, de-hulled, and cleaned. Initial seed moisture content, obtained in accordance with the ASAE standard, was 12% dry basis (db). The seeds were further conditioned by dehydration and rehydration prior to oil expression to obtain four other moisture levels of 8, 10, 14, and 16% db. The major diameter of the seeds was measured using digital vernier calipers, and the seeds were classified into size dimensions (< 40, 41-45, 46-50, 51-55, and > 55 mm). The oil yield and expression efficiency were obtained in accordance with standard evaluation methods. Results: The highest oil yield and expression efficiency (47.74% and 78.96%, respectively) were obtained for a moisture content of 8% db and seed dimensions of < 40 mm, while the lowest oil yield and expression efficiency (41.35% and 68.28%, respectively) were obtained for a moisture content of 14% db and seed dimensions between 51-55 mm. A mathematical model was developed to predict oil yield for known moisture content and seed dimensions, with a coefficient of determination $R^2$ of 95% and the confidence level of the predictive model of 84.17%. The probability of prediction F ratio showed that moisture content influence was more significant than seed dimensions. Conclusions: The higher the moisture content and larger the seed dimensions, the lower the oil yield from African oil bean seeds.