• Title/Summary/Keyword: Price index

Search Result 802, Processing Time 0.028 seconds

Making Price Index of Detached Houses in Tokyo Metropolitan Area

  • Tanaka, Hideto;Shibasaki, Ryosuke
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
    • /
    • 2003.11a
    • /
    • pp.1115-1117
    • /
    • 2003
  • The information about transactions of real estate has tended to be not open. Therefore, it has been difficult for individuals to judge the proper price of each real estate. In the course of time several studies have been conducted on proposing criterions for judging the proper price of real estates. As to office buildings and apartments, it is proved techniques required for making criterions have been achieved to a certain extent. Therefore, this research aims to make methods that propose to consumers reliable criteria for judging the proper price of detached houses. The methods are based on hedonic price method and micro-level spatial elements peculiar to detached houses are considered.

  • PDF

The Trend of the Marital Cost according to the Economic Growth (경제성장 발달에 따른 혼례비용의 변화)

  • 임정빈;강은주
    • Journal of Family Resource Management and Policy Review
    • /
    • v.2 no.2
    • /
    • pp.135-145
    • /
    • 1998
  • The purpose of this study was to examine how much the cost of marriage ceremony has increased according to the economic growth. The relationship between marriage expenditures and other comparison variables such as per capital GNP, monthly income, consumer price index was particularly examined. All the money values were adjusted by consumer price index. Data from the Central Committee for Promotion of Saving were used in this study. The results of this study follow. First, nominal and actual total outlay of marriage ceremony has continuously increased. Total marriage ceremony cost was positively correlated with the housing price so that bridegroom’s outlay were greater than that of bride’s one since bridegroom was more likely to have the responsibility for the price of new couple’s house. Second, it was found that increased percentage rate of marriage ceremony cost was greater than that of national economic growth. The total marriage expenditure was about 10 times as much per capital income in 1990. Third, it was revealed that housing cost increased three times from 1990 to 1995, and marriage ceremony expense was accordingly increased twice during the same periods. Such trends tend to increase continuously. Last, the marriage cost percentage to monthly income called marriage expenditure share increased by 1990 and then decreased. Such a decreasing trend can be explained by the increased amount of income partly due to the higher wage rate compared to other conditions since 1990.

  • PDF

A Comparative Study between Islamic and Conventional Exchange-Traded Funds: Evidence from Global Market Indices

  • YAP, Kok-Leong;LAU, Wee-Yeap;ISMAIL, Izlin
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • v.8 no.2
    • /
    • pp.725-735
    • /
    • 2021
  • This study investigates whether the Islamic Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) provide significant benefit to investors relative to conventional ETFs. Six pairs of Islamic and conventional ETFs with 10-year daily price data from 2010 to 2019 have been selected from major market indices like MSCI World Index, MSCI Emerging Markets, MyETF Dow Jones Islamic Market Malaysia, MSCI South East Asia and Wahed FTSE Shariah USA Index for this study. For ETFs that are launched after 2010, the price data from launch date to 2019 are used. Our results show: First, Islamic ETFs are more likely to trade at a premium rather than at a discount, implying the investors are willing to pay a premium. Second, it is also found that Islamic ETFs have a relatively shorter period of price deviation from the benchmark, implying more price stability. Third, conventional ETFs have higher return and lower tracking errors relative to Islamic ETFs. These new findings add to the stylized facts of Islamic ETFs in the extant literature for investors, plan sponsors and regulators as to the differences between the ETFs. As policy suggestion, asset management companies can design new investment products to bridge the gap between conventional and Islamic finance.

Prediction of Agricultural Prices Using LSTM (LSTM 모델을 이용한 농산물 가격 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Yoo, Dong-wan;Park, Jong-beom
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
    • /
    • 2022.05a
    • /
    • pp.710-712
    • /
    • 2022
  • Agricultural products take a large part of the wholesale and retail market as a necessity for daily consumption, and the consumption and price of agricultural products affect the supply and demand of agricultural products, consumer spending, and agricultural household income. Therefore, in this study, It was conducted on unit price prediction using LSTM to trade agricultural products, weather observation, import and export performance and fresh food index data. In order to study the supply and demand management of agricultural products and appropriate prices in the wholesale and retail market, unit prices are predicted for garlic, cabbage, and onions with high consumer price index weights among items subject to vegetable price stabilizers.

  • PDF

A GARCH-MIDAS approach to modelling stock returns

  • Ezekiel NN Nortey;Ruben Agbeli;Godwin Debrah;Theophilus Ansah-Narh;Edmund Fosu Agyemang
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.31 no.5
    • /
    • pp.535-556
    • /
    • 2024
  • Measuring stock market volatility and its determinants is critical for stock market participants, as volatility spillover effects affect corporate performance. This study adopted a novel approach to analysing and implementing GARCH-MIDAS modelling methods. The classical GARCH as a benchmark and the univariate GARCH-MIDAS framework are the GARCH family models whose forecasting outcomes are examined. The outcome of GARCH-MIDAS analyses suggests that inflation, interest rate, exchange rate, and oil price are significant determinants of the volatility of the Johannesburg Stock Market All Share Index. While for Nigeria, the volatility reacts significantly to the exchange rate and oil price. Furthermore, inflation, exchange rate, interest rate, and oil price significantly influence Ghanaian equity volatility, especially for the long-term volatility component. The significant shock of the oil price and exchange rate to volatility is present in all three markets using the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic-mixed data sampling (GARCH-MIDAS) framework. The GARCH-MIDAS, with a powerful fusion of the GARCH model's volatility-capturing capabilities and the MIDAS approach's ability to handle mixed-frequency data, predicts the volatility for all variables better than the traditional GARCH framework. Incorporating these two techniques provides an innovative and comprehensive approach to modelling stock returns, making it an extremely useful tool for researchers, financial analysts, and investors.

The Impact of Macroeconomic Variables on the Profitability of Korean Ocean-Going Shipping Companies

  • Kim, Myoung-Hee;Lee, Ki-Hwan
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
    • /
    • v.43 no.2
    • /
    • pp.134-141
    • /
    • 2019
  • The objective of this study was to establish whether global macroeconomic indicators affect the profitability of Korean shipping companies by using panel regression analysis. OROA (operating return on assets) and ROA (ratio of net profit to assets) were selected as proxy variables for profitability. OROA and ROA were used as dependent variables. The world GDP growth rate, interest rate, exchange rate, stock index, bunker price, freight, demand and supply of the world shipping market were set as independent variables. The size of the firm was added to the control variable. For small-sized firms, OROA was not affect by macroeconomic indicators. However, ROA was affected by variables such as interest rates, bunker prices, and size of firms. For medium-sized firms, OROA was affected by demand, supply, GDP, freight, and asset variables. However, macroeconomic indicators did not affect ROA. For large-sized firms, freight, GDP, and stock index (SCI; Shanghai Composite Index) have an effect on OROA. ROA was analyzed to be influenced by bunker price and SCI.

A Case of Establishing Robo-advisor Strategy through Parameter Optimization (금융 지표와 파라미터 최적화를 통한 로보어드바이저 전략 도출 사례)

  • Kang, Mincheal;Lim, Gyoo Gun
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
    • /
    • v.19 no.2
    • /
    • pp.109-124
    • /
    • 2020
  • Facing the 4th Industrial Revolution era, researches on artificial intelligence have become active and attempts have been made to apply machine learning in various fields. In the field of finance, Robo Advisor service, which analyze the market, make investment decisions and allocate assets instead of people, are rapidly expanding. The stock price prediction using the machine learning that has been carried out to date is mainly based on the prediction of the market index such as KOSPI, and utilizes technical data that is fundamental index or price derivative index using financial statement. However, most researches have proceeded without any explicit verification of the prediction rate of the learning data. In this study, we conducted an experiment to determine the degree of market prediction ability of basic indicators, technical indicators, and system risk indicators (AR) used in stock price prediction. First, we set the core parameters for each financial indicator and define the objective function reflecting the return and volatility. Then, an experiment was performed to extract the sample from the distribution of each parameter by the Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method and to find the optimum value to maximize the objective function. Since Robo Advisor is a commodity that trades financial instruments such as stocks and funds, it can not be utilized only by forecasting the market index. The sample for this experiment is data of 17 years of 1,500 stocks that have been listed in Korea for more than 5 years after listing. As a result of the experiment, it was possible to establish a meaningful trading strategy that exceeds the market return. This study can be utilized as a basis for the development of Robo Advisor products in that it includes a large proportion of listed stocks in Korea, rather than an experiment on a single index, and verifies market predictability of various financial indicators.

A Study on the Index Estimation of Missing Real Estate Transaction Cases Using Machine Learning (머신러닝을 활용한 결측 부동산 매매 지수의 추정에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Kyung-Min;Kim, Kyuseok;Nam, Daisik
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
    • /
    • v.25 no.1
    • /
    • pp.171-181
    • /
    • 2022
  • The real estate price index plays key roles as quantitative data in real estate market analysis. International organizations including OECD publish the real estate price indexes by country, and the Korea Real Estate Board announces metropolitan-level and municipal-level indexes. However, when the index is set on the smaller spatial unit level than metropolitan and municipal-level, problems occur: missing values. As the spatial scope is narrowed down, there are cases where there are few or no transactions depending on the unit period, which lead index calculation difficult or even impossible. This study suggests a supervised learning-based machine learning model to compensate for missing values that may occur due to no transaction in a specific range and period. The models proposed in our research verify the accuracy of predicting the existing values and missing values.

Variation of Determinant Factor for Seoul Metropolitan Area's Housing and Rent Price in Korea (수도권 주택가격 결정요인 변화 연구)

  • Lee, Kyung-Ae;Park, Sang-Hak;Kim, Yong-Soon
    • Land and Housing Review
    • /
    • v.4 no.1
    • /
    • pp.43-54
    • /
    • 2013
  • This This paper investigates the variation of the factors to determinate housing price in Seoul metropolitan area after sub-prime financial crisis, in Korea, using a VAR model. The model includes housing price and housing rent (Jeonse) in Seoul metropolitan area from 1999 to 2011, and uses interest rate, real GDP, KOSPI, Producer Price Index and practices to impulse response and variance decomposition analysis to grasp the dynamic relation between a variable of macro economy and and a variable of housing price. Data is classified to 2 groups before and after the 3rd quater of 2008, when sub-prime crisis occurred; one is from the 1st quater of 1999 to the 3rd quater of 2008, and the other is from the 2nd quater of 1999 and the 4th quater of 2011. As a result, comparing before and after sub-prime crisis, housing price is more influenced by its own variation or Jeonse price's variation instead of interest rate and KOSPI. Both before and after sub-prime financial crisis, Jeonse price is also influenced by its own variation and housing price. While after sub-prime financial crisis, influences of Producer Price Index, KOSPI and interest rate were weakened, influence of real GDP is expanded. As housing price and housing rent are more influenced by real economy factors such as GDP, its own variation than before sub-prime financial crisis, the recent trend that the house prices is declined is difficult to be converted, considering domestic economic recession and uncertainty, continued by Europe financial crisis. In the future to activate the housing business, it ia necessary to promote purchasing power rather than relaxation of financial and supply regulation.

A study on the Ratio of jeonse to purchase price for apartment after IMF (IMF이후 아파트 전세가율에 관한 연구)

  • Ko, Pill-Song;Kim, Dong-Hyun
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
    • /
    • v.8 no.2
    • /
    • pp.301-306
    • /
    • 2013
  • The Ratio of APT jeonse to purchase price was still rising. The interaction of APT Purchase and Jeonse price indices by region analysis in order to analyze this phenomenon, and results were summarized as follows. First, because the regional APT purchase and jeonse prices appears the rise and fall differently by region, regional polarization was deepening. Second, the recently real estate market was analyzed the province's booming real estate and the downturn of the metropolitan area. So, the ratio of APT jeonse to purchase price was continued to rise. Finally, the Ratio of APT jeonse to purchase price changing rate is (+) increased if the APT purchase price changing rate is larger then the APT purchase price changing rate and smaller then is (-) decreased.