• Title/Summary/Keyword: Price fluctuation

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Stock Price Prediction Based on Time Series Network (시계열 네트워크에 기반한 주가예측)

  • Park, Kang-Hee;Shin, Hyun-Jung
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.53-60
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    • 2011
  • Time series analysis methods have been traditionally used in stock price prediction. However, most of the existing methods represent some methodological limitations in reflecting influence from external factors that affect the fluctuation of stock prices, such as oil prices, exchange rates, money interest rates, and the stock price indexes of other countries. To overcome the limitations, we propose a network based method incorporating the relations between the individual company stock prices and the external factors by using a graph-based semi-supervised learning algorithm. For verifying the significance of the proposed method, it was applied to the prediction problems of company stock prices listed in the KOSPI from January 2007 to August 2008.

Analysis of Change of Construction Material Price by International Oil Price Fluctuation (국제유가 변동에 따른 건설자재가격 변화 분석)

  • Park, Jin-Yong;Byun, Jeong-Yoon;Yoo, Seung-Kyu;Kim, Ju-Hyung;Kim, Jae-Jun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.319-320
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    • 2012
  • International oil prices is the world's leading macroeconomic indicators. Rising international oil price has been worsening. profitability of construction company including material cost as well stagnation in housing market. Thus, according to fluctuations in international oil prices has cost index need to see any change happening there. in this study, 2000 to 2011 interest rates, exchange rates and oil price fluctuations in construction cost is to compare the impact.

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A Study on the Capital Area's Urban Type Analysis and Real Estate Characteristics

  • Jeong, Moonoh;Lee, Sangyoub
    • Journal of Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • v.2 no.4
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    • pp.32-41
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    • 2012
  • In recent times, multi-centralization and decentralization as well as large Capital area and suburbanization in the spatial structure of capital area. With rapid growth, urbanization and industrialization are unsystematic, and growth inequality between regions caused negative effects such as discordant centralization and decentralization, fluctuating land value, and gap between living conditions. Accordingly, this study analyzed urban spatial indexes by the self-governed body in the capital area such as Seoul, Incheon, and Gyeonggi province for the analysis of the regional inequality phenomenon. We examined the characteristics of temporal and spatial changes in urban spatial structure in the capital area by utilizing the distribution pattern and density of city indexes such as population, employment, etc, and then drew the commonality of those factors through factor analysis. We evaluated the drawn results through the city standard index by each city, conducted factor score analysis, and identified the interaction between each factor and Housing Purchase Price Composite Indices index, housing rent price index(Housing Jeonse Price Composite Indices), land price fluctuation rate, diffusion ratio of house, and financial independence.

Characteristics of Modernized Hanok for development Estimate system. (개략견적 기법 개발을 위한 신한옥 특성 분석)

  • Kim, Hyo-Sun;Jung, Young-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2013.05a
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    • pp.124-125
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this research is to propose an approximate estimation system for Modernized Hanok. Mock-up (Jisinjae) site data has been collected and analysed to characterize the modernized Hanok and to examine the range of cost fluctuation rate with each work items. As a result, number of floor, area (㎥), shape, methods and materials were considered as key factors for price change on the total construction cost. Furthermore, wood structure (34%) and roof (17%) account for major cost percentage. The cost fluctuation rate of two factors were -3.3%~+5.6% (wood structure) and -4.1%~+4.2% (roof). For further research, existing method will be analysed in order to developing the Hanok estimation system. And the cost fluctuation rate of every work items will be continually evaluated.

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Equilibrium Model in Price Behavior and Agricultural Production (농업 생산과 농작물 가격에 관한 균형 모델)

  • Lee, Sang-Yool
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.748-756
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    • 2006
  • This study mainly deals with price behavior developed in a agricultural location model (or closed model) considering the production and demand aspects. The short-run situation of price and output is associated with the yearly fluctuation of yield from agricultural production. Demand is generally regarded as constant in the short-run because of being inelastic over short time. The long-run situation is associated with a period in which all related variables can be varied. Then a price behaviors from the two contrasting closed models have been further explored in the long-run economy. Agricultural price for each activity in the closed model is affected by change in agricultural production. Also, falling agricultural price is connected with lower rents and lower land values.

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An Intelligent Gold Price Prediction Based on Automated Machine and k-fold Cross Validation Learning

  • Baguda, Yakubu S.;Al-Jahdali, Hani Meateg
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.65-74
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    • 2021
  • The rapid change in gold price is an issue of concern in the global economy and financial markets. Gold has been used as a means for trading and transaction around the world for long period of time and it plays an integral role in monetary, business, commercial and financial activities. More importantly, it is used as economic measure for the global economy and will continue to play an important economic vital role - both locally and globally. There has been an explosive growth in demand for efficient and effective scheme to predict gold price due its volatility and fluctuation. Hence, there is need for the development of gold price prediction scheme to assist and support investors, marketers, and financial institutions in making effective economic and monetary decisions. This paper primarily proposed an intelligent based system for predicting and characterizing the gold market trend. The simulation result shows that the proposed intelligent gold price scheme has been able to predict the gold price with high accuracy and precision, and ultimately it has significantly reduced the prediction error when compared to baseline neural network (NN).

A Study on the Stock Price Fluctuation of Information Security Companies in Personal Information Leakage (개인정보 유출 사고 시 정보보호 기업의 주가 변동에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Min-Jeong;Heo, Namgil;Yoo, Jinho
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.275-283
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    • 2016
  • Currently Internet and IT infrastructure of Korea has maintained the world's highest levels. But in another aspect, security incident, especially personal information breaches occur frequently. As personal information leakage happened, the companies will be negatively affected. And to prevent this, they have implemented to use a variety of security solutions from information security vendors. Therefore we set up hypotheses that the companies experienced personal information leakage as well as information security companies providing security solutions will be affected by the leakages. So this paper verify hypotheses about the impact of the value of information security companies, through analysing stock price fluctuation of the companies. We found that the stock price of information security companies has increased as personal information leakage happened. And differences according to leakage volumes and types of business are not statistically significant. But there are significant differences according to business classification of information security companies.

Uncertainty of Agricultural product Prices by Information Entropy Model using Probability Distribution for Monthly Prices (월별 가격의 확률분포를 이용한 정보엔트로피 모델에 의한 농산물가격의 불확정성)

  • Eun, Sang-Kyu;Jung, Nam-Su;Lee, Jeong-Jae;Bae, Yeong-Joung
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.54 no.2
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    • pp.7-14
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    • 2012
  • To analyze any given situation, it is necessary to have information on elements which affect the situation. Particularly, there is greater variability in both frequency and magnitude of agricultural product prices as they are affected by various unpredictable factors such as weather conditions etc. This is the reason why it is difficult for the farmers to maintain their stable income through agricultural production and marketing. In this research, attempts are made to quantify the entropy of various situations inherent in the price changes so that the stability of farmers' income can be increased. Through this research, we developed an entropy model which can quantify the uncertainties of price changes using the probability distribution of price changes. The model was tested for its significance by comparing its simulation outcomes with actual ranges and standard deviations of price variations of the past using monthly agricultural product prices data. We confirmed that the simulation results reflected the features of the ranges and standard deviations of actual price variations. Also, it is possible for us to predict standard deviations for changed prices which will occur after a certain time using the information entropy obtained from relevant agricultural product price data before the time.

Fluctuation Factors in Spectrum Valuation (주파수 가치산정의 변동요인 연구)

  • Yeo, Inkap
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2013.05a
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    • pp.474-477
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    • 2013
  • As the market-based spectrum policy is introduced, an interest in the economic value of the frequency is increasing. Research and practical applications concerning the methodology for the estimation of the economic value of the frequency and its determinants are actively engaged, which are used for setting a reserve price and bid price of spectrum auction and a spectrum clearance cost. In this study, by the analysis of the spectrum valuation methodology, we derive the changes in the factors affecting the valuation and propose to apply improved. In the model frequency value is consist of technical value, commercial value and strategic value, we find the dynamics of fluctuation factors and suggest how to apply them to spectrum policy.

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