• Title/Summary/Keyword: Predictive validity

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Comparison of Rectal Temperature with Axillary and Tympanic Temperature (신생아의 직장체온과 고막 및 액와체온과의 비교)

  • Hwang Jin-Soon;Sohng Kyeong-Yae
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Fundamentals of Nursing
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.351-358
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    • 1997
  • Body temperature should be measured accurately to assess neonate's condition for proper care. Temperatures measured in rectal, axillary and tympanic site were compared in 129 normal neonates to find out proper nursing time for measuring temperature and the validity of fever detection. The results were as follows : 1. Mean temperatures of axillary and tympanic site($36.85^{\circ}C,\;37.12^{\circ}C$) were significantly lower than those of rectal site($37.19^{\circ}C$). 2. Mean nursing time for measuring body temperature was significantly higher and lower in axillary and tympanic temperatures(159.49 seconds, 11.07 seconds) than in rectal temperature(105.62 seconds). 3. Tympanic and axillary temperatures were significantly correlated with rectal temperature (r=0.85, r=0.78) and the significant correlation was demonstrated between tympanic and axillary temperatures(r=0.76). 4. Sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values were 0.87, 0.90, 0.72, 0.96 for detecting fever respectively. The above findings indicated that the tympanic thermometer offers a useful alternative to conventional methods.

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Factors Influencing Youngsters' Consumption Behavior on High-End Cosmetics in China

  • GILITWALA, Bhumiphat;NAG, Amit Kumar
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.443-450
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    • 2021
  • The paper investigates the factors that affect the decision of young Chinese consumers to buy high-end cosmetics. The study is based on the responses obtained by questionnaires from 400 respondents in Guangzhou, China. The information was collected and classified on the basis of gender, occupation, age and education in order to understand the main characteristics of the sample in a better way. The purposive, convenient and quota sampling techniques of non-probability sampling method were used. Besides this, the predictive test was carried out with 30 respondents to ensure the reliability and validity of the questionnaires. The data was put to descriptive statistical analysis and multiple regression analysis in order to verify the hypotheses. The data revealed that, while brand awareness does not affect the consumer attitude about the high-end cosmetics, other factors like product involvement, perceived quality, subjective norm, and word-of-mouth have significant effect on consumer's attitude and consumers' intention about high-end cosmetics. The findings of the study show that subjective norm, perceived value, word-of-mouth, and consumer attitude of cosmetic products highly affect consumers purchase intention of high-end cosmetic products. The research paper helps to form concrete and effective marketing strategy based on various aspects of consumer behavior for high-end cosmetics in China.

Determinant Factors for Fourth Industrial Revolution (4IR) Leadership Attributes: An Empirical Study from Malaysia

  • DAUD, Salina;WAN HANAFI, Wan Noordiana;MOHAMED OTHMAN, Nurhidayah
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.9
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    • pp.301-311
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    • 2021
  • Most leadership styles are generally designed to enhance the cognitive and behavioral skills of leaders with the implicit assumption that this would ultimately translate into high performance. As we are moving towards Industry 4.0, organizations must employ leadership styles that will help the organization succeed. Thus, the objective of this paper is to confirm the determinant factors for Fourth Industrial Revolution (4IR) leadership attributes in Malaysian manufacturing companies. Stratified sampling was used to select the sample. Data was collected using the online survey method, where the response rate was 43 percent. The respondents consisted of respondents aged from 31-40 years old, with 69 respondents. In terms of race, the highest number of respondents are the Malays. Questionnaires were distributed to middle and top-level managers from manufacturing companies which were listed in the Federation of Malaysian Manufacturers (FMM). Confirmatory Factor Analysis (CFA) was used to confirm the reliability and validity of the construct. Based on the analysis, 66 items could be used to measure the 4IR leadership attributes. The validation of 4IR leadership can also provide predictive implications on improving leaders' performance, given the different attributes confirmed by the findings.

Anti-slosh effect of a horizontal porous baffle in a swaying/rolling rectangular tank: Analytical and experimental approaches

  • George, Arun;Cho, Il-Hyoung
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.833-847
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    • 2021
  • The horizontal porous baffle and its effect as an anti-slosh device have been investigated intensively in a swaying and rolling rectangular tank. To accurately assess the level at which porous baffles reduce liquid sloshing, the Matched Eigenfunction Expansion Method (MEEM) has been utilized as an analytical tool. The velocity potentials in the horizontal baffle-covered fluid region are expressed by the sum of the homogeneous and particular solutions to avoid solving the complex dispersion equation. By applying an equivalent linearized quadratic loss model, the nonlinear algebraic equation is derived and solved by implementing the Newton-Raphson iterative scheme. To prove the validity of the present theoretical model, a series of experiments have been conducted with different centered horizontal porous baffles with varying porosities and submerged depths in a swaying and rolling rectangular tank. Reasonably good agreements are obtained regarding the analytical solutions and the experiment's findings. The influence of porosity, submerged depth, and length of a centered horizontal porous baffle on anti-slosh performance have been analyzed, especially at resonance modes. The developed predictive tool can potentially provide guidelines for optimal design of the horizontal porous baffle.

Using Predictive Analytics to Profile Potential Adopters of Autonomous Vehicles

  • Lee, Eun-Ju;Zafarzon, Nordirov;Zhang, Jing
    • Asia Marketing Journal
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.65-83
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    • 2018
  • Technological advances are bringing autonomous vehicles to the ever-evolving transportation system. Anticipating adoption of these technologies by users is essential to vehicle manufacturers for making more precise production and marketing strategies. The research investigates regulatory focus and consumer innovativeness with consumers' adoption of autonomous vehicles (AVs) and to consumers' subsequent willingness to pay for AVs. An online questionnaire was fielded to confirm predictions, and regression analysis was conducted to verify the model's validity. The results show that a promotion focus does not have a significantly positive effect on the automation level at which consumers will adopt AVs, but a prevention focus has a significantly positive effect on conditional AV adoption. Consumer innovativeness, consumers' novelty-seeking have a significantly positive relationship with high and full AV adoption, and consumers' independent decision-making has a significantly positive effect on full AV adoption. The higher the level of automation at which a consumer adopts AVs, the higher the willingness to pay for them. Finally, using a neural network and decision tree analyses, we show methods with which to describe three categories for potential adopters of AVs.

The effects of stress mindset on perceived stress and self-control in college students (대학생의 스트레스 마인드셋과 자기통제의 관계에서 지각된 스트레스의 매개효과)

  • Koo, Minju;Shin, Yeoul;Park, Daeun
    • Korean Journal of School Psychology
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.265-281
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    • 2019
  • This study, for the first time, examined predictive validity of stress mindset-the beliefs about the effects of stress-on perceived stress and self-control in college students. To do so, 159 college students completed self-reported questionnaires on stress mindset, perceived stress, and self-control. The results indicated that compared to students who believed stress can be utilized, those who believed stress is strictly harmful tended to experience higher level of stress, which, in turn, predicted lower self-control. These findings suggest that changing college students ' stress mindset may be a good way to help them to thrive mentally and behaviorally.

Uncertainty Quantification of Model Parameters Using Reflood Experiments and TRACE Code (재관수 실증실험과 TRACE 코드를 활용한 모델 변수의 불확실도 정량화)

  • Seon Oh Yu;Kyung Won Lee
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Pressure Vessels and Piping
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.32-38
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    • 2024
  • The best estimate plus uncertainty methodologies for loss-of-coolant accident analyses make use of the best-estimate codes and relevant experimental databases. Inherently, best-estimate codes have various uncertainties in the model parameters, which can be quantified by the dedicated experimental database. Therefore, this study was devoted to establishing procedures for identifying the input parameters of predictive models and quantifying their uncertainty ranges. The rod bundle heat transfer experiments were employed as a representative reflood separate effect test, and the TRACE code was utilized as a best-estimate code. In accordance with the present procedure for uncertainty quantification, the integrated list of the influential input parameters and their uncertainty ranges was obtained through local sensitivity calculations and screening criteria. The validity of the procedure was confirmed by applying it to uncertainty analyses, which checks whether the measured data are within computed ranges of the variables of interest. The uncertainty quantification procedure proposed in this study is anticipated to provide comprehensive guidance for the conduct of uncertainty analyses.

Validation on Adult Fall Assessment Tools: Focusing on Hospitalized Patients in a General Hospital (낙상위험 사정도구의 타당도 비교: 일개 종합병원의 입원 환자를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Hayng Suk;Choi, Eun Hee
    • Journal of muscle and joint health
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.65-74
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: This study was conducted to verify fall predictive power and reasonable fall risk assessment tool by a comparative analysis of the sensitivity, specificity, positive forecast and negative forecast of each tool by applying Morse Fall Scale (MFS), Johns Hopkins Fall Risk Assessment Tool (JHFRAT), and Fall Assessment Scale-Korean version (FAS-K) through electronic medical records to adult patients hospitalized in a general hospital in Korea. Methods: We performed a retrospective evaluation study from January to December 2018, 123 fall groups experiencing falls during hospitalization and 123 non-falls groups were selected. Data presented a reasonable assessment tool that predicts and distinguishes fall high-risk patients through area comparison based on the ROC curve for each tool. Results: In the ROC curve analysis by fall risk assessment group, the AUC of MFS is shown to be .706 (good), JHFRAT is shown to be .649 (sufficient) and FAS-K is shown to be .804 (very good). FAS-K at a cut-off score of 4, sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative prediction values were 83.7%, 60.2%, 67.8%, and 78.7%, respectively. Conclusion: Based on the above findings, it is believed that the FAS-K was presented as a suitable and reasonable tool for predicting falls for adult patients in general hospitals.

The ages and stages questionnaire: screening for developmental delay in the setting of a pediatric outpatient clinic (ASQ :소아과외래에서의 발달지연 선별검사)

  • Kim, Eun Young;Sung, In Kyung
    • Clinical and Experimental Pediatrics
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    • v.50 no.11
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    • pp.1061-1066
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    • 2007
  • Purpose : Early identification of developmental disabilities allows intervention at the earliest possible point to improve the developmental potential. The Ages and Stages Questionnaire (ASQ), a parent- completed questionnaire, can be used as a substitute for formal screening tests. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the validity of the Korean version of the ASQ (K-ASQ) as a screening tool for detecting developmental delay of young Korean children in the setting of a busy pediatric outpatient clinic. Methods : Parents completed the K-ASQ in the waiting room of the pediatric outpatient clinic of St. Mary's Hospital, Catholic University Medical College. Out of 150 completed the ASQ, 67 who were born term and had no previous diagnosis of developmental delay, congenital anomalies, or neurological abnormalities were enrolled. The cut-off values of less than 2 standard deviations (SD) below the mean for the ASQ were used to define a "fail", and children who failed in one or more domains tested were classified as "screen-positive". Diagnosis of developmental delay was made when the developmental indices fell below -1 SD of the Bayley Scales of Infant Development-II. Results : (1) The mean age of children was $16.4{\pm}7.4$ months. Ten children (14.9%) were small-for- gestational age infants. The mean birth weight and gestational age were $3.1{\pm}0.6kg$ and $38.8{\pm}1.4$ weeks. Nine children (13.4%) were twins and 33 (49.0%) were male. The mean maternal education in years was $13.6{\pm}2.4$, and 31.3% had full-time jobs. The time for completing the ASQ was $10.2{\pm}3.0$ minutes. (2) Seventeen children (25.4%) were classified as screen-positive, four of them were delayed in development. Among eight children diagnosed with developmental delay, four were screen-positive and the other four were screen-negative by the ASQ. (3) The test characteristics of the ASQ were as follows: sensitivity (50.0%); specificity (78.0%); positive predictive value (23.5%); negative predictive value (92.0%). Conclusion : The high negative predictive value of the K-ASQ supports its use as a screening tool for developmental delay in the setting of a pediatric outpatient clinic.

Development of a Prediction Model for Advertising Effects of Celebrity Models using Big data Analysis (빅데이터 분석을 통한 유명인 모델의 광고효과 예측 모형 개발)

  • Kim, Yuna;Han, Sangpil
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.11 no.8
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    • pp.99-106
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to find out whether image similarity between celebrities and brands on social network service be a determinant to predict advertising effectiveness. To this end, an advertising effect prediction model for celebrity endorsed advertising was created and its validity was verified through a machine learning method which is a big data analysis technique. Firstly, the celebrity-brand image similarity, which was used as an independent variable, was quantified by the association network theory with social big data, and secondly a multiple regression model which used data representing advertising effects as a dependent variable was repeatedly conducted to generate an advertising effect prediction model. The accuracy of the prediction model was decided by comparing the prediction results with the survey outcomes. As for a result, it was proved that the validity of the predictive modeling of advertising effects was secured since the classification accuracy of 75%, which is a criterion for judging validity, was shown. This study suggested a new methodological alternative and direction for big data-based modeling research through celebrity-brand image similarity structure based on social network theory, and effect prediction modeling by machine learning.