• Title/Summary/Keyword: Predictive equation

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Model Predictive Control of the Melt Index in High-Density Polyethylene(HDPE) Process (고밀도 폴리에틸렌 공정의 Melt Index 모델예측제어에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Eun Ho;Kim, Tae Young;Yeo, Yeong Koo
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.46 no.6
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    • pp.1043-1051
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    • 2008
  • In polyolefin processes melt index (MI) is the most important controlled variable indicating product quality. Because of the difficulty in the on-line measurement of MI, a lot of MI estimation and correlation methods have been proposed. In this work a new dynamic MI estimation scheme is developed based on system identification techniques. The empirical MI estimation equation proposed in the present study is derived from the $1^{st}$-order dynamic models. Effectiveness of the present estimation scheme was illustrated by numerical simulations based on plant operation data including grade change operations in high density polyethylene (HDPE) processes. From the comparisons with other estimation methods it was found that the proposed estimation scheme showed better performance in MI predictions. Using the model predictive control method based on the present dynamic MI estimation model, MI values are estimated and compared with those of MI setpoints. From the numerical simulation of the proposed control system, it was found that significant reduction of transition time and the amount of off-spec during grade changes were achieved.

Development of a Predictive Model and Risk Assessment for the Growth of Staphylococcus aureus in Ham Rice Balls Mixed with Different Sauces (소스 종류를 달리한 햄 주먹밥에서의 Staphylococcus aureus 성장예측모델 개발 및 위해평가)

  • Oh, Sujin;Yeo, Seoungsoon;Kim, Misook
    • Journal of the Korean Dietetic Association
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.30-43
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    • 2019
  • This study compared the predictive models for the growth kinetics of Staphylococcus aureus in ham rice balls. In addition, a semi-quantitative risk assessment of S. aureus on ham rice balls was conducted using FDA-iRISK 4.0. The rice was rounded with chopped ham, which was mixed with mayonnaise (SHM), soy sauce (SHS), or gochujang (SHG), and was contaminated artificially with approximately $2.5{\log}\;CFU{\cdot}g^{-1}$ of S. aureus. The inoculated rice balls were then stored at $7^{\circ}C$, $15^{\circ}C$, and $25^{\circ}C$, and the number of viable S. aureus was counted. The lag phases duration (LPD) and maximum specific growth rate (SGR) were calculated using a Baranyi model as a primary model. The growth parameters were analyzed using the polynomial equation as a function of temperature. The LPD values of S. aureus decreased with increasing temperature in SHS and SHG. On the other hand, those in SHM did not show any trend with increasing temperature. The SGR positively correlated with temperature. Equations for LPD and SGR were developed and validated using $R^2$ values, which ranged from 0.9929 to 0.9999. In addition, the total DALYs (disability adjusted life years) per year in the ham rice balls with soy sauce and gochujang was greater than mayonnaise. These results could be used to calculate the expected number of illnesses, and set the hazard management method taking the DALY value for public health into account.

Modeling of Flow-Accelerated Corrosion using Machine Learning: Comparison between Random Forest and Non-linear Regression (기계학습을 이용한 유동가속부식 모델링: 랜덤 포레스트와 비선형 회귀분석과의 비교)

  • Lee, Gyeong-Geun;Lee, Eun Hee;Kim, Sung-Woo;Kim, Kyung-Mo;Kim, Dong-Jin
    • Corrosion Science and Technology
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.61-71
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    • 2019
  • Flow-Accelerated Corrosion (FAC) is a phenomenon in which a protective coating on a metal surface is dissolved by a flow of fluid in a metal pipe, leading to continuous wall-thinning. Recently, many countries have developed computer codes to manage FAC in power plants, and the FAC prediction model in these computer codes plays an important role in predictive performance. Herein, the FAC prediction model was developed by applying a machine learning method and the conventional nonlinear regression method. The random forest, a widely used machine learning technique in predictive modeling led to easy calculation of FAC tendency for five input variables: flow rate, temperature, pH, Cr content, and dissolved oxygen concentration. However, the model showed significant errors in some input conditions, and it was difficult to obtain proper regression results without using additional data points. In contrast, nonlinear regression analysis predicted robust estimation even with relatively insufficient data by assuming an empirical equation and the model showed better predictive power when the interaction between DO and pH was considered. The comparative analysis of this study is believed to provide important insights for developing a more sophisticated FAC prediction model.

Prediction of Coagulation/Flocculation Treatment Efficiency of Dissolved Organic Matter (DOM) Using Multiple DOM Characteristics (다중 유기물 특성 지표를 활용한 용존 유기물질 응집/침전 제거효율 예측)

  • Bo Young Kim;Ka-Young Jung;Jin Hur
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.39 no.6
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    • pp.465-474
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    • 2023
  • The chemical composition and molecular weight characteristics of dissolved organic matter (DOM) exert a profound influence on the efficiency of organic matter removal in water treatment systems, acting as efficiency predictive indicators. This research evaluated the primary chemical and molecular weight properties of DOM derived from diverse sources, including rivers, lakes, and biomasses, and assessed their relationship with the efficiency of coagulation/flocculation treatments. Dissolved organic carbon (DOC) removal efficiency through coagulation/flocculation exhibited significant correlations with DOM's hydrophobic distribution, the ratio of humic-like to protein-like fluorescence, and the molecular weight associated with humic substances (HS). These findings suggest that the DOC removal rate in coagulation/flocculation processes is enhanced by a higher presence of HS in DOM, an increased influence of externally sourced DOM, and more presence of high molecular weight compounds. The results of this study further posit that the efficacy of water treatment processes can be more accurately predicted when considering multiple DOM characteristics rather than relying on a singular trait. Based on major results from this study, a predictive model for DOC removal efficiency by coagulation/flocculation was formulated as: 24.3 - 7.83 × (fluorescence index) + 0.089 × (hydrophilic distribution) + 0.102 × (HS molecular weight). This proposed model, coupled with supplementary monitoring of influent organic matter, has the potential to enhance the design and predictive accuracy for coagulation/flocculation treatments targeting DOC removal in future applications.

A neural-based predictive model of the compressive strength of waste LCD glass concrete

  • Kao, Chih-Han;Wang, Chien-Chih;Wang, Her-Yung
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.457-465
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    • 2017
  • The Taiwanese liquid crystal display (LCD) industry has traditionally produced a huge amount of waste glass that is placed in landfills. Waste glass recycling can reduce the material costs of concrete and promote sustainable environmental protection activities. Concrete is always utilized as structural material; thus, the concrete compressive strength with a variety of mixtures must be studied using predictive models to achieve more precise results. To create an efficient waste LCD glass concrete (WLGC) design proportion, the related studies utilized a multivariable regression analysis to develop a compressive strength waste LCD glass concrete equation. The mix design proportion for waste LCD glass and the compressive strength relationship is complex and nonlinear. This results in a prediction weakness for the multivariable regression model during the initial growing phase of the compressive strength of waste LCD glass concrete. Thus, the R ratio for the predictive multivariable regression model is 0.96. Neural networks (NN) have a superior ability to handle nonlinear relationships between multiple variables by incorporating supervised learning. This study developed a multivariable prediction model for the determination of waste LCD glass concrete compressive strength by analyzing a series of laboratory test results and utilizing a neural network algorithm that was obtained in a related prior study. The current study also trained the prediction model for the compressive strength of waste LCD glass by calculating the effects of several types of factor combinations, such as the different number of input variables and the relevant filter for input variables. These types of factor combinations have been adjusted to enhance the predictive ability based on the training mechanism of the NN and the characteristics of waste LCD glass concrete. The selection priority of the input variable strategy is that evaluating relevance is better than adding dimensions for the NN prediction of the compressive strength of WLGC. The prediction ability of the model is examined using test results from the same data pool. The R ratio was determined to be approximately 0.996. Using the appropriate input variables from neural networks, the model validation results indicated that the model prediction attains greater accuracy than the multivariable regression model during the initial growing phase of compressive strength. Therefore, the neural-based predictive model for compressive strength promotes the application of waste LCD glass concrete.

Optimal Rejection of Sea Bottom, Peg-leg and Free-surface Multiples for Multichannel Seismic Data on South-eastern Sea, Korea (동해 남동해역 다중채널 해양탄성파 탐사자료의 해저면, 페그-레그 및 자유해수면 다중반사파 제거 최적화 전산처리)

  • Cheong, Snons;Koo, Nam-Hyung;Kim, Won-Sik;Lee, Ho-Young;Shin, Won-Chul;Park, Keun-Pil;Kim, Jin-Ho
    • Geophysics and Geophysical Exploration
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.289-298
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    • 2009
  • Optimal data processing parameters were designed to attenuate multiples in seismic data acquired in the south-eastern area of the East Sea, in 2008. Bunch of multiples caused by shallow sea water depth were perceived periodically up to two way travel time of 1,750 ms at every 250 ms over seismic traces. We abbreviated sea bottom multiple as SBM, Peg-leg multiple as PLM, and free-surface multiple as FSM. To attenuate these multiples, seismic data processing flow was constructed including NMO, stack, minimum phase predictive deconvolution filter and wave equation multiple rejections (WEMR). Prevalent multiples were suppressed by predictive deconvolution and remaining multiples were attenuated by WEMR. We concluded that combining deconvolution with WEMR was effective to a seismic data of study area. Derived parameter can be applied to the seismic data processing on adjacent survey area.

Measurement and Prediction of the Lower flash Point for n-Propanol+n-Decane System Using the Tag Open-Cup Apparatus (Tag 개방식 장치를 이용한 n-Propanol+n-Decane 계의 하부인화점 측정 및 예측)

  • Ha Dong-Myeong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.20 no.2 s.70
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    • pp.162-168
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    • 2005
  • The lower flash points for the n-propanol+n-decane flammable mixture were measured by the Tag open-cup apparatus(ASTM D 1310). The experimental results of mixture exhibited the lower flash point than those of pure component in the flash point versus composition curve. The experimental value of the minimum flash point is $27^{\circ}C$ at a mole fraction of n-propanol of 0.71, and the flash point of n-propanol was $28^{\circ}C$. The experimentally obtained data were compared with the values that had been calculated by use of the prediction model, which assumes an ideal solution, and the flash point prediction models based on the van Laar equation were used to estimate the activity coefficients. The predictive curve based on an ideal solution deviated from the experimental data for this system. The experimental results demonstrate a close agreement with the predicted curves, which used the van Laar equation. The average absolute deviation(A.A.D.) from using the van Lau equation is $0.83^{\circ}C$. The methodology proposed here in this paper can thus be applied to incorporate an inherently safer design for chemical processes, such as determining safe storage and handling conditions for flammable solutions.

Predicting Quality of Life in Women Having Hysterectomies (자궁절제술 여성의 삶의 질 영향요인)

  • Kim, Sook-Nam;Chang, Soon-Bok
    • Women's Health Nursing
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.231-244
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    • 1998
  • The purpose of this study was to provide a basis for nursing intervention to enhance quality if life in women having hysterectomies. Data was collected using a self-report questionnaire from 205 women having hysterectomies at the outpatient clinics of four general hospitals and a mail survey in Pusan City. Reliability of eight instrument's was tested with Cronbach's alpha which ranged from .601-.901. The data were analyzed by percentage, mean, SD, Pearson's Correlation and Stepwise Multiple Regression by using the SPSS 7.5 WIN Program. The results are as follows: 1) The average score for the quality of life was 74.33(score range 23-92). 2) There was a significant correlation between the predictive variables on quality of life. The most significant correlation was sexual identity(r=.516, p=.000). 3) When quality if life score was entered into the equation as the dependent variable, 7variables explaining 54.5% of the variation in quality if life score. Sexual identity was the main predictor of quality of life and accounted for 24.6% of the variance in quality of life. 4) When physical domain score was entered into equation as the dependent variable, 5variables explaining 29.2% of the variation in physical domain score. 5) When psychological domain score was entered into the equation as the dependent variable, 5variables explaining 46.0% of the variation in psychological domain score. 6) When sexual life domain score was entered into the equation as the dependent variable, 6variables explaining 39.4% of the variation in sexual life domain score. In conclusion, sexual identity, pre-operational symptom, sense of loss, spouse's support, age, professional support, coping behavior were identified as important variables in the quality of life in women having hysterectomies.

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Comparison of Resting Energy Expenditure Using Indirect Calorimetry and Predictive Equations in Trauma Patients: A Pilot Study

  • Ma, Dae Sung;Lee, Gil Jae
    • Journal of Trauma and Injury
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.13-20
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: Nutritional therapy in the intensive care unit is an essential factor for patient progress. The purpose of this study was to compare resting energy expenditure (REE) calculated by prediction equations (PEs) to the REE measured by indirect calorimetry (IC) in trauma patients. Methods: Patients admitted to the trauma intensive care unit who received mechanical ventilation between January and December 2015 were enrolled. REE was measured by IC (CCM Express, MGC Diagnostics) and calculated by the following PEs: Harris-Benedict, Fleisch, Robertson and Reid, Ireton-Jones, and the maximum value (25 kcal/kg/day) of the European Society for Clinical Nutrition and Metabolism (ESPEN). All patients were ventilated at a fraction of inspired oxygen (FiO2) below 60%. Results: Of the 31 patients included in this study, 24 (77.4%) were men and seven (22.6%) were women. The mean age of the patients was 49.7±13.2 years, their mean weight was 68.1±9.6 kg, and their mean Injury Severity Score was 26.1±11.3. The mean respiratory quotient on IC was 0.93±0.19, and their mean FiO2 was 38.72%±6.97%. The mean REE measured by IC was 2,146±444.36 kcal/day, and the mean REE values calculated by the PEs were 1,509.39±205.34 kcal/day by the Harris and Benedict equation, 1,509.39±154.33 kcal/day by the Fleisch equation, and 1,443.39±159.61 kcal/day by the Robertson and Reid equation. The Ireton-Jones equation yielded a higher value (2,278.90±202.35 kcal/day), which was not significantly different from the value measured using IC (p=0.53). The ESPEN maximum value (1,704.03±449.36 kcal/day) was lower, but this difference was likewise not significant (p=0.127). Conclusions: The REE measured by IC was somewhat higher than that calculated using PEs. Further studies are needed to determine the proper nutritional support for trauma patients.

Prediction of the Rheological Properties of Cement Mortar Applying Multiscale Techniques (멀티스케일 기법을 적용한 시멘트 모르타르의 유변특성 예측)

  • Eun-Seok Choi;Jun-Woo Lee;Su-Tae Kang
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.69-76
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    • 2024
  • The rheological properties of fresh concrete significantly influence its manufacturing and performance. However, the diversification of newly developed mixtures and manufacturing techniques has made it challenging to accurately predict these properties using traditional empirical methods. This study introduces a multiscale rheological property prediction model designed to quantitatively anticipate the rheological characteristics from nano-scale interparticle interactions, such as those among cement particles, to micro-scale behaviors, such as those involving fine aggregates. The Yield Stress Model (YODEL), the Chateau-Ovarlez-Trung equation, and the Krieger-Dougherty equation were utilized to predict the yield stress for cement paste and mortar, as well as the plastic viscosity. Initially, predictions were made for the paste scale, using the water-cement ratio (W/C) of the cement paste. These predictions then served as a basis for further forecasting of the rheological properties at the mortar scale, incorporating the same W/C and adding the cement-sand volume ratio (C/S). Lastly, the practicality of the predictive model was assessed by comparing the forecasted outcomes to experimental results obtained from rotational rheometer.