• Title/Summary/Keyword: Predictive analysis

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A Predictive Model of Behavioral Problems in Elementary School Children (초등학교 고학년 아동의 문제행동 예측 모형)

  • Song, Hee Seung;Shin, Hee Sun
    • Child Health Nursing Research
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2014
  • Purpose: The purposes of the study were to develop and test a model which explains the relationship among factors affecting behavioral problems in elementary school children. Methods: The participants for the study were 368 elementary school children and their mothers at 3 elementary schools in one city. Data analysis was done using the SPSS 17.0 program for t-test, -test, and ANOVA and the AMOS 17.0 program for theoretical model testing. Results: The theoretical model showed a significant goodness of fit to the empirical data (Goodness of Fit Index: .96, Adjusted Goodness of Fit Index: .93 Comparative Fit Index: .95, Root Mean Square Error of Approximation: .06, Standardized Root Mean Square Residual: .02). Six paths were found to be statistically significant including from child rearing attitude to self-esteem, stress, stress coping and behavioral problems, and from self-esteem to stress and behavioral problems. Child rearing attitude showed a significant effect to behavioral problems by total effect. Self-esteem affected behavioral problems by total and direct effects. Conclusion: Child rearing attitude and selfesteem of children are important factors affecting behavioral problems in elementary school children.

A Clinical Study on Salivary Gland Tumors (타액선 종양의 임상적 고찰)

  • Chang, Kyoung-Hoon;Chang, Yu-Chol;Jung, Hwan-Woo;Yang, Hoon-Shik;Kim, Hoon;Kim, Chun-Gil
    • Korean Journal of Bronchoesophagology
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.277-286
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    • 1997
  • We have reviewed a 9-year experience with 47 patients treated for salivary tumors which arose In the parotid gland (23 patients; 48.9%), submandibular gland (15 Patients, 31.9%), minor salivary gland (8 patients; 17.0%), and sublingual gland (1 patient; 2.1%). The age of patients ranged from 12 to 71 with a mean of 42.9 years. The male to female ratio showed a female preponderance, 19:28 (1:1.5). An asymptomatic mass (91.5%) was most common presentation. With fine-needle aspiration, the predictive value of a neoplasm was 88.9%. Histopathologically, the most common salivary gland tumors was Pleomorphic adenoma(57.4%). The pleomorphic adenoma was most common in benign tumor group, and the mucoepidermoid carcinoma was most common in malignant tumor group. Of the salivary gland tumors, the incidence of cervical metastasis was 22.2%. Major postoperative complications were facial nerve paralysis and wound infection.

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Development and Validation of A Decision Support System for the Real-time Monitoring and Management of Reservoir Turbidity Flows: A Case Study for Daecheong Dam (실시간 저수지 탁수 감시 및 관리를 위한 의사결정지원시스템 개발 및 검증: 대청댐 사례)

  • Chung, Se-Woong;Jung, Yong-Rak;Ko, Ick-Hwan;Kim, Nam-Il
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.41 no.3
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    • pp.293-303
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    • 2008
  • Reservoir turbidity flows degrade the efficiency and sustainability of water supply system in many countries located in monsoon climate region. A decision support system called RTMMS aimed to assist reservoir operations was developed for the real time monitoring, modeling, and management of turbidity flows induced by flood runoffs in Daecheong reservoir. RTMMS consists of a real time data acquisition module that collects and stores field monitoring data, a data assimilation module that assists pre-processing of model input data, a two dimensional numerical model for the simulation of reservoir hydrodynamics and turbidity, and a post-processor that aids the analysis of simulation results and alternative management scenarios. RTMMS was calibrated using field data obtained during the flood season of 2004, and applied to real-time simulations of flood events occurred on July of 2006 for assessing its predictive capability. The system showed fairly satisfactory performance in reproducing the density flow regimes and fate of turbidity plumes in the reservoir with efficient computation time that is a vital requirement for a real time application. The configurations of RTMMS suggested in this study can be adopted in many reservoirs that have similar turbidity issues for better management of water supply utilities and downstream aquatic ecosystem.

Clinical Significance of Maspin Expression in Osteosarcoma (골육종에서 Maspin 발현의 임상적 의의)

  • Choi, Jay-Rim;Han, Il-Kyu;Lee, Mi-Ra;Cho, Hwan-Seong;Oh, Joo-Han;Kim, Han-Soo
    • The Journal of the Korean bone and joint tumor society
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.26-33
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    • 2009
  • Purpose: This study was performed to investigate the maspin gene expression from osteosarcoma and to determine whether its expression correlates with clinical course of the cancer. Materials and Methods: Between 2001 and 2006, 39 patients who were diagnosed and treated surgically for osteosarcoma were included in the present study. We estimated the maspin gene expression from osteosarcoma tissue samples using RT-PCR. And we examined the correlations between the maspin expression and clinical data (post-chemotherapeutic response, local relapse or metastases). Results: Maspin was over expressed in 21 cases of 39 osteosarcoma tissues. There were significant correlations between maspin expression and the response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy, distant metastases & metastasis-free survival. In multivariate analysis, maspin low-expression was significant risk factor for distant metastases. Also, there was significant difference in metastasis-free survivals between maspin hi- expression group ($69.0{\pm}10.5%$) and low-expression group ($25.4{\pm}13.0%$). Conclusion: The degree of maspin expression in osteosarcoma was significant risk factor for distant metastases and predictive factor for metastasis-free of overall survivals. Maspin may be a useful biologic marker in evaluating the prognosis in patients with osteosarcoma and could be used as a therapeutic target clinically.

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Effect of Body Image and Eating Attitude on Depressive Mood and Suicide Ideation in Female Adolescents (여자 청소년의 신체이미지와 식사태도가 우울감과 자살사고에 미치는 영향)

  • Song, Man-Kyu;Ha, Jee-Hyun;Park, Doo-Heum;Ryu, Seung-Ho;Oh, Jung-Hyeon;Yu, Jae-Hak
    • Korean Journal of Psychosomatic Medicine
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.40-47
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    • 2010
  • Objectives:Body image is closely related to self-esteem and weight-control related behaviors. In particular, relationship between two factors would be stronger in female adolescents. False recognition on body image and weight can be a risk factor of eating disorder, depression, and suicidal ideation. This study aimed to examine the effects of body image and eating disorders on developing depressive symptoms and suicidal ideation in female adolescents. Methods:Two hundred thirty nine students of a Girls' Commercial High School in Seoul were recruited. Eating Attitude Test for Korean Adolescents, Self-Esteem Scales, Impulsiveness Scale, Beck's Depression Inventory and Beck's Suicidal Ideation Scale were used to measure eating attitude and severity of psychiatric symptoms. Results:Among 239 subjects, the estimated risk group of eating disorders was 10%(n=24). They experienced more depressive symptoms than the control group. The bigger discrepancy in current and ideal body mass index was significantly related with higher depressive mood, suicidal idea, abnormal eating habits and lower self-esteem. Discrepancy between current and idea BMI was the most meaningful predictive factor about depression and suicidal thoughts by linear regression analysis. Conclusion:In spite of normal weight range of enrolled subjects, they experienced significant depressive mood, suicide thoughts and lower self-esteem associated with the discrepancy of their own subjective body image and current body mass index. Hence educational approach regarding normal body image and healthy weight control is needed for their mental health and preventing eating disorder.

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Analysis of Greenhouse Gas Emission Models and Evaluation of Their Application on Agricultural Lands in Korea (토양 온실가스 배출 예측 모델 분석 및 국내 농경지 적용성 평가)

  • Hwang, Wonjae;Park, Minseok;Kim, Yong-Seong;Cho, Kijong;Lee, Woo-Kyun;Hyun, Seunghun
    • Ecology and Resilient Infrastructure
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.185-190
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    • 2015
  • Greenhouse gas (GHG) emission from agricultural lands is recognized as one of important factors of global warming. The objective of this short communication was to evaluate the applicability of different soil GHG emission prediction models on agricultural systems in Korea. Four models, namely, DNDC, DAYCENT, EXPERT-N and COUP, were selected and the basic structure (e.g., components and sub-model), input variables, and output variables were compared. In particular, the availability and compilation of essential input variables were assessed. Major input variables needed for operating these predictive models were found to be available through database systems established by national organizations such as the Korea Meteorological Administration, the Korean Soil Information System, and the Rural Development Administration. However, in order to apply these models in Korea, it was necessary to calibrate and validate each of the models for the domestic landscape settings and climate conditions. In addition, field data of long-term monitoring of GHG emission from agricultural lands are limited and therefore should be measured.

Correlation Analysis between Head Rice Ratio and Agronomic Traits in RILs for Developing A Promising Rice Culitivar Adaptable to The Early-Transplanting Cultivation (조기재배 적합 벼품종 육성을 위한 재조합집단에서 완전미율과 농업형질과의 상관분석)

  • Lee, Jong-Hee;Choi, Jun-Hyun;Kim, Sang-Yeol;Lee, Ji-Yoon;Kim, Choon-Song;Yeo, Un-Sang;Song, You-Chen;Sohn, Young-Bo;Oh, Myung-Kyu;Kang, Hang-Won;Nam, Min-Hee
    • KOREAN JOURNAL OF CROP SCIENCE
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    • v.57 no.1
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2012
  • In this study, we conducted to identify predictive parameters affecting the head rice ratio for developing high quality rice cultivar adaptable to the early-transplanting cultivation. The recombinant inbred lines (RILs) population from a cross between the parents of Pungmi and Koshihikari was used for test materials. Variations were observed in most of the measurements, eg culm length (ranging from 51.0 cm to 97.0 cm), amylose content (14.0~20.1%), protein content (5.2~7.4%), pasting properties (peak viscosity, 227.2~309.8 RVU) and head rice ratio (67.7~96.7%). Significant correlations between head rice ratio versus culm length (0.443) and head rice ratio versus protein content (-0.458) were detected in RIL population. However, culm length was negatively related to lodging tolerance. In order to develop a commercially suitable cultivar, selection for short culm and high head rice ratio of rice grains with physiochemical properties such as protein content, amylase content and taste value should be considered. This results can be used to increase the efficiency of breeding program for developing a new early-maturing rice variety adaptable to early transplanting cultivation in Korea.

A Quantitative Approach to the influence on the South Korean Air Transportation System in the Event of Volcanic Ash Dispersal (화산재에 따른 국내항공교통의 영향에 대한 정량화 방안)

  • LEE, Jiseon;YOON, Yoonjin
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.318-329
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    • 2016
  • There has been a growing interest on the effect of volcanic eruption on the aviation safety, air travel and economy especially after the eruption of Eyjafjallajokull in Iceland. Since volcanic eruption is influential on a large geographic region, the effect usually extends to other neighboring countries. Korea also has an active volcano named Mountain Baekdu. Hence, the need to estimate in advance the quantitative impact of the potential eruption of Mt. Baekdu on South Korean air transportation system. However, previous studies with quantitative estimation were confined to the calculation of the direct economic loss from shut down of the airports, grounding of airlines, and trade deficits caused by the eruption. Therefore, this paper introduces a new approach to assess more accurate impact simultaneously considering volcanic ash dispersal and aviation routes. This approach is then applied to a virtual scenario to predict the damage to air traffic. With further development, this method can help estimate the damage in the air transportation industry in more accurate and faster ways. Prediction outcomes can also be utilized in setting up the emergency response plan for the air transportation industry and contribute to the creation of more proactive and predictive measures in the future.

River Water Temperature Variations at Upstream of Daecheong Lake During Rainfall Events and Development of Prediction Models (대청호 상류 하천에서 강우시 하천 수온 변동 특성 및 예측 모형 개발)

  • Chung, Se-Woong;Oh, Jung-Kuk
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.39 no.1 s.162
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    • pp.79-88
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    • 2006
  • An accurate prediction of inflow water temperature is essentially required for real-time simulation and analysis of rainfall-induced turbidity 烈os in a reservoir. In this study, water temperature data were collected at every hour during the flood season of 2004 at the upstream of Daecheong Reservoir to justify its characteristics during rainfall event and model development. A significant drop of river water temperature by 5 to $10^{\circ}C$ was observed during rainfall events, and resulted in the development of density flow regimes in the reservoir by elevating the inflow density by 1.2 to 2.6 kg/$m^3$ Two types of statistical river water temperature models, a logistic model(DLG) and regression models(DMR-1, DMR-2, DMR-3) were developed using the field data. All models are shown to reasonably replicate the effect of rainfall events on the water temperature drop, but the regression models that include average daily air temperature, dew point temperature, and river flow as independent variables showed better predictive performance than DLG model that uses a logistic function to determine the air to water relation.

The Development of Physical Functioning Scale for Community-Dwelling Older Persons (지역사회 노인의 신체기능 평가도구 개발)

  • Lee, Kyung-Jong;Han, Geun-Shik;Yoon, Soo-Jin;Lee, Yeon-Kyung;Kim, Chan-Ho;Kim, Jeong-Lim;Lee, Yun-Hwan
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.359-374
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    • 2002
  • Objectives : To develop a physical functioning instrument for older adults living in the community. Methods : A representative sample of 979 people aged 65 years or over were interviewed in-person. Of these, 199 people also completed a detailed in-hospital examination. The scale items were selected based on the frequency of endorsement, along with the item-total and inter-item correlations. The associations of the scale with their physical performance and clinical examination were analyzed to evaluate the criterion-related validity. Construct validity was assessed using factor analysis, and internal consistency through Cronbach's alpha and item-total correlations. Test-retest reliability was measured by agreement between the household survey and the repeat survey at the in-hospital examination. Results : Initially, 23 items on the level of difficulty, ranging from no difficulty to an inability to complete a task, with the specific mobility and self-care tasks were included. Those with a high frequency of endorsement and a low inter-item or item-total correlations were excluded, resulting in a 10-item Physical Functioning (PT) scale. Equal weights were given to each item and a summated score was calculated. Significant associations were found between the PF scores and the physical performance, surrey and clinical data. The scale revealed a 2-factor (mobility and self-care) structure. Cronbach's alpha was 0.92 and the item-total correlations were in the 0.63 to 0.78 range. Pearson's correlations for the test-retest ranged between 0.56 and 0.61. Conclusions : The newly developed Physical Functioning (PF) scale showed good psychometric properties in older people. Further work, however, is needed to improve its sensitivity to discriminate higher levels of functioning, in addition to assessing its predictive value in detecting changes in health.