• Title/Summary/Keyword: Predictive Information

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The Predictive Factors to Participation in Cervical Cancer Screening Program (성인 여성의 자궁경부암 선별검사 수검에 관한 예측인자)

  • Kim, Young-Bok;Kim, Myung;Chung, Chee-Kyung;Lee, Won-Chul
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.237-243
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    • 2001
  • Objectives : To examine the screening rate of cervical cancer in women and to find out the predictive factors for participation in cervical cancer screening programs within their life-time and within the last two years. Methods : The data was based on self-reported questionnaires from 1,613 women whose ages ranged from 26 to 60 years; this survey was peformed between December 1999 and January 2000. This study analyzed the predictive factors for participation in cervical cancer screening programs within their life-time and within the last two years. A logistic regression analysis was performed in order to derive the significant variables from the predisposing factors(demographic factor, health promotion behavior, reproductive factor), intervention factors(information channel, relation with medical stan, and proximal factors(attitude, social influence, self-efficacy). All analyses were peformed by the PC-SAS 6.12. Results : Our analyses showed that the screening rate for the women who received a cervical cancer screening(Pap smear) more than once within their life-time was 56.1% while those who had received one within the last two years was 34.5%. The significant factors for participation in cervical cancer screening program within their life-time were their income, married age, health promotion score, relation with medical staffs, social influence, and self-efficacy. On the other hand, age, number of pregnancies, menarche age, relation with medical staffs, social influences, and self-efficacy were significant factors for those being screened within the last two years. The predictive power of the logit model within their life-time was 68.8% and that within the last two years was 66.6%. Conclusion : The predictive factors for participation in cervical cancer screening program within their life-time are different from those for within the last two years. and that women's relations with medical staffs and social influences were the critical factors impacting on cervical cancer screening rates.

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LSTM-based Business Process Remaining Time Prediction Model Featured in Activity-centric Normalization Techniques (액티비티별 특징 정규화를 적용한 LSTM 기반 비즈니스 프로세스 잔여시간 예측 모델)

  • Ham, Seong-Hun;Ahn, Hyun;Kim, Kwanghoon Pio
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.83-92
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    • 2020
  • Recently, many companies and organizations are interested in predictive process monitoring for the efficient operation of business process models. Traditional process monitoring focused on the elapsed execution state of a particular process instance. On the other hand, predictive process monitoring focuses on predicting the future execution status of a particular process instance. In this paper, we implement the function of the business process remaining time prediction, which is one of the predictive process monitoring functions. In order to effectively model the remaining time, normalization by activity is proposed and applied to the predictive model by taking into account the difference in the distribution of time feature values according to the properties of each activity. In order to demonstrate the superiority of the predictive performance of the proposed model in this paper, it is compared with previous studies through event log data of actual companies provided by 4TU.Centre for Research Data.

Development of Standardized Predictive Models for Traditional Korean Medical Diagnostic Pattern Identification in Stroke Subjects: A Hospital-based Multi-center Trial

  • Jung, Woo-Sang;Cho, Seung-Yeon;Park, Seong-Uk;Moon, Sang-Kwan;Park, Jung-Mi;Ko, Chang-Nam;Cho, Ki-Ho;Kwon, Seungwon
    • The Journal of Korean Medicine
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    • v.40 no.4
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    • pp.49-60
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    • 2019
  • Objectives: To develop a standardized diagnostic pattern identification equation for stroke patients, our group conducted a study to derive the predictive logistic equations. However, the sample size was relatively small. In the current study, we aimed to derive new predictive logistic equations for each diagnostic pattern using an expanded number of subjects. Methods: This study was a hospital-based multi-center trial recruited stroke patients within 30 days of symptom onset. Patients' general information, and the variables related to diagnostic pattern identification were measured. The diagnostic pattern of each patient was identified independently by two Korean Medicine Doctors. To derive a predictive model for pattern identification, binary logistic regression analysis was applied. Results: Among the 1,251 patients, 385 patients (30.8%) had the Fire Heat Pattern, 460 patients (36.8%) the Phlegm Dampness Pattern, 212 patients (16.9%) the Qi Deficiency Pattern, and 194 patients (15.5%) the Yin Deficiency Pattern. After the regression analysis, the predictive logistic equations for each pattern were determined. Conclusion: The predictive equations for Fire Heat, Phlegm Dampness, Qi Deficiency, and Yin Deficiency would be useful to determine individual stroke patients' pattern identification in the clinical setting. However, further studies using objective measurements are necessary to validate these data.

A Study on Predictive Traffic Information Using Cloud Route Search (클라우드 경로탐색을 이용한 미래 교통정보 예측 방법)

  • Jun Hyun, Kim;Kee Wook, Kwon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.287-296
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    • 2015
  • Recent navigation systems provide quick guide services, based on processing real-time traffic information and past traffic information by applying predictable pattern for traffic information. However, the current pattern for traffic information predicts traffic information by processing past information that it presents an inaccuracy problem in particular circumstances(accidents and weather). So, this study presented a more precise predictive traffic information system than historical traffic data first by analyzing route search data which the drivers ask in real time for the quickest way then by grasping traffic congestion levels of the route in which future drivers are supposed to locate. First results of this study, the congested route from Yang Jae to Mapo, the analysis result shows that the accuracy of the weighted value of speed of existing commonly congested road registered an error rate of 3km/h to 18km/h, however, after applying the real predictive traffic information of this study the error rate registered only 1km/h to 5km/h. Second, in terms of quality of route as compared to the existing route which allowed for an earlier arrival to the destination up to a maximum of 9 minutes and an average of up to 3 minutes that the reliability of predictable results has been secured. Third, new method allows for the prediction of congested levels and deduces results of route searches that avoid possibly congested routes and to reflect accurate real-time data in comparison with existing route searches. Therefore, this study enabled not only the predictable gathering of information regarding traffic density through route searches, but it also made real-time quick route searches based on this mechanism that convinced that this new method will contribute to diffusing future traffic flow.

On Predictive Coding of Speech Signals (음성신호의 예측부호화에 관하여)

  • 은종관
    • The Magazine of the IEIE
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    • v.12 no.5
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    • pp.23-35
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    • 1985
  • 본 논문은 디지털 음성통신에서 사용되는 예측부호화(predictive coding) 방식에 관하여 기술하고 있다. 특히 전송속도가 16∼48kbit/s 대역에서 많이 사용하고 있는 adaptive differential pulse code modulation(ADPCM)과 adaptive delta modulation(ADM)에 관하여 중점적으로 토의한다. 또한 variable-rate ADPCM과 ADM에 관해서 기술하고, 이들 시스템의 noisy channel에서의 효과 및 성능개선방법, 그리고 PCM과의 transcoding에서의 문제점 등을 통의한다. ADPCM은 최근 CCITT에서의 표준화 결과로 앞으로 PCM과 함께 많이 쓰여질 전망이며, ADM은 시스템이 간단하고 또한 channel error에 강한 이유로 특수통신에 많이 쓰여질 것이다.

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Java-based LonTaIk/IP Network for Predictive Maintenance (PM)

  • Park, Gi-Heung
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Industrial Safety Conference
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    • 2001.11a
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    • pp.31-35
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    • 2001
  • Recent trends require that access to the device/equipment information be provided from several locations or anywhere in the enterprise. One example is virtual machine/manufacturing system (VMS) where predictive maintenance is performed both on factory floor and in remote site through internet [1]. Internet access is increasingly available and affordable, and along with the "internet" is the backbone of modern enterprise data networks. Typical functions of such a system includes monitoring and control for diagnosis and remedy action in realizing preventive maintenance.(omitted)

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Integrating Fuzzy based Fault diagnosis with Constrained Model Predictive Control for Industrial Applications

  • Mani, Geetha;Sivaraman, Natarajan
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.886-889
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    • 2017
  • An active Fault Tolerant Model Predictive Control (FTMPC) using Fuzzy scheduler is developed. Fault tolerant Control (FTC) system stages are broadly classified into two namely Fault Detection and Isolation (FDI) and fault accommodation. Basically, the faults are identified by means of state estimation techniques. Then using the decision based approach it is isolated. This is usually performed using soft computing techniques. Fuzzy Decision Making (FDM) system classifies the faults. After identification and classification of the faults, the model is selected by using the information obtained from FDI. Then this model is fed into FTC in the form of MPC scheme by Takagi-Sugeno Fuzzy scheduler. The Fault tolerance is performed by switching the appropriate model for each identified faults. Thus by incorporating the fuzzy scheduled based FTC it becomes more efficient. The system will be thereafter able to detect the faults, isolate it and also able to accommodate the faults in the sensors and actuators of the Continuous Stirred Tank Reactor (CSTR) process while the conventional MPC does not have the ability to perform it.

An Analysis of Location Management Cost by Predictive Location Update Policy in Mobile Cellular Networks (이동통신망에서 예측 위치 등록 정책을 통한 위치관리 비용 감소 효과 분석)

  • Ko, Han-Seong;Hong, Jung-Sik;Chang, In-Kap;Lie, Chang-Hoon
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.160-171
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    • 2008
  • MU's mobility patterns can be found from a movement history data. The prediction accuracy and model complexity depend on the degree of application of history data. The more data we use, the more accurate the prediction is. As a result, the location management cost is reduced, but complexity of the model increases. In this paper, we classify MU's mobility patterns into four types. For each type, we find the respective optimal number of application of history data, and predictive location area by using the simulation. The optimal numbers of four types are shown to be different. When we use more than three application of history data, the simulation time and data storage are shown to increase very steeply.

Visual servoing of robot manipulators using the neural network with optimal structure (최적화된 신경회로망을 이용한 동적물체의 비주얼 서보잉)

  • 김대준;전효병;심귀보
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1996.10b
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    • pp.302-305
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    • 1996
  • This paper presents a visual servoing combined by Neural Network with optimal structure and predictive control for robotic manipulators to tracking or grasping of the moving object. Using the four feature image information from CCD camera attached to end-effector of RV-M2 robot manipulator having 5 dof, we want to predict the updated position of the object. The Kalman filter is used to estimate the motion parameters, namely the state vector of the moving object in successive image frames, and using the multi layer feedforward neural network that permits the connection of other layers, evolutionary programming(EP) that search the structure and weight of the neural network, and evolution strategies(ES) which training the weight of neuron, we optimized the net structure of control scheme. The validity and effectiveness of the proposed control scheme and predictive control of moving object will be verified by computer simulation.

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A Predictive Controller Based on the Generalized Minimum Variance Approach (일반화 최소분산법을 기초로 한 예측 제어기)

  • 한홍석;양해원
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.37 no.8
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    • pp.557-562
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    • 1988
  • This paper presents a class of discrete adaptive controller that can be applied to a plant without sufficient a priori information. It is well known that the GMV(Generalized Minmum Variance) contrlller performs satisfactorily if the plant time delay is known. By introducing the long-range prediction into the GMV controller, robustness to the time delay can be improved, although optimality is lost. Such an idea motivates a predictive control system to be proposed here, where the system minimizes multi-stage cost via the GMV approach. Moreover, the detuning control weight is determined by an on-line tuning method. It is shown that robustness, computational efficiency, and performance of the resulting control system are improved as compared with those of the GPC(Generalized Predictive Control)system.

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