• Title/Summary/Keyword: Prediction-Based

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Study on Wind Power Prediction model based on Spatial Modeling (공간모델링 기반의 풍력발전출력 예측 모델에 관한 연구)

  • Jung, Solyoung;Hur, Jin;Choy, Young-do
    • KEPCO Journal on Electric Power and Energy
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.163-168
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    • 2015
  • In order to integrate high wind generation resources into power grid, it is an essential to predict power outputs of wind generating resources. As wind farm outputs depend on natural wind resources that vary over space and time, spatial modeling based on geographic information such as latitude and longitude is needed to estimate power outputs of wind generation resources. In this paper, we introduce the basic concept of spatial modeling and present the spatial prediction model based on Kriging techniques. The empirical data, wind farm power output in Texas, is considered to verify the proposed prediction model.

Toward global optimization of case-based reasoning for the prediction of stock price index

  • Kim, Kyoung-jae;Ingoo Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
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    • 2001.06a
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    • pp.399-408
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    • 2001
  • This paper presents a simultaneous optimization approach of case-based reasoning (CBR) using a genetic algorithm(GA) for the prediction of stock price index. Prior research suggested many hybrid models of CBR and the GA for selecting a relevant feature subset or optimizing feature weights. Most studies, however, used the GA for improving only a part of architectural factors for the CBR system. However, the performance of CBR may be enhanced when these factors are simultaneously considered. In this study, the GA simultaneously optimizes multiple factors of the CBR system. Experimental results show that a GA approach to simultaneous optimization of CBR outperforms other conventional approaches for the prediction of stock price index.

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IoT Connectivity Application for Smart Building based on Analysis and Prediction System

  • COROTINSCHI, Ghenadie;FRANCU, Catalin;ZAGAN, Ionel;GAITAN, Vasile Gheorghita
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.21 no.9
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    • pp.103-108
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    • 2021
  • The emergence of new technologies and their implementation by different manufacturers of electronic devices are experiencing an ascending trend. Most of the time, these protocols are expected to reach a certain degree of maturity, and electronic equipment manufacturers use simplified communication standards and interfaces that have already reached maturity in terms of their development such as ModBUS, KNX or CAN. This paper proposes an IoT solution of the Smart Home type based on an Analysis and Prediction System. A data acquisition component was implemented and there was defined an algorithm for the analysis and prediction of actions based on the values collected from the data update component and the data logger records.

Optimizing Artificial Neural Network-Based Models to Predict Rice Blast Epidemics in Korea

  • Lee, Kyung-Tae;Han, Juhyeong;Kim, Kwang-Hyung
    • The Plant Pathology Journal
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    • v.38 no.4
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    • pp.395-402
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    • 2022
  • To predict rice blast, many machine learning methods have been proposed. As the quality and quantity of input data are essential for machine learning techniques, this study develops three artificial neural network (ANN)-based rice blast prediction models by combining two ANN models, the feed-forward neural network (FFNN) and long short-term memory, with diverse input datasets, and compares their performance. The Blast_Weathe long short-term memory r_FFNN model had the highest recall score (66.3%) for rice blast prediction. This model requires two types of input data: blast occurrence data for the last 3 years and weather data (daily maximum temperature, relative humidity, and precipitation) between January and July of the prediction year. This study showed that the performance of an ANN-based disease prediction model was improved by applying suitable machine learning techniques together with the optimization of hyperparameter tuning involving input data. Moreover, we highlight the importance of the systematic collection of long-term disease data.

AP, IP Prediction For Corpus-based Korean Text-To-Speech (코퍼스 방식 음성합성에서의 개선된 운율구 경계 예측)

  • Kwon, O-Hil;Hong, Mun-Ki;Kang, Sun-Mee;Shin, Ji-Young
    • Speech Sciences
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.25-34
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    • 2002
  • One of the most important factor in the performance of Korean text-to-speech system is the prediction of accentual and intonational phrase boundary. The previous method of prediction shows only the 75-85% which is not proper in the practical and commercial system. Therefore, more accurate prediction must be needed in the practical system. In this study, we propose the simple and more accurate method of the prediction of AP, IP.

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Vehicle - to - Vehicle Distance Control using a Vehicle Trajectory Prediction Method (차량 궤적 예측기법을 이용한 차간 거리 제어)

  • 조상민;이경수
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.123-129
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    • 2002
  • This paper proposes a vehicle trajectory prediction method far application to vehicle-to-vehicle distance control. This method is based on 2-dimensional kinematics and a Kalman filter has been used to estimate acceleration of the object vehicle. The simulation results using the proposed control method show that the relative distance characteristics can be improved via the trajectory prediction method compared to the customary intelligent cruise control algorithm.

Adaptive MPEG Traffic Prediction

  • Jung, Souhwan;Yoo, Jisang
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.16 no.3E
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    • pp.7-13
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    • 1997
  • This paper addresses traffic prediction issues on MPEG. A new adaptive traffic prediction scheme is proposed using MPEG picture characteristic that picture traffic depends on the coding mode of that picture, that is, I, P, and B mode. Our prediction scheme, which is based n picture decomposition (PD) and the cross-correlation of the different types of pictures, has better performance in predicting bursty MPEG traffic than that of the first-order autoregressive (AR) prediction scheme. Our simulation results show that the performance is further improved about 15% by utilizing the cross-correlations between pictures.

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Development of Collision Warning/Avoidance Algorithms using Vehicle Trajectory Prediction Method (차량 궤적 예측기법을 이용한 충돌 경보/회피 알고리듬 개발)

  • Kim, Jae-Ho;Yi, Kyong-Su
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2000.11a
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    • pp.647-652
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    • 2000
  • This paper proposes a collision warning/avoidance algorithm using a trajectory prediction method. This algorithm is based on 2-dimensional kinematics and the Kalman filter has been used to obtain the information of the object vehicle. This algorithm has been investigated via computer simulation and showed a good trajectory prediction performance. The proposed collision warning/avoidance algorithm would enhanced driver acceptance for a collision warning/avoidance system.

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Sequence driven features for prediction of subcellular localization of proteins

  • Kim, Jong-Kyoung;Bang, Sung-Yang;Choi, Seung-Jin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Bioinformatics Conference
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    • 2005.09a
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    • pp.237-242
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    • 2005
  • Predicting the cellular location of an unknown protein gives a valuable information for inferring the possible function of the protein. For more accurate prediction system, we need a good feature extraction method that transforms the raw sequence data into the numerical feature vector, minimizing information loss. In this paper, we propose new methods of extracting underlying features only from the sequence data by computing pairwise sequence alignment scores. In addition, we use composition based features to improve prediction accuracy. To construct an SVM ensemble from separately trained SVM classifiers, we propose specificity based weighted majority voting. The overall prediction accuracy evaluated by the 5-fold cross-validation reached 88.53% for the eukaryotic animal data set. By comparing the prediction accuracy of various feature extraction methods, we could get the biological insight on the location of targeting information. Our numerical experiments confirm that our new feature extraction methods are very useful for predicting subcellular localization of proteins.

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Development of a Tool Life Prediction Program for Increasing Reliability of Cutting Tools (공구의 신뢰성 향상을 위한 수명 예측 프로그램 개발)

  • Kim Bong-Suk;Kang Tae-Han;Kang Jae-Hun;Song Jun-Yeob;Lee Soo-Hun
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Machine Tool Engineers
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2005
  • The prediction for tool life is one of the most important factors for increasing reliability, stability, and productivity of manufacturing system. This paper deals with a tool life prediction method in view of reliability assessment for cutting tools. In this study, flank wear was focused among multi-factors deciding the tool wear state. First, tool life was predicted by correlation between flank wear and cutting time, based on the extended Taylor tool life equation of turning, including parameters of cutting speed, feed rate, and cutting depth. Second, each of cutting conditions of end-milling was equivalently converted to apply ball end-mill data to the extended Taylor equation. The web-based prediction program for tool life was developed as one of reliability assessment programs for machine tools.